Although the introduction of family and farmers’ cards may bring some relief, excessive reliance on bank borrowing to finance the budget deficit is harmful to the economy, said Fahmida Khatun, executive director of the Centre for Policy Dialogue (CPD).

She made the remarks yesterday at a shadow parliament debate programme organised by Debate for Democracy at the Bangladesh Film Development Corporation (FDC) in Dhaka.

Fahmida said government social safety net initiatives, such as the family and farmers’ card, are promising, but their success depends on transparency and accountability in selecting and managing beneficiaries.

She added that past social protection schemes have often suffered from irregularities and corruption.

Fahmida also said subsidies must be properly targeted, with priority given to agriculture, irrigation, and public transport.

She stressed that the next budget should set clear policy directions-- given limited resource mobilisation, and ensure cost-efficiency.

Fahmida further said that the government depends heavily on borrowing from the banking sector, including the central bank, to cover budget deficits, which she described as harmful.

She argued that greater emphasis should instead be placed on external financing sources.

She also suggested temporarily waiving VAT on imported goods amid global volatility to reduce pressure on consumers. Such a step during Ramadan in the past helped lower prices in local markets, she said, although weak market management could limit its full impact.

Hassan Ahamed Chowdhury Kiron, chairman of Debate for Democracy, said the country’s economy is going through a difficult period due to multiple global and domestic challenges.

He said the current government has taken office at a time when the country is suffering from years of crisis-- the Covid-19 pandemic, the Russia-Ukraine war, economic damage from previous administrations, conflicts in the Middle East, energy shortages, rising inflation, low investment, limited job opportunities, high levels of loan defaults, and pressure from foreign debt.

He added that the US-Israel war on Iran has further worsened the global economic situation.

Rising global commodity prices and higher fuel costs due to Middle East tensions have increased the cost of living in the country, Kiron said in a statement after the programme.

He stressed that in a global recessionary situation, political unity is needed to maintain a tolerable standard of living without putting extra pressure on the government.

He also said both the government and the opposition must act responsibly, learn from past experiences, and avoid undermining each other, while a strong mandate holder should ensure public support by maintaining people’s comfort.

Kiron suggested temporarily reducing VAT and taxes on essential goods and expanding the affordable food supply through open market sales and the Trading Corporation of Bangladesh.

He also called for stronger social safety nets and more programmes like the family and farmers’ card to protect low- and middle-income groups.

Finally, he said the budget should be people-friendly, business-friendly, cautious, sustainable, balanced, and implementable, without putting pressure on lower-middle-income groups, while also helping stabilise prices and support investment and job creation.

In the shadow parliament debate titled “Rising cost of living is driven not by fuel price hikes but by global conditions,” debaters from Kabi Nazrul Government College defeated Dhaka College to win the competition.

Bangladesh is set to issue its eighth government investment Sukuk worth Tk 59 billion (Tk 5,900 crore) to finance the construction and development of important bridges on rural roads under a revised project, according to an official statement.
FE

The seven-year “CIBRR-1 Socio-Economic Development Sukuk” will be issued under the project titled Construction of Important Bridges on Rural Roads (1st Revised). The prospectus and Shariah declaration of the Sukuk have already been finalised with approval from the Shariah Advisory Committee under the Debt Management Department.

The auction for the Sukuk will be held for the first time on May 13, 2026, using Bangladesh Bank’s in-house Shariah Securities Module (SSM) system.

According to the prospectus, Sukuk will be issued through an auction-based lease structure with a face value of Tk 59 billion (Tk 5,900 crore), maturing on May 14, 2033.

Investors will receive a total rental return of Tk 42.95 billion (Tk 4,295.20 crore) over seven years, equivalent to an annual return of 10.40 percent, payable on a semi-annual basis.

Banks and financial institutions having current or Al-Wadiah accounts with Bangladesh Bank will be eligible to participate directly in the auction. In addition, domestic and foreign individual investors, corporate bodies, investment companies, insurance companies, provident funds and deposit insurance funds may also participate through eligible banks and financial institutions maintaining accounts with Bangladesh Bank.

Investors will be able to submit bids online through the SSM system using their Sukuk Investor (SI) ID in multiples of Tk 10,000 between 10:00am and 3:00pm on May 13, 2026.

New investors must complete their SI ID registration through their respective banks by May 12, 2026.

The successful bidders will be informed of their allotted Sukuk amount through their respective accounts at 4:00pm on the auction day, the statement said.

Bangladesh government has sought extended financial and technical supports from foreign development partners to weather the economic shocks stemming from the Gulf crisis and to accelerate implementation of its election pledges, officials say.
FE

Formal requests for the support were despatched to a broad coalition of multilateral and bilateral lenders recently, officials from the Economic Relations Division (ERD) told the FE Saturday. The list of financiers includes the World Bank, the Asian Development Bank (ADB), Japan, the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB), German lender KfW, and the OPEC Fund for International Development (OFID).

The Finance Adviser to the Prime Minister, Dr Rashed Al Mahmud Titumir, sat with Bangladesh's development partners in Dhaka in the just-past last month to convince the development partners about the urgency. GeographicReference

At the meeting, some of the DPs assured of supporting the government in implementing its poll manifesto and overcome the exigencies, the ERD officials say.

The move comes as the government seeks to "weather the impact" of volatility in the Gulf region, which has significant implications for Bangladesh's energy costs and remittance inflows.

Beyond crisis management, the funding is intended to provide the fiscal space necessary to execute the socioeconomic promises laid out in the government's recent election manifesto.

"After the meeting, we have formally written to the DPs to help Bangladesh," says one official.

According to the ERD officials, the ADB and the WB have already assured of extending their budget support to Bangladesh amid the current gulf crisis.

Although the ADB earlier had assured of some US$750 million worth of budgetary support for Bangladesh within this fiscal year (FY), 2025-26, it now assured of enhancing the proposed financing to $1.0 billion following Bangladesh's request, says a senior ERD official.

The World Bank is expected to provide at least $500 million worth of budget support to help weather the Gulf crisis as well as meet the immediate needs of the newly elected government, especially for the social-safety-net programmes and reforms, he adds.

"In addition to our traditional bilateral and multilateral donors, we have already requested some non-traditional ones, including KFW, OFID, AIIB and Middle-eastern countries, to offer financial and technical supports to Bangladesh," the ERD official says.Financial

In a proactive bid to secure these commitments, Dr Rashed Al Mahmud Titumir held a high-level meeting with representatives of the development partners in Dhaka last month.

Sources privy to the discussions note that the Finance Adviser underscored the urgency of the situation, emphasizing the need for both concessional loans and technical cooperation to maintain the country's growth trajectory.

The ERD officials indicate that the requested support would be channeled into several key areas, including macroeconomic stabilization, offsetting the rising costs of fuel and commodities linked to the Gulf turmoil, advancing megaprojects and regional-connectivity initiatives in line with national development goals.

The government has also sought support in the social-safety-net programmes for ensuring the election manifesto's focus on poverty reduction and social protection, say the officials.

While the development partners have historically been supportive of Bangladesh's developmental journey, the scale of this coordinated request highlights the complexity of the current global economic climate, they add.

"The government is looking for a comprehensive partnership to not only overcome immediate hurdles but to build a more resilient Bangladesh," another ERD official says, indicating newer

"The discussions led by Dr Titumir were a crucial step in aligning our development partners with our national priorities."

The ERD is expected to engage in follow-up technical negotiations with individual lenders in the coming weeks to finalize the volumes and terms of the prospective aid packages, he adds.

Gold rose on Thursday on ‌dip-buying, but was on track for a second straight monthly fall as elevated oil prices kept fears of inflation and higher-for-longer interest rates alive.

Spot gold was up 1 percent at $4,588.09 per ounce, as of ​0736 GMT, after falling to its lowest point since March 31 in ​the last session. Bullion was down about 1.7 percent so far this month.

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US gold futures for June delivery rose 0.4 percent to $4,578.10.

“Gold has struggled again this month ​as oil strength has dominated the narrative. Rising crude pushes up inflation expectations and interest ​rate forecasts, which in turn caps gold’s appeal,” said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade.

However, “a combination of bargain-hunting and expectations that a peaceful resolution to the (US-Iran) conflict will be found at ​some point are providing something of a floor for gold,” he said.

Brent crude ​rose above $124 a barrel on a report that the US was considering potential military action against Iran to ‌break ⁠the deadlock in negotiations to end the war, increasing concerns about more supply disruptions to already curtailed Middle East exports.

The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady on Wednesday, but in its most divided decision since 1992 noted rising concerns about inflation in a policy ​statement that drew ​three dissents from officials ⁠who no longer feel the US central bank should communicate a bias towards lowering borrowing costs.

Traders are now pricing in no ​Fed rate cuts this year, with markets seeing a 30 percent chance ​of a ⁠hike by March 2027, sharply up from roughly 5 percent a day prior.

While gold is traditionally seen as a hedge against inflation, high interest rates weigh on its appeal as ⁠a non-yielding ​asset.

The government has selected two Chinese companies to drill three wells at different locations across the country at a cost of Tk 945 crore.

The Cabinet Committee on Government Purchase approved the firms for key energy exploration projects at its 19th meeting, held yesterday and chaired by Finance Minister Amir Khosru Mahmud Chowdhury. The projects aim to strengthen the country’s gas and oil reserves.

Under a BAPEX project, two exploratory wells -- Srikail Deep-1 and Mobarakpur Deep-1 -- will be drilled as part of a three-well programme. The contract for these two wells was awarded to CNPC Chuanqing Drilling Engineering Company Limited at a cost of Tk 713 crore.

The committee also approved the drilling of the Sylhet-12 oil well under a separate project. The contract was awarded to Sinopec International Petroleum Service Corporation (SIPSC) at a cost of Tk 232 crore, covering drilling and related works.

Foreign financing received by Bangladesh fell 19 percent year-on-year in the July-March period of fiscal year 2025-26 (FY26), mainly due to the slow implementation of foreign-funded development projects.

The government received $3.89 billion in foreign loans during the nine months of FY26, down from $4.80 billion in the same period of the previous fiscal year, according to provisional data from the External Resources Division (ERD) published yesterday.

Data from the Implementation Monitoring and Evaluation Division under the Ministry of Planning showed that implementation of the foreign-funded Annual Development Programme (ADP) stood at 34.56 percent in July-March this year, slightly lower than 35.8 percent in the same period last year.

Of the loans received by Bangladesh, Russia disbursed $828 million, according to ERD data.

However, debt servicing rose to $3.52 billion during July-March, up 9 percent from $3.21 billion a year earlier. Interest payments accounted for $1.24 billion of the total repayment.

ERD data also showed that commitments from both multilateral and bilateral lenders declined during the period.

Total commitments in July-March FY26 stood at $2.80 billion, down 6.6 percent year-on-year. All commitments during this period were in the form of project assistance.

The government has formed a high-powered panel to review the widely discussed ordinances on revenue reform framed by the Prof Muhammad Yunus-led interim administration.

The ordinance and its subsequent amendment on Revenue Policy and Revenue Management, along with 12 other ordinances, lost validity as the parliament failed to ratify them within the constitutionally mandated 30-day period since its first sitting on March 12.

According to a Cabinet Division notification issued on April 28, the nine-member panel will be headed by Ismail Zabiullah, the prime minister’s adviser on public administration, to re-examine the Revenue Policy and Revenue Management Ordinance and its amendment.

Framed in May 2025, the ordinances sought to separate tax policy formulation from collection and to form two divisions by dissolving the NBR, which drew massive protests from revenue officials in June
The committee includes Rashed Al Mahmud Titumir, adviser to the prime minister on finance and planning, along with the cabinet secretary and secretaries of the finance, public administration, and legislative divisions.

The National Board of Revenue (NBR) chairman will serve as the member-secretary of the panel to review the ordinance and make recommendations to propose a new bill for revenue reform, a key condition tied to the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) $5.5 billion loan programme approved for Bangladesh.

Multilateral lenders, including the IMF, had long advocated reforms in the tax system and administration to boost revenue collection, as Bangladesh has one of the world’s lowest tax-to-GDP ratios.

Framed in May 2025, the ordinances sought to separate tax policy formulation from collection and to form two divisions by dissolving the NBR, which drew massive protests from revenue officials in June.

The process of separation was further delayed in the later months due to bureaucratic wrangling over the organogram and rules of business.

Subsequently, the interim administration left office, leaving the implementation of the law to the next elected government.

At a meeting with the Economic Reporters’ Forum on April 25, Finance Minister Amir Khosru Mahmud Chowdhury termed the country’s tax framework historically “half-baked” and said a new committee has been formed to separate tax policy from execution, ensuring future policies “genuinely reflect the will of the people.”

US ​exports of liquefied natural gas to Asia jumped in April, with American producers helping offset reduced supplies ‌from Middle Eastern exporters as the Iran war curtailed output in the region, preliminary ship-tracking data from financial firm LSEG showed.

Nearly a quarter of all US LNG exports went to Asia during the month, marking a sharp increase since the conflict ​began in late February and underscoring the growing role of the US as a swing supplier amid elevated prices and strained ​global gas flows.

Shipments to Asia have risen more than 175 percent since the US and ⁠Israel launched strikes on Iran, climbing from about 970,000 metric tons in February to 1.99 million metric tons (MT) in ​March and 2.71 MT in April, the data show.

Asian spot LNG prices remained elevated. The Japan Korea ​Marker benchmark averaged $17.92 per million British thermal units (mmBtu) in April, down slightly from $18.27 in March but still about 17 percent above Europe’s TTF benchmark, which averaged $15.34 per mmBtu in April, down from $17.99 in March.

The increase in US shipments to Asia came ​even as overall LNG exports slipped from a record high in March, falling to 10.97 MT in April ​from 11.7 MT in March, LSEG data showed.

The decline was largely due to April having one fewer day than March ‌and ⁠delays in cargo loadings. Gas flows to US LNG export plants reached a record 18.8 billion cubic feet per day during April, up from the previous peak of 18.7 bcfd in February, according to LSEG.

The US shipped its first LNG from the Golden Pass terminal in April with a single cargo sent to Belgium. ​Golden Pass - a joint ​venture between QatarEnergy (QATPE.UL) and ⁠Exxon Mobil XOM.N - drew just under 300 million cubic feet per day of gas during the month but exported one cargo, which may have contributed to the ​gap between record feedgas demand and lower LNG exports.

Europe remained the top destination for ​US LNG, ⁠receiving 6.14 MT, or just under 56 percent of April exports, according to the data. Egypt was also an active buyer, importing about 710,000 metric tons of US LNG during the month, more than the total 500,000 metric tons ⁠shipped ​to Latin America.

One cargo was delivered to South Africa, a ​rare destination for US LNG. Nine LNG vessels that departed US ports in April were still seeking buyers, including two anchored near ​the Suez Canal, ship-tracking data showed.

An Iranian proposal on negotiations with the U.S. sent crude oil futures diving on Friday, ‌but prices remained on track for weekly gains, with Tehran still blocking the Strait of Hormuz and the U.S. Navy blocking exports of Iranian crude.

Brent crude futures for July settled at $108.17, down $2.23 a barrel, or 2.02%. West Texas Intermediate futures finished at $101.94 a barrel, down $3.13, or 2.98%.

Iran sent its latest proposal for negotiations with the United States to Pakistani mediators on Thursday, state news agency IRNA reported on Friday, a ⁠move that could improve prospects for breaking an impasse in efforts to end the Iran war.

Still, the Brent benchmark and WTI were poised for a 2.95% gain over the week. Brent's June contract hit $126.41 a barrel on Thursday, marking the highest level since March 2022, before ending the session down.

"This Iran proposal has given hope to the market that there is an off-ramp for the United States," said Phil Flynn, senior analyst with Price Futures Group.

Oil prices have been on the rise since the U.S. and Israel attacked Iran at the end of February, resulting in the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and the disruption of shipments of about a fifth of ‌the world’s ⁠oil and liquefied natural gas supply.

A ceasefire has been in place since April 8. UAE presidential adviser Anwar Gargash said on Friday Tehran could not be trusted over any unilateral arrangements it makes for the Strait of Hormuz, in a sign of deep mistrust on all sides.

By the end of trading on Friday, the oil market appeared to be accepting the uneasy truce in ⁠the conflict.

"The market rises and falls on the prospects of an outcome to the conflict," said John Kilduff, partner with Again Capital. "And right now the situation is a stalemate, at least until the market closes."

A senior official of Iran's Revolutionary Guards had ⁠threatened on Thursday "long and painful strikes" on U.S. positions if Washington renewed attacks on Iran, pushing oil prices to intraday peaks before retreating.

U.S. President Donald Trump was scheduled to receive a briefing on Thursday on plans for a ⁠series of fresh military strikes on Iran to compel it to negotiate an end to the conflict, a U.S. official told Reuters.

Washington did not immediately announce any details of its plans.

Bangladesh is facing a deep economic crisis and may need to endure "two difficult years" to recover, Finance Minister Amir Khosru Mahmud Chowdhury warns.
FE

As such, he says, the government is likely to take measures that may not be popular.

During discussion on the motion of thanks on the President's address in parliament on Thursday, the minister said, "We may have to endure hardship for two years. The next two years will be difficult. We will have to make many decisions and steps some of which may not be popular."

Presenting what he describes as a grim picture of the economy, the finance minister said the country's tax-to-GDP ratio has fallen below 7.0 per cent, the lowest in South Asia. The poverty rate stands at 29.93 per cent, prompting him to remark: "Look at the condition we are in now in terms of the economy."

He further mentions that capital-machinery imports, which were 53 per cent during the last tenure of the Bangladesh Nationalist Party, have dropped sharply to 14.5 per cent. Private -sector credit growth has also declined to 6.0 per cent compared to 18.2 per cent in 2005-06. Default loans in the banking sector have surged to 30 per cent. "When a country's banking sector has this scale of non-performing loans, the economy almost grinds to a halt," he tells the newly elected parliament after a political changeover. Politics

The custodian of exchequer further notes that the government currently provides annual subsidies amounting to Tk 360 billion, with an additional Tk 200-300 billion required this year.

External overdue payments stand at US$508 million for fuel imports and $737 million for gas.

The deposed administration has been accused of widespread "corruption, looting and money laundering" across the banking sector and other industries during its one-and-a-half-decade rule, he points out. A white paper was prepared under the interim government led by Muhammad Yunus to assess the state of the economy.

In addition, he informs the House, the Anti-Corruption Commission has filed cases against several industrial groups, Sheikh Hasina, and members of her family on allegations that include money laundering. Measures such as asset seizures and freezing of bank accounts have also been taken.

Despite these efforts, the economy has yet to recover during the post-uprising interim period.

The situation worsened further after the outbreak of the Iran War on February 28, which put additional pressure on sectors such as energy under the new BNP-led government.

Addressing the parliament, the finance minister says the economy has been pushed to such a low level that only tough reforms, deregulation, and structural changes could restore stability. Newspapers

He stresses that lifting the economy from its current situation would require decisive and, at times, unpopular policy measures over the coming years.

The government has authorised BRAC Bank PLC and Pubali Bank PLC to act as primary dealers (PD) for government securities for a three-year term, which will officially commence from the first working day of May this year.

The appointment was formalised by the Bangladesh Bank today (30 April) following a directive from the Finance Division of the Ministry of Finance.

With this appointment, both banks will now share the bidding obligations currently performed by 24 existing primary dealer banks in the auctions for government treasury bills and bonds.

As primary dealers, these banks are mandated to participate in auctions to help finance the government's budget deficit, ensuring a steady flow of funds through the sovereign debt market.

According to the letter from the finance ministry, the authorisation was granted under the provisions of the 'Guidelines for Enlistment and Operations of Primary Dealers in Government Securities, 2025 (Amended)'.

Islami Bank Bangladesh PLC, SBAC Bank and Standard Bank have been downgraded to the Z category for failing to declare dividends for the last two consecutive years.

According to the Dhaka Stock Exchange, brokerage firms and merchant banks have been instructed not to provide margin loans against the shares of these banks.

Following the downgrade, the share prices of the three banks fell sharply in the opening session today (30 April).

Islami Bank Bangladesh PLC has posted a consolidated profit of Tk136 crore for the year ended December 2025, but the earnings were overshadowed by a staggering Tk84,615 crore provision shortfall against its classified investments, highlighting continued strain in its balance sheet.

Despite the profit, the bank's financial health remains under pressure, according to a price-sensitive disclosure filed with the Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE).

The lender's result was largely supported by a regulatory deferral facility from Bangladesh Bank, which allowed the provision gap to be spread over 20 years under a recovery plan submitted last October.

However, key indicators point to weakening fundamentals. Net operating cash flow dropped by Tk5,107 crore in 2025, while investment recovery slowed. Deposits from banks and financial institutions also declined by Tk9,662 crore, reflecting liquidity pressure.

The bank's earnings trajectory has also remained weak, falling from Tk635 crore in 2023 to Tk108 crore in 2024 before edging up to Tk136 crore in 2025.

At the end of 2025, consolidated earnings per share stood at Tk0.85, while net asset value per share rose slightly to Tk44.52 from Tk44.36 a year earlier.

A major concern, according to banking sources, remains the bank's exposure to S Alam Group, which along with its affiliates reportedly borrowed over Tk73,000 crore almost half of the bank's total investment portfolio.

Although assets worth around Tk20,000 crore linked to the group have been attached, recovery has been slow due to weak auction response.

The bank has also skipped dividend payments for the second consecutive year and has been downgraded to the 'Z' category on the stock exchange for the first time, reflecting heightened financial stress.

Following the disclosure, the bank's share price fell over 4% to Tk33.30.

The AGM has been scheduled for 25 June, with the record date set for 21 May.

Meanwhile, management reshuffles are underway, with Managing Director Md Omar Faruk Khan sent on extended leave and Md Altaf Hossain appointed as acting MD amid ongoing regulatory oversight and restructuring efforts.

The parliament yesterday (30 April) passed two separate bills removing the maximum age limits for the post of chairmen and commissioners of the Bangladesh Securities and Exchange Commission (BSEC), as well as the chairman and members of the Insurance Development and Regulatory Authority (IDRA).

Previously, the age limits stood at 65 years for the BSEC and 67 years for the IDRA. With the passage of these amendments, the government will now be able to appoint individuals of any age to lead these two key financial regulatory bodies.

Finance Minister Amir Khosru Mahmud Chowdhury, who moved the bills, argued that the amendments were intended to make the laws more time-appropriate by allowing the recruitment of highly qualified, experienced, and skilled professionals.

He said that when the securities law was originally enacted in 1993, the average life expectancy in Bangladesh was around 57 years, whereas it now stands at 72 years. He stated that retaining the earlier age limits would prevent capable individuals from contributing effectively to the financial sector.

However, the bills faced strong resistance from opposition and independent lawmakers.

Independent lawmaker Rumeen Farhana called for the bills to be opened to public scrutiny, highlighting that retail investors suffered massive losses during the 1996 and 2010 market crashes, while over Tk1 lakh crore was allegedly siphoned off over the past 15 years.

Opposition lawmaker Akhter Hossen questioned whether the amendment was genuinely intended to find capable leaders or merely to facilitate the appointment of favoured individuals. Leader of the Opposition Shafiqur Rahman alleged that lawmakers were not given adequate time to review the documents.

Despite the opposing calls to send the bills to a standing committee for further review, the bills were ultimately passed by voice vote.

India and Bangladesh are taking steps to normalise bilateral relations by moving towards the full resumption of visa services, following a period of strained ties and restricted travel.

Bangladesh has already resumed issuing visas to Indian citizens across all categories, including tourism, business and medical travel, while India is aiming for a gradual restart of its visa operations over the coming weeks, says the Indian Express.

Indian visa services for Bangladeshi nationals are currently operating at 15–20% of their pre-December 2025 capacity, with priority given to medical cases and family emergencies. In contrast, Bangladesh has issued more than 13,000 visas to Indians since restoring operations around 20 February 2026.

The move follows a period of political upheaval after the August 2024 ouster of former prime minister Sheikh Hasina. Relations are being recalibrated under the new government of Prime Minister Tarique Rahman, whose swearing-in in February 2026 was attended by an Indian delegation.

Travel between the two countries had declined sharply amid tensions and visa curbs. The number of Bangladeshi visitors to India fell from 2.12 million in 2023 to 470,000 in 2025.

Officials in both countries have indicated that efforts to restore visa services are part of broader attempts to rebuild cooperation, including through high-level political engagement and closer economic and energy ties.

India recently transported diesel to Bangladesh to help ease energy shortages linked to the war in West Asia.

The expected arrival of India's new High Commissioner to Bangladesh, Dinesh Trivedi, is seen as a step that could facilitate the return to full-scale visa operations.

The vast majority of Bangladesh’s workforce remains in marginal conditions, outside the reach of formal labour protections, experts warned yesterday, calling for a shift in policy focus beyond the garment sector.

Around 85 percent of workers are engaged in the informal sector with little regulation or protection, Syed Sultan Uddin Ahmmed, former chairman of the Labour Reform Commission, said at a May Day discussion in Dhaka.

The programme, held at the Economics Reporters Forum office, was organised by the Network for People’s Action (NPA), a newly formed political party.

At the event, Ahmmed also noted that the dominance of ready-made garments (RMG) in national and international labour discourse obscures a far wider problem.

“As an export-oriented industry, the RMG sector remains at the centre of national and international discussion. While this sector is important, it should not overshadow the broader reality,” he said.

A stronger industrial base and labour movement in large sectors could eventually benefit workers in other areas, he said, calling for a more inclusive labour perspective.

“Sanitation workers, day labourers and informal workers continue to live in precarious conditions,” said the labour policy expert.

He added, “We celebrate long holidays, but for day labourers, even a few days without work can mean going without food… Yet there is no universal social security system to protect them.”

Ahmmed also criticised existing social protection measures as charity-driven rather than rights-based. “The fact that a single rainy day can leave a labourer’s family without food rarely enters policy thinking.”

Echoing the same, Prof Selim Raihan, executive director of the South Asian Network on Economic Modeling (Sanem), said the garment sector’s export growth had not translated into proportional gains for workers.

“Productivity has increased over the decades, yet real wages have lagged. That disconnect tells us something fundamental about the structure of our growth,” he said.

Raihan also pointed to a persistent narrative that stronger labour rights would hurt competitiveness. “This (narrative) has often been used to discourage workers from organising or demanding more.”

He added that labour discussions in Bangladesh too often stop at minimum standards.

“We rarely move beyond ensuring the bare minimum to discussing living wages or broader social protections,” he said.

Among others, Taslima Akhter, president of the Bangladesh Garment Sramik Samhati, also spoke at the event.

Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi vowed on Saturday to strengthen bilateral ties with Vietnam, with energy cooperation and critical minerals at the forefront, during a meeting with Vietnamese Prime Minister Le Minh Hung.

The pledge came as new Japanese investment in Vietnam fell about 75% year-on-year to $233 million in the first quarter, even as bilateral trade rose 12.3% to $13.7 billion over the same period, according to Vietnamese government and customs data.

The two leaders discussed ways to deepen the Comprehensive Strategic Partnership established in 2023, focusing on energy, critical minerals, artificial intelligence, semiconductors and space.

"The two sides identified economic security as a new priority area for bilateral cooperation," Takaichi told reporters after the meeting.

"With regard to critical minerals... both sides agreed to strengthen close coordination to ensure stable supplies and reinforce supply chains," she added.

In a joint move, Vietnam and Japan signed six agreements encompassing infrastructure, climate action, agriculture, technology, digitalisation and space cooperation.

Japan remains one of Vietnam's largest foreign investors, with many Japanese multinationals operating large manufacturing facilities in the country.

Vietnam has been seeking support from Japan and other countries for oil supplies as conflict in the Middle East drives prices higher and disrupts supply chains.

Under the $10 billion Power Asia Initiative to support Asian countries' energy self-reliance, Japan will assist in arranging crude oil supplies for Vietnam's Nghi Son Refinery and Petrochemical Complex, Hung said.

Takaichi was also set to meet Vietnam's Party Secretary and President To Lam on Saturday afternoon and deliver a keynote speech at Vietnam National University, marking a decade since former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe introduced Japan's "Free and Open Indo-Pacific" strategy.

Her address is expected to emphasise autonomy and resilience for regional nations.

Vietnam supports Japan's regional initiatives, including the Free and Open Indo-Pacific Vision, aligned with the ASEAN Outlook on the Indo-Pacific, in accordance with international law and "contributing positively to peace, stability, cooperation and development in the region and beyond," Hung said.

Russia's Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said on Thursday that the OPEC+ group of leading oil producers would continue working together despite the departure of the United Arab Emirates, Russian news agencies reported.

According to the reports, Novak said he did not expect an oil price war to emerge following the UAE's exit given a global oil deficit.

The UAE said on Tuesday it was quitting OPEC, dealing a blow to the oil producers' group as an unprecedented energy crisis triggered by the Iran war exposes discord among Gulf nations.

The UAE was the fourth-largest producer in OPEC+, which comprises OPEC and its allies, while Russia is second, behind Saudi Arabia.

"In the current situation, it is hard to talk about a price war when there is a shortage in the market. What we are seeing instead is the deepest crisis in the industry," Novak was quoted as saying by Interfax news agency.

"Large volumes of oil are not reaching the market today, while demand significantly exceeds supply. This has created an imbalance due to serious logistical disruptions, including the situation in the Middle East," Novak said according to Interfax.

Novak also reiterated that Russia will remain in OPEC+, which was formed in 2016.

Bangladesh cited gaps in readiness, incomplete core reforms, and economic fallout from the Iran war as reasons for seeking an extension of the transition period for graduation from the least developed country (LDC) category by three more years at the public hearing of the UNCDP on April 29.

Commerce Minister Khandakar Abdul Muktadir attended the virtual hearing with Chair of the United Nations Committee for Development Policy (UNCDP) José Antonio Ocampo, Additional Commerce Secretary Md Abdur Rahim Khan told The Daily Star.

Khan also said the UNCDP wanted to know the reasons why Bangladesh is seeking an extension of the transition period for LDC graduation.

Bangladesh mainly cited the country’s gap in preparedness, lower implementation of core reforms, and the fallout of the US-Israel war on Iran as the main reasons for the requested extension, the additional secretary said.

Apart from these three main reasons, Bangladesh also mentioned vulnerabilities in the financial sector, weaknesses in the banking system, an export slowdown due to volatile global supply chains, high interest rates, and an uncertain business and investment climate in support of the extension, he said.

Bangladesh is scheduled to graduate from LDC status on November 24 this year, but it has sought to delay the transition until 2029, citing domestic and external economic pressures.

The UNCDP will prepare a report on Bangladesh’s hearing and submit its recommendations to the United Nations Economic and Social Council (ECOSOC) in June.

The ECOSOC will then forward its assessment to the United Nations General Assembly (UNGA), scheduled to meet in September, where a vote will finalise the decision on the deferment.

Earlier, on February 19, the newly elected government sent a letter to the chair of the UNCDP, requesting that the preparatory period be extended until November 24, 2029, mentioning that more time is needed to ensure readiness.

Following Bangladesh’s request, the UNCDP discussed the issue at its annual meeting in February and agreed on a process to assess the proposal.

The business community of the country has also been requesting both the incumbent government and the immediate past interim government to delay the LDC graduation, as they need more time to prepare adequately. They said higher bank interest rates and political transition in the country, following massive unrest and political upheaval, have also affected the economy significantly.

A UN assessment report in March stated that Bangladesh still faces serious gaps in its readiness for graduation, as its economy continues to be affected by both domestic and international shocks, including the US-Israel war on Iran.

The report highlighted a series of disruptions between 2017 and 2026, including climate vulnerability, the Rohingya crisis, a prolonged macroeconomic slowdown that predated the regime change, the Covid-19 pandemic, the Russia-Ukraine war, inflation, and pressure on the balance of payments.

It also noted that while Bangladesh meets all three criteria for graduation, significant risks persist, including the loss of trade preferences, fiscal and financial vulnerabilities, and weak institutional coordination.

Rising import costs for fossil fuels have created operational constraints, with gas shortages worsening due to the Middle East conflict, the report said.

Economic growth slowed from 7.1 percent in FY22 to 3.5 percent in FY25, weakening momentum ahead of graduation.

Inflation has outpaced wages, pushing millions into hardship and vulnerability.

A recent UN Trade and Development assessment estimated that Bangladesh could lose more than $17.5 billion in annual exports after graduation.

Rice supply is expected to fall this year as farmers cut planting acreage across Asia because of fertiliser shortages and soaring fuel costs ​from the Iran war, with an emerging El Nino also set to squeeze output of the world’s most consumed staple.

Rice is central to global food security, ‌and even modest supply disruptions can ripple through countries, lifting prices and straining household budgets, particularly among price-sensitive consumers in Asia and Africa. The UN Food and Agriculture Organization in April forecast rice output would expand by 2 percent to a record high in 2025/26.

The effects of the Iran war are impacting farmers in top exporters Thailand and Vietnam as well as the import-reliant Philippines and Indonesia, growers and traders said. The war has cut fuel and fertiliser ​flows through the Strait of Hormuz, a key chokepoint that connects the Gulf to global markets.

Rice is central to global food security, ‌and even modest supply disruptions can ripple through countries, lifting prices and straining household budgets, particularly among price-sensitive consumers in Asia and Africa
Southeast Asia’s mainly smallholder farmers also face mounting stress as the El Nino ​weather phenomenon is set to usher in hotter, drier conditions for the region in the second half of the year.

“Farmers have already started planting rice in some countries and are using fewer inputs because prices have gone up,” said Maximo Torero, chief economist at the UN FAO. “We are going to see a tighter global supply situation ​in the second half of the year and early next year.”

In 2008, export curbs by key suppliers more than doubled prices to about $1,000 a metric ton , triggering unrest in several countries. More recently, ​supply tightness in 2022 to 2023, exacerbated by India’s export restrictions, lifted prices and prompted panic buying.

SUPPLY-CHAIN DISRUPTION

Rice shipments are already facing supply-chain bottlenecks.

“Logistics have become a nightmare, especially in Asia as there is shortage of polypropylene bags, limited truck availability to move rice to ports and shipping itself has been disrupted,” said a Singapore-based trader at a top global rice merchant, who asked to remain unidentified as they are not authorized to speak ​to media.

While fertiliser shortages and dryness are already curbing yields of smaller crops being harvested in Southeast Asia, the next crop will likely face a bigger reduction.

India, Thailand and the Philippines plant ​their main crops in June and July, while Vietnam and Indonesia are now sowing their second-season crops.

Most Asian producers grow two or three rice crops a year.

FARMERS CUT PLANTING

Sripai Kaew-Eam, a 60-year-old farmer in Thailand’s ‌Chai Nat province about 151 km (94 miles) north of Bangkok, said high fertiliser and fuel prices have pushed production costs to about 6,000 baht ($183.99) per rai (0.4 acre), from around 4,500 to 5,000 baht for the previous crop, while the price she receives for the unhusked rice she harvests is about 6,200 baht per metric ton.

Fertiliser prices have risen to 1,000 to 1,200 baht per bag, from 850 baht, forcing her to cut her use by half.

“Fertiliser prices are high, fuel prices are high,” she said.

The Philippines, the world’s biggest rice importer, faces a similar situation.

“Some farmers are now saying they may ​not plant or will reduce fertiliser use, which ​would inevitably cut production,” said Arze Glipo, executive director of the Integrated Rural Development Foundation.

The country’s output could fall by as much as 6 million tons from its typical 19 million to 20 million.

“That would leave the Philippines in a precarious position, as imports are also uncertain due to export restrictions, making it extremely difficult to ​cover any production shortfall,” Glipo said. In Indonesia, fertiliser supply is not a constraint but the El Nino is expected to curb output.

Indonesia’s statistics ​bureau estimates the rice harvest area in the March to May period will shrink by 10.6 percent to 3.85 million hectares (9.5 million acres), while unhusked rice production will drop 11.12 percent to 20.68 million tons.

Despite the supply worries, the world has ample rice inventories following years of bumper output, with India, the world’s biggest exporter, holding a record 42 million tons or about one-fifth of global stockpiles, according to US Department of Agriculture data, cushioning any drop in ​global production.

Most rice grade prices are currently steady but will likely rise even if the Hormuz situation were resolved ​immediately, the FAO’s Torero said.

Opening the strait soon would avoid a major supply issue but “if we don’t reopen this in the next two to three weeks, the situation is going to get pretty serious,” he said.