The government has raised Tk 42,400 crore through sukuk, a shariah-compliant investment instrument akin to bonds, since its launch in December 2020.

The latest auction for raising Tk 5,900 crore through sukuk received bids worth Tk 72,598 crore from banks, finance companies, and individuals.

Issued to finance the construction of bridges to connect rural roads, the latest initiative’s subscription amount was 12 times the face value of the bond, reflecting strong investor interest.

The Bangladesh Bank (BB) auctions the sukuk on behalf of the government.

Issued to finance the construction of bridges to connect rural roads, the latest initiative’s subscription amount was 12 times the face value of the bond, reflecting strong investor interest

Of the Tk 42,400 crore, some Tk 32,400 crore was issued through public auction, while Tk 10,000 crore was issued through private placement to Sammilito Islami Bank, which was launched in December last year.

“Such a high response ultimately shows that there is demand for shariah-based investment options in the market,” said Istequemal Hussain, director at the Debt Management Department of BB.

The two main reasons behind the strong interest in this sukuk are that it is government-backed and that many people lack confidence in shariah-based banks, he said.

On Wednesday, the BB allotted the seven-year tenure sukuk bond in favour of investors -- Islamic banks, finance companies, Islamic windows of conventional banks, individual investors and various provident funds -- at a fixed proportionate rate.

Hussain said they have plans to raise Tk 10,000 crore more by June in fiscal year 2025-26, through both short-term and long-term bonds.

Of the sukuk bonds issued so far, none has matured. The BB official said their maturity period had been extended earlier.

Finance Minister Amir Khosru Mahmud Chowdhury has said Bangladesh's economy may take around two years to recover from recent financial pressures, citing an additional Tk40,000 crore spent on the oil and gas sector due to the Middle East war and nearly Tk50,000 crore in outstanding dues from previous governments in the power and energy sectors.

Speaking as the chief guest at a ceremony for the foundation stone laying of a new building at Chattogram Maa-O-Shishu Medical College Hospital this morning (16 May), he said healthcare is a fundamental right of every citizen and the government is now focusing on preventive and primary healthcare. 

Khosru, also the planning minister, added that initiatives are being taken to coordinate with private hospitals so that poor people can access better treatment.

He said the government is considering a plan to send poor patients to private hospitals and bear their treatment costs due to the limitations of public hospitals. 

He mentioned that the health budget will be increased, but stressed that proper use of allocations must be ensured.

The minister alleged that although substantial allocations were made to the health sector in the past, a large portion was wasted through corruption. Ordinary people did not receive the expected healthcare services, he added.

Despite limitations, he said, the government will continue supporting educational and healthcare institutions that are performing well.

The minister also expressed concern over the design of the new medical college building, saying parking space for only 72 vehicles will be insufficient for such a large institution and could create severe traffic congestion in the future. 

He suggested keeping parking facilities for at least 200 to 250 vehicles, including additional basements if necessary.

He also stressed modernising medical education through digital libraries, multimedia classrooms, sports facilities and quality canteen services.

Highlighting a shortage of medical technologists in the country, he said costly medical equipment remains unused due to a lack of skilled personnel and called for separate institutes for medical technologists.

The government has decided to begin phased implementation of a new pay structure for public sector employees from this July, according to officials familiar with the matter.

The decision was taken by Prime Minister Tarique Rahman during a high-level meeting with senior officials of the Finance Ministry on the upcoming national budget held last Wednesday, sources told TBS.

A senior finance ministry official, speaking on condition of anonymity, said today that the prime minister has approved the rollout of the new pay scale from the first day of the 2026-27 fiscal year. "There is no uncertainty. We will start receiving salaries under the new structure from July."

He added that the implementation, however, will be carried out in phases, although the exact proportion of the revised salary to be disbursed from July has not yet been finalised.

Officials said the full pay structure may be implemented over three fiscal years. Under the proposed plan, 50% of the increased basic salary could be introduced in the 2026-27 fiscal year, starting 1 July, with the remaining 50% in 2027-28. Allowances may be incorporated in 2028-29.

Also read: Govt employees to get paid under new pay scale from early next year

The phased approach is expected to ease pressure from inflation while also making fiscal management more manageable for the government.

Finance ministry officials said over Tk30,000 crore is being allocated in the next fiscal budget to cover the initial 50% increase in basic pay. In the current fiscal year, around Tk85,000 crore has been allocated for salaries and allowances of nearly 1.5 million government employees.

Accordingly, the draft budget speech prepared by Finance Minister Amir Khosru Mahmud Chowdhury reportedly includes provisions for a gradual implementation of the new pay structure. Officials said that when the finance ministry presented the implementation plan and funding strategy before the prime minister, she approved it and directed that it be made effective from July.

The interim government led by Prof Muhammad Yunus formed a National Pay Commission last year, which submitted its report to the government on 22 January. The commission recommended raising salaries and benefits of government employees by 100% to 147%, depending on grade.

Under the proposed structure, the minimum basic pay for 20th-grade employees would increase from Tk8,250 to Tk20,000, while the highest grade would rise from Tk78,000 to Tk160,000. The proposal also includes higher allowances and improved pension benefits.

The commission estimated that implementing the new pay structure for active employees would require about Tk106,000 crore, with an additional Tk25,000 crore needed for pensioners.

Given the government's revenue situation and broader macroeconomic constraints, the commission recommended a phased rollout of the revised pay structure.

European countries have entered negotiations with Iran's Revolutionary Guards navy to secure transit for their ships through the Strait of Hormuz, according to Iranian state media, following Tehran's decision to permit passage for dozens of vessels from East Asian nations that agreed to newly imposed Iranian shipping rules.

Iran has largely restricted shipping through the strategic waterway since the outbreak of war with the United States and Israel on 28 February, 2026. Although a fragile ceasefire has been in place since 8 April, the United States has continued a naval blockade on Iranian ports, says CNA.

The Strait of Hormuz, which handles roughly one-fifth of global oil and liquefied natural gas shipments during peacetime, remains a critical artery for global energy trade. The disruption has unsettled international markets and increased Tehran's leverage over maritime traffic in the region.

Iranian officials have said commercial traffic through the strait will not return to pre-war arrangements. Tehran has already begun collecting revenue from newly introduced tolls imposed on vessels using the route.

Ebrahim Azizi, head of the Iranian parliament's national security commission, said a "professional mechanism" for managing maritime traffic would be announced soon. According to Iranian officials, the system would apply only to commercial vessels and parties that "cooperate with Iran", and would involve charges for what Tehran described as "specialised services."

Iranian authorities also said the route would remain closed to operators involved in the "freedom project", a temporary US military operation established to guide stranded commercial ships through the strait.

Iranian state media confirmed that talks were underway with European countries regarding shipping access, but did not identify the nations involved.

China and the United States agreed to continue implementing "all" agreements previously reached and to establish councils for trade and investment, Beijing's top diplomat said in a statement on Friday.

It comes after a two-day summit between Chinese President Xi Jinping and his US counterpart Donald Trump discussed a spate of thorny issues dividing the world's two largest economies from trade to the Middle East, as they met in Beijing where the US leader was feted with a temple tour and tea.
Trump touted "fantastic trade deals", announcing in interviews Chinese purchases of American soybeans and jets, but there have been no official announcements or details from either side.

After Trump's departure from China, Xi accepted an invitation from his US counterpart on Friday to visit the United States in autumn.

"The delegations of the two countries reached overall positive results, including continuing to implement all consensus reached in previous consultations (and) agreeing to establish a trade council and an investment council," Wang Yi said, according to a statement from the Chinese foreign ministry.

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said in an interview with CNBC on Thursday the countries were in talks to establish a bilateral "board of trade" and "board of investment".

The two countries also agreed to "address each other's concerns regarding market access for agricultural products and promote expanding two-way trade within a framework of reciprocal tariff reductions", Wang said.

China and the US are in the middle of a year-long trade truce reached in October, where both sides agreed to slash tariffs on each other's goods that had exceeded 100 percent.

High inflation is cutting deep into consumer spending, leaving Bangladesh's service-sector businesses struggling with falling sales and rising costs, according to an economic index released by the Dhaka Chamber of Commerce and Industry (DCCI).

The country's inflation rose to 9.04% in April from 8.71% in March, according to the Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (BBS).

The chamber's Economic Position Index (EPI) found that consumers have sharply reduced spending as the cost of living continues to rise, putting pressure on retailers, transport operators and other service providers.

Businesses surveyed for the report said weak demand has become one of their biggest concerns.

"Inflation has cornered consumers and weakened purchasing power," said AKM Asaduzzaman Patwary, acting secretary general of the DCCI, while presenting the report at a seminar organised by the chamber today.

According to the report, higher rents, utility bills and fuel prices are eating away at already thin profit margins.

Small and medium-sized enterprises are feeling the pressure most as they struggle to manage higher operating expenses without losing customers.

Businesses also cited difficulties in obtaining bank loans, while delays in licensing and other regulatory procedures are adding to costs.

The report identified a shortage of skilled workers, particularly in technical and customer service roles, as another challenge for the sector.

The DCCI introduced the quarterly index to track changes in business conditions more closely than traditional economic indicators.

Patwary said official data often fails to capture the real situation businesses face because it is published long after conditions have changed.

“There is no proper metric that can effectively reflect the periodic health of the private sector,” he said.

The country's premier bourse witnessed a fluctuating trading week, as the benchmark index managed to edge higher and snap a persistent losing streak, supported by mid-week bargain hunting.

Although the broad index posted marginal gains, the market remained defined by a tug-of-war between cautious investor sentiment and opportunistic buying.

The benchmark DSEX of the Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) rose by 11 points to settle at 5,245. However, the blue-chip DS30 index moved in the opposite direction, shedding 19 points to close the week at 1,981, reflecting continued pressure on large-cap stocks.

Market participation showed signs of resilience, with average daily turnover increasing 6% to Tk879 crore.

According to a weekly market review by EBL Securities, trading lacked a clear directional catalyst, leaving investors to navigate persistent uncertainty.

The week began on a weak note, extending the previous losing streak across the first two sessions amid broad-based selling pressure. Investors largely stayed on the sidelines, closely tracking domestic policy signals and geopolitical developments, including ceasefire negotiations in the Middle East.

Amid the cautious environment, trading activity was largely concentrated in small-cap and momentum-driven stocks. Mutual funds also saw notable interest following recent sector-specific regulatory directives, the report noted.

In contrast, blue-chip counters remained under pressure for most of the week as institutional selling continued. However, sentiment improved from the third session onward, as bargain hunters accumulated oversold large-cap stocks after five consecutive sessions of decline. The recovery was further supported by quarterly earnings disclosures and expectations of potential policy changes, EBL Securities added.

Sector-wise, general insurance dominated turnover, accounting for 13.7%, followed by engineering and textile sectors.

Weekly returns remained mixed. The jute sector led gainers with a 6% rise, followed by information technology (4.5%) and financial institutions (4%). On the other hand, services recorded the steepest decline at 2%, while cement and telecommunications also ended lower.

Among individual stocks, RD Food emerged as the week's top gainer, surging 35.6%. VFS Thread, Apex Tannery, and Meghna Pet also posted strong gains.

Conversely, non-bank financial institutions dominated the losers' list, with International Leasing, Peoples Leasing, and FAS Finance each falling 18.2%.

In terms of liquidity, Monno Ceramic, Dominage Steel, and NCC Bank were among the most actively traded stocks.

By week's end, market breadth remained positive, with 205 issues advancing against 145 declines, though analysts said overall sentiment remained cautiously positioned

Techno Drugs Limited has decided to issue a coupon-bearing bond worth Tk50 crore to restructure its high-cost bank loans, as the pharmaceutical company faces declining profits alongside a sharp rise in long-term debt.

The decision was approved at the company's board meeting held on Thursday.

According to a price-sensitive disclosure, the proposed five-year bond will be structured as 25% redeemable and 75% convertible. The initiative is subject to approval from shareholders at an extraordinary general meeting (EGM) scheduled for 24 June, as well as clearance from the Bangladesh Securities and Exchange Commission (BSEC). MTB Capital Limited has been appointed as issue manager and arranger.

Company Secretary SM Abu Talha Siddik told The Business Standard that the primary objective of the bond is to manage the company's high-cost bank liabilities more efficiently.

The move comes at a sensitive time for the drugmaker, as One Bank PLC has recently filed a case in the Money Loan Court against the company and its directors to recover defaulted loans worth around Tk150 crore. The court has already issued a public notice summoning the directors in connection with the case.

Responding to the legal dispute, Siddik said the company is in discussions with the bank and hopes for a swift resolution.

The latest financing plan comes even after Techno Drugs raised Tk100 crore through an initial public offering (IPO) under the book-building method in 2024.

Audit reports show that Tk31.47 crore from the IPO proceeds was spent on machinery acquisition and construction at its Narsingdi and Gazipur facilities, while Tk30 crore was used to partially repay bank loans, including Tk25 crore to One Bank and smaller amounts to LankaBangla Finance, Alliance Finance, and IDLC Finance.

However, the company's financial position has weakened further in FY26. For the July–March period, revenue declined 11% year-on-year to Tk232 crore, while net profit fell 16% to Tk15.54 crore.

Meanwhile, long-term loans surged to Tk239.56 crore by the end of March 2026, marking a 54% increase compared to the same period last year.

Oil prices gained ​more than 3 percent on Friday, after comments by US President Donald Trump and Iran's foreign minister further dented hopes of a ‌deal to end ship attacks and seizures around the Strait of Hormuz.

Brent crude futures settled at $109.26 a barrel, up $3.54, or 3.35 percent. US West Texas Intermediate futures finished at $105.42 a barrel, up $4.25, or 4.2 percent.

Over the week, Brent has climbed 7.84 percent and WTI 10.48 percent on uncertainty over the shaky ceasefire in the Iran war.

"The tone between the US and Iran has once ​again become significantly more confrontational. While the ceasefire holds, hopes for a swift reopening of the Strait of Hormuz have faded," Commerzbank ​analysts said.

Iran has "no trust" in the United States and is interested in negotiating only if Washington is serious, Foreign ⁠Minister Abbas Araqchi said on Friday, adding that Iran is prepared to go back to fighting but also prepared for diplomatic solutions.

Trump said he ​is running out of patience with Iran and that he has agreed with Chinese President Xi Jinping that Iran cannot be allowed to have ​a nuclear weapon and must reopen the strait. About a fifth of the world's oil and liquefied natural gas normally passes through the strait, which is the gateway to the Gulf and main export route for countries such as Saudi Arabia, Iraq and Qatar.

Xi did not comment on his discussions with Trump about Iran, though China's foreign ​ministry issued a statement.

"This conflict, which should never have happened, has no reason to continue," the ministry said.

Among deals the market was looking for from ​the US-China summit, Trump said China wants to buy oil from the United States. Trump also said he could lift sanctions on Chinese companies that buy Iranian oil.

"Market ‌focus is ⁠back on the deadlock and a blockaded Strait of Hormuz, with a tail risk of renewed military escalation," said Vandana Hari, founder of oil market analysis provider Vanda Insights.

Iran's Revolutionary Guards said that 30 vessels had crossed the strait between Wednesday evening and Thursday, still far short of the 140 a day that was typical before the war, but a substantial increase, if confirmed.

"An increasing number of vessels are filtering through the strait ... although currently ​this has a more tangible impact ​on sentiment than on the actual ⁠oil balance," PVM analyst Tamas Varga said.

The strait's closure comes at a time when reserves are running thin.

"The world has consumed its oil safety net at a historic rate," Phil Flynn, senior analyst with Price Futures ​Group, said in a note. "While strategic releases and demand reduction have prevented immediate chaos, the margin for error ​is shrinking rapidly. A ⁠prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz points toward tighter physical markets, potential refined product shortages, and upward pressure on prices in the coming weeks and months."

Shipping analytics firm Kpler said on Thursday that 10 ships had sailed through the strait in the past 24 hours, compared with the five to seven ⁠that have ​crossed daily in recent weeks.

"Crude is trading higher on a combination of the Trump-Xi ​meeting doing little to bring us closer to a reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, and continued Ukrainian attacks on Russian refineries," Saxo Bank analyst Ole Hansen said.

Ahead of the fiscal year 2026-27 (FY27) national budget, the government faces mounting fiscal pressure amid high inflation and low investment at a time when the global geopolitical situation remains volatile, said Prof Mustafizur Rahman, distinguished fellow at the Centre for Policy Dialogue (CPD).

In an interview with The Daily Star, he said the revenue sector requires immediate attention, while trade challenges and inefficiencies in the Annual Development Programme (ADP) must also be addressed.

FISCAL PRESSURES MOUNT

Bangladesh’s upcoming national budget will be one of the most challenging in recent years, as the government grapples with inflation, debt pressure, global uncertainty, and rising public expectations, he said.

The FY27 budget will need to address “multi-dimensional challenges” amid persistently high inflation, rising living costs, weak investment, and external vulnerabilities.

He said the government inherited significant economic difficulties that cannot be ignored while preparing the budget. At the same time, it must fulfil election pledges related to healthcare, education, social protection, and employment generation.

“The government is presenting the budget against the backdrop of a difficult global environment,” he said, referring to the ongoing Middle East conflict and its impact on energy prices, import costs, and macroeconomic stability.

Rahman said people expect relief after years of inflation that have eroded purchasing power and living standards, particularly among low-income groups.

“People now expect better public services and stronger social protection from the government,” he said.

To meet those expectations without excessive borrowing, the government must prioritise domestic resource mobilisation, he argued, adding that Bangladesh cannot continue relying heavily on bank borrowing and external lenders to finance expenditure.

THREE PRIORITIES FOR REVENUE

Rahman identified three immediate priorities for the revenue sector: reducing leakages, broadening the tax base, and finding innovative sources of revenue.

He said corruption, weak governance, and inefficiencies continue to undermine tax collection, depriving the government of resources needed for public spending.

Bangladesh must expand the tax net instead of repeatedly burdening the same taxpayers, he argued. Many individuals and businesses remain outside the system, while VAT collected from consumers often does not fully reach the treasury because of leakages and weak enforcement.

“I fully endorse the proposal that rates should remain relatively low but become more universal,” he said while discussing VAT and income tax reforms.

The economist also stressed the importance of technology-driven tax administration. He welcomed moves towards online VAT registration and digitalisation but warned that isolated systems would not be effective unless they are integrated and interoperable.

Drawing comparisons with India, he said tax authorities there can compare declared income with spending patterns through integrated databases. Bangladesh could adopt similar systems to strengthen compliance and reduce tax evasion.

Rahman also suggested gradually introducing new forms of taxation, including wealth and inheritance taxes, to address widening inequality. Fiscal policy, he said, should not only raise revenue but also reduce disparities in income, consumption, and assets.

REPRIORITISE SPENDING, IMPROVE IMPLEMENTATION

On the expenditure side, Rahman said the government would need to reprioritise spending to fulfil commitments related to education, healthcare, and social safety net programmes.

The ruling party has pledged to raise spending on health and education to 5 percent of GDP each and increase social protection expenditure to at least 3 percent of GDP.

Current spending remains far below those targets, meaning resources may need to be shifted from other sectors over time, he said, warning that such decisions would be politically sensitive.

He argued that infrastructure spending could be rationalised by reducing waste, corruption, delays, and cost overruns.

“If we can ensure good value for money, then infrastructure spending as a share of GDP can be reduced without compromising outcomes,” he said.

Rahman stressed that higher allocations alone would not improve public services without better implementation and governance.

He was particularly critical of inefficiencies in the ADP, saying public projects in Bangladesh frequently suffer from inflated costs, delays, and weak oversight. On average, project costs and implementation periods rise by 30 percent to 40 percent, he said.

He called for stronger feasibility studies, tighter monitoring, and greater accountability. Projects nearing completion should receive priority, while approval of new projects should be approached more cautiously given rising debt and fiscal pressure.

The economist also warned against expanding the ADP aggressively without improving institutional capacity, procurement systems, and implementation quality.

INFLATION, TRADE CHALLENGES REMAIN KEY CONCERNS

On inflation and monetary policy, Rahman said Bangladesh faces a difficult balancing act. While high interest rates are hurting investment and job creation, inflation remains too high to justify aggressive monetary easing.

However, he argued that inflation is not driven solely by monetary factors. Weak market management, high logistics costs, inefficiencies at ports and customs, and poor supply-chain governance are also contributing to rising prices.

“If the government can improve market management and reduce the overall cost of doing business, inflationary pressure can ease even without relying only on monetary policy,” he said.

Rahman also discussed Bangladesh’s external trade challenges as the country prepares to graduate from the least developed country (LDC) category.

He said export diversification, free trade agreements, and stronger compliance standards would become increasingly important in the coming years.

Bangladesh still depends heavily on a limited number of products and export markets despite years of discussion about diversification, he noted. Meanwhile, competitors such as India and Vietnam are moving aggressively to secure free trade agreements and attract foreign investment.

To remain competitive, Bangladesh must improve logistics, reduce lead times, strengthen labour and environmental standards, and create a more investment-friendly environment, he said.

He also urged the government to treat any extension of the LDC graduation transition period as an opportunity to accelerate reforms rather than delay them.

The Bangladesh Securities and Exchange Commission (Bangladesh Securities and Exchange Commission) has published a draft of sweeping new corporate governance rules that introduce stricter oversight and tighter controls on listed companies, with a focus on strengthening transparency, accountability and investor protection in the capital market.

The proposed framework marks a shift from the existing corporate governance code issued in 2018 by significantly tightening board composition requirements, expanding independence standards, and imposing stricter eligibility and shareholding rules for directors and key executives.

It also introduces enhanced restrictions on cross-directorships between listed companies and major market infrastructure institutions such as exchanges, depositories, clearing entities, brokers and merchant banks.

According to the draft, the new rules will apply to all companies with ordinary shares listed on the main board, SME board and alternative trading board (ATB) of the stock exchanges, as well as any public interest entity.

The draft, released today (14 May), has been opened for stakeholder feedback until 31 May. The regulator said it will review the comments before finalising the framework for implementation.

Board structure and shareholding requirements

Under the proposed framework, the board of directors of a listed company must consist of no fewer than five and no more than 20 members. For SME-listed companies, the ceiling will be 10 directors. Each board will be required to include at least one female director.

All sponsor-directors – excluding independent directors – must collectively hold at least 30% of a company's paid-up capital. Each director will be required to hold a minimum of 2% of shares, while nominated directors must hold at least 5%.

Independent directors and eligibility rules

The proposed rules increase the minimum requirement for independent directors. At least three directors, or one-third of the total board, whichever is higher, must be independent. This marks a shift from the existing requirement, which mandates at least one-fifth of the board to be independent directors.

The draft bars individuals who are currently directors of stock exchanges, depositories, central counterparty institutions, stock brokers, stock dealers, or merchant banks from serving as directors of listed companies. The only exception is where they are appointed as independent directors representing a holding company.

Senior management structure and compliance

Every listed company must appoint a managing director (MD) or chief executive officer (CEO), a company secretary (CS), a chief financial officer (CFO), and a head of internal audit and compliance (HIAC).

The draft specifies that individuals holding these positions will not be allowed to serve in executive roles in any other company simultaneously. However, the CFO or company secretary may hold the same position in another company within the same group – listed or unlisted – subject to prior approval from the Commission, for cost efficiency or technical expertise reasons.

In addition, the MD, CEO, CS, CFO, and HIAC cannot be removed from their positions without board approval. Any such decision must also be immediately disclosed to both the Commission and the stock exchanges.

The Commission said the proposed rules are designed to modernise corporate governance practices in Bangladesh's capital market and ensure stronger accountability across listed entities.

Bangladesh offers a competitive cost structure that enables Chinese firms to maintain global price dominance while relocating production, said Mohammad A Hafiz, vice president of the Bangladesh China Club Limited.

This creates a strong advantage for companies seeking efficient manufacturing alternatives while preserving profitability and export competitiveness in international markets, he added.

Hafiz made the comments during his presentation at a daylong summit in the capital today.

The event was organised by the Bangladesh China Club Limited in collaboration with representatives from the Global Chinese General Chamber of Commerce, China, and the International Business Strategy Committee of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area Business Federation.

Hafiz also said that Bangladesh serves as a gateway to the broader South Asian and ASEAN markets, providing businesses with a strategic footprint outside mainland China.

Its geographic position and growing regional connectivity make the country an attractive hub for trade, investment, and supply chain diversification, he added.

In addition, Bangladesh has demonstrated proven leadership through a strong track record of managing successful multi-billion-dollar projects and international syndicated financing in the region, he said.

This experience reflects the country’s growing capability to support large-scale industrial development and long-term foreign investment partnerships, he added.

Hafiz also said that Bangladesh is addressing concerns related to energy stability by establishing new government-to-government frameworks for long-term LNG supply and expanding floating storage and regasification unit infrastructure to ensure uninterrupted industrial continuity.

The country is also improving regulatory compliance through stronger labour law standards and enhanced professional service rules designed to protect institutional investments, he added.

In addition, specialised asset management companies and strategic advisers are being utilized to ensure that investment capital is directed toward operational growth rather than passive debt accumulation, he added.

Bangladesh continues to demonstrate strong political commitment by maintaining solid bilateral ties and engaging in dedicated policy-level dialogues to create a secure and stable environment for foreign direct investment, he said.

He added that total bilateral trade between Bangladesh and China reached $24.05 billion, heavily driven by $22.88 billion in Chinese exports to Bangladesh compared to just $1.17 billion in Bangladeshi exports to China.

Saif Uddin Ahmed, chief executive officer at the Bangladesh Foreign Trade Institute, said that in the current era of global turbulence, including issues such as US reciprocal tariffs and geopolitical tensions involving the US-Israel war on Iran, Chinese investors may find opportunities to invest in and relocate their factories to Bangladesh.

Mohammad Mamdudur Rashid, managing director of the United Commercial Bank PLC, said the bank actively facilitates trade transactions and supports Chinese partners in foreign direct investment in Bangladesh, with a dedicated Chinese desk staffed by Mandarin-speaking colleagues to ensure smooth communication and efficient service.

He further outlined future areas of collaboration, including green energy and climate technology, agribusiness and food processing, logistics and supply chains, healthcare and pharmaceuticals, education and skill development, fintech and digital banking, and tourism and hospitality.

Muzaffar Ahmed, chairman of the Sustainable and Renewable Energy Development Authority, said that Bangladesh is one of the fastest-growing economies in Asia and has made significant progress in industrialization, infrastructure development, export growth, digital transformation, and energy development.

He said that the power, energy, and mineral resources sector offers significant opportunities for international investors and strategic partners, while the government remains committed to ensuring energy security, sustainable development, and a clean energy transition for future

The Bangladesh Bank (BB) has temporarily loosened the rules so commercial banks can lend more to big borrowers, treat trade guarantees more lightly, and adjust large loan limits based on how healthy their loan books are.

In a circular issued yesterday, the banking regulator said commercial lenders may lend up to 25 percent of their capital to a single client or group until June 2028. This is 10 percentage points higher than the existing ceiling of 15 percent.

Besides, non-funded exposures, such as letters of credit (LCs), will be weighted at just 25 percent until mid-2027, down from the current 50 percent.

At the same time, banks will be allowed to extend higher large-loan limits depending on their classified loan ratios.

In the circular, the central bank said the changes are meant for easing international trade finance for businesses and industries.

However, several BB officials said the facility came after a few large industrial groups exceeded their exposure limits at a number of banks.

Business leaders welcomed the decision by the BB, but economists and bankers were critical of the move. They said that looser rules could concentrate credit further in the hands of a small number of large conglomerates and politically connected economic actors.

NEW EXPOSURE LIMITS

Under the relaxed rules, banks will be allowed to extend funded loans of up to 25 percent of their total capital to a single borrower, up from the existing limit of 15 percent.

However, the combined exposure of funded and non-funded facilities must not exceed 25 percent under any circumstances, the central bank said.

Under the new rules, the conversion factor for non-funded exposure has been reduced to 25 percent from 50 percent. This means banks will now count only 25 percent of their total non-funded exposure when calculating large loan limits.

The facility will remain in place until June 30, 2027. The conversion factor will then increase in phases, rising to 30 percent by December 31, 2027; 40 percent by December 31, 2028; and 50 percent by December 31, 2029.

As per the single borrower exposure rules, a borrower may take up to 25 percent of a bank’s capital in total exposure, including both funded and non-funded facilities. Of this, 15 percent may be funded exposure and 10 percent non-funded exposure.

Previously, funded loans were capped at 15 percent of a bank’s capital. Under the new rules, banks may extend funded loans of up to 25 percent, but only if no non-funded exposure is provided. If funded exposure stands at 20 percent, a further 5 percent may be non-funded exposure.

For example, an LC worth Tk 100 was previously converted into funded exposure at Tk 50. Under the new framework, only Tk 25 will be counted.

The central bank has also revised limits on large loans based on banks’ classified loan ratios.

Under the previous rules, banks with classified loans of up to 3 percent could extend large loans amounting to 50 percent of their total loans and advances. Under the new rules, this threshold has been extended up to 10 percent.

Banks with classified loans between 10 percent and 15 percent may now maintain large loans of up to 46 percent of total loans and advances. Those with ratios between 15 percent and 20 percent will be allowed up to 42 percent, while banks in the 20 percent to 25 percent range may go up to 38 percent. For those between 25 percent and 30 percent, the ceiling will be 34 percent.

Where classified loans exceed 30 percent, large loans will be capped at 30 percent of total loans and advances.

The central bank has also raised the overall ceiling for large loans to 600 percent of a bank’s capital, up from 400 percent.

WAS IT NECESSARY NOW?

Several central bank officials, speaking on condition of anonymity, said a few large industrial groups have exceeded their exposure limits at several banks. The facility has been introduced in response to their requests.

A managing director of a commercial bank, who asked not to be named, said the current condition of the banking sector is not good.

“So, this kind of forbearance was not necessary at this time,” he said, adding that it sends the wrong signal and is contrary to international standards.

However, Mir Nasir Hossain, former president of the Federation of Bangladesh Chambers of Commerce & Industry (FBCCI), welcomed the central bank’s move.

He said the economy has expanded and many large companies often need consortium financing.

“Increasing the exposure limit will be beneficial for trade and business. It is a business-friendly decision,” said Hossain.

Ashikur Rahman, principal economist at the Policy Research Institute of Bangladesh, took a different view.

“At a time when concerns over governance, non-performing loans, and weak risk management already plague the banking sector, such relaxation may deepen systemic vulnerabilities rather than strengthen financial intermediation,” Rahman told The Daily Star.

He said that excessive concentration of lending not only undermines diversification of bank portfolios, but also amplifies the “too-connected-to-fail” problem within the financial system.”

The economist argued that a more prudent long-term approach would gradually steer large borrowers towards corporate bond issuance and capital market financing, reducing reliance on banks for major industrial projects.

“Deepening the bond and equity markets is essential if Bangladesh wishes to build a more balanced and resilient financial architecture. Unfortunately, this decision appears to move in the opposite direction, reinforcing existing distortions instead of correcting them,” he commented.

The banking sector's total capital shortfall stood at Tk2.78 lakh crore at the end of the December quarter of 2025, a slight decline from the previous quarter mainly due to Bangladesh Bank's loan rescheduling policy support, according to a central bank report.

The capital shortfall had stood at Tk2.82 lakh crore at the end of the September quarter of the same year.

A bank capital shortfall occurs when a bank's own capital and reserve funds fall below the minimum level set by the central bank. Under international standards, banks are required to maintain a specific amount of capital against their risk-weighted assets.

Bangladesh Bank data shows that 20 banks were in capital deficit at the end of the December quarter.

Bankers and economists say the crisis stems from years of aggressive lending, weak oversight, and politically influenced loan approvals. The widening capital gap is also restricting banks' lending capacity and putting pressure on international financing, signalling broader risks for the economy.

Insiders said most state-owned banks in Bangladesh have been operating for years with virtually no capital base. The government, as owner of these banks, had previously injected thousands of crores of taka from taxpayers' money to help them recover. Despite that support, the banks have failed to overcome their capital shortages.

They added that compared with other South Asian economies, Bangladesh's banking sector remains in an extremely fragile capital position.

The report also showed that the sector's capital-to-risk weighted assets ratio (CRAR), a key indicator of financial strength, fell to negative 2.64% at the end of December. International regulatory standards require banks to maintain a minimum CRAR of 12.5%.

Non-performing loans (NPLs) in the banking sector stood at Tk5.57 lakh crore, or 30.60% of total outstanding loans, at the end of December 2025.
Deficits across banks

According to the central bank report, four state-owned banks had a combined capital shortfall of Tk37,364.82 crore at the end of the December quarter.

Agrani Bank's shortfall stood at Tk6,534 crore, BASIC Bank's at Tk4,158 crore, Janata Bank's at Tk22,482 crore, and Rupali Bank's at Tk4,189 crore.

Seven Islamic banks recorded a combined capital shortfall of Tk1,74,087 crore.

EXIM Bank's deficit stood at Tk25,914 crore, First Security Islami Bank at Tk64,162 crore, Global Islami Bank at Tk15,693 crore, Islami Bank Bangladesh at Tk6,597 crore, ICB Islamic Bank at Tk2,012 crore, Social Islami Bank at Tk30,053 crore, and Union Bank at Tk29,653 crore.

Meanwhile, seven private commercial banks recorded a combined capital shortfall of Tk33,138 crore.

AB Bank's shortfall stood at Tk6,551 crore, BCBL at Tk2,065 crore, Citizens Bank at Tk81.70 crore, IFIC Bank at Tk4,704 crore, National Bank at Tk9,032 crore, Padma Bank at Tk5,837 crore, Premier Bank at Tk4,866 crore, Bangladesh Krishi Bank at Tk30,751 crore, and Rajshahi Krishi Unnayan Bank at Tk2,704 crore.

Why capital shortfall declined over 3 months

A senior Bangladesh Bank official said the main reason behind the decline in capital shortfall between the September and December quarters was the central bank's loan rescheduling policy. Rescheduling helped classify some defaulted loans as regular, reducing the amount of required provisioning against bad loans. Since provisions are maintained from banks' capital, the lower provisioning requirement reduced the capital deficit.

Former World Bank Dhaka Office Lead Economist Dr Zahid Hussain said the apparent improvement in capital shortfall over the three months was largely artificial and driven by rescheduling.

"The improvement seen in capital shortfall is the impact of rescheduling. It is creating an artificial improvement. State-owned banks, Islamic banks, and the latest generation of private commercial banks are mainly responsible for the shortfall. Banks that were already in deficit remain in deficit," he said.

He added, "It is completely unacceptable for banks to remain in a capital deficit. If a bank's CRAR falls below 10%, the central bank should take action. But that is not happening in our country."

Zahid Hussain questioned whether the sector could continue relying on rescheduling indefinitely, warning that the banking sector would remain weak without meaningful reforms. He noted that Bangladesh Bank had initially barred banks with capital shortfalls from paying staff bonuses, but later backed away from the decision.

"Instead of repeated rescheduling, writing off bad loans would be a better option," he said.

Two reasons why rescheduling is unsustainable

According to Dr Zahid Hussain, there are two major reasons why repeated loan rescheduling is unsustainable.

First, rescheduling weakens banks' balance sheets and erodes capital. He compared it to "continuous bleeding" in the human body, gradually weakening financial institutions over time.

Second, it creates a moral hazard in society. When borrowers see repeated concessions despite non-payment, they become more likely to spend borrowed money on luxury consumption, such as expensive cars or foreign travel, rather than productive investment.

"As a result, honest borrowers become discouraged, while wilful defaulters are emboldened further. Overall, the trend is undermining discipline in the banking system and weakening the sector's long-term sustainability," the economist added.

Bangladesh’s next national budget should focus on strengthening economic resilience rather than increasing spending, said Zahid Hussain, former lead economist at the World Bank’s Dhaka office.

He warned that weak fiscal buffers, high inflation, and serious vulnerabilities in the financial sector have left little room for a large or expansionary budget.

In an interview with The Daily Star, Hussain said the economy is facing prolonged external pressures stemming from elevated global fuel, fertiliser, and commodity prices, limiting Bangladesh’s ability to absorb further shocks.

“The economy is now facing a global trade shock,” he said, noting that import costs have risen sharply while access to essential goods has become increasingly difficult. Even if geopolitical tensions ease, prices are unlikely to return to pre-war levels anytime soon, he added.

Hussain explained that Bangladesh is paying more for imports but receiving less in return, resulting in a net income loss. “The key question is how we will absorb these losses,” he said.

He added that policy choices are increasingly constrained by limited fiscal space.

“Except for foreign exchange reserves, most buffers are nearly exhausted,” he said, noting that inflation remains above 9 percent and the banking sector is under severe stress.

He said the economy is now facing stagflation -- high inflation, low growth and weak shock absorption capacity -- while election promises and the new government’s budget plans are increasing pressure to raise spending.

“How do we balance these conflicting pressures?” he asked.

LIMITED SPACE FOR EXPANSIONARY BUDGET

Hussain said printing money is not a viable option because inflation is already high and could rise further.

“If inflation were very low, money financing might have been considered, but that is not the case,” he added.

He also said domestic borrowing is constrained as interest rates are already high, with businesses facing double-digit lending rates. Higher government borrowing would push rates up further and restrict private credit.

A large portion of the budget is already locked into mandatory spending.

IMF projections suggest interest payments could reach Tk 1.7 lakh crore in FY27. In FY26, salary expenditure is close to Tk 85,000 crore, while pension payments exceed Tk 35,000 crore.

“These are mandatory costs that are difficult to reduce,” he said, adding that many development projects are already in advanced stages and cutting them would waste past investment.

World Bank studies show that 70 to 80 percent of Bangladesh’s public spending is pre-committed, compared to 50 to 60 percent in other lower-middle-income countries and 40 to 50 percent in better-governed Asean economies.

With inflation eroding purchasing power and weak real wage growth, Hussain said tax revenue cannot rise sharply. Bangladesh typically struggles to collect even Tk 4.5 lakh crore.

Given the constraints, he said, “If we respect these constraints -- no money printing, limited domestic borrowing, large fixed expenditures, and rising interest costs -- then a realistic revenue target would be around Tk 5 lakh crore, with a deficit of about Tk 3 lakh crore.”

“That would put the maximum feasible budget size at roughly Tk 8 lakh crore.”

He warned that financing even this deficit would be challenging. Domestic borrowing needs could exceed safe limits unless external financing rises significantly.

Net external financing may need to reach Tk 1.1 lakh crore, while domestic borrowing of around Tk 1.9 lakh crore would still pressure financial stability.

“For this reason, the overall budget size would need to remain tighter,” he said.

He added that concessional financing from the World Bank, ADB, IMF, JICA and other development partners could allow a slightly larger budget without stressing domestic banks.

“Even so, under realistic assumptions, I do not see the government implementing a budget much beyond Tk 7.5 to Tk 8 lakh crore,” he said.

STRUCTURAL REFORMS OVER SPENDING PUSH

On the IMF programme, Hussain said challenges go beyond subsidy cuts or electricity price adjustments.

Key reforms in tax policy, exchange-rate management, banking sector restructuring, Bangladesh Bank governance, and separating the National Board of Revenue remain incomplete.

“I don’t think simply increasing electricity prices will bring the IMF programme back on track,” he said.

Hussain said Bangladesh no longer has the option to prioritise either inflation control or growth.

The problem, he said, is supply-side constraints rather than weak demand.

“If you don’t have diesel, LNG, or fertiliser, higher government spending will not increase growth,” he said. “Instead, it will mostly lead to higher prices or exchange rate pressure.”

He said the budget should prioritise resilience by protecting food security, energy security, healthcare, and social protection.

“You cannot cut spending on vaccinations, medicines, schools, or support for the poor and vulnerable,” he said.

However, he warned against broad subsidies that often benefit higher-income groups more than those in need.

Hussain said low tax collection is mainly due to a complex tax system and weak administration.

Multiple VAT and customs duty rates, he said, create corruption risks and revenue leakage.

“If the rate structure is simplified and the tax system is automated, revenue can increase without adding pressure on taxpayers,” he said.

He called for urgent reforms in energy, banking, ports, regulation and skills development.

Bangladesh has around 30,000 megawatts of installed power capacity, while peak summer demand is about 18,000 megawatts.

“The problem is not power generation capacity,” he said. “The real issues are fuel supply and limitations in the transmission grid.”

He also highlighted inefficiencies in ports, complex regulations, and weak vocational training.

“Bangladesh exports labour but imports skills,” he said.

Hussain said structural reforms, rather than higher spending, now offer the most practical path to improving investment, lowering costs, and stabilising the economy.

He said Bangladesh is still facing a global trade shock, with both import prices and volumes under pressure.

“Prices have increased, and even if you are willing to pay more, it is still difficult to get the required quantities, especially as global supply chains remain strained,” he said.

He concluded that Bangladesh needs a more productive economy driven by reforms, not a larger budget based on fragile borrowing.

“Without such reforms, the economy could remain stuck in repeated crisis management, while private investment confidence continues to weaken,” he said.

Bangladesh Bank has reduced the maximum penal interest rate on overdue loans and loan instalments to 0.5 percent from 1.5 percent to support investment and boost productivity amid ongoing global economic challenges.

The central bank issued a circular on this decision yesterday.

Under the revised instruction, if a loan or instalment remains fully or partially overdue for a certain period, banks will be allowed to charge a maximum penal interest of 0.5 percent for the duration of the overdue period.

For running and demand loans, the penal interest may be applied to the entire outstanding amount. For term loans, it will apply only to the overdue instalment. Earlier, banks were allowed to charge up to 1.5 percent penal interest on overdue loans and instalments.

The central bank said the decision was taken in view of the current global economic situation and to encourage investment and improve productivity.

All other instructions will remain unchanged, the circular added. All other instructions will remain unchanged, the circular added. Actions already taken under the previous circular will also remain valid.

The directive came into immediate effect and was issued under Section 29(2)(c) of the Bank Companies Act, 1991.

The government yesterday fixed the price of rawhide to be generated during the upcoming Eid-ul-Azha, with the price of salted cowhide in Dhaka increased by Tk 2 per square foot (sqft) from last year.

The price of salted cowhide in Dhaka have been set at Tk 62 to Tk 67 per square foot, up from last year’s Tk 60 to Tk 65.

Outside Dhaka, the price of cowhide has been fixed at Tk 57 to Tk 62 per square foot, compared to last year’s Tk 55 to Tk 60, according to a statement from the Commerce Ministry.

Commerce Minister Khandakar Abdul Muktadir announced the new rates at a press conference at his secretariat office in Dhaka following a meeting of the committee formed to ensure proper management of Qurbani-related matters.

The prices have increased by Tk 2 per square foot (sqft) compared to last year
The price of salted goat skin has been set at Tk 25 to Tk 30 per square foot, while she-goat skin will cost Tk 22 to Tk 25 per square foot.

The minister also said the government will provide salt worth Tk 17.60 crore free of cost for preserving hides.

Leather preservation activities will be carried out across the country by traders, mosques and madrasas.

He added that the government is working to ensure that no hides are wasted during the upcoming Eid festival.

District and upazila administrations will provide training to representatives of mosques and madrasas so they can properly preserve the hides of sacrificial animals.

Global oil supply will not meet total ‌demand this year as the Iran war wreaks havoc on Middle East oil production, the International Energy Agency said in its monthly oil market report on Wednesday.

The US and Israel’s war with Iran, subsequent damage to Iran and its Gulf neighbours’ oil infrastructure and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz ​have caused the largest oil supply crisis in history, sending oil prices skyrocketing.

“Our latest supply and demand estimates imply that the market will remain severely undersupplied through the end of 3Q26, even assuming the conflict ends by early June,” the Paris-based agency said, adding that the second-quarter deficit will be as stark as ​6 million bpd.

The IEA’s base-case forecast is for a gradual resumption of traffic through the strait from the third quarter onwards, it ​said, which could see the market return to a “modest surplus” by the fourth quarter, allowing depleted stocks to begin to rebuild.

Supply losses led to a ‌246 million barrel drawdown in global oil inventories in March and April, the IEA said, which could increase price volatility ahead of the peak summer demand period.

The 32-member IEA coordinated the largest-ever release of 400 million barrels of oil from strategic reserves in March in a bid to calm markets. It said around 164 million barrels of that total has already been released.

Overall global oil supply will fall by around ​3.9 million barrels per day ​across 2026 due to the ⁠war, the agency said, slashing its previous forecast, which had projected a 1.5 million bpd drop.

DEMAND ALSO UNDER PRESSURE FROM WAR

The IEA now sees demand falling by 420,000 bpd this year, compared to a ​previous forecast of an 80,000 bpd drop.

Consumption is also under pressure due to the war as ​price spikes lead ⁠to demand destruction and slower economic growth, it said.

Oil prices were little changed on Wednesday, with Brent futures trading at $106.93 at 0805 GMT, down 84 cents from the previous close and 1 cent higher than their level at 0759 GMT before the report was published.

The IEA said ⁠it will ​publish its first supply and demand forecasts for 2027 in its June report - ​a delay from April caused by the war - while its 2026 annual oil report will be delayed from June 17 with no new date yet set for its ​release.

Later on Wednesday, rival forecaster OPEC will publish its own monthly oil market report.

A US federal appeals court on Tuesday temporarily paused a ruling declaring President Donald Trump's global 10-percent tariffs illegal, granting a government request to suspend the decision pending appeal.

Trump imposed the temporary 10-percent duty in February, shortly after the Supreme Court struck down many of his global tariffs.

On May 7, the US Court of International Trade (CIT) blocked the tariffs from being implemented against two companies and the state of Washington. That decision was to take effect on Tuesday.

The US Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit on Tuesday issued a brief order that included an administrative stay on the CIT's order, setting a schedule for both sides to file briefs on the matter.

In its motion for a stay, the Trump administration argued that the CIT's decision should be stayed pending the full run of government appeals -- up to the Supreme Court, if necessary.

It argued that if it issued refunds on the 10-percent global tariff, only to have an appeals court uphold its position, it would be unable to pursue economic redress.

"Plaintiffs, conversely, can be made whole through refunds, including interest, if the tariffs are ultimately held unlawful and refundable," the government said.

The court, however, only granted an administrative stay for the period while the court considers the motions for a stay pending appeal.

The Trump administration has said the new tariff was meant to deal with balance-of-payments deficits, citing Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974.

The 10-percent global tariff under Section 122 is valid until late July unless extended by Congress.

The Trump administration has also been pursuing other means to impose tariffs to replace those struck down by the Supreme Court.

US authorities have opened investigations into dozens of trading partners over forced labor and overcapacity allegations -- which could lead to fresh tariffs or other action.

Trump's sector-specific tariffs on goods like steel, aluminum and autos remain unaffected by these legal challenges.

The Supreme Court's striking down of the majority of Trump's tariffs was a blow to the Republican president, after he made the levies a signature economic policy.

Since the decision, businesses have rushed for refunds.

US Customs and Border Protection (CBP) estimated in March that more than 330,000 importers could be eligible for refunds after the Supreme Court's decision.

The tariffs that were struck down earlier, imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA), collected approximately $166 billion in duties and estimated deposits.

On Tuesday, CNBC reported that businesses had begun to receive refunds, in line with a CBP timeline released earlier this month.

CBP did not immediately respond to an AFP request for comment.

Foreign ministers from the BRICS group of nations, including Iran and Russia, meet in India on Thursday, with the Middle East conflict and related fuel crisis set to dominate discussions.

India, which holds the BRICS chair this year, is hosting the two-day gathering of foreign ministers from the expanded bloc, which now includes Iran and the United Arab Emirates -- countries at odds over the conflict launched by the United States and Israel on February 28.

India's foreign ministry said talks will focus on "global and regional issues of mutual interest", spokesman Randhir Jaiswal told reporters.

Iranian Foreign Minister Seyed Abbas Araghchi arrived in New Delhi late Wednesday, Iran's embassy in India said.

Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov is also attending. He met his Indian counterpart Subrahmanyam Jaishankar after arriving in New Delhi on Wednesday evening.

Jaishankar said in a statement that their discussions included "trade and investment, energy and connectivity" as well as "global and multilateral issues".

"Our political cooperation is even more valuable in an uncertain and volatile global environment," Jaishankar added.

Disruptions around Gulf shipping routes and the Strait of Hormuz continue to drive volatility in oil and gas markets, increasing pressure on energy-importing economies, including India.

The conflict involving Iran has added strain to India's economy, heavily reliant on Middle Eastern energy supplies and fertiliser imports, and has cast uncertainty over New Delhi's growth outlook.

BRICS was created in 2009 as a forum for major emerging economies seeking greater influence in institutions dominated by Western powers.

The grouping, originally comprising Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa, has since expanded, as members sought to boost the bloc's global political and economic influence.

It now includes Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, Indonesia and the United Arab Emirates, although it remains unclear whether representatives from all member states will attend.

India will hold a leaders' summit later this year, and the foreign ministers will also meet with Prime Minister Narendra Modi, the foreign ministry said.

With deep divisions among some members, including over the Middle East war and criticism of Western powers, it was not clear whether a joint statement would be released at the meeting's end.

"We will let you know as things progress," India's foreign ministry spokesman Jaiswal added.