The benchmark indices of the Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) posted a slight gain today (19 May), snapping a two-session losing streak in a modest market recovery.

The gains, however, lacked conviction. Trading activity remained subdued as investor participation stayed low, with many market players continuing to exercise caution amid a weak short-term trend. Restrained buying interest prevented any broad-based rally from taking shape.

The DSEX rose 8 points to close at 5,212. The blue-chip DS30 index added 2 points to settle at 1,970, while the Shariah-based DSES index edged up 3 points to 1,059.

Advancers outnumbered decliners — 181 issues gained against 138 that fell, with 74 stocks ending unchanged. Market turnover, however, slipped 6.89% to Tk676 crore from Tk726 crore in the previous session.

In its daily market review, EBL Securities noted that the bourse traded largely flat as investors' selectively accumulated large-cap stocks, though participation remained muted amid persistent caution over near-term market momentum. Indices held in positive territory throughout the session on resilient bargain-hunting interest.

Trading volumes were also weighed down by investors trimming leveraged positions and managing liquidity ahead of upcoming festival holidays, the brokerage added.

Market indices remained firmly in positive territory, with resilient bargain-hunting interest throughout the session.

However, trading activity stayed relatively subdued amid sustained cautious sentiment, while paring back exposure from leveraged positions and liquidity considerations ahead of upcoming festival holidays also somewhat weighed on the market's overall turnover.

On the sectoral front, Pharmaceuticals led turnover with a 16.9% share, followed by General Insurance at 13.6% and Banking at 11.4%. Among sector performances, Ceramic and Jute each rose 1.9%, and Services gained 1.3%. On the downside, Mutual Funds fell 0.8%, Food declined 0.6%, and Life Insurance dropped 0.5%.

At the Chattogram Stock Exchange (CSE), the market also closed in the green. The Selective Categories' Index (CSCX) gained 23.0 points, while the All Share Price Index (CASPI) rose 31.1 points.

British American Tobacco Bangladesh recorded a 14 percent year-on-year decline in domestic cigarette sales volume in the first quarter of FY2025-26, as tax-driven affordability pressures, downtrading, and competition from illicit cigarettes weighed on sales, according to an earnings update by BRAC EPL Stock Brokerage Ltd.

Domestic gross revenue fell 10.7 percent year-on-year, while net revenue dropped 21 percent as the total tax burden rose to 84.1 percent from 82 percent in the same quarter last year.

A modest 3.8 percent growth in unit revenue failed to offset the combined drag of lower volumes and higher taxes.

The Bangladesh Cigarette Manufacturers’ Association estimates that illicit cigarettes now account for 15 to 18 percent of the total market, posing a structural challenge for compliant manufacturers.

Non-core revenue offered little relief. Cigarette exports remained zero for the third consecutive quarter, while leaf export revenue fell 22.5 percent year-on-year due to a 27.1 percent decline in volume, partly offset by a 6.3 percent rise in unit price.

Revenue from third-party contract manufacturing -- now in its second quarter -- plunged 68 percent quarter-on-quarter, while no revenue was generated from semi-finished goods.

Gross profit fell 12 percent year-on-year to Tk 802 crore, although gross margin expanded by 707 basis points to 56 percent as cost of sales dropped 33.8 percent year-on-year, outpacing the 23.1 percent decline in total net revenue.

BATBC did not explain the margin improvement, which likely reflected price-mix benefits, input cost normalisation, and efficiency gains from consolidated production.

Operating expenses surged 40.7 percent year-on-year despite the revenue contraction, with no explanation offered. Salaries, IT costs, and technical assistance fees are the principal expense heads, according to the company’s 2025 annual report.

Net finance expenses eased to Tk 49.2 crore from Tk 53.9 crore a year earlier, mainly due to lower lease costs.

Total interest-bearing debt rose sharply to Tk 2,381 crore at the end of March from Tk 1,489 crore in December.

Operating cash outflow widened to Tk 1,226 crore from Tk 952 crore a year earlier, driven by lower profitability and inventory build-up.

Inventories climbed to Tk 5,386 crore from Tk 3,829 crore at year-end, prompting the company to increase short-term borrowing to manage operations.

The US dollar rose on Tuesday as investors balanced cautious hopes ​for a Middle East peace deal against concerns that the Federal Reserve could raise rates to curb energy-driven inflation.

US ‌President Donald Trump said on Monday there was now a “very good chance” of reaching a deal limiting Iran’s nuclear program.

The dollar jumped in March after Iran’s effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz pushed oil prices higher, weighing on oil-dependent economies such as Japan and the euro area ​while increasing safe-haven demand for the greenback.

Oil prices fell 2 percent on Tuesday after Trump’s remarks.

“There are reasons why the ​dollar has not strengthened back to the levels seen in March,” Paul Mackel, global head of forex research at HSBC, said.

“Notably, global risk sentiment has recovered strongly; tension remains in USD OIS (overnight index swaps) markets which ​have stopped short of pricing an aggressive Fed hiking cycle; and monthly global growth momentum is still positive,” he added.

At the ​same time, investors are now pricing in almost a 48.5 percent chance that the Fed could raise rates in December, and a 98.8 percent chance it maintains current rates at its next meeting in June, according to the CME FedWatch tool.

“Even if the Fed moves to signal that it ​will adopt a neutral bias in June, it may not be enough to stabilize inflation expectations and long-term US Treasury yields,” ​said Thierry Wizman, Macquarie Group’s global foreign exchange and rates strategist.

“An opportunity to change the Fed’s rhetoric decidedly toward ‘hawkish’ will come with the ‌small ⁠flurry of Fed speeches, between now and June 6,” he added.

The US dollar index , which measures the greenback’s strength against a basket of six currencies, was up 0.2 percent at 99.18, after snapping a five-day winning streak on Monday as fears eased of an escalation in the war.

Gold prices fell on Tuesday, but ‌stayed above a 1-1/2-month low hit in the last session, as markets consolidated while awaiting further developments after US President Donald Trump paused a planned attack against Iran.

Spot gold fell ​0.5 percent to $4,544.17 per ounce by 0820 GMT.

US gold futures for June delivery ​lost 0.2 percent to $4,547.70.

Gold prices fell 2.4 percent on Friday in their biggest one-day decline since March 26 and extended losses on Monday to touch $4,479.54, the lowest ​level since March 30, as mounting inflation fears triggered a rout in the global ​bond market. Bullion recovered to close Monday slightly higher.

“It seems like an oscillation in this kind of inflation fear trade and a sort of digestion of the fireworks from Friday,” ​said Ilya Spivak, head of global macro at Tastylive, adding that markets are ​now awaiting broad sentiment markers such as the minutes of April’s FOMC meeting to be ‌released on Wednesday.

Bonds steadied following a steep selloff after Trump said on Monday he had paused a planned attack against Iran to allow for negotiations to take place on a deal to end the US-Israeli war, after Iran sent a new peace ​proposal to Washington.

Oil ​prices fell more ⁠than 2 percent, easing some inflation fears. Gold is considered a hedge against inflation, though higher interest rates tend to weigh ​on the non-yielding metal.

Kevin Warsh will be sworn in as ​Fed chair ⁠on Friday by Trump, a White House official said on Monday, putting the financier at the helm of the central bank as it grapples with intensifying inflation that ⁠may ​make it hard to push through the interest-rate ​cuts Trump desires.

Bangladesh Bank (BB) will not intervene in the dollar exchange rate in the near term, with the currency instead expected to be determined by market supply and demand, the central bank governor told treasury heads of banks at a meeting today (19 May).

A senior Bangladesh Bank official, who attended the meeting, confirmed the development to The Business Standard, saying the governor sought a clearer understanding of foreign exchange market operations and listened to bankers' concerns over current dynamics.

According to the official, the governor informed bankers that the central bank would no longer dictate the foreign exchange market and that exchange rates would be allowed to adjust based on supply and demand conditions.
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He also said the regulator is working towards a more market-based foreign exchange regime. At the same time, the governor cautioned banks against any attempts to manipulate the dollar market.

However, a deputy managing director (DMD) of a private commercial bank told TBS that Bangladesh Bank had intervened in the foreign exchange market between March and April this year.

He alleged that during that period, central bank officials contacted banks and informally indicated a ceiling for dollar exchange rates.

The EU hopes Tuesday to strike a deal towards implementing its nearly year-old trade pact with the United States -- with an increasingly impatient Donald Trump threatening steep new tariffs unless it is done by July 4.

The 27-nation bloc struck an accord with Washington last July setting levies on most European goods at 15 percent, but to the US president's frustration a final version of the text still needs nailing down on the EU side.
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"A deal is a deal," the US mission to the EU posted on X Monday, saying the bloc "must live up" to the agreement sealed in Turnberry, Scotland, between Trump and EU chief Ursula von der Leyen.

Negotiators from the EU's parliament and capitals will meet Tuesday night in Strasbourg to push for a compromise that would allow the bloc to meet Trump's deadline and hopefully turn the page on more than a year of transatlantic trade battles.

Short of that, Trump has warned the EU should expect "much higher" tariffs -- and has already vowed to raise duties on European cars and trucks from 15 to 25 percent.

The tariff blitz unleashed by Trump before the Turnberry accord, including hefty levies on steel, aluminium and car parts, jolted the bloc into cultivating trade ties around the world.

But the EU cannot afford to neglect the 1.6-trillion-euro ($1.9-trillion) relationship with the United States, its largest trade partner.

Cyprus, which holds the rotating presidency of the EU, said its goal "remains, the swift implementation of the EU-US joint statement".

To reach a compromise with member states, parliament is under pressure to renege on several amendments it added to the text in March which the Americans consider unacceptable.

The head of parliament's trade committee, Bernd Lange, struck an optimistic note, saying the sides had "already made a lot of progress".

"I hope we can reach a compromise, including new propositions," Lange said.

But first, he needs to hammer out a common stance between the parliament's different factions, which looked set to keep haggling until the last moment.

The EU parliament's conditional green light came after months of delay caused by Trump's designs on Greenland and a US Supreme Court ruling striking down many of the president's levies.

The assembly's largest force, the conservative European People's Party to which von der Leyen belongs, is now pushing hard to implement an accord it says is vital to ending a period of damaging uncertainty for EU businesses.

EPP lawmaker Zeljana Zovko told AFP she was "confident that we will get it done".

The EPP has firm support from the hard-right ECR party, whose shadow rapporteur on the file, Kris Van Dijck, also said he was "cautiously optimistic".

But several political groups had yet to make their position public as of Monday night, and it remained unclear how far the majority would compromise to get a deal.

Lawmaker Kathleen Van Brempt of the Socialists and Democrats, parliament's second-biggest group, said they would "engage constructively" but fight for safeguards "to guarantee stability, predictability and protection for European businesses and workers".

One bone of contention is a suspension clause toughened by parliament that would scrap favourable tariff conditions for US exporters, should the United States later breach the terms of the deal.

Another concerns so-called "sunrise" and "sunset" clauses under which the EU side of the accord would kick in once the United States makes fully good on its pledges, and would expire unless renewed in 2028.

Green lawmaker Anna Cavazzini said "the odds are good" but warned member states would need to "budge" on parliament's main priorities.

"These past weeks have shown time and again that Trump is not to be trusted, so the EU needs stronger tools at hand," she said.

Bangladesh Bank has introduced new rules for cashing out money from card-based mobile financial service (MFS) accounts, aiming to strengthen verification and transaction security.
Under the new rules, customers must first complete a successful transaction of up to Tk 500 using the card before linking it with an MFS account. The account can only be connected 24 hours after the transaction is completed.
The circular also said that from August 1 this year, MFS cash withdrawals through cards will be allowed only if the MFS account and the card are verified under the same ownership. Transactions involving mismatched ownership information will not be permitted.

The central bank said the changes will apply to all MFS providers and scheduled banks operating in the country.
In a circular issued by the Payment Systems Department yesterday, the central bank outlined several conditions for card-to-MFS cash withdrawal services. The instructions were sent to managing directors and chief executives of all concerned institutions.

Bangladesh Bank has also instructed service providers to introduce systems that clearly identify transactions as card-based rather than merchant payments.

At the same time, beneficiary account numbers must not remain blank during card-linked transactions.

The central bank warned that institutions failing to make the required changes by July 31 this year would not be allowed to continue offering card-to-MFS cash withdrawal services from August 1.

The circular further said that earlier instructions issued on March 27 last year regarding other transactions through MFS accounts would remain in force. All new directives will take immediate effect.

The government will include provisions or support for every community in the budget for the fiscal year 2026-27 as part of its pledge to democratise the economy.

“Many groups appeared to have been excluded from past budgets. There were no programmes for them-- no support. We will address every group in this budget,” said Finance Minister Amir Khosru Mahmud Chowdhury

He made the remarks in an interview with The Daily Star on the sidelines of the Asian Development Bank’s annual general meeting in the first week of May in Samarkand, Uzbekistan.

Khosru, who previously served as commerce minister during the BNP’s last tenure in power more than two decades ago, is now overseeing both the finance and planning ministries.

The current government’s slogan is the democratisation of the economy. If the economy is to be democratised, every group must be included, and the benefits of the economy must reach their homes, he said.

“We are planning the budget with this in mind.”

Khosru said the government had little time to formulate the upcoming budget, which is “a difficult task”.

“All indicators of the economy that we received from the previous governments were on the decline. On top of that, there is the war in the Middle East -- we have to face this crisis day after day,” said the minister.

“You can certainly understand how hard it can be. But still, we are optimistic,” he added, noting that when the BNP had previously come to power, it restored macroeconomic stability and discipline in the financial sector.

Bangladesh Bank (BB) has instructed treasury heads of commercial banks to play a responsible role and refrain from manipulating the US dollar exchange rate in order to keep the foreign exchange market stable.

BB Governor Md Mostaqur Rahman gave the instruction at a meeting between the central bank and treasury heads of commercial banks, held at the BB headquarters in Dhaka today.

Treasury heads of three private commercial banks, seeking anonymity, told The Daily Star that the BB governor asked them for suggestions on how to stabilise the forex market and exchange rate.

Recently, several banks increased their forward booking of US dollars, which affected the market, prompting the authorities to call the meeting.

According to them, the governor said the banking regulator does not want to intervene directly in the market and therefore asked banks to behave responsibly.

One of the treasury heads said officials of the central bank raised questions about forward selling and asked banks to rationalise the practice, saying it contributes to volatility in the forex market.

The official also said it would be difficult to stop forward selling as it works like insurance.

Forward selling in the forex market involves entering into an over-the-counter (OTC) contract to sell a specific amount of one currency for another at a predetermined exchange rate on a fixed future date.

It allows businesses and investors to lock in exchange rates and eliminate currency risk.

The treasury heads also said they informed the central bank during the meeting that there is little scope for banks to manipulate the market.

According to them, exchange houses and exporters are more likely to be responsible for market volatility.

The treasury heads also informed the governor that central bank officials had verbally instructed lenders not to increase the US dollar rate, which they described as a form of intervention.

A senior official of the central bank told the newspaper that the banking regulator warned lenders not to get involved in market manipulation.

The interbank exchange rate has been hovering at Tk 122.75 per US dollar for the past one and a half months.

On Tuesday, banks were buying US dollars at Tk 122.75 per dollar and selling them at Tk 123.50 per dollar.

To keep the forex market stable, the banking regulator has also continued buying US dollars from the market. Yesterday, it purchased $85 million from six commercial banks at a cut-off rate of Tk 122.75.

As a result, total purchases in the current fiscal year have surpassed $6 billion, according to BB data.

Bangladesh Bank has been buying US dollars since the beginning of the current fiscal year amid improved inflows and easing pressure on the foreign exchange market.

The treasury heads argued that the forex market has not yet become fully market-based.

“Bangladesh Bank still intervenes at times in determining the exchange rate. Even during dollar purchases through auctions, the central bank provides instructions.”

BB Deputy Governor Md Habibur Rahman, Executive Director Sarwar Hossain, Director of the Foreign Exchange Policy Department Md Bayezid Sarker, and other officials of the department were present at the meeting.

Bangladesh’s steel manufacturers yesterday urged the government not to raise electricity tariffs further, saying higher energy costs could deepen the sector’s crisis by triggering production cuts, financial losses and possible factory closures.

At a press briefing organised by the Bangladesh Steel Manufacturers Association (BSMA) at the Economic Reporters’ Forum in Dhaka, industry leaders said the sector was already under pressure from rising utility prices, weak demand, high borrowing costs and low utilisation of installed capacity.

“If electricity prices are increased again, production costs will rise sharply, and many factories may be forced to reduce output. Some could even face partial or complete shutdown,” said Mohammad Jahangir Alam, president of BSMA.

The association said industrial electricity tariffs have risen around 30 percent in recent years, while gas prices for some industries climbed nearly 300 percent, hurting the competitiveness of one of the country’s largest manufacturing sectors.

As part of the ongoing electricity tariff review, the Bangladesh Power Development Board submitted a proposal to the Bangladesh Energy Regulatory Commission seeking higher bulk electricity purchase rates.

BSMA said the proposed tariff hike comes at a time when steel makers are still dealing with the fallout from the Covid-19 pandemic, global supply chain disruptions, the Russia-Ukraine war, exchange rate volatility and geopolitical uncertainty in the Middle East.

The association also criticised demand charges, additional VAT and power factor penalties imposed on industrial consumers, saying those charges effectively act as indirect tariff increases.

According to BSMA, most large steel mills receive electricity through high-voltage connections ranging from 33kV to 230kV, where transmission and distribution losses remain low. Despite this, industries continue to bear additional charges.

It also questioned the power sector’s capacity payment system, claiming that more than Tk 50,000 crore is paid annually in capacity charges even as industries struggle with rising energy bills and inadequate gas supply.

BSMA urged the government to keep electricity prices unchanged for the steel sector, reduce demand charges and VAT, review power factor surcharges and introduce special tariff facilities for high-voltage industrial consumers.

Responding to reporters, BSMA President Jahangir Alam said many mills were operating at a loss amid sluggish construction demand, rising financing costs and increasing production expenses.

He said an additional Tk 2,000 in production costs per tonne would be difficult for the construction sector to absorb and could further slow real estate and infrastructure activities.

“Many factories were built with significantly higher production expectations, but now they are operating at only around 40 percent capacity,” he said.

BSMA Secretary General Suman Chowdhury said electricity accounts for nearly 30 percent of steel production costs, making the industry highly vulnerable to tariff hikes.

According to BSMA, annual steel demand in Bangladesh has fallen to around 40-50 lakh tonnes against the installed production capacity of nearly 1.2 crore tonnes.

Among others, Salam Group Chairman Md Rezaul Karim and BSMA Vice-President Sk Masadul Alam Masud, who is also managing director of Shahriar Steel Mills Ltd, addressed the briefing.

Bangladesh's private bank owners have urged the government to toughen laws to help recover huge default loans and heal the ills facing banks following "massive looting" during the past political regime
They placed the demand Tuesday at a meeting with Finance Minister Amir Khosru Mahmud Chowdhury at his secretariat office in the capital, ahead of a crucial budget coming soon.

Chairman of Bangladesh Association of Banks (BAB) Abdul Hai Sarker led the delegation of bank owners at the meeting, where a detailed discussion took place on banking situation.

"If the government toughens the laws, at least 60 per cent of bad loans can be recovered very easily," Mr Sarker told The Financial Express after the meeting, referring to their talks with the minister.

He says they demanded preparing a law on mandatory physical presence of the loan defaulters at the court dock instead of allowing them to be represented by a lawyer only.

"Many loan defaulters who fled abroad are avoiding repayment of loans, and at the same time, ensuring presence at court by a representative which leads to inordinate delay in loan recovery."

Also, the BAB demanded bringing an amendment regarding how many people of a family can be director of a bank company.

Mr Sarker says they requested the finance minister to take measures so that people's confidence in banking sector can be restored. He says the finance minister has assured the bank owners that the government will follow international best practices in the case of banking sector.

"Necessary measures will be taken to eliminate the irregularities," Mr Sarker quoted the minister as saying.

Earlier, a delegation of the Foreign Investors' Chamber of Commerce and Industry (FICCI), led by its president Rupali Haque Chowdhury, met the finance minister at his office discussing the upcoming national budget for FY 2026-27 and broader economic priorities under the new government.

During the meeting, the two sides exchanged views on the country's investment climate, current economic challenges, and measures needed to attract greater foreign direct investment (FDI).

The FICCI representatives emphasised the importance of a predictable and business-friendly policy environment, highlighting the need for a long-term budgetary roadmap that would enable investors to better anticipate tax structures and make informed investment decisions.

The chamber also stressed the importance of competitive tax policies, policy consistency, and transparency to strengthen investor confidence and enhance Bangladesh's competitiveness among peer economies.

Ms Chowdhury told The Financial Express that during the meeting, they also discussed the corporate tax rate as nominal corporate rates may seem low but the effective tax rate remains excessively high due to various non-deductible expenses and administrative hurdles.

She underscores the need for broadening the tax base rather than increasing pressure on existing taxpayers, a principle the minister reportedly acknowledged as a necessary direction for future budgetary policy.

Senior vice-president of the FICCI Deepal Abeywickrema and vice-president Mohammad Iqbal Chowdhury also attended the meeting, among other directors.

Rather than strengthening the capital market, the government is playing its habitual game of relying on banks for business financing.

This is evident in the central bank's latest decision to expand the single borrower exposure limit from 15 per cent to 25 per cent of a bank's capital.

The suspension of the effectiveness of the previous 15 per cent limit until June 2028 is feared to discourage new listings of companies from large conglomerates.

"The expansion of the exposure limit is a repetition of the same mistake that led to a systematic damage to the financial ecosystem," said Md. Ashequr Rahman, managing director of Midway Securities.

Long-term financing through banks has continued over the years against short-term deposits, which has proved to be disastrous for the banking sector after a substantial amount of loans turned sour.

Before the last national election, key representatives of the BNP said they, if voted to power, would prioritise the capital market instead of the money market in financing.

In November last year, BNP leader Amir Khosru Mahmud Chowdhury, the incumbent finance minister, said at the Bangladesh Economic Summit that the party would put emphasis on energizing the capital market to lessen pressure on banks.Bangladesh travel guide

"We don't want to go to banks that are overused. We want to make the capital market vibrant and we're very serious about it," said Mr Chowdhury at the time.

The ruling party's election manifesto also included plans for the development of the capital market.

"All political parties spoke about a free economy, but eventually they preferred a managed economy after assuming office," said Mr Rahman while speaking with The FE over the phone on the latest policy of the Bangladesh Bank.

The change has been brought apparently to ease financial stress of the borrowers amid economic volatility.

With the high non-performing loan (NPL) ratio, however, the banks will face mounting pressure.

The overall banking sector's NPL ratio stood at over 30 per cent in December last year and deposits grew at a rate of 11.28 per cent year-on-year in February this year.

The deposit growth has not created enough room for fresh lending.

A lender having a 30 per cent NPL ratio means it has to serve purposes worth Tk 100 by Tk 70.

On receipt of fresh deposits worth Tk 11.28, the bank will be able to do the same job with Tk 81.28. Still, there is a shortfall of Tk 18.72. Besides, fresh deposits come with fresh interest liability.Global economy overview

The bank would have been in a better situation in terms of liquidity and for fresh lending had the deposit growth been at least equivalent to the NPL ratio.

In a situation like this, the expansion of the single borrower's exposure limit is not conducive to creating a healthy financial ecosystem.

Mr Rahman, of Midway Securities, said the BB decision is aimed at easing financial stress of business groups but they will borrow money from banks to execute long-term plans. "Will the central bank be able to restore the previous 15 per cent limit after two years?"

In the pre-budget meeting held between the National Board of Revenue (NBR) and stakeholders of the capital market, it was discussed that the companies that would exhaust a certain limit of credit must go to the capital market to raise more capital and that money could be raised through both equity and debt instruments.

After the promise of prioritising the capital market by the government and subsequent discussions in this regard with the revenue board, the central bank expanded the single borrower exposure limit.

Stakeholders of the capital market said both the securities regulator and the central bank are regulatory bodies. But the central bank enjoys the authority to take decisions without consulting other regulators.

On the other hand, since its inception in 1993, the Bangladesh Securities and Exchange Commission (BSEC) has failed to establish its importance before the government and other regulatory bodies.

Alongside the failure of the BSEC, stock exchanges and professional bodies of the capital market have also been unable to play any role in bringing good companies, which heavily rely on bank financing, to the secondary market.

The government is considering the introduction of a refund mechanism for excess minimum tax paid by companies if the amount cannot be adjusted against future profits within a specified period – a move aimed at improving tax fairness and easing a major concern among domestic and foreign investors.

Officials at the National Board of Revenue told The Business Standard that the proposal, likely to be included in the upcoming national budget, would allow business entities to claim refunds of excess minimum tax after three years if they fail to offset the amount against future taxable income.

A senior NBR official, speaking on condition of anonymity, said, "We have long felt that a non-refundable minimum tax system conflicts with international standards and the principles of tax justice. The upcoming budget will contain a positive development in this regard."

Another official said companies would become eligible for such refunds after a set timeframe, which is currently being considered at three years.

"The refund process will be handled through an automated faceless system. Representatives of companies will not need to visit tax offices. Refunds will be automatically credited to their bank accounts," the official added.

Officials also said the NBR plans to strengthen compliance systems and data integration before implementing the refund mechanism to prevent abuse by non-compliant taxpayers.

Welcoming the move, business leaders and tax experts said the proposed reform could significantly improve Bangladesh's investment climate by reducing capital erosion caused by turnover-based taxation.

Under the existing system, companies are required to pay minimum tax based on turnover or gross receipts, regardless of whether they make a profit or incur losses. Businesses have long argued that the inability to recover excess minimum tax has sharply increased their effective tax burden, despite reductions in statutory corporate tax rates in recent years.

Bangladesh currently has around 3 crore registered business entities, although only about 30,000 submit tax returns, according to NBR officials. Minimum tax rates on company turnover range from 1% to 3.5%, while more than 30 other categories of taxpayers are also subject to minimum tax on gross receipts, with rates reaching as high as 20%.

Last year's budget allowed companies to carry forward excess minimum tax for adjustment against future tax liabilities. However, businesses argued that the provision offered little practical relief for firms facing prolonged losses or persistently low profit margins.

Concerns over effective tax burden

Corporate tax rates in Bangladesh have been reduced by nearly 10 percentage points over the past several years. Non-listed companies currently pay 27.5% corporate tax, while listed firms pay between 22.5% and 25%.

Despite these cuts, business groups have argued that high minimum taxes and the absence of refunds have pushed effective tax rates to nearly 50% in some cases.

Minimum tax was first introduced in Bangladesh in the fiscal 2012-13 to address widespread tax evasion among companies that repeatedly declared losses. NBR officials said about 60% of the income tax currently collected is collected as minimum tax.

Former NBR member for income tax policy Syed Md Aminul Karim said the system was originally introduced because the tax authority lacked the capacity to detect profit concealment effectively.

"Many companies used to show losses year after year to evade taxes. Since it was difficult for the NBR to uncover such evasion, the minimum tax system was introduced. However, compliant companies ended up suffering," he said.

Why businesses oppose minimum tax

Under the current regime, businesses must pay tax based on turnover even if their actual taxable income is lower.

For example, if a company pays Tk1 crore in minimum tax at a 2% turnover tax rate, but its final profit-based tax liability is only Tk70 lakh, the excess Tk30 lakh is not refunded under the existing system. As a result, the company's effective tax burden rises above the statutory corporate tax rate.

The problem becomes more severe for companies incurring losses as they are still required to pay minimum tax despite having no taxable income.

Mobile phone operator Robi Axiata said it has paid around Tk1,000 crore more in minimum tax than its actual tax liability over the years. Although the company has recently returned to stronger profitability, allowing it to offset excess taxes, Banglalink, another mobile phone operator, continues to face losses while remaining subject to minimum tax obligations.

The issue has been repeatedly raised by business organisations, including the Foreign Investors' Chamber of Commerce and Industry and the Metropolitan Chamber of Commerce and Industry.

Shahed Alam, chief corporate and regulatory officer of Robi Axiata, said turnover tax remains a major obstacle to business growth.

He added that the turnover tax imposes tax on gross revenue without considering whether a company is profitable or loss-making, making the system inconsistent with the principles of fair taxation.

Taimur Rahman, chief corporate and regulatory affairs officer of Banglalink, said, "Banglalink has been subject to minimum tax since FY2015 and, up to FY2024, the company has paid approximately Tk938.90 crore under the minimum tax regime. Since these taxes were paid despite the absence of taxable profits, the minimum tax mechanism has had a significant impact on the company's cash flow and investment capacity."

Wide coverage of minimum tax regime

Under the current Income Tax Act, mobile phone operators are subject to a 1.5% minimum tax on annual turnover. Manufacturers of carbonated beverages, sugary products and tobacco products face a 3% rate, while most other companies pay 1%.

Individuals with annual gross receipts exceeding Tk3 crore are also subject to a 1% minimum tax.

Exporters are required to pay 1% tax on export proceeds, while at least 32 withholding tax provisions are also treated as minimum tax, meaning taxpayers cannot reclaim excess deductions even if their final tax liability is lower.

Experts welcome proposed reform

SK Zami Chowdhury, managing partner of chartered accountancy firm Chowdhury Emdad and Company, said the proposed refund mechanism would help establish greater tax fairness.

"However, the authorities must first ensure that loopholes for tax evasion are properly addressed before implementing the refund system," he said.

Syed Md Aminul Karim said taxing businesses without income contradicts the fundamental philosophy of taxation.

"Introducing a refund system would be a positive and necessary step," he added.

Welcoming the reform initiative, Banglalink's Taimur Rahman said, "The proposed refund mechanism for unadjusted minimum tax is a positive and constructive step, which would help reduce long-term financial pressure on businesses operating in challenging market conditions."

Listed companies in Bangladesh may soon have to overhaul their boards under rules that would limit independent director tenures, bar executives from holding dual roles and give the securities regulator direct power to remove directors.
The changes have been proposed in the draft “Bangladesh Securities and Exchange Commission (Corporate Governance) Rules, 2026” published by the commission for stakeholder feedback recently.
The draft, open for comments until May 31, would replace the existing corporate governance code with a more comprehensive rule-based framework, tightening oversight over board composition, executive appointments, subsidiary operations and documentation requirements.

INDEPENDENT DIRECTORS
Some of the major proposed changes relate to independent directors.

The draft states that an independent director can serve a maximum of two consecutive three-year terms, after which a three-year gap is required before reappointment.

The post of independent directors cannot remain vacant for more than 90 days, it also states.

The BSEC has also proposed giving itself direct authority to directly remove independent directors found to pose “a risk to the future of the company.”

The commission may make a pool of eligible candidates for independent director positions, with remuneration governed by board-approved policy and specified in appointment letters, according to the draft.

Independent directors must have at least 12 years of cumulative experience across business, corporate, government offices, academic or professional fields. However, female independent directors would need at least eight years.

BOARD AND TOP MANAGEMENT

The draft rules require that boards include at least one female director – a directive the BSEC has been pushing for years.

In a bid to strengthen separation of powers, the proposed rules mandate that the chairman and managing director or CEO must be different individuals .The chairman must also be elected from among non-executive directors.

Any director of a stock exchange, depository, central counterparty, stockbroker, stock dealer or merchant banker — except an independent director representing a holding company — would be ineligible to serve on the board of a listed company.

Under the proposed rules, a CEO or managing director of a listed company cannot simultaneously hold the same position at another listed company.

The posts of CEO, company secretary, chief financial officer (CFO) and head of internal audit and compliance must each be held by separate individuals. In addition, none of them can hold executive positions at another company concurrently, though the commission may allow CFOs or company secretaries to serve within group companies under certain conditions.

The draft rules also state that no top executive can be removed without board approval and immediate disclosure to the commission and stock exchanges.

AUDIT COMMITTEE AND GOVERNANCE

The audit committee must meet at least four times a year and include at least one financially literate independent director with a minimum of 10 years of accounting or financial management experience.

The BSEC has further proposed stronger documentation requirements for board and shareholder meetings.

The draft rules state that companies must preserve board and shareholder meeting minutes permanently, record online participation details and formally document dissenting opinions. Directors whose objections are not recorded in minutes can file complaints with the commission within 30 days.

All listed companies must arrange governance programmes for directors within one year of the rules taking effect. Newly appointed directors may also be required to complete certification programmes from institutions recognised by the commission.

The new rules will apply to all companies with ordinary shares listed on the main board, the SME board and alternative trading board of the stock exchanges, as well as any public interest entity.

SUBSIDIARIES

The rules propose tighter oversight of subsidiary companies as well.

At least one independent director from the holding company — preferably the chairman of the audit committee — would have to sit on the board of the subsidiary company.

Holding company boards and audit committees would also be required to review subsidiary affairs, investments and inter-company transactions.

The regulator will review the feedback before finalising the framework.

In Bangladesh today, the greatest struggle for ordinary citizens is no longer political uncertainty; it is economic survival. For millions of families, the daily challenge is not debating national issues but simply affording basic necessities. A visit to any local market reveals the reality: middle-income families are cutting back on groceries, while low-income households are struggling to afford even the most essential items.

At such a critical moment, the proposal by the National Board of Revenue (NBR) to increase the source tax on essential commodities from 0.5 percent to 1 percent raises serious concerns. The proposed tax hike would affect key everyday goods such as rice, pulses, edible oil, and fruits. While the increase may appear marginal on paper, its consequences in Bangladesh’s fragile market structure could be far-reaching.

In theory, a 0.5 percent increase may seem insignificant. In practice, however, additional taxation rarely remains confined to importers or wholesalers. Importers pass the extra cost on to wholesalers, wholesalers shift the burden to retailers, and retailers ultimately transfer it to consumers. In economic terms, this is known as cost pass-through, and in Bangladesh, the final burden almost always falls on ordinary citizens — basically, the final consumers.

At a time when inflation continues to erode purchasing power, such a move risks deepening public hardship. Inflation in Bangladesh is no longer an abstract economic indicator; it is a harsh daily reality. Families that once managed their monthly budgets comfortably are now forced to cut spending before the month ends. Many households have reduced their consumption of fish, meat, and fruits, while others are struggling to maintain basic nutrition.

The most troubling aspect of this proposed tax increase is that it targets essential goods — items people cannot simply stop buying. Rice, pulses, and cooking oil are not luxury products; they are necessities. Economists describe these products as having “inelastic demand,” meaning consumers must continue purchasing them even when prices rise. As a result, higher taxes on these items disproportionately hurt lower- and middle-income families.

Such decisions not only create economic pressure but also carry political repercussions because ordinary people determine a large part of their satisfaction or dissatisfaction with the government based on their everyday experiences. When people see that their incomes are not increasing but their daily expenses are rising, questions about the government’s economic management naturally emerge.

History has repeatedly shown that prolonged increases in living costs create widespread social stress and public dissatisfaction. It has been observed in various countries that a prolonged rise in commodity prices creates stress in the daily lives of ordinary people and increases expectations from the government.

In Bangladesh too, people naturally want the government to play an effective role in controlling the market situation and keeping the prices of essential commodities at a tolerable level. Therefore, it is important to consider the purchasing power of the general public and the overall market reality when making such decisions in the current situation. Timely and people-friendly measures can strengthen public trust in the government.

This expectation becomes even more significant considering the government’s repeated commitments to building a just, humane, and prosperous Bangladesh — often referred to as “Bangladesh First” — by reducing poverty, strengthening social protection, and improving living standards. Election promises emphasized lowering the cost of living and creating a more efficient market system. Yet imposing additional taxes on basic necessities appears inconsistent with those commitments.

Certainly, taxation remains essential for any government. Revenue is needed to fund infrastructure, education, healthcare, and social welfare programmes. However, an important question must be asked: should revenue generation come at the expense of ordinary people’s kitchens?

Bangladesh has long faced allegations of large-scale tax evasion, loan defaults, illicit financial outflows, and administrative inefficiencies involving billions of taka. If the government chooses to increase taxes on basic goods without taking stronger action against major tax evaders and financial irregularities, it risks reinforcing public perceptions of inequality and unfairness.

Consumer confidence remains a critical driver of economic growth. When households have less disposable income, demand declines, small businesses suffer, and economic activity slows. While taxing essential goods may generate short-term revenue, it could create long-term economic and political costs.

The responsibility of a government extends far beyond revenue collection; it must also safeguard the welfare and dignity of its citizens. At a time when many families are already struggling with rising living costs, imposing additional financial burdens through higher taxes on essential commodities is both economically questionable and socially insensitive.

Instead, policymakers should prioritize broadening the tax base, curbing wasteful public expenditures, addressing tax evasion, and strengthening market regulation to ensure greater efficiency and fairness in revenue generation.

The success of a government should not be assessed solely through large-scale infrastructure projects or ambitious development agendas. It must also be measured by its ability to reduce the everyday hardships faced by ordinary citizens. The proposed increase in source tax on essential goods is not merely a fiscal measure; it carries significant implications for household affordability, market stability, and public confidence in government policies.

Given Bangladesh’s current economic challenges, the need of the hour is to identify alternative revenue streams and implement meaningful reforms in market governance without placing further pressure on low- and middle-income households. Development, in its truest sense, should improve the quality of life for citizens, not make it more difficult.

The country's private sector credit growth fell to a historic low of 4.72% in March this year, reflecting weak business confidence, slowing investment and mounting uncertainty in the economy.

Economists and bankers said political uncertainty eased somewhat after the February election, but the deeper problems discouraging investment and new business activity remain unresolved.

In addition, the fuel crisis emerged as another contributing factor in March, leading to a sharp slowdown in bank lending growth compared with previous levels, they said.

Private sector credit growth had been declining steadily in recent months, falling from 6.58% in November 2025 to 6.20% in December, and then to 6.03% in both January and February 2026, before dropping sharply in March, central bank sources confirmed.

Outstanding loans to the private sector stood at Tk23.35 lakh crore in March 2026, according to Bangladesh Bank data.

Speaking to The Business Standard, Mustafizur Rahman, distinguished fellow at Centre for Policy Dialogue, said, "The major trend indicates that it is not increasing. Both necessary and sufficient factors are at work here."

"The necessary factor is political stability, which has improved somewhat after the election. But the sufficient factors – such as the cost of doing business, inflation, logistics policies and several other issues – have not seen any major changes."

He said the energy crisis added further pressure in March. "These problems already existed, and energy became an additional challenge. Inflation, the cost of doing business and other factors have created uncertainty," he added.

The Bangladesh Bank has been publishing private sector credit growth data since 2003. A review of the data shows March recorded the lowest growth in the past 24 years.

A deputy managing director of a private bank told TBS that many businesses shut down after the fall of the Awami League government, while others are operating far below capacity.

He said several factories owned by large business groups, including Nassa Group, Beximco Group and Gazi Group, had closed, reducing demand for bank borrowing. "When factories were operational, they imported capital machinery. But even the firms still running have reduced production by 60-70%," he said.

Bankers question BB's policy direction

Several managing directors of private banks told TBS they remain unclear about the central bank's policy direction in dealing with the current economic challenges.

Bankers said lending decisions depend heavily on broader policy clarity, including interest rates, exchange rates and inflation trends. They explained that when businesses seek loans for new investments or ventures, banks assess the overall policy environment, borrowing costs and the likely movement of the US dollar before approving financing.

One private bank managing director said the governor had spoken about lowering lending rates, but questioned how feasible that would be at a time of high inflation.

He also criticised Bangladesh Bank for holding the dollar exchange rate at Tk122.75 despite pressure on the local currency. Another MD said the central bank's decision to cap trade finance interest rates at 3% during a crisis period had created concerns.

He noted that the cost of foreign borrowing currently stands at SOFR plus 2.5%, while the additional cap on UPAS financing – a foreign currency-based import financing system – would further limit financing opportunities.

"If financing through UPAS becomes difficult, banks will have to lend in local currency at interest rates of 12-13%. The central bank believes this will increase credit growth, which is why rates on trade finance have been lowered. But this decision is not correct – it is a mistake," he said.

Another bank MD said businesses and banks remained uncertain about the central bank's main priority – whether it was controlling inflation, lowering interest rates or boosting GDP growth.

"There were expectations that many new projects would emerge after the election, but that has not happened," he said.

He added that the government's heavy borrowing from banks because of a revenue shortfall could further increase interest rates and crowd out private sector borrowers. "There is also uncertainty over where the exchange rate will stand in the next six months," he said.

Another bank MD said many large corporate firms had sought policy support from the central bank, signalling financial distress. "When companies need policy support, banks become less willing to finance them. It also becomes very difficult for those firms to make new investments or expand business operations," he said.

Banks shift towards government securities

With demand for private sector loans weakening, banks have increasingly turned to treasury bills and bonds for income.

A senior official at a private bank said lenders were moving towards safer government securities amid weak private investment.

At the same time, the government has been borrowing heavily from banks through treasury bills and bonds, including an additional Tk10,000 crore outside the regular borrowing calendar during the October-December quarter.

Limited opportunities for private investment have allowed banks to earn nearly 11% interest on what are effectively risk-free government securities. For many conventional banks, a growing share of income now comes from this segment.

Despite concerns at the start of 2025 over rising deposit rates, high inflation, political uncertainty and weak loan demand, stronger private banks have posted higher profits largely through earnings from government securities rather than loan expansion.

Bangladesh Bank data showed the government collected Tk33,000 crore through treasury bills in March this year. In April, the amount rose 39% month-on-month to Tk46,000 crore.

Of that amount, Tk32,800 crore was used to repay liabilities from previously issued treasury bills, leaving the government's net borrowing through treasury bills at Tk13,200 crore in April.

Despite achieving healthy economic growth over the past decade, Bangladesh’s economy is now showing signs of strain due to persistent inflation and slowing private investment, exposing underlying weaknesses, experts said at an event yesterday.

“Bangladesh faced the Middle East crisis with several existing vulnerabilities, including persistent inflation, weak investment growth and financial sector stress,” said Dhruv Sharma, senior economist at the World Bank.

He made the remark while presenting a keynote speech at the seminar on “Bangladesh Development Update: Special Focus - A Business Environment that Delivers Jobs” jointly organised by Policy Research Institute of Bangladesh (PRI) and the World Bank at the PRI auditorium.

Although Bangladesh Bank has succeeded in bringing inflation down from around 12.5 percent to nearly 9 percent, tighter monetary policy alone cannot fully address the inflationary pressures, which are being fuelled less by excess demand and more by inefficiencies in supply chains, distribution systems and market management, according to Sharma.

World Bank’s Bangladesh-Poverty and Equity Assessment 2025 showed that another 1.4 million people slipped below the poverty line, raising the national poverty rate to 21.4 percent. Sluggish job creation and external shocks, particularly the Middle East conflict, have added to the pressure on households.

He cautioned that prolonged tight monetary conditions are weighing on investment and employment as businesses continue to struggle with high borrowing costs.

Unless wider reforms are made to improve market governance, logistics and the investment climate, hiking interest rates risks further slowing economic growth while failing to substantially ease inflationary pressure, he said.

Bangladesh’s growth model, long driven by cheap labour and protected domestic industries, is no longer delivering sustainable results, said Fahmida Khatun, executive director of the Centre for Policy Dialogue.

She said the country had achieved impressive economic growth over the years, alongside gains in health, education and poverty reduction. But the momentum has weakened since fiscal year 2021-22 as macroeconomic indicators deteriorated under both external shocks and internal vulnerabilities.

She pointed to persistent weaknesses in the banking sector, saying financial institutions were no longer able to adequately support productive private-sector investment with affordable financing.

According to her, many businesses are now focused more on survival than expansion amid regulatory uncertainty, policy unpredictability and bureaucratic delays.

Piecemeal measures would not be enough to restore stability, Fahmida stressed, calling instead for broad institutional reforms in governance, banking, trade policy and labour markets to ensure sustainable and employment-oriented growth.

Foreign investors are increasingly worried about Bangladesh’s unpredictable fiscal and taxation policies, which are hurting long-term investment confidence, said TIM Nurul Kabir, executive director at the Foreign Investors’ Chamber of Commerce and Industry (FICCI).

He said businesses planning investments over 10 years need policy consistency, but sudden changes in taxes and duties are creating uncertainty.

Restoring investor confidence would be a major challenge for the interim government ahead of the budget, he added.

Zaidi Sattar, chairman of the PRI, stressed the need for job-intensive growth, saying employment generation remains central to Bangladesh’s economic and social progress.

Rising youth unemployment posed a serious challenge for policymakers, he said, noting that Bangladesh’s experience over the past three decades showed that growth, employment and poverty reduction moved together.

Ashikur Rahman, principal economist at PRI, warned that Bangladesh’s growth trajectory has weakened since 2019, with slower growth and rising volatility becoming a growing concern.

“The economy’s buffers are now very weak,” he said, stressing that reforms in the financial and revenue sectors were no longer optional.

Rahman cautioned that Bangladesh could face a middle-income trap without urgent reforms and stronger macroeconomic discipline.

Asian share markets were on the skids on Monday as fresh drone attacks in the Gulf shoved oil prices and bond yields higher, while the AI euphoria underpinning the tech bull run will be tested by earnings from Nvidia this week.

A drone strike caused a fire at a nuclear power plant in the United Arab Emirates, while Saudi Arabia reported intercepting three drones, as US President Donald Trump warned that Iran must act "fast" to reach a deal.

Meanwhile, the vital Strait of Hormuz remains closed to all but a trickle of shipping as Tehran tries to formalise its control of the waterway that during normal times carries 20% of the world's oil trade.

"The closure is draining global oil inventories fast," warned analysts at Capital Economics. "Inventories could reach critical levels by end-June, setting the stage for Brent at $130-140pb, if not higher."

"If the strait is closed through year-end and oil stays around $150pb into 2027, that would push inflation to near 10% in the UK and euro zone, send rates back to their recent peaks and lead to global recession."

Brent was trading up 1.9% at $111.34 a barrel, while US crude climbed 2.2% to $107.72 a barrel. Crucially, futures for September climbed above $100 and December hit a contract high as markets braced for protracted shortages.

G7 finance ministers are scheduled to gather in Paris on Monday to discuss the Strait of Hormuz and critical raw material supplies, even as geopolitical differences threaten to test the group's cohesion.

Global bond markets were hammered on Friday on concerns that energy costs would stay high and thus continue to drive inflation.

Yields on US 10-year notes hit a 15-month top of 4.631%, having already surged 23 basis points last week. Yields on 30-year bonds reached 5.159% after jumping 18 basis points on the week.

Japanese yields hit peaks not seen since 1996 as the government proposed issuing fresh debt to fund a planned extra budget to cushion the economic blow from the US-Israeli war on Iran.

Investors in turn feared central banks globally would have to tighten to head off an inflationary spiral and a hike from the Federal Reserve is now seen as a 50-50 chance this year.

Minutes of the Fed's last meeting are out on Wednesday and should show how much pressure there was on the committee for a shift to a neutral stance and away from an easing bias.

New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh will have a chance to air his views at the G7 meeting and analysts are keen to hear whether he still favours the rate cuts that Trump so desires.

Japan's Nikkei eased 0.9%, having fallen 2% last week from record highs. South Korean stocks dipped 0.3%, though Samsung Electronics gained after a court issued a partial injunction against a union strike.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan lost 0.8%. Chinese blue chips lost 0.6%, as economic data disappointed. China's April retail sales edged up 0.2% when analysts had looked for growth of 2.0%, while industrial output rose a sluggish 4.1%.

AI, retail earnings to test the bull run

S&P 500 futures fell 0.6% and Nasdaq futures lost 0.7%. For Europe, EUROSTOXX 50 futures and DAX futures both fell 1.0%, while FTSE futures were flat.

While Wall Street has been supported by upbeat earnings, analysts at Citigroup noted that half of the boost to earnings came from one-time items like tariff add-backs and asset mark-ups. Both the gains in profits and the overall indexes were also tightly based.

"We identify 20 stocks that contributed the majority of index earnings upside," analyst Scott Chronert wrote in a note. "Forward guidance increases also show a similar narrow focus."

"Broadening is a necessary condition for meaningful index upside from here," he added. "This will require a better line of sight to the Iran conflict wind-down."

Rising yields also push up borrowing costs for the US government and home buyers, a negative for the budget deficit and housing markets. They also mean a higher discount for future company earnings, challenging stock valuations.

The all-important AI trade will be tested by earnings from Nvidia that are due on Wednesday, where expectations are sky-high for the world's most valuable company.

Nvidia shares are up 36% since a March low, while the Philadelphia SE semiconductor index has surged more than 60%, amid voracious demand for chips as tech companies spend massively to build AI-related infrastructure.

Also due this week are results from a host of retailers led by Walmart, which will provide an insight into how consumers are faring with high energy prices.

In forex markets, risk aversion has tended to benefit the greenback as the world's most liquid currency. The US is also a net energy exporter, giving it a relative advantage over Europe and much of Asia.

The euro sat at $1.1618 after losing 1.4% last week. The pound wallowed at $1.3311, having dived 2.3% last week as political instability added to already intense pressure on the gilt market.

The dollar held firm against the yen at 158.91, with only the threat of Japanese intervention preventing another speculative assault on the 160.00 chart barrier.

In commodity markets, gold idled at $4,544 an ounce, having drawn little support so far as a safe haven or as a hedge against inflation risks.

Government's highest economic-policy body Monday endorsed an ambitious Tk3.0-trillion annual development programme (ADP) for the upcoming fiscal year with nearly one-third of the money earmarked as block allocations.

Economists forewarn that such huge block allocations could create room for misuse of the public funds and undertaking "politically motivated" projects, but the finance minister says ADP structured on well-defined strategic parameter.

The ADP outlay for fiscal 2026-27 is 30.43-percent higher than the Tk 2.30-trillion original ADP outlay and 50-percent higher than the Tk 2.0 trillion revised one of the outgoing FY2026.

Of the new development-budget outlay, the government has kept aside Tk 973.04 billion as block allocations.

The National Economic Council (NEC) approved the massive ADP for the upcoming FY2026-27 taking implementation challenge after a massive blow in the current fiscal.

Till March this fiscal, the government agencies had executed only 35.57 per cent of the Tk 2.0- trillion RADP.

The NEC in a meeting held at the Planning Commission in Dhaka with NEC Chairperson and Prime Minister Tarique Rahman in the chair gave the seal of approval.City & Local Guides

Briefing reporters following the meeting, Finance and Planning Minister Amir Khosru Mahmud Chowdhury said out of the total Tk 3.0 trillion worth of ADP outlay, the government will finance Tk 1.90 trillion from its domestic resources, while the remaining Tk 1.10 trillion will be sourced through foreign loans and project grants.

"This ambitious development roadmap marks an approximate 50-percent increase from the revised ADP of the current fiscal year, signaling government's intent to ramp up public investment and enhance macroeconomic implementation capacity," he adds.

To a question, the Finance and Planning Minister said, "If we want to reap benefit of our continuous 'population dividend', we have no way but to enhance investment in the education and health sectors for human-capital development.

"Besides, we need more private investment from home and abroad which would be attracted through improving our infrastructure."

The minister explains that the ADP is structured around five key pillars derived from the country's proposed Five-Year Strategic Framework for Reform and Development

The framework transitions Bangladesh from an infrastructure-only model toward a balanced, inclusive framework, he adds.s

The five key pillars include state system reforms focusing on digitisation and the efficiency of law enforcement, inclusive socioeconomic development giving maximum precedence to education, healthcare, and social security.

Besides, Khosru says, economic restructuring, securing energy grids and investing in renewable energy, regional balanced development by improving logistics hubs and coastal infrastructure and socio-cultural cohesion with enhanced social harmony and cultural welfare have also been given focus in the newly formed ADP.

In a departure from traditional infrastructure-heavy development blueprints, the newly approved ADP prioritizes social protection, agricultural assistance, and human-resource development.

"This shift aligns closely with the government's electoral promises to insulate low-income households from inflationary pressures."

To facilitate new social protection schemes and welfare initiatives, the government allocated a record Tk 170 billion for the social safety-net programmes, including "Family Card", "Farmer Card", and "honorarium" to the religious leaders within the development framework.

In the new ADP, the government allocated Tk 1.789 trillion for investment and study projects, Tk 27.96 billion for technical-assistance projects, Tk 39.85 billion for "development fund", Tk 592.76 billion block allocations for different ministries and divisions, Tk 380.274 billion block allocations for Programming Division of the Planning Commission and Tk 170 billion for the social safety-net programmes.

The total number of projects in the upcoming ADP is 1,150 wherein 983 are investment projects, 23 for feasibility study, 109 TA and 45 self-funding.

Former World Bank Lead Economist in Dhaka office Dr Zahid Hussain says since the ministries could apply discretionary powers for getting the funds from the massive block allocations, it could create a room for misuse of the public funds and taking "politically motivated" projects.

"In another way, since the funds are not specified yet for any specific projects, the government could be able to cut the ADP size at the end of the fiscal if agencies fail to implement those fully or if the revenue generation becomes low like in the previous years," he told the FE.

The NEC also approved a Tk 89.248 billion worth of development budget for the autonomous and semi-autonomous government bodies.
Planning Commission officials say those funds will ensure flexible financing for flagship initiatives, such as the expanded "Family Card" and "Farmer Card" programmes, alongside targeted social-development assistance.

While social-safety initiatives heavily influence the budgetary philosophy, the transport and communications sector retains the highest traditional sectoral funding at Tk 500.92 billion or 16.7 per cent of the total ADP.

The education sector follows closely with Tk 475.91 billion, while healthcare is set to receive Tk 355.35 billion and the power and energy sector has been allocated Tk 326.91 billion.

Among ministries and divisions, Local Government Division has been accorded the largest individual share, totalling Tk 337.35 billion.

Addressing longstanding implementation challenges, the NEC has directed all ministries and divisions to strictly prioritize projects that are scheduled to be completed by June 2027.

The Planning Ministry emphasizes that stricter oversight mechanisms and new criteria for appointing project directors will be deployed to optimize fiscal discipline and curb discretionary spending during the upcoming fiscal year.

The Dhaka Stock Exchange has announced an updated schedule for its office and trading operations in line with the government-declared Eid-ul-Adha holiday period.

According to the announcement, the DSE will continue its regular office and trading activities on Saturday, 23 May and Sunday, 24 May following normal trading hours.

The exchange will then remain closed from 25 to 31 May due to the official Eid-ul-Adha holidays.

Normal trading and office operations will resume on 1 June.