The US-Israeli war with Iran could leave consumers and businesses worldwide facing weeks or months of higher fuel prices even if the week-old conflict ends quickly, as suppliers grapple with damaged facilities, disrupted logistics, and elevated risks to shipping.

The outlook poses a global economic threat and a political vulnerability for US President Donald Trump leading into the midterm elections, with voters sensitive to energy bills and unfavorable to foreign entanglements.

"The market is shifting from pricing pure geopolitical risk to grappling with tangible operational disruption, as refinery shutdowns and export constraints begin to impair crude processing and regional supply flows," JP Morgan analysts said in a research note on Friday.

The conflict has already led to the suspension of around a fifth of global crude and natural gas supply, as Tehran targets ships in the vital Strait of Hormuz between its shores and Oman, and attacks energy infrastructure across the region.

Global oil prices have surged more than 25% since the start of the war, driving up fuel prices for consumers worldwide.

A nearly complete shutdown of the Strait means the region's giant oil producers - Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Iraq and Kuwait - have had to suspend shipments of as much as 140 million barrels of oil - equal to about 1.4 days of global demand - to global refiners.

As a result, oil and gas storage at facilities in the Middle East Gulf are rapidly filling, forcing oil fields in Iraq and Kuwait to cut oil production, with the United Arab Emirates likely to cut next, analysts, traders and sources said.

"At some point soon, everyone will also shut in if vessels do not come," said a ⁠source with a state oil company in the region, who asked not to be named.

Oilfields forced to shut in across the Middle East as a result of the shipping disruptions could take a while to return to normal, said Amir Zaman, head of the Americas commercial team at Rystad Energy.

"The conflict could be ended, but it could take days or weeks or months, depending on the types of fields, age of the field, the type of shut-in that they've had to do before you can get production back up to what it once was," he said.

Iranian forces, meanwhile, are targeting regional energy infrastructure - including refineries and terminals - forcing them to shut down too, with some of those operations badly damaged by attacks and in need of repairs.

Qatar declared force majeure on its huge volumes of gas exports on Wednesday after Iranian drone attacks and it may take at least a month to return to normal production ‌levels, sources told Reuters. Qatar supplies 20% of global LNG.

Saudi Aramco’s mammoth Ras Tanura refinery and crude export terminal, meanwhile, has also closed due to attacks, with no details on damage.

The White House has justified the attack on Iran, saying the country posed an imminent threat to the United States, although it has not provided details. Trump has also said he was concerned about Iran's efforts to obtain a nuclear weapon.

DANGER IN THE STRAIT

A quick end to the war would soothe markets. But a return to pre-war supply and pricing could take weeks or months, depending on the extent of the damage to infrastructure and shipping.

"Considering physical damage due to Iranian strikes, so far we have not seen anything that would be considered structural, although the risk remains as long as the war continues," said Joel Hancock, energy analyst, Natixis CIB.

The biggest question for energy supplies is how and when the Strait of Hormuz will become safe for shipping again. Trump has offered naval escorts to oil tankers and promised US insurance support to vessels in the region.

But safety in the waterway may be elusive, as Iran has the capacity to sustain drone attacks on shipping for months, intelligence and military sources have said.

The conflict could also encourage countries to top up their strategic petroleum reserves in the weeks and months after the conflict ends, by exposing the dangers of thin inventories. That would increase demand for oil and support prices.

GLOBAL ECONOMIC, POLITICAL RISK

In the meantime, the disruption in energy shipments is reverberating through supply chains and economies in import-reliant Asia, which sources 60% of its crude oil from the Middle East.

In India, state-run Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals MRPL.NS declared force majeure on gasoline export cargoes, sources said this week, joining a growing number of refineries in the region unable to fulfill sales contracts due to lack of supply.

At least two refineries in China have cut runs. China, a big supplier to the region, has asked refineries to suspend fuel exports. Thailand has also suspended fuel exports, while Vietnam has suspended crude shipments.

Disruption has given Russia a boost. Prices for Russian crude cargoes have risen as the US has given Indian refiners a 30-day waiver to buy Russian crude to substitute for lost Middle East supply. Washington had pressured India to cut Russian oil imports under the threat of tariffs.

In Japan, the No. 2 global LNG importer, baseload power futures for Tokyo for the fiscal year starting in April jumped more than a third this week on the EEX in anticipation of higher fuel prices. And in Seoul, drivers queued up at petrol stations in anticipation of rising pump prices.

For European consumers, the crisis in gas supplies and the higher prices are a double whammy. The region was hit the hardest by the disruption to gas supplies due to sanctions on Russian energy imports after Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022.

Europe turned to LNG imports to substitute for Russian pipeline gas. And Europe now needs to buy 180 more LNG cargoes than it did last year to fill gas storage to the levels needed before next winter.

The supply risks to the United States are fewer, as the country has grown in recent years into the world’s largest oil and gas producer. But US crude and fuel prices rise in tandem with international crude markets, so pump prices for gasoline and diesel are affected even if domestic supply is plentiful.

US average retail gasoline, for example, hit $3.32 a gallon nationally on Friday, up 34 cents over last week, according to AAA. Diesel prices, meanwhile, hit $4.33 a gallon, up from $3.76 a gallon a week ago.

Higher prices at the pump mark a major risk for Trump and his fellow Republicans as they head into midterm elections in November.

"Gasoline prices are psychologically powerful," said Mark Malek, chief investment officer at Siebert Financial. "They are the inflation number that consumers see every single day."

Authorities have shut five of the country’s six urea fertiliser factories as a precaution amid fears of gas supply disruptions caused by the widening war in the Middle East and Iran’s closure of the Hormuz Strait, a key global energy route.

From Wednesday, gas supplies to the urea plants, including one privately owned unit, were suspended as part of an energy rationing, said officials at the state-run Bangladesh Chemical Industries Corporation (BCIC).

The corporation runs seven fertiliser factories, including four producing urea.

The factories affected are Ghorashal Polash Fertiliser Public Ltd Company, Chittagong Urea Fertiliser Factory Ltd (CUFL), Jamuna Fertiliser Company Ltd, Ashuganj Fertiliser & Chemical Company Ltd, and the privately run Karnaphuli Fertiliser Company Limited (KAFCO). Of these, production has remained suspended in the Ashuganj factory for months.

Officials say that now only the Shahjalal Fertiliser Factory remains operational, though even this may not continue for long.

However, two state-owned non-urea factories that do not rely on gas remain open.

The country meets nearly 30 percent of its gas demand, equivalent to 2,650 million cubic feet per day (mmcfd), through imported liquefied natural gas (LNG) as domestic output continues to fall short.

Officials said about 197 million cubic feet of gas per day are required to run the five urea factories at full capacity. The factories were already suffering from an inconsistent gas supply before the shutdown.

The suspension of urea output comes at a critical time for farmers planting Boro, the main dry season rice crop, which accounts for more than half of Bangladesh’s annual 40 million tonnes of grain.

Bangladesh requires more than 26 lakh tonnes of urea each year. Around 40 percent is produced locally, while the remainder is imported from Middle Eastern countries including Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Qatar.

Two-thirds of the annual urea demand falls between November and March, mainly for Boro rice cultivation.

Contacted, Md Moniruzzaman, director of production and research at BCIC, said the corporation currently holds 468,000 tonnes of urea in stock, enough to cover demand for the rest of the Boro season.

“So, there will be no shortage of the fertiliser during the current Boro rice cultivation season,” he said.

The BCIC officials said they were asked to keep production shut for 15 days. The closed factories together have a total daily capacity of around 7,100 tonnes. This means more than 1 lakh tonnes of urea production will be affected.

Although the target for fertiliser output in the 2025-26 fiscal year was 10 lakh tonnes, only 550,000 tonnes have been produced in the eight months to February, according to officials.

One of them expressed doubts about meeting the target in the remaining four months.

Engineer Syed Abu Naser Md Saleh, general manager of the engineering services division at Karnaphuli Gas Distribution Company, said that gas supply to the two fertiliser plants has been suspended since Wednesday in line with government instructions.

“Around 70-80 million cubic feet of gas used to be supplied to the two plants,” he said.

Riaz Uddin Ahmed, executive secretary of the Bangladesh Fertiliser Association, said the urea factory closures are unlikely to affect the current Boro season.

Planned imports of non-urea fertiliser for this fiscal year have already been completed, he added.

“So, I see no problem until June-July of this year. We have to be ready for the later months. If the crisis [in the Middle East] lingers, there will be a problem,” he said. “We should start exploring alternative sources to avoid any risk.”

Unilever Consumer Care Limited has recommended a 420% cash dividend for its shareholders for the year ended 31 December 2025, according to a price-sensitive disclosure approved on 5 March.

The company had declared a higher 520% cash dividend for the previous year. The proposed dividend will be placed for approval at the annual general meeting scheduled for 18 May, while the record date to determine eligible shareholders has been fixed for 6 April.

The healthcare and consumer products manufacturer reported improved profitability during the year. Earnings per share rose 19% year-on-year to Tk41.21. However, the net asset value per share declined by 8.30% to Tk116.30.

Despite higher profits, the company posted a negative net operating cash flow per share of Tk21.54, compared to a positive Tk25.62 in the previous year.

In its disclosure, the company said profit growth was mainly driven by strong revenue performance and improved operational efficiency. It also benefited from a one-off gain arising from the reassessment of prior obligations related to technology and trademark royalty payments. Additionally, efficient investment of surplus cash contributed to significantly higher net finance income during the year.

The decline in net asset value per share was attributed to the higher dividend payout in the 2025 financial year compared to the earnings generated during the same period.

Explaining the sharp change in operating cash flow, the company said that although profit increased, net operating cash flow per share dropped significantly due to the settlement of all outstanding Usance Payable at Sight (UPAS) letters of credit during the year, without availing any new UPAS facilities.

As a result, the company experienced a substantial cash outflow during the period compared to the operating profit generated.

UPAS is a widely used trade finance instrument structured as a letter of credit that allows importers to defer payment while exporters receive immediate payment.

Under this arrangement, banks bridge the payment timing gap by financing the transaction, enabling buyers to pay later while ensuring sellers are paid at sight.

Unilever Consumer Care shares closed 0.37% down at Tk2,153 each on Thursday at the Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE).

According to the shareholding report for January, sponsors and directors hold 92.80% shares in the company, while institutional investors have 3.58%, foreign investors have 0.11% and the remaining 3.51% are held by public shareholders.

Deposit growth in banks hit a five-year high at the end of December 2025 -- owing to a gradual recovery in confidence among savers.

Banks in the country recorded Tk 21 lakh crore in savings at the end of last year, which was 11.51 percent higher year-on-year, according to quarterly statistics of scheduled banks published by the Bangladesh Bank (BB).

With this growth, deposits in 61 banks crossed the Tk 20 lakh crore mark, the highest so far.

“It appears that people’s confidence in banks is gradually being restored,” said Md Mahiul Islam, deputy managing director at BRAC Bank.

But not all banks registered an increased flow of savings. The deposit surge is limited to some seven to eight banks, he said.

The BB data showed that private banks, including Islamic banks, accounted for 69.52 percent of the total deposits, followed by state banks and foreign banks.

In 2024, the growth of deposits in the banking sector slowed due to a confidence crisis centring on some banks that suffered from high loan irregularities and faced problems returning money to savers on demand, even though most banks offered high interest on savings.

The BB had to inject funds into those weak banks to help them overcome a liquidity crisis.

A top banker at a private bank said a number of banks still face challenges in attracting savers.

The Bangladesh Bank Quarterly -- another report by the central bank -- said, “A gradual easing of inflationary pressure apparently halted dissaving by households and businesses, leading to strong inflows into time and savings deposits.”

It said the robust expansion of bank deposits reflects increased savings and a higher public propensity to hold financial assets in the formal banking sector.

“This trend was further supported by heightened public confidence in the banking industry, likely resulting from recent political developments that fostered greater stability and trust,” it said.

Despite deposit expansion, banks recorded the slowest growth in loans and advances in 2025 amid muted investment demand from the private sector due to rising interest rates and banks’ cautious lending to avoid a buildup of default loans.

Banks gave Tk 17.77 lakh crore in loans and advances, up 5.6 percent from a year ago.

The BB in its quarterly said advance growth remained steady, reflecting banks’ cautious lending amid high NPLs and tighter monetary policy.

Qazi Saleemul Huq, director of GQ Ball Pen Industries, has announced plans to gift company shares worth Tk10.50 crore to his sister, Shermin Huq, a general shareholder, marking a transfer of ownership within the family.

According to a disclosure filed with the stock exchanges today (5 March), Saleemul Huq – who currently holds 23.44 lakh shares – will transfer 2 lakh shares, representing ar 2.24% stake in the company, as a gift outside the trading system of the exchanges.

The transfer is expected to be completed within 30 working days starting from 3 March.

After eight consecutive years of losses and steadily declining sales, the company's shares have surged significantly in recent months. Despite weak business fundamentals – including low sales and continued losses – the company's market capitalisation has climbed to about Tk474 crore, even though its annual sales are only around Tk2 crore.

According to data from the Dhaka Stock Exchange, GQ Ball Pen's share price closed at Tk525.10 each today.

The company manufactures various types of ballpoint pens and distributes them to stationery shops through its distributor network as well as to institutional buyers through sales personnel.

GQ Ball Pen has a paid-up capital of Tk8.93 crore, divided into 89.28 lakh shares, with about 60% of the shares held by general investors.

China has told its largest oil refiners to suspend exports of diesel and gasoline, Bloomberg News reported Thursday, citing unidentified sources, as the war in the Middle East risks an energy supply crunch.

China is a net importer of oil and is one of several major Asian economies that depend on the vital Strait of Hormuz for energy. Traffic through the strait is currently blocked.

The Middle East was the source of 57 percent of China’s direct seaborne crude imports in 2025, according to analytics firm Kpler.

Officials from China’s top economic planner, the National Development and Reform Commission, met refinery representatives “and verbally called for a temporary suspension of refined product shipments that would begin immediately”, Bloomberg said Thursday, citing unidentified people familiar with the matter.

“The refiners were asked to stop signing new contracts and to negotiate the cancellation of already-agreed shipments,” it said.

A spokesperson for China’s foreign ministry denied knowledge of the suspension when asked about it at a regular news conference.

PetroChina, Sinopec, CNOOC, Sinochem Group and private refiner Zhejiang Petrochemical regularly obtain fuel export quotas from the government, Bloomberg said.

The companies did not respond to AFP’s requests for comment.

Bangladesh’s top economists have suggested forming an inter-ministerial crisis committee to address public panic over the potential economic shock from the Middle East crisis.

They recommended that the committee provide regular briefings to prevent unnecessary alarm. The proposal came during a meeting between the Bangladesh Bank governor and eight leading economists at the central bank headquarters today.

Deputy governors, members of the Monetary Policy Committee, and the chief economist of Bangladesh Bank also attended the meeting.

Md Mostaqur Rahman, the new governor of Bangladesh Bank, convened the discussion in light of the ongoing Middle East crisis.

Central bank officials said the economists advised against using foreign exchange reserves under any circumstances. Since reserves are limited, alternative methods of paying for oil imports must be explored.

“If necessary, agreements should be reached with exporting countries such as Saudi Arabia. Opportunities for deferred payment should be sought, or loans could be taken from the Asian Development Bank or other sources to settle fuel import bills,” they said.

The meeting also emphasized the need to encourage remittances during this period. Incentives may be offered to motivate expatriates to send money through formal channels.

Cutting the policy rate should not be considered at this time, given the current situation.

Among those present were Mustafizur Rahman, distinguished fellow of the Centre for Policy Dialogue (CPD); Fahmida Khatun, executive director of CPD; former chief economist of Bangladesh Bank Mustafa K Mujeri; Mohammad Abdur Razzaque, chairman of Research and Policy Integration for Development (RAPID); Selim Raihan, executive director of the South Asian Network on Economic Modeling (SANEM); Masrur Reaz, chairman of Policy Exchange Bangladesh; AK Enamul Haque, director general of the Bangladesh Institute of Development Studies (BIDS); and Nazmus Sadat Khan, senior economist at the World Bank’s Dhaka office.

The Dhaka Stock Exchange fell for the third day in a row as cautious investors today offloaded shares in response to escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and a volatile global energy market.

The benchmark DSEX index plunged 82 points, or 1.54%, to settle at 5,241, bringing the total losses over the last three sessions to 293 points

Blue-chip stocks were not spared, with the DS30 index dropping 34 points, or 1.65%, to settle at 2,012, while the shariah-based DSES index slipped slightly by 14 points to close at 1,049.

Market breadth remained sharply negative, as 308 issues declined compared to only 52 advancing, with 33 stocks unchanged. Turnover fell 21.13% to Tk459 crore from Tk582 crore in the previous session, while the bourse's total market capitalisation shrank by Tk3,096 crore, settling at Tk6,97,952 crore in a single session.

Market insiders highlighted that the sell-off is closely linked to both international and domestic economic uncertainties. The ongoing Middle East conflict, particularly involving Iran, has driven up global crude oil and LNG prices, creating fears of energy supply disruptions for import-dependent economies like Bangladesh.

The international benchmark Brent crude oil surged from around $70 to $80-$84 per barrel, marking a 10-15% increase, while the Asian LNG benchmark Japan Korea Marker (JKM) jumped from $13-$14/MMBtu to $24-$25/MMBtu, an extraordinary 70-80% rise.

Insiders said these higher energy costs will directly affect Bangladesh by increasing fuel import bills, raising electricity generation costs, and potentially forcing the government to adjust tariffs or increase subsidies.

Against this backdrop of uncertainty, investors opted for caution, triggering broad-based selling. Analysts warned that continued geopolitical developments and fluctuations in global energy markets could prolong market volatility in the coming sessions.

Among the top gainers, International Leasing and Financial Services Limited led with a 10% rise, followed by FAS Finance & Investment Limited and Fareast Finance & Investment Limited, each up 9.09%. On the losing side, First Finance Limited suffered the biggest drop at 10%, followed by Prime Finance & Investment Limited, down 8%, and ICB Islamic Bank Limited, which fell 7.89%.

Trading activity remained concentrated in a few high-volume stocks, with Orion Infusion, City Bank, and Khan Brothers PP Woven Bag Industries emerging as the most actively traded shares, demonstrating significant participation by large investors despite overall market weakness.

All major large-cap sectors recorded losses, highlighting widespread selling pressure. Food & Allied was the worst performer, down 2.44%, followed by Banking at 2.36%, and Non-Bank Financial Institutions at 2.29%. Other sectors also declined: Engineering fell 1.36%, Fuel & Power down 1.20%, Pharmaceuticals dropped 0.99%, and Telecommunication slipped 0.23%. Block trades contributed 4.7% of total turnover, reflecting ongoing institutional participation.

The Chittagong Stock Exchange also ended lower, with the CASPI index falling 192 points to 14,825, while the CSCX index declined 115 points to 9,061, signalling negative sentiment across both major bourses.

The auditor of National Feed Mills, a listed company on the stock exchanges, has flagged several non-compliances, including understated purchases, overstated profits, lower reported finance expenses, unpaid workers' participation fund contributions, and a deficit in the unclaimed dividend account.

The auditor's qualified opinion for the year ended 30 June was published on the stock exchanges' website on Thursday (5 March).

The auditor pointed out that National Feed Mills reported Tk7.83 crore in material purchases, while its VAT return showed Tk10 crore.

The auditor's report said there is a possibility that the company's management understated purchases by Tk2.26 crore and overstated the net profit for the year, which could significantly affect the company's earnings per share (EPS).

"Also, we did not find a ledger, vouchers or other supporting evidence for material purchases during the year," the auditor said.

The audit report also said National Feed reported Tk4.40 crore as interest charges in the statement of financial position and Tk2.44 crore as financial expenses for interest on term loans.

"Therefore, the management of the company understated financial expenses by Tk1.96 crore and overstated profit, which could significantly affect EPS," it said.

Moreover, the auditor said it did not find the interest expense ledger, the loan statement of Tk25.78 crore from Bank Asia, or supporting evidence of loan repayment or adjustment amounting to Tk1.96 crore during the period.

The company has Tk2.48 crore in the workers' profit participation fund, but the amount has remained unpaid for several years.

Deficit in unclaimed dividend account

According to the auditor, the company showed Tk3.15 lakh in the unclaimed dividend account, which has remained unclaimed for more than three years.

The fund is supposed to be transferred to the Capital Market Stabilisation Fund (CMSF), but the company's management did not transfer the amount to the fund.

The auditor said the closing balance in the unclaimed dividend account was Tk77,020. Therefore, there is a shortage of Tk2.38 lakh in the dividend bank account.

Inventory items unverified

In its financial statement, National Feed reported Tk55.31 crore in inventory at the end of June 2025.

The auditor said it did not find a slow-moving items list, a damaged items list, a net realisable value (NRV) test, an inventory valuation report, counting sheets, or other supporting evidence.

The NRV test is an accounting procedure used to ensure inventory is not overstated on the balance sheet and is valued at the lower of cost or market value.

"No physical inventory verification was conducted by us due to management unawareness," the auditor said.

When asked about the non-compliances in the financial statements, Md Jahidul Islam, acting company secretary of National Feed Mills, declined to comment and asked to be contacted next Sunday.

Gold rose on Friday after softer US payrolls data kept hopes of a Federal ‌Reserve rate cut alive, but remained on track for its first weekly decline in five weeks as a stronger dollar kept gains in check.

Spot gold was up 1.4 percent at $5,149.14 per ounce as of 01:31 p.m. ET (1831 GMT), ​but was down 2.4 percent this week. US gold futures for April delivery settled 1.6 percent higher at $5,158.70.

“An alarmingly ​weak payrolls report that saw heavy private sector job losses along with higher wages whispers stagflation; let’s see if this is enough to help gold recover from what ​has been a disappointing week,” said Tai Wong, an independent metals trader.

Data showed that nonfarm payrolls decreased ​by 92,000 jobs last month, compared with economists’ expectations for a 59,000 gain, while the unemployment rate rose to 4.4 percent.

Kuwait said it had implemented a ​precautionary reduction in crude ‌oil production and refining throughput following the ​ongoing attacks by ​Iran against Kuwait and "Iranian threats ⁠to safe passage ​of ships through the ​Strait of Hormuz," Kuwait Petroleum Corporation (KPC) said in a ​statement on Saturday.

The ​state oil company said the ‌move ⁠was part of its "risk management and business continuity strategy."

It said ​the adjustment ​was ⁠strictly precautionary and would be ​reviewed as the ​situation ⁠develops, and it remained ready to restore ⁠production ​levels once conditions ​allow.

A shortage of edible oil has emerged in several markets across the capital, as consumers rush to collect more than demand fearing a price hike due to the ongoing war between the US, Israel and Iran.

Some grocery stores still have one-litre and two-litre bottles on their shelves; five-litre bottles have almost disappeared from many markets.

Retailers said supply from companies has declined over the past week, leaving them unable to stock larger bottles. However, major producers deny reducing deliveries and instead blame stockpiling at the dealer level for the shortage.

A visit to Meradia Bazaar and nearby shops in South Banasree yesterday (7 March) revealed that no five-litre bottles of soybean oil were available. Even at the Shwapno outlet in the area, shoppers could not find any soybean oil.

A Shwapno salesperson said the stock ran out quickly. "Every customer who came in the morning bought a bottle. Now we have none left."

The same situation prevailed at the Agora outlet in the area, as there were no five-litre bottles available, and only a few two-litre bottles of Fresh brand soybean oil remained. To ensure more customers could purchase the product, staff members allowed each buyer to take only one bottle.

Most shops had no soybean oil in Badda and Shahjadpur, while a few larger stores managed to keep three or four bottles of two-litre packs on display.

Shahjadpur shopkeeper Md Saiful Islam said companies rarely deliver five-litre bottles and only occasionally supply two-litre ones, citing the shortage of oil.

Another seller, Ilias Hossain, said his shop had not received any oil deliveries for two weeks.

When contacted, Taslim Shahriar, deputy general manager of Meghna Group, which produces Fresh brand soybean oil, said they supplied large volumes in January and February.

"We have imported additional oil to ensure stable supply during Ramadan. More than 50,000 tonnes are being distributed every month, so there should be no crisis," he said.

Echoing Taslim, City Group Executive Director Biswajit Saha said they have not reduced supply, though some smaller companies may be struggling to import oil due to complications with letters of credit.

The crisis was created due to increased demand in Ramadan and stockpiling by some consumers and traders, he added.

Prime Minister Tarique Rahman today (7 March) said the government has taken steps to make the zakat management system more effective and targeted, noting that zakat can play an important role in poverty alleviation if it is distributed in a planned and organised way.

"Zakat is one of the five pillars of Islam. I would like to share with you a plan regarding zakat management in the country. According to Islamic teachings, many wealthy people in our society pay zakat on their own initiative. Some also pay their zakat through the government's Zakat Board," he said.

If zakat is distributed in a planned and organised manner can make a significant contribution to reducing poverty, the prime minister said at an iftar mahfil hosted for ulema, Islamic scholars and orphans at State Guest House, Jamuna.

"In this context, the government has taken steps to make zakat management more effective and target-oriented," he said.

The prime minister mentioned that various research reports suggest the amount of zakat collected in Bangladesh exceeds Tk20,000 to Tk25,000 crore every year and some estimates put the figure even higher.

However, he said the absence of a planned and organised distribution system means that although wealthy individuals fulfil their zakat obligation, questions remain about how effectively the funds help reduce poverty.

"As far as I know, Islamic teachings encourage zakat to be distributed in such a way that a recipient may not need to receive zakat again the following year after receiving it once," the Prime Minister observed.

He said there are currently around four crore families in the country, both rich and poor.

If poor and extremely poor families are identified and five lakh families are given Tk1 lakh each in zakat every year in phases, most of those families may not need to receive zakat again the following year, Tarique Rahman said.

"If zakat is distributed in a targeted and well-planned manner, it could play an effective role in poverty alleviation in the country within 10 to 15 years through zakat management alone," he added.

The prime minister said if the idea of zakat management for poverty alleviation is considered logical, ulema and religious scholars can play the biggest role in raising awareness among wealthy people.

He also said the existing Zakat Board under the Ministry of Religious Affairs can be reorganised with leading Islamic scholars, religious experts and government officials to work more effectively for poverty alleviation through zakat management.

"By using zakat for poverty alleviation, there is an opportunity to present Bangladesh as a model in the Islamic world," the prime minister said.

The benchmark index of the Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) extended its losing streak last week as escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East rattled investor confidence and triggered broad-based selling.

The DSEX shed 359 points, or 6.42%, to close the week at 5,240. The blue-chip DS30 index fell further, losing 157 points, or 7.28%, to settle at 2,011.

Market participation also weakened during the week. Average daily turnover declined 4% to Tk696 crore, reflecting cautious trading as investors avoided large bets amid rising uncertainty. The bearish sentiment wiped out about Tk20,400 crore from the market capitalisation of listed companies.

The majority of listed securities ended the week in the red. A total of 325 issues declined, while only 59 advanced and eight remained unchanged.

Analysts say the market may remain volatile in the near term as investors closely monitor developments in global energy markets and geopolitical tensions.

According to the weekly market review by EBL Securities Limited, the capital market faced strong bearish sentiment as investors worried about the possible macroeconomic impact of tensions in the Middle East. The brokerage noted that market participants were particularly concerned about potential disruptions to fuel and power supply in Bangladesh if the conflict escalates further.

The review added that the market remained under sustained downward pressure throughout the week in the absence of any clear signs of stability in the Gulf region. The uncertainty prompted aggressive selling across sectors, ultimately snapping the benchmark index's six-week upward streak.

Despite the negative trend, investors remained relatively active in a few sectors. The banking sector accounted for the largest share of turnover at 24%, followed by pharmaceuticals with 15.3% and textiles with 8.5%.

Among individual stocks, Orion Infusion, City Bank, Khan Brothers PP Woven Bag, BRAC Bank and Robi dominated the turnover chart during the week, reflecting concentrated trading in a handful of issues.

Sectoral performance, however, remained largely dismal. The food sector recorded the steepest decline with an average loss of 11.5%, followed by life insurance, which fell 9.1%, and cement, which dropped 8.9%.

A few stocks managed to post strong gains despite the overall downturn. Premier Leasing emerged as the top gainer with a 44.44% rise, while Fareast Finance and FAS Finance both advanced 41.18%.

On the losing side, Rahima Food suffered the sharpest fall, declining 23.90%. Pragati Life Insurance dropped 19.86%, while BAT Bangladesh lost 17.35% during the week.

Electricity from Bangladesh's long-awaited Rooppur Nuclear Power Plant could begin flowing into the national grid by June or early July as the authorities prepare to start loading nuclear fuel into the plant's first unit early next month.

According to project officials, preparations are underway to begin fuel loading in the first week of April. Testing and synchronisation are then expected to continue through May and June, potentially allowing the first unit to start supplying electricity to the national grid by June or July.

Initially, the plant will provide electricity on a trial basis and at irregular intervals. Gradually, the facility will move towards full-scale generation.

Project officials told The Business Standard that the first unit is expected to be ready for fuel loading by the end of March. A fuel-loading ceremony will be organised and is expected to involve senior officials from Bangladesh and Russia.

Countries generating the most electricity from nuclear power

Prime Minister Tarique Rahman is expected to inaugurate the process, while a Russian minister and other senior officials may also be present.

The head of the International Atomic Energy Agency, Rafael Grossi, is expected to attend the ceremony. Russian President Vladimir Putin may also join the event virtually, officials said.

Due to the involvement of high-level officials from both Bangladesh and Russia, the exact date for fuel loading will be finalised through mutual consultation between the two governments, they added.

Testing and synchronisation

Officials said if fuel loading begins in early April, the process of loading nuclear fuel into the first unit could be completed within about a month. After that, the reactor will go through several stages, including achieving "criticality", technical tests, and synchronisation with the national grid.

Md Anwar Hossain, secretary of the Ministry of Science and Technology, said the first unit would be fully ready for fuel loading by 27 March.

"There are some formalities to complete. Because foreign guests will attend, the schedule must be coordinated. The prime minister will formally inaugurate the fuel loading," he told The Business Standard.

However, he noted that the current global conflict situation may create some uncertainty. "Travel for guests and technical testing could face difficulties," he said.

Rooppur Nuclear Power Plant: How far along is Bangladesh’s biggest energy project?

Explaining the timeline for power generation, Anwar said fuel loading would take around four weeks, followed by several more weeks of testing and synchronisation with the grid.

"In total, it may take two and a half to three months after fuel loading before electricity can be supplied to the national grid. We hope the plant will connect to the grid in the last week of June or the first week of July," he said.

He added that the timeline could still change because of the technical nature of the process. Delays may occur if Russian technical experts cannot arrive on time or if supply chain disruptions arise due to the ongoing war.

Officials said that out of more than 2,000 tests required for the project, around 150 minor tests are still ongoing in parallel. Most of these are expected to be completed by March, while a few remaining tests can be carried out during the fuel-loading phase.

Gradual rise in generation

Project officials said the first unit will initially produce around 300 megawatts of electricity. Output is expected to increase by 10% to 15% each month.

By November, the first unit could generate about 1,100 megawatts of electricity. After the physical start-up, it may take around eight to ten months to reach the full capacity of 1,200 megawatts.

They also said plans are in place to begin fuel loading in the second unit toward the end of this year, allowing it to start power generation as well.

Dr Md Zahedul Hassan, managing director of Nuclear Power Plant Company Bangladesh Limited, said key tests such as the "hot run" and "cold run" for the first unit had already been successfully completed.

"The project is now in the final inspection stage. From a safety perspective, no major problems have been found so far," he said.

Rooppur nuclear plant project cost to rise by Tk26,181cr after exchange rate adjustment

He added that the entire process is highly sensitive and technology-driven. Each stage is being examined according to international standards, and additional tests may be conducted if necessary to ensure safety and quality.

Officials stressed that safety remains the highest priority.

"This is a major milestone for the country. However, safety comes first. In nuclear projects, the final inspection, safety clearance and official approvals determine the timeline," an official said.

Officials further noted that extra time had previously been taken during several testing phases due to safety concerns, which could also affect the production schedule.

Delays and rising costs

The Rooppur Nuclear Power Plant project has faced several delays over the years. In January, then science and technology adviser Salehuddin Ahmed said the first unit could be connected to the national grid by March, following fuel loading.

However, additional safety tests extended the timeline, preventing the plant from beginning electricity production that month.

The project, being built under an intergovernmental agreement between Bangladesh and Russia, was first launched in October 2013 when the then prime minister laid its foundation stone. Construction of the reactor and cooling dome of the first unit began in November 2017.

Initially, one unit was expected to start production in early 2021, but delays caused by the Covid-19 pandemic, the Russia-Ukraine war, and other complications pushed back the timeline.

Loan tenure for Rooppur plant extended

In December 2015, the Bangladesh Atomic Energy Commission signed a contract with Russian state company Atomstroyexport for the construction of two nuclear units with a combined capacity of 2,400 megawatts, along with equipment supply, training, and fuel provision.

In March last year, the Executive Committee of the National Economic Council approved a revised proposal increasing the project cost by Tk25,592 crore.

The project's original cost was Tk113,092.91 crore, but after the revision, it rose to Tk138,685 crore, largely due to exchange rate fluctuations and higher costs in several components.

Officials said the Covid-19 pandemic, the Russia-Ukraine conflict, and the dollar shortage have all affected the project's progress. Following the 90th joint coordination meeting between Bangladesh and Russia on 3 June 2025, the project timeline was extended.

Under the revised development project proposal, the overall completion deadline has now been set for June 2028, with the preliminary handover of the second unit expected by 31 December 2027.

Bangladesh Bank Governor Md Mostaqur Rahman has assured that the withdrawal of the central bank-appointed administrator from Nagad will be a seamless process, explicitly ruling out the possibility of any unauthorised or "overnight" takeover of the mobile financial service provider.

The assurance came today (4 March) after the administrator team of Nagad briefed the governor on the company's current status, according to a senior official of Bangladesh Bank.

At present, Md Motasem Billah, a director of Bangladesh Bank, is serving as administrator at Nagad.

Central bank spokesperson Arief Hossain Khan told TBS that a special inspection at Nagad had uncovered extensive irregularities, while members of the previous board remain absent. He reiterated that the institution is owned by the Department of Posts.

"Nagad has not yet received a full licence from the Bangladesh Bank and is operating under an interim approval. We appointed an administrator because transactions involving nearly 4-5 crore customers are linked to this institution," he said.

The spokesperson alleged that parties outside the Department of Posts who previously held ownership stakes had engaged in such significant irregularities that, if the company were valued today, their net assets would be deeply negative. "There is no scope for them to return," he added.

Search for foreign investors

In August last year, former governor Ahsan H Mansur had said at an event in Dhaka that the government had decided to transfer Nagad to the private sector.

Subsequently, during the final phase of the interim government, Jamaat-e-Islami MP Barrister Mir Ahmad Bin Quasem Arman expressed interest on behalf of a foreign entity in investing in Nagad.

At the time, it was stated that if any credible foreign investor showed interest, necessary steps would be taken in coordination with the government.

Under the current governor, a fresh meeting was held today with Nagad's administrators to review the institution's position.

Forensic findings

Following the fall of the Awami League government on 5 August 2024, the Bangladesh Bank had decided on 21 August to appoint an administrator to oversee Nagad. The following day, central bank director Muhammad Badiuzzaman Dider was appointed administrator, alongside six supporting officials.

A subsequent inspection by the central bank found evidence of financial fraud through the creation of fictitious distributors and agents, as well as the issuance of excess electronic money without corresponding cash backing. The inspection identified discrepancies amounting to Tk2,356 crore.

The administrator at the time prepared a list of six officials allegedly responsible for creating unauthorised distributors and forwarded it to the Department of Posts for legal action. Letters were also sent seeking action against individuals involved in Nagad's operations.

The administrator team further informed the postal authorities that Tk1,711 crore had been siphoned off through 41 distributor accounts opened without approval. These accounts were reportedly designated for the distribution of government allowances.

In June last year, the Bangladesh Bank stated in a press release that Nagad had issued at least Tk645 crore in electronic money without depositing equivalent funds, causing financial losses to the Department of Posts and, by extension, the government.

Under the Bangladesh Bank Order, 1972, the sole authority to issue money on behalf of the state rests with the central bank.

The spokesperson said an internationally reputed audit firm KPMG has been engaged to complete a full forensic audit of Nagad. The findings of the international firm have reportedly corroborated the irregularities detected by the central bank's inspection team.

Following 5 August 2024, the chief executive officer Tanvir Ahmed ceased attending office. Executive directors Niaz Morshed (Elite) and Maruful Islam (Jhalak), deputy chief marketing officer Khandaker Mohammad Solaiman (Solaiman Sukhan), and human resources official Anik Barua were also absent.

After the administrator assumed charge on 21 August, they were dismissed. Several of the dismissed individuals were linked to ownership of Nagad.

Oil prices rose 1% on Wednesday as the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran disrupted Middle East supplies, but the pace of gains slowed from ‌past sessions after President Donald Trump raised the possibility of the U.S. Navy escorting vessels through the Strait of Hormuz.

Brent rose $1.17, or 1.4%, to $82.57 a barrel by 0408 GMT, after closing at its highest since January 2025 on Tuesday.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude rose 72 cents, or 1%, to $75.28, after settling at its highest since June. Both rose by around 5% or more in the past two sessions.

"Right now, geopolitics has clearly overtaken the usual price ⁠drivers like inventory data, U.S. economic numbers or OPEC commentary," Phillip Nova senior market analyst Priyanka Sachdeva said.

"In the near term, the key pointers to watch are physical export data from the Gulf, any confirmed tanker incidents, U.S. naval movement, and Iran's tone," she added.

Israeli and U.S. forces struck targets across Iran on Tuesday, prompting Iranian strikes against energy infrastructure in a region that accounts for just under a third of global oil production.

Iraq, the second-largest crude producer in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, has cut output by nearly 1.5 million barrels a day, about half its production, due to storage limits and the lack of an export route, officials told Reuters. They said the country may have to shut its nearly ‌3 ⁠million bpd of output within days if exports do not resume.

Iran has also targeted tankers in the Strait of Hormuz, through which about a fifth of the world's oil and liquefied natural gas flows. Traffic through the Strait remains effectively closed.

Trump has said that the U.S. Navy could begin escorting oil tankers through the Strait of Hormuz if necessary, adding he had ordered the U.S. International Development Finance ⁠Corporation to provide political risk insurance and financial guarantees for maritime trade in the Gulf.

"The promise of such guarantees comes as insurers are cancelling war risk coverage for vessels moving through the Strait of Hormuz. This is welcome news, but clearly it won't happen overnight. ⁠Naval escorts would be helpful, but again, this effort will take time," ING analysts said in a note.

Countries and companies have begun seeking alternative routes and supplies. India and Indonesia said they were looking for other energy supplies, while some Chinese ⁠refineries were shutting or moving up maintenance plans.

In the United States, crude stocks rose by 5.6 million barrels last week, according to market sources citing American Petroleum Institute figures, well above the 2.3 million barrels analysts projected. Official figures from the U.S. government are expected later on Wednesday.

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said Wednesday that Donald Trump’s 15-percent global tariff is likely to be rolled out this week, as the president moves to rebuild his trade agenda after a major legal setback.

The Supreme Court last month struck down Trump’s country-specific tariffs, which he imposed on allies and competitors alike, delivering a stinging rebuke of his signature economic policy.

Since then, the US leader has tapped a different law to impose a new 10-percent duty, and vowed to raise this level to 15 percent.

Asked when the hike will be implemented, Bessent told CNBC: “That’s likely sometime this week.”

He added that this will be done under Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974 -- the same basis for Trump’s new 10-percent tariff -- which only allows for a duty lasting 150 days unless Congress extends it.

During this five-month window, the Trump administration will move to wrap up investigations linked to concerns over national security and unfair trade, Bessent said. These probe, in turn, could bring about new sets of tariffs.

“It’s my strong belief that the tariff rates will be back to their old rate within five months,” Bessent said.

“And those are very fulsome authorities,” he added, referring to the laws justifying these investigations.

“They have survived more than 4,000 legal challenges. They are more slow moving, but they are more robust,” Bessent said.

Gold prices rose over 1 percent on ‌Wednesday, rebounding from a more than one-week low hit in the previous session, as a widening Middle East conflict sent global markets tumbling and supported safe-haven demand.

Spot gold gained 1.5 percent to $5,164.42 ​per ounce by 0701 GMT. US gold futures for April delivery ​added 1 percent to $5,174.30.

On Tuesday, bullion fell more than 4 percent to its lowest since February 20, weighed by a firmer dollar and dimming rate-cut prospects ​as inflation concerns were intensified by fears of a prolonged war.

Gold could shrug ​off the previous session’s selloff over the coming days as the metal has swayed to its own narrative and has been resilient despite whatever the dollar and yields have been ​doing since the beginning of last year, said Ilya Spivak, head of global ​macro at Tastylive.

Oil and gas prices surged as the US-Israeli war on Iran halted energy exports ‌from the Middle East, with Tehran attacking ships and energy facilities, closing navigation in the Gulf and forcing production stoppages from Qatar to Iraq.

“Higher oil prices as a result of escalating geopolitical tensions in Iran added to inflationary concerns and complicated ​the outlook for ​monetary easing,” said Christopher Wong, a strategist at OCBC.

“The underlying fundamentals (for gold) have not materially shifted. Structural drivers such as geopolitical uncertainty, policy ​unpredictability and portfolio diversification needs remain intact,” Wong added.

Investors ​expect the US Federal Reserve to hold rates at the end of its next two-day meeting on March 18, according to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool.

After several rounds of rises, gold prices in Bangladesh fell, with the rate of 22-carat gold dropping by Tk9,214 per bhori.

The new rate sets the price of 22-carat gold at Tk2,68,214 per bhori (11.664 grams), according to a statement issued this morning (4 March) by the Bangladesh Jewellers Association (Bajus).

Bajus said the decision was taken considering the overall market situation, particularly a decline in the price of pure gold (tejabi gold) in the local market.

The revised rates have come into effect immediately.
Gold prices hiked by Tk3,324 per bhori

Under the new pricing structure, 21-carat gold now costs Tk2,56,025 per bhori while 18-carat gold is priced at Tk2,19,258 per bhori.

The price of traditional-method gold has been set at Tk1,79,159 per bhori.

The last adjustment was made on 3 March, when Bajus increased the price of 22-carat gold by Tk3,324 per bhori to Tk2,77,428.

So far in 2026, gold prices have been adjusted 37 times in the domestic market, with rates increased 24 times and reduced 13 times.

Alongside gold, silver prices have also been reduced.

The price of 22-carat silver has been cut by Tk641 per bhori to Tk6,532.

The price of 21-carat silver now stands at Tk6,240 per bhori, 18-carat silver at Tk5,365 per bhori, and traditional-method silver at Tk4,024 per bhori.

In 2026, silver prices have been adjusted 22 times so far, including 14 increases and eight reductions.