News

Gas price hike fuels energy inflation: BB
29 Apr 2026;
Source: The Daily Star

Bangladesh witnessed a spike in energy inflation during the January-March quarter of the current fiscal year 2025-26 (FY26), driven by gas price hikes, according to a Bangladesh Bank (BB) report published yesterday.

Energy inflation rose to 14.9 percent in the third quarter of FY26 from 14.4 percent in the previous quarter, the central bank said in its report titled Inflation Dynamics in Bangladesh.

The report said solid fuels such as firewood, agricultural by-products, cow dung, and jute sticks have consistently been a major driver of energy inflation.

However, inflation of solid fuels declined to 21.5 percent in the January-March period from 23.1 percent in the previous quarter. Gas inflation surged to 11.3 percent in the third quarter, rebounding from a 6.2 percent inflation in the preceding quarter.

Solid fuels such as firewood, agricultural by-products, cow dung, and jute sticks have consistently been a major driver of energy inflation
During the January-March period of FY26, inflation averaged 8.81 percent, up from 8.3 percent in the preceding October-December quarter, mainly driven by increased food prices, especially vegetables and spices.

However, protein-based foods remained the top contributor, accounting for 44.6 percent of overall food inflation, the report said.

The average contribution of vegetables to food inflation rose to 22.7 percent in the January-March period of this year. The contribution of cereal items to food inflation saw a notable decline, dropping to 8.1 percent from 41.4 percent in the previous quarter.

In contrast, non-food inflation remained broadly stable at a high level of approximately 8.9 percent.

During the quarter, the BB report said that the contribution of domestic items to inflation increased to 71.7 percent, while the share of import-concentrated items fell to 28.3 percent.

Despite a spike in inflation, the wage-price gap slightly narrowed compared to the previous quarter. “This narrowing was primarily driven by a decline in headline inflation rather than any significant improvement in wage growth,” the report said.

“Despite some positive momentum effects, wage growth remained sluggish throughout the quarter, as the negative base effect persisted,” it added.

BB eases incentive bonus rules for bank staff
29 Apr 2026;
Source: The Daily Star

Bangladesh Bank has eased rules for banks to award incentive bonuses to staff, provided that a few criteria are met.

According to a central bank circular issued yesterday, a bank’s boards of directors may approve up to one month’s basic salary as a bonus in recognition of “special achievements” during the year, even if the usual eligibility criteria are not met.

However, this discretionary payment will only be permitted if the institution records an operating profit. In addition, the bank must ensure that regulatory capital is maintained at least at the previous year’s level (excluding adjustments for deferred provisions approved by Bangladesh Bank) and that no fresh applications are made for deferred provisioning facilities.

Banks may approve up to one month’s basic salary as a bonus in recognition of “special achievements” during the year, even if the usual eligibility criteria are not met
Officials said the move aims to boost morale among officers and employees while preserving competitiveness in the banking sector. Meanwhile, Bangladesh Bank stressed that compliance with the outlined conditions is essential to ensure financial discipline and safeguard stability.

Cement makers under strain as war drives up input costs
29 Apr 2026;
Source: The Daily Star

Cement manufacturers in the country are under growing pressure as the US-Israel war on Iran disrupts Middle Eastern supply routes, forcing them to import key raw materials -- especially clinker -- from Asian countries at higher prices.

The conflict has also increased freight costs, further raising overall import expenses. At the same time, weak domestic demand is preventing producers from passing on higher costs to consumers, leaving manufacturers squeezed between rising input costs and a fragile market.

The situation also highlights the sector’s heavy dependence on imported raw materials. Key inputs such as clinker, limestone, granulated slag, fly ash and gypsum are largely imported. Nearly 90 percent of clinker is brought from abroad.

“Bangladesh’s cement sector is under new cost pressure as clinker imports shift away from the Middle East,” said Mohammad Iqbal Chowdhury, chief executive officer of LafargeHolcim Bangladesh PLC.

“Earlier, imports were largely sourced from Gulf countries at competitive prices, but that advantage has now disappeared. The country is now increasingly relying on China, Vietnam and Thailand, where clinker is being imported at higher prices,” he added.

Chowdhury said the shift is linked to a widening geopolitical crisis following joint US–Israel strikes on Iran and Iran’s closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a key global trade route.

“This has cut shipping traffic, pushed up freight and insurance costs, increased logistics risks and war-risk premiums, and forced rerouting of shipments,” he said.

“The impact on Bangladesh’s cement industry has been immediate, as it depends heavily on imported clinker and stone aggregates.”

He added that clinker import costs have risen from about $42 to $43 per tonne to nearly $53 due to tighter supply and higher freight charges.

“With demand already weak, companies are struggling to pass on these costs, putting pressure on profit margins and forcing them to cut spending,” he said.

Md Abul Mansur, general manager of Royal Cement Ltd, echoed these concerns. “Sourcing raw materials has become increasingly difficult due to global disruptions. Clinker is no longer coming from the Middle East, while gypsum and limestone from Oman now face sharply higher freight costs,” he said.

He added, “Clinker prices have risen from around $43 per tonne to about $57 to $58 per tonne, while slag prices have increased from $16 to around $23 to $24 per tonne, driven by war-related disruptions in global shipping.”

Mansur linked the surge in freight costs to higher oil prices, increased insurance premiums and greater risks on maritime routes, saying shipping costs have effectively doubled.

He said the impact is already visible in the domestic market. Cement prices have increased by Tk 30 to Tk 50 per bag, even though actual costs have gone up by Tk 70 to Tk 80. Weak demand has prevented companies from passing on the full increase.

“Costs are rising, but the market is unable to absorb the full impact,” he added.

He also noted that construction activity has slowed as developers delay projects in hopes of greater stability, further affecting the industry.

The country’s broader construction sector is also under strain due to weak public spending, subdued private investment, policy uncertainty and rising costs. These factors have already dampened project approvals, demand and growth across real estate and related industries, including cement.

Mohammed Amirul Haque, president of the Bangladesh Cement Manufacturers Association and managing director of Premier Cement Mills PLC, said the sector has faced multiple shocks over the past five years, making business difficult.

He added that many companies are still operating despite losses in the hope of recovery, but warned that this situation is not sustainable.

He stressed the need for a profit margin and cautioned that sharp price increases could harm the market.

“A quick recovery is unlikely,” he added.

Budget airlines first to cut flights as jet fuel prices soar
29 Apr 2026;
Source: The Daily Star

Ryanair, Transavia, Volotea and other low-cost airlines are feeling the financial pain from high jet fuel prices as a result of the Middle East war and are cutting flights.

The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has taken a huge chunk of oil supplies off the market, sending the price of jet fuel soaring and triggering fears of shortages that could force airlines to cancel flights.

Airlines aren’t waiting for a lack of supplies to react.

“Travel alert: airlines are cutting thousands of flights right now,” Travel Therapy TV host Karen Schaler said in an Instagram reel this past weekend. “Book early.”

That advice would win the approval of Ryanair boss Michael O’Leary, who expressed concern earlier this month that fears of fuel shortages were making people put off booking flights.

Low-cost carriers -- which control a little more than a third of the global market, according to various estimates -- are feeling the pinch first due to the nature of their business model.

With cheaper tickets, they have less capacity to absorb the rise in fuel costs.

Some of the cancellations may be the normal adjustments airlines tend to make when demand doesn’t meet expectations on certain routes.

“It is not unusual for carriers to adjust their schedules at this time of the year,” financial analyst Dudley Shanley at investment bank Goodbody told AFP.

But “if jet fuel prices remain at this level, there will have to be a little bit more trimming for low-cost airlines”, he added.

If before the war airlines were able to maintain marginally profitable routes or even unprofitable routes, the surge in jet fuel prices will force them to make difficult choices.

That will start with many during the peak summer travel season.

“Unfortunately, it’s very likely that many people’s holidays will be affected, either by flight cancellations or very, very expensive tickets,” the EU’s energy commissioner Dan Jorgensen told Sky News last week.

The speed with which airlines are reacting depends in part upon the extent to which they secured fuel supplies in advance at fixed prices.

European airlines tend to do this to a greater extent than their rivals in other parts of the world. Air Transat, a low-cost Canadian airline, has cut six percent of its May-October flight schedule.

Southeast Asia’s largest low-cost carrier, AirAsia X, announced on Friday it was cutting more flights and even some connections, without providing an overall figure.

Earlier this month the Malaysia-based no-frills airline said it was raising fares by up to 40 percent and about 10 percent of its overall flights had been cut so far.

Hungary’s low-cost airline Wizz Air has so far resisted cutting flights.

“We are not taking capacity out, because I think the other guys will take capacity out,” its chief executive Jozsef Varadi was quoted as saying recently by trade magazine Aviation Week.

“You don’t have to run faster than the bear, but faster than the guy next to you,” he added.

He may have been thinking of the most spectacular cuts made in the industry by German group Lufthansa, which had just announced it was chopping 20,000 flights from its schedule through October, along with halting its regional feeder airline CityLine.

Its European rival Air France-KLM has trimmed two percent of flights in May and June at its low-cost Transavia subsidiary.

KLM has kept cancellations down to one percent of its European flights.

Ryanair didn’t cite fuel prices but high costs and taxes when announcing last week it would reduce flights to and from Berlin starting in October.

It is also cutting 10 percent of flights from Dublin, criticising limited capacity at the airport.

Since the beginning of the month, Spain’s Volotea has trimmed nearly one percent of flights from its summer schedule.

Inflation to intensify following rise in fuel prices globally, locally
29 Apr 2026;
Source: The Financial Express

A prognosis comes from the regulator that the prevailing high inflation may intensify further following fuel-price rises, which indicates pricey commodities could be pricier.

"….near-term inflationary pressures are expected to intensify due to higher global oil prices, domestic fuel-price adjustments, and ongoing energy-supply constraints," the Bangladesh Bank (BB) says in its latest report on Inflation Dynamics in Bangladesh January-March 2026. Bangladeshmarket analysis

The central bank's latest observation comes just nine days after the government raised domestic fuel prices in response to continued increases in global petroleum- product prices, underscoring mounting external cost pressures on the economy.

Officials and economists, however, says these cost-push factors are likely to transmit through higher transportation and production costs, potentially broadening price pressures across the supply chain and complicating efforts to anchor inflation expectations.

Bangladesh's headline consumer price index (CPI) inflation (y-o-y) continued to rise, averaging approximately at 8.8 per cent in the third quarter (Q3) of the current fiscal year (FY) 2025-26, up from 8.3 per cent observed in the previous quarter, according to the quarterly report released Tuesday.

"Fuel-price adjustments may trigger a one-off spike in inflation, which would then ease gradually over time," Md. Ezazul Islam, Director-General of Bangladesh Institute of Bank Management (BIBM), says while explaining to The Financial Express (FE) the potential economic impact of the latest fuel-price hike.

"Fuel-price adjustments have a multiplier effect on the economy, as fuel is a key input across all sectors," explains Dr. Islam, also a former executive director of the central bank. Economicanalysis reports

Talking to the FE, a BB senior official has said transport costs have already risen following the latest fuel-price adjustments, which may further add fuel to inflationary pressures on the economy. Energy inflation rose to 14.9 per cent in the third quarter of FY'26 from 14.4 per cent in the previous quarter.

On the other hand, food inflation edged up during the period under review, primarily driven by an increased contribution from vegetables and spices. However, protein-based foods remained the top contributor.

The central bank in its report says the increased contribution of protein-based food items, along with 'clothing and footwear', can be partly attributed to seasonal demand associated with Eid-ul-Fitr, which typically leads to higher consumer spending on food and apparel.

The average contributions of import-concentrated food items and domestic food items to headline inflation increased in the Q3 of FY'26 from the previous quarter.

On the other hand, the contribution of import-concentrated non-food items to inflation declined, according to the report.

Meanwhile, the wage-price gap narrowed slightly by the end of Q3 of FY'26 compared to the previous quarter, driven by a fall in headline inflation (y-o-y) to 8.7 per cent in March 2026, while wage growth remained stable at 8.1 per cent. This led to a modest deterioration in household purchasing power, reflecting sluggish real wage growth.

"Given these developments, sustained policy vigilance is essential to anchor inflation expectations, contain elevated food and core prices, and safeguard household purchasing power, thereby supporting a stable macroeconomic environment conducive to long-term, inclusive growth," the central bank notes in its report.

Age limits for BSEC, Idra chairmen may be lifted
29 Apr 2026;
Source: The Daily Star

Finance Minister Amir Khosru Mahmud Chowdhury yesterday placed two amendment bills in the parliament proposing the removal of age limits for appointing the heads and members of two of the country’s key financial regulators.

The Bangladesh Securities and Exchange Commission (Amendment) Bill, 2026 seeks to abolish the existing maximum age limit of 65 years for appointing the chairman and commissioners of the Bangladesh Securities and Exchange Commission (BSEC).

Also placed the same day, the Insurance Development and Regulatory Authority (Amendment) Bill, 2026 proposes scrapping the current age cap of 67 years for appointing the chairman and members of the Insurance Development and Regulatory Authority (Idra).

Placing the bills before the House, the finance minister recommended that they be sent to a special parliamentary committee for scrutiny, with a report to be submitted within one day.

In the statement of objectives and reasons, the minister said the proposed amendment to the securities commission law aims to make it more suitable for present circumstances by allowing the appointment of experienced, skilled and knowledgeable individuals to top positions.

Regarding the amendment to the Insurance Development and Regulatory Authority Act, 2010, he noted that the existing provision, which sets the maximum appointment age at 67 years, has limited the opportunity to recruit capable and experienced individuals to leadership roles in the insurance sector.

He argued that removing this restriction is necessary in the public interest to strengthen decision-making in the sector.

Earlier, on April 23, the cabinet approved the draft amendments to both laws.

Economists’ body recommends bringing digital economy under tax net
29 Apr 2026;
Source: The Daily Star

The government needs to urgently design a comprehensive framework to bring Bangladesh’s fast-growing digital economy under the tax net to boost the country’s tax-to-GDP ratio, the Bangladesh Economic Association (BEA) said.

It warned that a large and expanding segment of income remains outside the formal revenue system.

The association placed the recommendation before the National Board of Revenue (NBR) during a pre-budget discussion at its headquarters in Dhaka.

The economists’ body said sectors such as e-commerce, freelancing, digital advertising, and streaming services are growing rapidly but remain either fully or partially untaxed. This includes Facebook-based businesses, sellers on platforms like Daraz, freelancers on global marketplaces, and users paying for services such as Netflix and Spotify.

According to the BEA, the lack of a structured taxation regime is causing revenue losses and creating an uneven playing field between compliant businesses and largely untaxed digital operators.

It also flagged rising cross-border digital transactions, noting that firms like Google, Meta Platforms, and Amazon earn significantly from Bangladesh but contribute limited taxes.

The BEA proposed mandatory tax registration for foreign digital service providers and an automated withholding system through payment gateways to deduct tax or VAT at source.

It also recommended forming a specialised digital unit within the NBR to monitor cross-border transactions in real time, improve compliance, and reduce revenue leakages.

Prof Mahbub Ullah, convener of the BEA, and Mohammad Masud Alam, member of the committee, spoke at the event presided over by Md Abdur Rahman Khan, chairman of the NBR.

Oil prices rise 3%
29 Apr 2026;
Source: The Daily Star

Oil prices rose nearly 3 percent on Tuesday, extending the previous session’s gains, as ‌efforts to end the US-Iran war appeared to have stalled, with the crucial Strait of Hormuz waterway still mainly shut, starving markets of key Middle East energy supply.

Brent crude futures for June climbed $2.99, or 2.76 percent, to $111.22 a barrel by 0758 GMT, after ​gaining 2.8 percent to close the previous session at its highest since April 7. The contract is ​up for a seventh straight day.

At their intra-day peak on Tuesday, Brent was up 3.4 percent on the day at $111.86 a barrel.

US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude for June rose $2.54, or 2.64 percent, ​to $98.91 a barrel, after gaining 2.1 percent in the previous session.

US President Donald Trump is unhappy with the latest Iranian ​proposal to end the war, a US official said on Monday, as Iranian sources disclosed that it avoided addressing the nuclear program until hostilities cease and Gulf shipping disputes are resolved.

Trump’s displeasure with the offer leaves the conflict deadlocked, with Iran shutting shipping flows ​through the Strait of Hormuz, a conduit for about 20 percent of global oil and gas supplies, and the ​US retaining its blockade of Iranian ports.

“Oil above $110 per barrel reflects a market that is rapidly repricing geopolitical risk,” said ‌Rystad Energy ⁠analyst Jorge Leon.

“With peace talks stalled and no clear path to reopening the Strait of Hormuz, traders are factoring in a prolonged disruption to a critical artery of global supply,” he added.

“Even in a best-case scenario, any US–Iran agreement is likely to be narrow and partial, leaving the Strait issue unresolved, which means the upside ​risks to prices remain.”

An ​earlier round of negotiations between ⁠the United States and Iran collapsed last week after face-to-face talks failed.

Ship-tracking data showed significant disruptions in the region, with six Iranian oil tankers forced to turn back due ​to the US blockade.

But a liquefied natural gas tanker managed by the United ​Arab Emirates’ Abu ⁠Dhabi National Oil Co crossed the Strait of Hormuz and appears to be near India, the on Monday.

Prior to the US-Israeli war on Iran, which began on February 28, between 125 and 140 vessels transited the strait ⁠daily.

The loss ​of about 10 million bpd of crude and products through Hormuz will continue ​to exceed falling consumption as inflationary pressures and demand destruction loom, PVM analyst Tamas Varga said, leading to an ever-tighter oil market ​balance.

Iran offers to reopen Strait of Hormuz if US lifts blockade, ends war
28 Apr 2026;
Source: The Business Standard

Iran has offered to ease its restrictions on the Strait of Hormuz if the United States lifts its blockade and brings an end to the war, according to two regional officials familiar with the proposal.

The offer, reportedly conveyed to Washington through Pakistan, would postpone discussions on Iran's nuclear programme- an issue US officials insist must be part of any agreement.

US Secretary of State Marco Rubio signalled resistance to such a deal, saying any agreement must ensure Iran cannot develop nuclear weapons.

Despite a fragile ceasefire, tensions remain high over the strategically vital waterway, which handles about one-fifth of global oil and gas trade. Iran's restrictions and the US blockade have disrupted energy supplies, pushing oil prices sharply higher and straining global markets.

Brent crude prices have risen significantly since the conflict began, exceeding $108 per barrel yesterday (27 April).

The proposal comes amid growing international pressure to reopen the strait. Dozens of countries, in a joint statement led by Bahrain, called for restoring access, while UN Secretary-General António Guterres warned of mounting humanitarian and economic consequences.

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz criticised Washington's handling of the conflict, while French Foreign Minister Jean-Noël Barrot urged all sides to de-escalate, stressing that key maritime routes should remain open.

Meanwhile, Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi met Russian President Vladimir Putin in St Petersburg, as diplomatic efforts continue to revive stalled negotiations.

Pakistan and other mediators are attempting to bridge the gaps between Tehran and Washington, but significant differences remain, particularly over Iran's nuclear ambitions and the conditions for lifting the blockade.

The conflict, which began on 28 February, has led to thousands of deaths across the region and continues to fuel instability despite ongoing ceasefire efforts.

India, New Zealand sign free trade agreement
28 Apr 2026;
Source: The Business Standard

India and New Zealand today signed a Free Trade Agreement in New Delhi under which New Delhi will get 100% duty-free access for some products and expanded market access for labour-intensive sectors of textiles, leather, footwear, engineering goods and processed food sectors.

India's farms, fisheries and factories will get zero-duty market access on 100% of exports.

On the other hand, India has offered market access in 70% lines covering 95% of New Zealand's trade with India.

To ensure protection to Indian farmers, rural economies and the domestic industry, market access for New Zealand under the agreement keeps out dairy, key agricultural products, coffee, milk, cream, cheese, yoghurt, whey, caseins, onions, sugar, spices, edible oils and rubber, an official statement said.

The agreement was signed by Indian Minister of Commerce and Industry Piyush Goyal and New Zealand's Minister for Trade and Investment Todd McClay.

The FTA, wrapped up in about a year after the launch of negotiations on 16 March 2025, is expected to facilitate increased trade and investment flows by improving market access, reducing barriers, and establishing clear and predictable rules, said the statement.

It will support businesses of all sizes, including small and medium enterprises, ensuring wider distribution of the benefits of trade.

The signing ceremony brought together businesses and industry leaders from both countries, with Trade and Investment Minister Todd McClay leading a cross-party delegation of Members of Parliament and over 30 New Zealand businesses.

"The signing of the India–New Zealand Free Trade Agreement marks a new and significant chapter in the bilateral relationship, reflecting shared ambition, deepening engagement, and a commitment to mutually beneficial growth," said McClay.

He said the agreement "reflects a balanced, forward-looking, and practical outcome" and both sides will now work closely towards effective implementation and delivery of the agreement.

New Zealand is India's second-largest trading partner in the Oceania region, with bilateral trade valued at around $1.3 billion.

Goyal said this is India's ninth FTA in the past few years with 38 developed countries.

At the heart of the FTA with New Zealand is the empowerment for exports, agricultural productivity, student mobility, skills, investment and services.

He said New Zealand has made an investment commitment of $20 billion in India.

UNCTAD sets 5 priority reforms for Bangladesh ahead of LDC graduation
28 Apr 2026;
Source: The Business Standard

The United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD), in a report, has identified five key priority reform areas for Bangladesh to strengthen its investment climate, enhance competitiveness, and support sustainable, investment-led growth in the years ahead.

The report highlights both progress and persistent challenges in Bangladesh's investment climate since the 2013 Investment Policy Review (IPR). While acknowledging important reforms, it stresses the need for deeper and more sustained structural changes—particularly as the country prepares to graduate from Least Developed Country (LDC) status.

It also underscores the importance of ensuring a smooth transition as Bangladesh faces the gradual withdrawal of preferential treatment under various international agreements, amid evolving global trade and geopolitical dynamics.

The United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), UNCTAD and the Investment Development Authority (Bida) jointly launched the UNCTAD Investment Policy Review (IPR) Implementation Report for Bangladesh at Bida building in the capital yesterday (27 April).

The high-level dialogue brought together senior government officials, private sector representatives, and development partners to discuss strengthening the country's investment framework in preparation for LDC graduation.

To strengthen the investment climate, the report outlines five priority reforms as below:

Firstly, the report calls for the development of a national investment policy alongside a consolidated investment law to bolster investor confidence and support a coordinated, whole-of-government approach to attracting and effectively utilising foreign direct investment (FDI) in line with national development objectives.

Secondly, the report put emphasis on enhancing investment promotion and facilitation to improve service delivery and attract higher-quality investments.

Thirdly, it focuses on sectors identified in the Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) Heatmap, recommending targeted interventions to drive growth and stronger institutional coordination to ensure alignment on sectoral priorities.

Fourthly, the report underscores the need for mitigating the effects of losing preferential Least Developed Country (LDC) status by engaging key trade and investment partners and strengthening the competitiveness of the domestic private sector in the post-LDC context.

And lastly, the UN report stresses on removing key bottlenecks to investment by improving access to land and infrastructure, which remain critical constraints for the potential investors.

The report also found that Bangladesh lags significantly behind its regional peers in attracting foreign direct investment (FDI). According to the findings, Vietnam's FDI stock is approximately 13 times higher than Bangladesh's, Indonesia's nearly 17 times higher, and Cambodia's about three times higher. This relatively low FDI stock highlights weaker inflows and several underlying structural constraints.

In 2024, Bangladesh's FDI stock stood at $18.29 billion, compared to $249.14 billion in Vietnam, $305.66 billion in Indonesia, and $52.66 billion in Cambodia, says the report.

Presenting the findings of the report, Legal Officer of UNCTAD's Investment and Enterprise Division Kiyoshi Adachi noted that most of the Investment Policy Review recommendations for Bangladesh have only been partially implemented.

"It is a somewhat subjective grading, but most recommendations fall into the partially implemented category," he said, adding that systematic tracking of progress remains essential.

He also highlighted weak inter-agency coordination, pointing to a mismatch between the sectors identified in Bida's FDI Heatmap—such as semiconductors, electric vehicle batteries, and technical textiles—and their reflection in the national industrial policy.

Adachi also noted that the Investment Act of 1980 is outdated, lacking clear consolidation of FDI rules and well-defined investor treatment provisions. He pointed out that entry procedures still involve multiple approvals and suffer from limited transparency. Although digitalisation efforts are underway, they remain constrained by continued reliance on manual processes.

He further highlighted ongoing challenges related to foreign exchange repatriation, land access, infrastructure limitations, and restricted skilled labour mobility, including the absence of a dedicated personal visa scheme.

Bida Executive Chairman Chowdhury Ashik Mahmud Bin Harun stressed that Bangladesh must "shift gears" to attract global investment. "If we have been operating in second gear so far, we now need to move into fifth gear," he said, underscoring the importance of competitiveness and alignment with global standards.

UNDP Resident Representative in Bangladesh Stefan Liller emphasised that coherent policies and strong institutional capacity are critical to attracting responsible investment that generates employment and promotes inclusive growth.

Chief Executive Officer of BUILD Ferdous Ara Begum said "Her organisation has compiled an updated business licensing guidebook covering more than 600 licences. Including renewals, the total number of licences may range from 500 to 1,200."

She also noted that starting a business in Bangladesh—across manufacturing, services, or trade—initially requires around 23 licences. Based on data from citizen charters, obtaining these approvals takes an estimated 477 days.

Referring to a Cabinet Division directive issued in 2000, Begum further explained that ministries were instructed to publish timelines for administrative procedures. BUILD's analysis, based on these official timelines, shows that completing the required processes to start a business takes approximately 477 days.

She said that if starting a manufacturing business alone takes this long, other sectors may require even more time. "In that respect, the top priority should be reducing the number of steps, shortening the time, and simplifying the process," she said, adding that this remains one of the private sector's biggest challenges. She also noted that the private sector has already submitted several recommendations to address these issues.

Ferdous Ara Begum also commented on the proposed plan to merge five investment-related regulatory and promotional agencies with Bida, PPP, Beza, Bepza, BHTPA and BSIC.

She said such institutional consolidation could help improve coordination, reduce duplication, and streamline investment services. However, she stressed that its success will depend on how effectively the reform is implemented and whether the merged structure can ensure faster and more efficient decision-making for investors.

Regarding the National Board of Revenue (NBR), Ferdous Ara Begum said the tax system remains one of the biggest challenges for Bangladesh's private sector. She noted that although various reforms are underway, significant issues persist in tax policies.

The report concludes that key achievements include the establishment of Bida as the lead investment facilitation agency and the expansion of digital investment services. However, it recommends adopting a unified national investment policy, enacting a consolidated investment law, and fully digitalising investment procedures to enhance competitiveness ahead of LDC graduation.

Iran war disrupts the circuit board supply chain, raises costs for tech firms
28 Apr 2026;
Source: The Business Standard

The conflict in the Middle East has disrupted supplies of crucial raw materials and pushed up prices of the printed circuit boards (PCB) used in almost all electronic devices, from smartphones and computers to AI servers, industry sources and executives said.

The disruption is a fresh blow to electronics manufacturers which are already grappling with soaring memory chip costs and highlights the broadening impact of the Iran war that has wreaked havoc on supply chains, plastics, and oil supplies.

Iran struck Saudi Arabia's Jubail petrochemical complex in early April, forcing a halt in production of high-purity polyphenylene ether (PPE) resin — a critical base material used to manufacture PCB laminates.

SABIC, which accounts for approximately 70% of the world's high-purity PPE supply and operates in the Jubail complex on the Gulf coast, has been unable to resume output, severely tightening the availability of the material worldwide, according to one source. Shipping in and out of the Gulf has also been severely disrupted by the war.

PCB prices have been climbing since late last year, driven by a growing appetite for AI servers. Demand has been accelerating sharply since March as manufacturers scramble to secure raw material supplies and soften the impact of skyrocketing costs, three industry sources told Reuters.

In April alone, PCB prices surged as much as 40% from March, Goldman Sachs analysts said in a recent note. Cloud service providers are willing to accept further increases as they expect demand will outstrip supplies over the coming years, they added.

The global PCB industry is projected to increase by 12.5% to reach $95.8 billion in 2026, according to a recent report from Prismark.

Daeduck Electronics, a South Korean PCB maker whose customers include Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix and AMD, has begun discussions with customers over price increases, a senior executive at the company told Reuters.

The executive, who declined to be named due to sensitivity of the subject, said his priority has now changed from meeting customers to suppliers, as the waiting time for chemical materials such as epoxy resin has stretched to 15 weeks from three weeks previously.

The sharp rise in PCB prices was also driven by a shortage of other key materials, including glass fibre and copper foil, according to one source. Copper foil prices have surged as much as 30% so far this year, with the rally gaining momentum in March, the source added.

Copper accounts for around 60% of total raw material costs in PCB manufacturing, according to Victory Giant Technology, a major Chinese PCB supplier for Nvidia. The Chinese firm warned earlier this month that the Middle East conflict could push up prices for key materials including resin and copper.

Multi-layer PCBs can cost around 1,394 yuan ($204) per square metre, with higher-end models for AI servers costing around 13,475 yuan, according to Victory Giant.

With nuclear coming online, Bangladesh can now accelerate renewables
28 Apr 2026;
Source: The Business Standard

The first of the two units of the Rooppur Nuclear plants, with a combined capacity of 2,400 megawatts (MW), is set to begin its operational procedures, following the fuel loading today, raising hope that it will likely help Bangladesh better manage its power demand.

With approximately 300MW of power from the first unit (1,200MW) coming online by August 2026, the country will likely be able to harness its optimal benefits during the summer of 2027, as it takes 10 to 12 months to operate it in full capacity.

Given the power crunch Bangladesh experiences due to scorching heat and rising demand for cooling in summers, this nuclear power plant has the potential to partially alleviate these challenges next summer. Besides, this baseload power plant can partly support in times of uncertainty that force the government to reduce fossil fuel imports, which ultimately have knock-on effects in the power sector.

The VVER nuclear plant's designed economic life is 60 years to generate stable power and thus can help the imported fossil-fuel-dependent country considerably, especially by limiting volatile and expensive liquefied natural gas (LNG) in the future.

While there is no publicly available information on tariffs, it is expected that the cost of power from the nuclear plant will be lower than the country's average grid-based power generation cost. If the cost can be kept within Tk10 per kWh, it will help the Bangladesh Power Development Board (BPDB) rein in the rising power generation costs and associated pressure to raise power tariffs.

Looking ahead, once the country brings the second nuclear unit online, Bangladesh will likely have a substantial baseload capacity, including its gas- and coal-based plants, sufficient to meet the country's power demand even beyond 2030, considering the country's subdued growth in demand. This power system capacity eventually opens opportunities for a significant renewable energy expansion, relying on both decentralised and utility-scale projects.

As baseload nuclear plants offer a significant opportunity, Bangladesh can use them judiciously to reduce load-shedding and dependence on imported carbon-intensive fuels in the near term. Over time, scaling up renewable energy will be critical to strengthening the country's energy security and resilience.

-This report was prepared based on a phone conversation with Shafiqul Alam, lead energy analyst for Bangladesh at Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis.

China blocks Meta’s planned $2b acquisition of AI start-up Manus
28 Apr 2026;
Source: The Business Standard

Chinese regulators have blocked Meta's planned acquisition of artificial intelligence start-up Manus, a deal estimated at about $2 billion, citing restrictions on foreign investment.

The National Development and Reform Commission prohibited the transaction and ordered both parties to withdraw, according to details of the decision, reports the BBC.

Manus has drawn attention for what it describes as "truly autonomous" agents, technology designed to independently plan, execute and complete tasks based on initial instructions, rather than relying on continuous user prompts. Analysts had viewed the capability as a "natural fit" for Meta's push into artificial intelligence under Chief Executive Mark Zuckerberg.

The regulatory intervention reflects concerns tied to Manus's origins. Although now headquartered in Singapore, the company was founded and previously based in China, making it subject to rules governing the export or sale of technology to foreign entities.

The review process has also involved legal complications. In March, Manus's two co-founders were placed under exit bans, preventing them from leaving China while authorities examined the deal.

Despite the block, Meta has said the Manus team is already "deeply integrated" into its operations, working to expand the service for millions of users. That level of integration could complicate efforts to "unwind" the arrangement.

The decision comes amid broader tensions between the United States and China over advanced technologies. The White House has said it plans to work with US companies to counter what it called "industrial-scale campaigns" by foreign actors, particularly in China, to appropriate AI innovations. Chinese officials, in turn, have criticised what they describe as the "unjustified suppression" of Chinese firms and say the country is emerging as a global "innovation lab".

Within Meta, the development coincides with a period of restructuring as the company increases spending on AI. It recently announced plans to cut about one in ten jobs, its largest round of layoffs since 2023. Meta has said it hopes for an "appropriate resolution" to the regulatory review and maintains that the transaction complied with applicable laws.

DSE snaps four-day winning streak on profit booking
28 Apr 2026;
Source: The Business Standard

After four consecutive sessions of gains, the Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) ended lower today (27 April) as investors booked short-term profits amid cautious sentiment and ongoing market uncertainty.

Selling pressure dominated most sectors throughout the session, pushing the benchmark DSEX, along with the DS30 and Shariah-based DSES indices, into negative territory.

Market participants said the recent rally prompted many investors to lock in gains, while global developments, geopolitical tensions, and macroeconomic uncertainty also contributed to cautious trading.
The DSEX fell 16 points to close at 5,301. The DS30 index dropped 9 points to 2,018, while the DSES declined 10 points to 1,057.

Market breadth remained sharply negative, with 102 stocks advancing against 223 declining and 67 remaining unchanged. Turnover also fell 2.7% to Tk956 crore from Tk982 crore in the previous session.

In its daily market review, EBL Securities said the market reversed after recent gains as investors reshuffled portfolios amid earnings disclosures, domestic economic signals, and geopolitical developments. It added that although the market started firm and held gains mid-session, broad-based selling in the final trading hour dragged indices lower.

Sector-wise, the General Insurance sector led turnover with 16.1%, followed by Banking at 13.0% and Textile at 11.6%. Most sectors ended lower, with Ceramics declining 2.0%, while Paper and Textile both fell 1.3%. General Insurance was the only major gaining sector, rising 2.9%.


Meanwhile, the Chittagong Stock Exchange (CSE) also closed in the red. The Selective Categories' Index (CSCX) dropped 18.9 points, while the All Share Price Index (CASPI) fell 35.8 points at the close of trading.

 

Oil rises 1% as US-Iran peace talks stall
28 Apr 2026;
Source: The Daily Star

Oil prices were up more than 1 percent on Monday as peace talks ‌between the US and Iran stalled while shipments through the Strait of Hormuz remained limited, keeping global oil supplies tight.

Brent crude futures rose $1.35, or 1.3 percent, to $106.68 a barrel by ​0453 GMT, retreating from early session gains of over $2 a barrel. ​ US West Texas Intermediate was at $95.35 a barrel, up 95 cents, or 1 percent.

Last week, Brent and WTI gained nearly 17 percent and 13 percent, respectively, ​the biggest weekly gains since the start of the war.

Hopes of reviving peace ​efforts receded during the weekend when US President Donald Trump scrapped a planned trip to Islamabad by his envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, even as Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas ​Araqchi arrived in Pakistan.

“President Trump’s recent post on Truth Social, urging to shoot ​and kill any Iranian boat laying mines in the Strait of Hormuz, alongside his claims ‌of having full control over Hormuz, has continued to fuel elevated war premiums,” said Priyanka Sachdeva, analyst at Phillip Nova.

Tehran has largely closed the strait while Washington has imposed a blockade of Iran’s ports. Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz ​remained limited, with ​just one oil products tanker entering the Gulf on Sunday, shipping data from Kpler showed.

Goldman Sachs raised its oil price forecasts for the fourth ​quarter to $90 a barrel for Brent crude and $83 for ​WTI, citing reduced output from the Middle East.

“The economic risks are larger than our crude base case alone suggests because of the net upside risks to oil prices, unusually high ​refined product prices, products shortages risks, and the ​unprecedented scale of the shock,” GS analysts led by Daan Struyven said in a note on Sunday.

Middle East war hands Opec’s swing producer crown to America
28 Apr 2026;
Source: The Daily Star

The US has stepped in to shield the global economy from the oil crunch triggered by the Iran war by boosting exports, selectively easing sanctions and tapping strategic reserves. The conflict may be denting Washington’s standing in some quarters, but it is also cementing its transformation into the world’s dominant energy superpower.

Unlike in previous oil crises, the Organization ​of the Petroleum Exporting Countries has been left largely powerless. The near-hermetic closure of the Strait of Hormuz trapped 13 percent of global oil supplies in the Gulf and forced Gulf producers to shut in ‌around 9 million barrels per day of output, stripping the group of its most potent lever: spare production capacity.

Saudi Arabia, the world’s top crude exporter and Opec’s de facto leader, has maximized exports through its alternative pipeline route bypassing Hormuz via the Red Sea. But even that has been insufficient to offset the scale of the disruption.

Enter the United States.

With the world’s largest oil industry – surpassing Saudi Arabia and Russia in production in 2018 – and the currency underpinning the global trading system, the US has extraordinary leverage over energy markets. This power is comparable, in some ​respects, to Opec’s historic ability to recalibrate output in response to shifts in global supply and demand. And Washington hasn’t been shy about using it.

OIL FIREPOWER

US oil exports have soared in recent weeks, helping to ​temper the acute energy supply shock emanating from the Middle East, including the refined product squeeze.

Total US oil exports earlier this month hit an all-time high of 12.9 million bpd, of which refined products accounted for over 60 percent, according to Energy Information Administration data.

Seaborne US oil exports are set to climb to a record 9.6 million bpd in April, with flows to Asia nearly doubling ​from pre-war levels to 2.5 million bpd, according to data analytics firm Kpler.

This surge has helped cushion Asian economies - among the most exposed to Gulf supply losses - from even sharper price spikes.

For US producers, the Iran war has ​delivered a sizeable windfall. The value of crude and refined product exports has increased by around $32 billion compared with pre-war prices, according to ROI calculations, boosting both corporate earnings and tax receipts.

American oil firepower does not end with production. Washington agreed in March to release 172 million barrels from its Strategic Petroleum Reserve in several tranches through 2027 as part of a coordinated global emergency drawdown of 400 million barrels.

The SPR stood at around 405 million barrels by April 17, down from 415 million barrels at ​the start of the war - meaning the buffer against further supply shortages remains ample.

THE SANCTIONED BARRELS

Washington has yet another tool to influence global energy supplies: economic sanctions.

Since March, the US has selectively loosened restrictions on purchases of Russian and Iranian oil. The ​Trump administration on April 17 renewed a waiver allowing countries to buy sanctioned Russian oil at sea for about a month.

The impact has been swift. Volumes of Russian oil stored on tankers fell from a record high of more than 13 ‌million barrels at the end of January to just 2.9 million barrels by April 24, as buyers swarmed back in.

By bolstering Moscow and Tehran’s revenues - even temporarily - these measures are arguably undermining broader US foreign policy goals.

The US administration has recently backtracked on part of this strategy. It did not renew a separate 30-day waiver issued on March 20 that allowed purchases of around 140 million barrels of Iranian oil held at sea and simultaneously imposed its own Hormuz blockade to squeeze Tehran’s revenues.

Sanctions will always involve a delicate balance between exacting pressure and limiting collateral damage to the global energy system. But the US is still the one calling the shots.

Taken together, these measures show how the ​US has emerged as a de facto “swing supplier” - and ​what Uncle Sam giveth, he can also taketh away.

US President Donald Trump could, in theory, impose restrictions or outright bans on some US energy exports to cool rising domestic fuel prices - an especially sensitive political issue ahead of the midterm elections in November. Such a move would almost certainly send international energy prices sharply higher.

An export ban remains unlikely, however. It would risk severe ​disruption to US oil production and refining systems that are structurally geared toward exporting surplus volumes. It would also strain relations with allies in Asia, Europe ​and Latin America who are relying heavily on the US to replace lost Middle Eastern barrels and could prompt retaliatory measures.

The US’s powers certainly are not unlimited. Unlike Opec – or its wider producer alliance including Russia known as Opec+ – the US energy industry remains largely bound by market economics. Washington cannot instruct companies to raise or cut output at will, nor can it marshal spare production capacity as Gulf producers traditionally have. In that sense, the US cannot fully replicate Opec’s role as a manager of global supply.

What it can do is respond - ​fast, and at scale. Through a combination of public policy and private market forces, Washington has eased at least some of the pain for ​consumers and revealed a level of market influence unmatched since Opec’s heyday.

Telecom, steel seek tax cuts as tobacco firms split over govt revenue policy ahead of budget
28 Apr 2026;
Source: The Business Standard

The Association of Mobile Telecom Operators of Bangladesh (AMTOB) has proposed abolishing the 20% supplementary duty on mobile talk-time and data, along with other tax cuts, saying the current structure is restricting growth and digital inclusion.

The proposals were placed at a pre-budget meeting with the National Board of Revenue (NBR) in Agargaon, Dhaka, yesterday (27 April).

AMTOB said operators currently pay about 56% of gross revenue in taxes, VAT and other charges, compared to a global average of 22% and 26% in Asia-Pacific countries.

Secretary General Lt Col Mohammad Zulfiqar (Retd) said the tax burden rises further during spectrum auctions, weakening investment capacity and long-term sustainability.

The association also demanded removal of the 1% surcharge on telecom services and Tk300 VAT on SIM and e-SIM replacement, saying it discourages new users, especially low-income groups.

The body further proposed reducing corporate tax rates from 40% (listed) and 45% (non-listed) to regional levels.

In the same meeting, tobacco sector representatives proposed changes to the tax system. British American Tobacco Bangladesh (BATB) proposed replacing the ad-valorem system with a specific tax system.

Arafat Jaigirdar of BATB said, "As the current tax rate is up to 83%, including VAT, supplementary duty, and surcharge, there will be limited scope for increasing government revenue in the future. Therefore, the existing ad valorem system can be replaced with a specific tax system."

He said the change would increase revenue and reduce pressure on companies. Japan Tobacco International Bangladesh and Philip Morris Bangladesh supported the proposal.

However, Abul Khair Tobacco opposed the proposal and suggested increasing prices in the upper three tiers under the existing system, claiming it could generate an additional Tk10,000 crore annually. The tobacco sector currently contributes about Tk50,000 crore to government revenue each year.

National Board of Revenue Chairman Md Abdur Rahman Khan said cigarette prices and tax rates would be reviewed in line with South Asian standards.

The Bangladesh Steel Manufacturers Association (BSMA) urged the government to reduce income tax, customs duties and VAT on the steel sector in FY2026-27, citing pressure from rising costs, currency depreciation and global instability.

BSMA President Mohammad Jahangir Alam said the steel industry is facing a deep crisis due to depreciation of the taka, dollar shortage, high interest rates, rising utility costs and increased taxes and VAT in FY2025-26. He also cited political instability, the COVID-19 impact, the Russia-Ukraine war and the slowdown in infrastructure projects.

BSMA proposed reducing advance income tax on raw material imports to Tk500 from Tk600, cutting tax deducted at source on rod sales to 1% from 2%, reducing turnover tax to 0.5% from 1%, and allowing adjustment of advance tax.

The association said a new VAT of Tk1,800 per metric tonne has been imposed on imported raw materials despite earlier duty withdrawal. It called for the rationalisation of taxes and duties in the next budget.

NBR Chairman Md Abdur Rahman Khan said not all demands could be met due to revenue constraints, but reasonable proposals would be considered. He said HS code issues would be reviewed and import values aligned with international prices.

Multiple trade bodies, including steel, re-rolling mills, iron importers, chemical importers, paint, cosmetics, lubricants, fisheries, marine products, auto parts and electronics associations, attended the meeting.

Cenbank directs banks to buy dollars max at Tk122.85, experts criticise this move
28 Apr 2026;
Source: The Business Standard

Bangladesh Bank has verbally instructed commercial banks to lower the buying rate of US dollars further, apparently in efforts to stabilise the foreign exchange market, according to official sources.

The instruction set the banks to buy remittances from money exchange houses at a maximum rate of Tk122.85 per US dollar, a senior Bangladesh Bank official confirmed to The Business Standard yesterday.

This marks a slight reduction from the earlier instruction issued on 13 April, when banks were ordered to keep the maximum buying rate at Tk122.90 per dollar, reflecting the central bank's continued efforts to gradually bring down the dollar rate in the local market.

However, bankers and economists argue that such frequent intervention is not standard market practice. While Bangladesh Bank has already introduced a reference exchange rate framework, critics say direct verbal instructions to control rates go beyond conventional policy tools.

Several senior central bank officials, however, defended the move, saying rising fuel prices have increased the risk of inflation, forcing the monetary authority to keep the exchange rate at a level that prevents import costs from rising further.

"If the dollar rate remains high, import costs will increase, which could add pressure on inflation. That is why we are trying to maintain a stable level," one senior official said.

Dr Zahid Hussain, former lead economist at the World Bank's Dhaka office, told TBS that discussions are ongoing regarding the disbursement of International Monetary Fund loan instalments, where reform uncertainty has emerged. One of the key IMF conditions was to move toward a more market-based and stable exchange rate mechanism.

"But there are concerns that exchange rate management is not being fully implemented in line with expectations. The IMF does not favour this kind of indirect control," he said.

He further explained that central bank intervention is not unusual, but it should be done through market-based instruments such as dollar auctions.

The economist said, "So I can't understand the reason behind such intervention. Because the directive to reduce the remittance rate means that the central bank thinks the dollar price is high in the market. However, that is due to the imbalance of demand and supply, but nothing like that has happened. But even if it is, it should be allowed to happen."

The international dollar index rose by 0.68% between 28 February and 27 April this year, while Bangladesh's domestic rate increased by only 0.37%. "If anything, this suggests relative stability in supply conditions, supported by strong remittance inflows," he said, adding that import letters of credit have also declined in March while remittance flows remain robust.

Bangladesh Bank officials argue that a lower dollar rate helps importers bring in goods at lower prices, ultimately benefiting businesses and consumers.

While no Bangladesh Bank insider agreed to be named in comments to TBS on the issue, a senior central bank official noted that repeated verbal instructions to control exchange rates may not be well received by the IMF. "This is something we need to be careful about."

There is also pressure from some business groups to appreciate the local currency to reduce import costs, he said.

Despite policy debates, remittance inflows remain strong. Bangladesh Bank data shows that remittances reached $28.92 billion in the current fiscal year up to 26 April.

Market volatility was observed in recent weeks, with some private banks buying dollars at around Tk123 per dollar last week, driven partly by upcoming payment obligations from the Bangladesh Petroleum Corporation and Petrobangla.

However, rates softened slightly yesterday, with private banks reporting remittance purchase rates between Tk122.85 and Tk122.95 per dollar.

A senior central bank official said that despite sufficient dollar supply, some banks bought remittances at higher rates, which pushed the dollar price up slightly.

He added that dollar demand also increased after forward bookings rose from mid-March. In response, the central bank instructed banks in the first week of April to stop forward bookings.

Trade through Benapole suspended for West Bengal elections
28 Apr 2026;
Source: The Daily Star

Import-export activities between Bangladesh and India through the Benapole land port will remain suspended for three consecutive days due to the assembly elections in West Bengal, India.

However, despite the halt in trade operations, passport holders will be allowed to travel for emergency medical purposes, and voters from West Bengal will be permitted to enter India from Bangladesh to cast their ballots.

Moreover, perishable goods will also remain outside the purview of this restriction.

The information was disclosed in a letter issued on April 24, signed by Shilpa Gaurisaria, district magistrate and district election officer of North 24 Parganas, India, while Md Shamim Hossain, director of Benapole Port, confirmed the matter yesterday.

According to the letter, voting will take place on April 29 in 33 assembly constituencies in North 24 Parganas.

To ensure a smooth election process, the movement of people and vehicles will be restricted from 6pm on April 26 to 6am on April 30 under Section 163 of the Indian Citizen Security Code-2023.

As a result, all international land borders and entry-exit points in the district will remain closed.

During this period, passenger movement through international check posts will be limited, and normal import-export activities are expected to resume from Thursday morning, said Aminul Haque, vice-president of the Benapole Importers and Exporters Association.

Although passenger movement is restricted, Indian voters currently in Bangladesh will be able to return home to vote, said Shakhawat Hossain, officer-in-charge of Benapole Checkpost Immigration Police.

Normal movement of all passport holders will resume after 7am on April 30.

Rahat Hossain, assistant commissioner of Benapole Customs, said that although trade activities will be halted, internal operations at the customs house and port will continue as usual. If any perishable goods arrive from India, arrangements will be made for their swift clearance.