Top 11 banks held Tk 52,034 crore of non-performing loans (NPLs), accounting for about 71.67 per cent of total default loans in the CMSME sector, highlighting a high concentration of credit risk in a handful of lenders.

According to Bangladesh Bank data as of December 31, 2025, total loan disbursement by 60 scheduled banks in the cottage, micro, small and medium enterprise (CMSME) sector stood at Tk 3,01,397 crore, representing 16.58 per cent of overall outstanding loans of Tk 18,17,736 crore. Countryspecific content

However, recovery from the sector is better compared with the other industries. Banks’ total NPL ratio stood at 30 per cent in December, 2025.

Default loans in the segment were Tk 72,600 crore, or 24 per cent of total CMSME lending.

CMSME refers to small-scale business activities ranging from cottage industries and micro enterprises to small and medium-sized firms.

The CMSME sector is widely regarded as the backbone of Bangladesh’s economy, contributing around 25 per cent to GDP and supporting millions of entrepreneurs, traders and small manufacturers.

These businesses typically operate with limited capital but play a central role in job creation, rural industrialisation and income distribution.

Despite its importance, the sector remains vulnerable due to limited access to finance, weak financial literacy and dependence on informal networks.

Banks are expected to fill this gap.

Due to poor lending by several state-run banks and weak shariah-based banks, NPL in the sector surged.

Among the major defaulters, Islami Bank Bangladesh PLC alone had Tk 9,761 crore in bad loans against Tk 29,759 crore disbursed, with an NPL ratio of 33 per cent in the CMSME sector.

BASIC Bank showed one of the worst asset qualities, with Tk 6,168 crore in defaults out of Tk 8,839 crore disbursements, translating into a 70 per cent NPL ratio.

State-owned Janata Bank and Sonali Bank reported Tk 5,947 crore and Tk 4,948 crore in default loans respectively, while Agrani Bank had Tk 4,474 crore in NPLs.

Among private banks, First Security Islami Bank recorded an alarming 96 per cent NPL ratio with Tk 4,884 crore in defaults against Tk 5,107 crore in loans in CMSME, while Padma Bank showed a similar trend with a 95 per cent NPL ratio in the CMSME sector.

Other banks with significant exposure include Al-Arafah Islami Bank (Tk 3,891 crore NPL), Social Islami Bank (Tk 3,241 crore), EXIM Bank (Tk 3,058 crore) and United Commercial Bank with Tk 2,449 crore.

In contrast, several banks maintained relatively strong asset quality.

BRAC Bank, the largest CMSME lender with Tk 30,570 crore in disbursement, reported only Tk 670 crore in defaults.

Pubali Bank and City Bank also kept NPLs low at Tk 484 crore and Tk 322 crore respectively.

As a result high NPL, credit flow to small businesses slows down, affecting expansion, employment and production.

Persistent defaults also raise borrowing costs. Banks tend to charge higher interest rates to offset risks, making financing less affordable for genuine entrepreneurs.

In a sector already constrained by limited resources, this can discourage new investments and weaken overall economic momentum.

At Tejturi Bazar in the capital’s Tejgaon area, ridge gourd was selling at Tk 70–80 per kg and tomatoes at Tk 50–60 per kg yesterday, Thursday. Just a week earlier, both vegetables were Tk 10–15 cheaper per kg. The rise in prices has been driven by rainfall and higher transport costs.

Over the past week, prices have also increased for onions, cucumbers, aubergines, chillies and green papaya. Broiler chicken and eggs have also become more expensive. Among grocery items, the prices of sugar, coarse lentils and polao rice have gone up. Although the price of bottled soybean oil has been raised, supply in the market has yet to return to normal.

Traders said rainfall over the past few days has disrupted the regular supply of vegetables. Higher fuel prices have also pushed up transport costs. Together, these factors have driven up vegetable prices. These details emerged from visits yesterday to Mohammadpur Krishi Market, Town Hall Market and Tejturi Bazar, as well as conversations with buyers and sellers.

A market survey found that the prices of at least nine vegetables have increased over the past week. Cucumber recorded the sharpest rise. Hybrid cucumber prices jumped by Tk 30 per kg and were selling yesterday at Tk 80–100 per kg. Locally grown cucumber was priced slightly higher. Prices of aubergine, sponge gourd, snake gourd, ridge gourd and tomatoes also rose by Tk 10–15 per kg. Green papaya and chillies increased by Tk 20, reaching Tk 80–100 per kg.

According to the Department of Agricultural Marketing, compared with last month, cucumber prices have risen by 111 per cent, green papaya by 87 per cent, local tomatoes by 25 per cent and aubergines by 7 per cent.

Onion prices have also gone up by Tk 5 per kg over the past week, with local onions now selling at Tk 40–45 per kg. However, onions had remained unusually cheap for a long period this year, limiting farmers’ profits. The recent price rise may improve their returns.
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What is driving the price hike

Heavy rainfall hit the country last Sunday. After a two-day pause rain resumed on Tuesday night. Although the capital remained dry throughout yesterday, the meteorological office has forecast intermittent rainfall across the country for the next three days.

Aminul Haque, a vegetable trader at Karwan Bazar, told Prothom Alo that fewer vegetable trucks had arrived at the market over the past two days. In many areas, heavy rain has caused waterlogging in vegetable fields, preventing farmers from harvesting produce. This has pushed up prices for some vegetables. He added that buyer numbers were also lower as it was the month-end.

Meanwhile, the government has increased retail prices of all types of fuel in response to rising global oil prices. Diesel prices have risen by Tk 15 per litre, kerosene by Tk 18, octane by Tk 20 and petrol by Tk 19. This has also affected commodity prices.

Imran Master, president of the Bangladesh Kachamal Arot Malik Samity, told Prothom Alo that truck fares for transporting vegetables from Dhaka, Chattogram and Sylhet have risen by Tk 5,000–7,000 since fuel prices increased. Combined with lower supply caused by rain over the past three days, this has pushed vegetable prices higher.

Traders said rainfall over the past few days has disrupted the regular supply of vegetables. Higher fuel prices have also pushed up transport costs. Together, these factors have driven up vegetable prices.

Broiler chicken and eggs remain expensive

Farm eggs were selling yesterday at Tk 120–130 per dozen. Prices have remained at this level for more than two weeks. Earlier, eggs sold for Tk 100–110 per dozen. Higher transport costs have also contributed to the rise in egg prices. There is also some supply shortage, according to Mohammad Amanat Ullah, former president of the Tejgaon Egg Traders’ Association.

Broiler chicken prices also remain elevated. Broiler chicken is selling at Tk 190–200 per kg, compared with Tk 150–160 around six weeks ago.

Sonali chicken prices, however, have eased slightly. Yesterday, Sonali chicken was sold at Tk 350–360 per kg in three markets of the capital. Colourbird, or hybrid Sonali chicken, sold at Tk 320–330 per kg. Two weeks ago, Sonali chicken was Tk 30 higher per kg, while prices exceeded Tk 400 after Eid-ul-Fitr.

The price of packaged polao rice has increased by another Tk 15 per kg, taking the new retail price to Tk 190 per kg. Traders, however, are selling it at Tk 180–185, while older stock remains available at Tk 165–170. Loose polao rice is priced at Tk 150–160 per kg.

Two weeks ago, loose sugar prices rose by Tk 5 per kg to Tk 105–110, which remained stable there yesterday. Coarse lentils have also increased by Tk 5, now selling at Tk 90–95 per kg.

Soybean oil supply still disrupted

On Wednesday, the government increased prices of bottled and loose soybean oil by Tk 4 per litre. The price of one litre of bottled soybean oil was raised from Tk 195 to Tk 199, while loose soybean oil rose from Tk 176 to Tk 180. As a result, the maximum retail price of a five-litre bottle now stands at Tk 975.

The market has been facing a shortage of bottled soybean oil for nearly three months. During this period, companies had been demanding a price increase, citing rising global edible oil prices, while supply of bottled soybean oil remained low. Although the government had resisted the move for some time, the Ministry of Commerce approved the price hike on Wednesday.

However, a market visit one day after the increase showed that the supply shortage remains unchanged. Humayun Kabir, a grocer at Mohammadpur Krishi Market, said the supply of bottled soybean oil could improve within the next two to three days following the price increase. Dealers of three edible oil companies had informed them of this, he added.

OPEC+ agreed on ‌Sunday a modest oil output hike for June, an increase that will remain largely on paper as long as the Iran war continues to disrupt Gulf oil supplies through the Strait of Hormuz.

Seven OPEC+ countries will raise oil output targets by 188,000 barrels per day in June, the third consecutive ​monthly increase, OPEC+ said in a statement after an online meeting. The increase is the same as that agreed ​for May minus the share of the United Arab Emirates, which on May 1.

The ⁠move is designed to show the group is ready to raise supplies once the war stops and signals that OPEC+ is ​pressing on with a business-as-usual approach despite the departure of the UAE from OPEC+, OPEC+ sources and analysts said.

"OPEC+ is sending a ​two-layer message to the market: continuity despite the UAE's exit, and control despite limited physical impact," said Jorge Leon, an analyst at Rystad and former OPEC official.

"While output is increasing on paper, the real impact on physical supply remains very limited given the Strait of Hormuz constraints. This is ​less about adding barrels and more about signaling that OPEC+ still calls the shots."

Top OPEC+ producer Saudi Arabia's quota will rise ​to 10.291 million bpd in June under the agreement, far above actual production. The kingdom reported actual production of 7.76 million bpd to ‌OPEC in ⁠March.

The seven members who met on Sunday were Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, Algeria, Kazakhstan, Russia, and Oman. With the UAE leaving, OPEC+ includes 21 members including Iran. But in recent years only the seven nations plus the UAE have been involved in monthly production decisions.

HIKE REMAINS LARGELY SYMBOLIC UNTIL HORMUZ RE-OPENS

The Iran war, which began on February 28, and the resulting closure of the ​Hormuz strait have throttled exports from ​OPEC+ members Saudi Arabia, ⁠Iraq and Kuwait, as well as from the UAE. Before the conflict, these producers were the only countries in the group able to raise production.

Even when shipping through the Strait of Hormuz ​reopens, it will take several weeks if not months for flows to normalise, oil executives from ​the Gulf and ⁠global oil traders have said.

The supply disruption has propelled oil prices to a four-year high above $125 per barrel as analysts begin to predict widespread jet fuel shortages in one to two months and a spike in global inflation.

Crude oil output from all OPEC+ members ⁠averaged 35.06 ​million bpd in March, down 7.70 million bpd from February, OPEC said in ​a report last month, with Iraq and Saudi Arabia making the biggest cuts due to constrained exports.

The seven OPEC+ members will meet again on June 7, ​the statement said.

Bangladesh received $3.12 billion in remittances in April, a 13.5% increase from the same month a year earlier, according to data released by Bangladesh Bank today (3 May).

In April last year, expatriates sent $2.75 billion in remittances.

However, inflows retreated from March's record high of $3.75 billion, with bankers attributing the surge largely to a seasonal spike in transfers ahead of Ramadan and Eid-ul-Fitr.

Despite the monthly decline, remittances have remained above the $3 billion mark for five consecutive months. Bankers see this as a positive sign for the economy, pointing to greater use of formal channels and stronger earnings by migrant workers.

In the current fiscal year 2025-26, remittances have maintained robust growth, helping to bolster foreign exchange reserves. Between July and April, total inflows reached $29.33 billion, up 19.5% from $24.54 billion in the same period a year earlier.

Economists say the rising inflows could help ease pressure on the external sector, support exchange rate stability and strengthen overall macroeconomic conditions if the trend holds in the coming months.

They expect remittances to increase further in May, driven by the upcoming Eid-ul-Adha at the end of the month.

Bankers noted that a narrowing gap between exchange rates in the informal market and official banking channels has encouraged expatriates to send money through formal means.

Bangladesh Bank has been purchasing US dollars from commercial banks through auctions, buying more than $4 billion so far in the 2025-26 fiscal year as of early February, in a bid to stabilise the foreign exchange market and build reserves.

The exchange rate has recently hovered between Tk122.75 and Tk122.90, as authorities seek to prevent excessive appreciation of the taka while supporting remittances and export earnings.

Earlier, despite a decline in exports, rising imports and the onset of war, the exchange rate remained stable at Tk122.75 per US dollar.

Foreign exchange reserves currently stand at $35.10 billion, or $30.47 billion under the IMF's BPM6 method.

Following a payment of $1.37 billion to the Asian Clearing Union (ACU) on 9 March, reserves had fallen to $34.10 billion, with the BPM6 measure at $29.38 billion.

Bangladesh's reserves had reached a historic high of more than $48 billion in August 2021.

They later dropped to $20.48 billion under the BPM6 method and $25.92 billion in gross terms by the time of the fall of the Awami League government. During the 18-month tenure of the interim government, reserves have increased by $10 billion.

Sri Lanka raised fuel prices by nearly 4% today (3 May), further fuelling inflation, which more than doubled last month due to the Middle East war.

Since March, Sri Lanka has raised fuel prices by more than 35%, while gas and electricity rates have also increased by a similar amount.

The island has also rationed fuel following supply disruptions.

Today, the state-owned Ceylon Petroleum Corporation increased the price of kerosene -- used by agricultural machinery -- to 265 rupees ($0.85) a litre, up 10 rupees.

Petrol rose 12 rupees to 410 rupees ($1.32). Diesel was up 10 rupees to 392 rupees.

Higher energy prices pushed inflation to more than double, reaching 5.4% in April, according to official data.

Fuel and electricity tariffs drove up transport costs as well as food prices, the Department of Census and Statistics said.

The island has been slowly emerging from the 2022 economic meltdown, when it ran out of foreign exchange reserves to pay for essential imports such as food, fuel and medicines.

However, it was hit hard in November by a cyclone that killed at least 643 people and affected more than 10% of the island's 22 million population.

The storm caused an estimated $4.1 billion in direct physical damage to buildings and agriculture, according to the World Bank.

The country has been stabilising its fragile economy with the help of a $2.9 billion IMF bailout agreed in early 2023, but high energy prices have seriously challenged recovery efforts.

Bashundhara Paper Mills, a concern of Bashundhara Group, has incurred a loss of Tk422 crore in the first nine months of the current fiscal year, mainly due to a shortage of raw materials and a rise in utility costs.

During the July-March period of FY26, the company's loss widened significantly from Tk184 crore in the same period a year earlier, according to its financial statement ended in March.

Its year-on-year revenue also plunged by 56% to Tk223.22 crore, down from Tk507.67 crore in the corresponding period of the previous fiscal year.

Despite the sharp decline in revenue, the cost of sales stood at Tk420.59 crore at the end of March 2026, compared to Tk482.11 crore in the same period a year ago.

The company reported an operating loss of Tk523.43 crore, up from Tk230 crore in the July-March period of the previous fiscal year.

Explaining the losses, company officials said operating profitability declined due to the unavailability of raw materials, increased utility costs, a sharp rise in input prices, and higher borrowing costs following interest rate hikes.

As a result, the company's earnings per share (EPS) deteriorated significantly, with per-share loss rising to Tk24.27 from Tk10.60 in the previous period.

However, net operating cash flow per share rose slightly to Tk8.95 during the July-March period of FY26, compared to Tk8.75 in the same period a year earlier. The net asset value per share declined to Tk33.60 as of 31 March.

The company said the improvement in cash flow was mainly due to reduced payments to suppliers and other operating creditors, which strengthened its overall operating cash position.

In FY25, Bashundhara Paper Mills incurred a loss of Tk329.91 crore, with a per-share loss of Tk18.98. Due to continued losses, the company did not declare any dividend for its shareholders for FY24.

The company's shares closed on Sunday at Tk26.30 on the Dhaka Stock Exchange, down 1.87% from the previous trading session.

Reckitt Benckiser Bangladesh, a listed multinational on the bourses, reported a 9.99% year-on-year decline in revenue and a 28.31% drop in net profit after tax in the first quarter of 2026.

During the January to March quarter, its revenue declined to Tk132.61 crore, a lower from Tk147.34 crore, while its profit declined to Tk10.99 crore, a lower from Tk15.33 crore in the same time of the previous year, its report showed.

At the end of March 2026, its earnings per share (EPS) declined to Tk23.26, which was Tk32.45 in the same time of the previous year.

The quarterly financials published today (3 May) on the stock exchanges. Following the financials results, the company's shares fell 2.69% or Tk93.4 each closed at Tk3,377 each at the Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE).

In 2025, Reckitt Benckiser reported a profit of Tk81.71 crore with an EPS of Tk172.93, which was Tk75.20 crore and EPS of Tk159.17 in 2024, its data showed.

Based on its financials, its board recommended a 1,730% final cash dividend meaning that Tk173 against each shares.

To approve its financials and dividend by the general shareholders, the MNC scheduled its annual report on 29 June thorough the digital platform.

Reckitt Benckiser had paid a record-high 3,330% cash dividend for 2024 to its shareholders.

Reckitt Benckiser (Bangladesh) PLC is a subsidiary of the UK-based Reckitt Benckiser Group plc. It is a well-known manufacturer of health, hygiene, and home products, with several leading brands in Bangladesh.

The company manufactures and marketed of households (hygiene), toiletries and pharmaceutical (health) product.

Reckitt Benckiser is a well-known and trusted company in Bangladesh's FMCG sector. It offers a wide range of products, including Dettol, Harpic, Lizol, Trix, Mr Brasso, and Veet.

As of March this year, out of its total shares, sponsor-directors held 82.96%, government 3.77%, institutional shareholders 6.80%, foreign 0.01% and general public held 6.46%.

Most listed drug manufacturers in Bangladesh posted double-digit year-on-year profit growth in the first nine months through March, supported by rising demand, efficient cost management, and a stable forex market. Bangladeshmarket report
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Market analysts attributed the growth to higher sales volumes, improved operational efficiency, and sustained demand for medicines both domestically and in export markets.

The sector's performance stands out at a time when many other industries-including multinational companies-are grappling with elevated operating costs amid persistent inflationary pressure.

"Sales of lifesaving drugs increased due to strong local demand, while leading companies successfully managed to keep operating costs lower," Salim Afzal Shawon, head of research at BRAC EPL Stockbrokerage, told The Financial Express over the phone.

The growing population, coupled with rising awareness of healthcare needs, has amplified demand for generic medicines in the local market, particularly for chronic diseases.

The aftermath of the Covid-19 pandemic has further underscored the importance of healthcare, leading to a heightened focus on medical preparedness and infrastructure, which in turn has positively impacted the pharmaceutical industry.

"People now prioritise healthcare spending more than before, which is contributing to higher sales and profitability," said Mr Shawon. Marketupdate service

This resilience allows leading pharmaceutical companies to sustain strong revenue and profit growth, he added.

Combined profits of eight major drug manufacturers rose nearly 14 per cent year-on-year to Tk 27.22 billion during July-March of FY26. Over the same period, total sales increased 13 per cent year-on-year to Tk 155 billion.

Among the eight, Techno Drugs and Silco Pharma saw their profits decline, mainly due to lower sales and higher finance costs.

Silco Pharma's profit fell 19 per cent year-on-year in the nine months through March, as its finance costs more than doubled to Tk 170 million due to increased borrowing.

Techno Drugs' profit also dropped 16 per cent due to lower sales and higher tax expenses. Its sales declined 10 per cent year-on-year, while tax expenses surged 19 per cent during July-March FY26 compared to the same period a year earlier.

Beximco Pharma and Navana Pharma have yet to publish their third-quarter financial results. Financialdata analytics

Overall, the pharmaceutical sector has remained resilient despite broader economic challenges such as inflationary pressure and rising production costs.

Square Pharma, the country's largest drug maker, posted a 10 per cent year-on-year increase in profit to Tk 20.64 billion for the nine months through March. Revenue rose 12.5 per cent to Tk 65.08 billion.

The company attributed the sustained growth to several factors, including rising domestic demand for healthcare products, export earnings, and income from subsidiaries.

Square Pharma's local sales grew by more than 9 per cent, while revenue from its Kenya subsidiary rose 4.5 per cent year-on-year during the period.

The company also reduced its finance costs by 55 per cent, supported by the partial repayment of long-term loans.

"The drug maker continues to grow in both sales and profit owing to strong consumer trust in its products," said Akramul Alam, head of research at Royal Capital.

He highlighted Square Pharma's competitive edge in producing high-quality generic medicines at relatively low costs, supporting its long-term growth trajectory. Globalmarket forecast

Another leading drug manufacturer, Renata, posted 28 per cent year-on-year profit growth in the first nine months through March, driven by strong operating profit and reduced finance costs following a capital restructuring initiative.

"Profitability improved on the back of better gross margins, efficient procurement, and tight control over expenses, including lower financing costs through major capital restructuring," said the company.

"We successfully lowered finance costs by deploying the proceeds from preference share issuance to retire high-cost debts, a move that has structurally reduced our interest burden going forward," Mustafa Alim Aolad, chief financial officer of Renata, told The Financial Express over the phone recently.

Renata's domestic sales, which account for almost 74 per cent of total revenue, grew by more than 10 per cent, while export revenue rose 5 per cent, aided by a wave of international regulatory approvals.

Beacon Pharmaceuticals recorded the highest profit growth among its peers, registering a 59 per cent year-on-year increase. The growth was driven by higher sales, lower input costs, efficient production planning, and prudent financial management, the company said.

IBN Sina Pharmaceutical Industry also posted strong results, with profit rising 33 per cent and sales increasing 18 per cent, backed by solid operational performance.

Meanwhile, although Advanced Chemical Industries (ACI) remained in the red, its pharmaceutical segment posted 21 per cent year-on-year sales growth during the period under review. Its consolidated losses shrank to Tk 71 million in July-March of FY26, one-eleventh of the losses recorded during the same period of the previous year.

Bangladesh's pharmaceutical industry, which meets 98 per cent of local demand, remains one of the country's success stories, having recorded remarkable growth in recent years. Bangladeshmarket report

Export performance has also remained steady. Pharmaceutical exports reached $170.67 million in the first nine months of FY26, marking growth of more than 3 per cent, driven largely by demand from Asian markets such as Sri Lanka and Myanmar.

Mr Alam said that with continued investment, regulatory compliance, and a growing skilled workforce, the local pharmaceutical sector is poised not only to sustain but also to accelerate export growth in the coming years.

The Bangladesh Investment Development Authority (Bida) has recently submitted 20 deregulation proposals to the finance ministry, aiming to significantly ease doing business without reducing tax rates.

The proposals, developed through a series of consultations with business leaders, focus on removing procedural bottlenecks, reducing compliance costs, and improving predictability in regulatory processes, Bida officials told The Business Standard.

Business representatives believe that if implemented, the measures would lower operational expenses, save time, and boost investor confidence.

Push for risk-based audit system

A key recommendation is the introduction of a risk-based audit system to replace the current practice of selecting firms for audit without clear criteria.

At present, companies are often subjected to repeated audits immediately after submitting their audited financial statements, leading to complaints of unnecessary harassment.

Under the proposed system, the National Board of Revenue would use predefined risk parameters – such as abnormal fluctuations in turnover, inconsistencies in input-output ratios, and repeated refund claims – to automatically identify firms with a higher likelihood of tax evasion.

This "automated audit selection" process would allow authorities to focus enforcement on high-risk cases while reducing pressure on compliant taxpayers.

Reducing reliance on LCs, promoting digital trade

The report suggests reducing dependence on traditional Letters of Credit (LCs) by introducing alternative digital payment and settlement methods. Such reforms could make international trade faster and more cost-effective.

Customs reforms and global benchmarking

Bida has also recommended improving transparency in customs valuation by integrating international price databases alongside domestic references.

To illustrate best practices, the proposals cite VNACCS – Vietnam's automated cargo clearance system – which uses real-time data and reference pricing. Under that model, goods declared within an acceptable price range are cleared automatically through a "green channel," significantly reducing delays.

Adopting similar mechanisms could streamline Bangladesh's customs procedures, cut bureaucratic complexity, and shorten clearance times, according to the proposals.

24/7 port operations to cut logistics costs

Business leaders identified limited port operating hours as a major constraint. Despite growing trade volumes, full-scale 24/7 operations are not consistently available due to restrictions in banking and customs services.

Bida has recommended round-the-clock port operations, which could help reduce congestion and lower logistics costs.

In addition, the proposals suggest allowing up to 80% of import clearance through off-dock facilities in phases, supported by regular audits and risk-based monitoring to ensure compliance.

Concerns over indiscriminate audit, AIT

Speaking to TBS, Business Initiative Leading Development Chairperson Abul Kasem Khan said even long-compliant taxpayers frequently face repeated audits, creating uncertainty and discouragement.

"We have seen cases where companies with a strong compliance record and even recognition as top taxpayers are repeatedly audited. This undermines confidence," he said.

Kasem, who was a former president of the Dhaka Chamber of Commerce and Industry, also highlighted concerns over Advance Income Tax (AIT), noting that in many cases businesses pay more tax than their actual liability, with refunds delayed.

"As a result, the effective tax rate can rise to 40-50%, putting pressure on working capital," he said, adding that excess payments should either be refunded quickly or adjusted against future tax liabilities.

NBR signals support for easing compliance

Addressing a consultative committee meeting organised by the NBR and the FBCCI last week in Dhaka, Finance Minister Amir Khosru Mahmud Chowdhury, said the government is committed to dismantling the existing regulatory barriers to doing business.

NBR Chairman Abdur Rahman Khan recently said the government is focusing not only on tax rates but also on simplifying business processes.

"Our priority is to reduce unnecessary complexities and make compliance easier so that businesses can operate more efficiently," he said at a pre-budget discussion.

Bangladesh needs a decisive push to mobilise revenue by immediately launching reform measures, accelerating automation, and gradually phasing out existing tax exemptions, said economists and policymakers at an event organised by the National Citizen Party (NCP) yesterday.

The national convention on energy, economy, human rights, reform and referendum was held at the Institution of Diploma Engineers in Dhaka.

“Many discussions were held and numerous committees formed, but we saw no meaningful progress in the revenue sector,” said M Masrur Reaz, chairman and CEO of Policy Exchange Bangladesh.

“No reforms took place during the Awami League era, and unfortunately, the interim government also failed to act. A new government is now in place and may need time, but if reforms are not launched within the next two to three months, we risk losing this opportunity again,” he added.

Reaz described the country’s economic challenges as a “four-plus-one dimension”-- four domestic weaknesses alongside one global factor.

He said the country’s key drivers of employment and growth have stalled, while economic governance had largely collapsed before August 5, marked by banking irregularities, oligarchic control in energy, and mismanagement of public spending.

He also pointed to the absence of revenue reform, failure to formalise the informal economy, and rising dependence on external debt as major concerns.

At the event, Hasnat Abdullah, lawmaker and chief organiser (Southern Region) of the NCP, said that automating tax and customs systems through cashless, paperless processes integrated with NID is now essential.

He noted that complexities in the current manual tax system discourage compliance.

“If we automate the system and integrate it with NID, under-the-table compromises can be reduced to near zero. Many European countries have been practising this for years,” he said.

AKM Waresul Karim, dean of the School of Business and Economics at North South University, said governance failures have driven stagnation in the banking sector.

“Corruption, nepotism, politicisation, and prolonged authoritarian practices have undermined institutional integrity,” he said.

Confidence in state-owned commercial banks has eroded, he noted. Citing a review of Janata Bank, he said 70 percent of its loans are non-performing. Following recent political upheaval, the boards of a number of banks were reconstituted, and a Bank Resolution Ordinance was introduced, merging five banks.

However, he criticised the provision allowing previous bank owners to reclaim ownership by repaying only 7.5 percent of government liquidity support, calling it a tactic to restore control to specific individuals.

AKM Fahim Mashroor, CEO of Bdjobs, said overall unemployment in Bangladesh remains below 4 to 5 percent, but youth unemployment is three to four times higher. Each year, about 700,000 graduates enter the job market, of whom 50 to 60 percent remain jobless.

“Unemployment is not just an economic issue-- it is a social and political one,” he said, adding that high interest rates and energy constraints may deter investment in the near term.

He suggested promoting entrepreneurship and facilitating overseas employment through government-backed loans.

Sarjis Alam, chief organiser (Northern Region) of the NCP, chaired the first panel discussion. Shams Mahmud, former president of the Dhaka Chamber of Commerce, Chartered Financial Analyst Asif Khan, and Javed Rasin, joint convener of the NCP, also spoke at the event.

Advanced Chemical Industries (ACI) PLC is set to further diversify its business portfolio by entering the stationery market through a joint venture with the Chinese industry leader, Deli Group.

In a regulatory filing on Thursday, the local conglomerate informed that its board of directors approved the formation of a new company titled "Deli ACI Bangladesh Limited" in a meeting held on 29 April. The joint-venture entity will have an authorised capital of Tk100 crore and an initial paid-up capital of Tk27 crore.

ACI PLC will hold a 50% stake in the new venture, with the partnership remaining subject to the approval of the relevant regulatory authorities.

The collaboration aims to combine Deli's international expertise in stationery manufacturing with ACI's extensive local market knowledge and its massive nationwide distribution network.

The company stated that the venture will introduce a wide range of stationery solutions for students, professionals, and creative users, focusing on functionality, durability, and contemporary design while meeting both global standards and local demand.

Founded in 1981, Deli Group is a prominent Chinese stationery manufacturer. As of October 2018, it was recognised as the largest stationery manufacturer in Asia. The group operates several global sub-brands, including Deli Tools, Deli Plus, Deli Genius, Agnite, Nusign, and Dmast, focusing on office and school supplies.

This move marks ACI's fifth major international partnership. At present, the conglomerate operates four successful joint-venture companies: pladis ACI Bangladesh Limited (with the UK's pladis), ACI Godrej Agrovet Private Limited (with India's Godrej), ACI CO-RO Bangladesh Limited (with Denmark's CO-RO), and Colgate-Palmolive ACI Bangladesh Private Limited (with the US-based Colgate-Palmolive).

A total of 197 listed companies in Bangladesh's stock market have failed to comply with the requirement of appointing at least one woman independent director in their boards, according to the Bangladesh Securities and Exchange Commission (BSEC).

Out of 360 listed firms, 163 companies (around 45%) have complied with the directive over the past one and a half years. However, another 66 companies have not responded to the regulator's directive at all.

Among the remaining companies, 131 firms have requested additional time from the Bangladesh Securities and Exchange Commission (BSEC) to comply with the requirement.

BSEC has instructed the non-compliant companies to complete the appointment of women independent directors by 30 June, 2026, in line with the Corporate Governance Code, 2018. The commission has also warned that legal action will be taken against companies that fail to meet the requirement within the deadline.

The instruction was reiterated in a meeting held with company secretaries of non-compliant listed firms. The meeting emphasised strict enforcement of the rule and urged companies to take immediate steps.

According to the amended gazette issued on 29 April, 2024, every listed company is required to appoint at least one woman independent director to ensure better governance and board diversity. Initially, companies were given one year to comply, which was later extended to December 2025. However, as several firms still failed to meet the requirement, the deadline has now been pushed further to June 30, 2026.

BSEC has urged companies to select qualified female professionals from diverse backgrounds for the role. Suggested categories include business leaders, corporate professionals, members of business associations, university teachers, government officials (serving or retired), professionals with relevant degrees, and lawyers from the High Court Division.

BSEC officials stated that increasing women's participation in corporate boards is essential for strengthening corporate governance. They believe it will improve transparency, accountability, and diversity in decision-making processes within listed companies.

At the same time, some market stakeholders argue that a shortage of experienced female professionals in certain sectors is creating challenges for companies. Many firms, especially in manufacturing industries, still operate under traditionally male-dominated board structures, making the transition slower.

However, experts counter that qualified female professionals are widely available in banking, insurance, academia, legal practice, and public administration. They argue that lack of initiative, rather than shortage of talent, is the main reason behind the delay.

BSEC Commissioner Farzana Lalarukh had earlier noted that many companies are still not complying with the mandatory requirement, indicating weak corporate governance practices. She also pointed out issues such as irregularities in appointing company secretaries and the dominance of family-controlled boards, which often limits the effectiveness of independent directors.

She further mentioned that social and family barriers also discourage women from taking leadership roles in corporate boards. The commission is working to develop a stronger pool of qualified women directors and is also considering possible flexibility in appointment policies if needed.

According to BSEC officials, some companies have not prioritised compliance, while using the excuse of not finding suitable candidates.

Industry observers note that ensuring women representation at the board level is not just a compliance requirement but a key part of effective corporate governance. It can improve risk management, ethical standards, and long-term strategic decision-making.

BSEC has already indicated that after 30 June, strict enforcement measures will be taken against non-compliant companies. These may include warnings, monetary penalties, and other administrative actions under securities laws.

Company secretaries attending the meeting were instructed to complete the appointment process within the deadline and formally report compliance to the commission.

Bangladesh's merchandise exports showed signs of a strong turnaround in April, snapping eight months of subdued performance with a sharp 32.92% year-on-year growth.

According to data released by the Export Promotion Bureau (EPB) today (3 May), the recovery was driven largely by a rebound in garment shipments and improving buyer confidence following the national elections.

Export earnings rose to $4.01 billion in April, up from $3.02 billion in the same month last year. On a month-on-month basis, shipments also increased by 15.20% from $3.48 billion in March.

The April performance marks one of the strongest monthly gains in recent times, suggesting that export orders – particularly in key markets – are beginning to recover after a prolonged slowdown.

However, the broader picture remains mixed.

In the first 10 months of the current fiscal year (July-April), total export earnings stood at $39.40 billion, down 2.02% from $40.21 billion in the same period a year earlier. This indicates that while recent gains are significant, they have yet to fully offset earlier declines.

Exporters attributed the surge to a combination of a low base effect from last April and renewed buyer confidence following the elections.

Mahmud Hasan Khan, president of the Bangladesh Garment Manufacturers and Exporters Association (BGMEA), attributed the increase to two primary drivers.

"First, last year's Eid-ul-Fitr fell on 31 March, with holidays extending through 6 April, which significantly curtailed exports during that period. Compared to that low base, this year's full month of uninterrupted operations naturally resulted in much higher figures," he told TBS.

He further noted that many international buyers had taken a "wait-and-see" approach ahead of the national elections in February. "Following a credible election, buyer confidence has stabilised, positively impacting April's earnings," Mahmud said.

According to the BGMEA president, while the data shows a massive spike, organic export growth for April sat closer to 8-10%. He cautioned that May is unlikely to replicate this performance due to the upcoming Eid-ul-Azha holidays but expressed optimism for a rebound in June, provided geopolitical tensions in the Middle East subside.

Garment sector drives recovery

The ready-made garment (RMG) sector, the backbone of the country's export economy, once again led the recovery.

RMG exports rose 31.21% year-on-year to $31.72 billion during the July-April period, accounting for the bulk of export earnings. In April alone, garment shipments climbed to $3.14 billion from $2.39 billion a year earlier, reflecting a strong pickup in orders.

Despite this robust performance, the sector's cumulative earnings remain slightly below the previous year's $32.64 billion.

Fazle Shamim Ehsan, senior vice-president of the Bangladesh Knitwear Manufacturers and Exporters Association (BKMEA), also attributed the surge to a post-election boost in buyer confidence and seasonal demand.

He noted that lower order volumes in previous months had depleted buyer inventories, while April and May are traditionally peak periods for winter garment shipments, both of which fuelled the April boost.

However, Ehsan cautioned that growth in May could be dampened by Eid-ul-Azha holidays, and that a slowdown in new orders may affect momentum from June onward, depending largely on geopolitical developments in the Middle East.

However, BKMEA President Mohammad Hatem said the recent spike largely reflects deferred shipments from March rather than a surge in fresh orders.

He explained that March exports dipped because factories closed for 10 days during Eid-ul-Fitr, causing production backlogs that were finally cleared in April.

"To our knowledge, factories have not seen unusually high additional orders or a sudden influx of new buyers," Hatem said.

He warned that exports could face renewed pressure later this month as another holiday period threatens to disrupt production schedules again. "To understand the true export trend, we must wait until July. While temporary increases may persist through June due to shipment adjustments, the actual picture will only become clear then."

Uneven recovery beyond garments

Beyond garments, however, the export earnings remain uneven.

Non-RMG sectors, including primary commodities and several manufacturing segments, have yet to show a comparable recovery, dragging down overall export growth. EPB data suggests that while some categories posted modest gains in April, their contribution remains limited and volatile.

Market-wise, the recovery appears broad-based.

Exports to major destinations such as the United States and the United Kingdom recorded strong year-on-year growth, while all of Bangladesh's top 20 export markets posted positive gains in April. This indicates a gradual normalisation of demand across key regions after months of contraction.

Still, a trade economist cautions against reading too much into a single month's performance.

"The April numbers are encouraging, but the key question is whether this momentum can be sustained," said Dr Mohammad Abdur Razzaque, chairman of RAPID, a private think tank. "Sustaining this pace of growth will be challenging."

Razzaque, also a trade economist, noted that the strong April performance may partly reflect a low base effect, as export earnings in April last year were relatively weak.

Bangladesh's banking sector is facing mounting pressure in the capital market as at least 10 more listed banks are set to be downgraded to the Dhaka Stock Exchange's (DSE) 'Z' category, commonly known as junk stocks, after failing to declare dividends for two consecutive years.

Sources at the DSE said the affected banks include AB Bank, Al-Arafah Islami Bank, IFIC Bank, Mercantile Bank, NRB Bank, NRBC Bank, ONE Bank, Premier Bank, Rupali Bank and United Commercial Bank. If implemented, this will mark the first time these lenders fall into the lowest trading category.

A senior official of the Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) said the banks will be downgraded to the 'Z' category from today, the first trading session of the week.

The development follows a similar move earlier this week, when Islami Bank Bangladesh, Standard Islami Bank and SBAC Bank were downgraded after failing to reward shareholders for two consecutive years.

Market sources said the primary reason behind the sector-wide dividend drought is a large provision shortfall against classified loans and investments. Under Bangladesh Bank regulations, lenders with provision deficits are barred from declaring dividends.

To remain compliant with regulatory requirements, several banks have reportedly taken deferral facilities from the central bank, effectively postponing financial obligations while remaining unable to distribute profits.

Financial data for 2025 reflects significant stress in the sector. AB Bank reported a consolidated loss of Tk 3,889 crore alongside a provision shortfall of Tk 16,874 crore.

IFIC Bank posted a loss of Tk 2,560 crore with a shortfall of Tk 18,557 crore.

Even banks that managed marginal profits remain under pressure. United Commercial Bank reported a profit of Tk 23.25 crore, while ONE Bank posted Tk 29.84 crore, both facing provision gaps exceeding Tk 5,000 crore and Tk 1,700 crore, respectively.

Al-Arafah Islami Bank reported a consolidated profit of Tk 85 crore against a provision shortfall of Tk 4,998 crore. Mercantile Bank posted a profit of Tk 121 crore with a shortfall of Tk 2,161 crore.

NRB Bank earned Tk 13.81 crore profit with a Tk 180 crore shortfall, while NRBC Bank reported Tk 13.25 crore profit against a Tk 1,006 crore gap.

Premier Bank incurred a loss of Tk 993 crore with a Tk 6,089 crore provision shortfall, while Standard Islami Bank reported a profit of Tk 80.34 crore against a Tk 5,904 crore shortfall.

Rupali Bank posted a profit of Tk 23.25 crore but faced a Tk 14,014 crore provision gap.

Islami Bank Bangladesh reported the highest provision shortfall at Tk 84,615 crore, despite posting a profit of Tk 136 crore in 2025.

Market experts said the expected downgrade signals deteriorating fundamentals in the banking sector, raising concerns over governance, asset quality and risk management.

Z-category stocks are widely considered high-risk due to persistent compliance failures and weak financial health. These shares are subject to stricter trading rules, including a T+3 settlement cycle instead of T+2, cash-only transactions and restrictions on margin loans, significantly reducing liquidity.

Currently, 36 banks are listed on the country's stock exchanges. With 10 more banks set to join the five already in the junk category, a total of 15 banks, around 42% of listed banking stocks will be in the 'Z' category.

This does not include five other banks, Social Islami Bank, Exim Bank, Global Islami Bank, First Security Islami Bank and Union Bank, whose shares remain suspended due to merger-related processes with Sommilito Islami Bank, though they are yet to be formally delisted.

Analysts attribute the growing crisis to a surge in non-performing loans, many of which were allegedly disbursed without adequate due diligence in previous years.

Following regulatory tightening in 2024, scrutiny has intensified, exposing deeper weaknesses in loan portfolios across several banks.

A senior market analyst said that while stricter regulatory measures are necessary to restore discipline in the sector, general shareholders are bearing the cost of governance failures and deteriorating asset quality, as dividend flows continue to shrink.

Bangladesh has stayed off the latest United States intellectual property (IP) rights watch lists, but Washington has still urged Dhaka to strengthen enforcement to prevent unfair trade practices.

In its annual Special 301 Report released on Thursday, the Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR) identified 26 trading partners for intellectual property protection and enforcement concerns.

It grouped them into three categories -- Priority Foreign Country, Priority Watch List and Watch List.

In this year’s report, Vietnam has been designated a Priority Foreign Country, a rare and severe classification that can trigger a trade investigation. The USTR said Vietnam has failed to address long-standing concerns over intellectual property protection and enforcement.

The designation is reserved for countries with the most serious IP-related practices that have a significant impact on US industries and are not making meaningful progress in negotiations or reforms.

The report said Vietnam had shown a persistent failure to resolve long-standing concerns. The United States first raised the issue in 2020 through a proposed IP Work Plan, followed by a revised proposal in 2023.

The USTR report added that Vietnam has made little progress in later bilateral engagement, including talks linked to an Agreement on Reciprocal, Fair, and Balanced Trade. Vietnam’s actions or inactions are causing significant damage to industries reliant on intellectual property in the US and other markets.

This year, the USTR placed six countries on its Priority Watch List. Those are Chile, China, India, Indonesia, Russia and Venezuela.

It said it would seek to engage intensively with these partners over the coming year.

A further 19 trading partners have been placed on the Watch List. Those are Algeria, Argentina, Barbados, Belarus, Bolivia, Brazil, Canada, Colombia, Ecuador, Egypt, the European Union, Guatemala, Mexico, Pakistan, Paraguay, Peru, Thailand, Trinidad and Tobago and Türkiye.

Argentina and Mexico have been moved from the Priority Watch List to the Watch List, reflecting improvements in intellectual property policy. Bulgaria has been removed from the list, while the European Union has been added.

Regarding Bangladesh, the USTR pointed to commitments made under a recently signed Agreement on Reciprocal Trade. This includes broad commitments on market access, economic and national security, and trade standards, including intellectual property.

Apart from Bangladesh, the United States has so far completed such agreements with Argentina, Cambodia, Ecuador, El Salvador, Guatemala, Indonesia, Malaysia and Taiwan.

These agreements, the USTR said, contain commitments aimed at strengthening intellectual property protection and enforcement against piracy and counterfeiting.

Citing a study by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) and the European Union Intellectual Property Office (EUIPO), released in May 2025, the USTR report said global trade in counterfeit and pirated goods reached $467 billion in 2021, equal to 2.3 percent of global imports.

USTR said Bangladesh was among the top five source economies for counterfeit clothing globally.

In fiscal 2025, China and Hong Kong together accounted for more than 87 percent of the value of counterfeit and pirated goods seized by US Customs and Border Protection, measured by manufacturers’ suggested retail price.

The report also highlighted ongoing US concerns over the EU’s aggressive geographical indication policies.

It said that the EU’s rules on geographical indications unfairly block American exporters from selling goods under familiar names or trademarks. To counter this, the US is pressing its case in trade talks and global forums such as the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation, World Intellectual Property Organization and the World Trade Organization.

It is also negotiating directly with individual countries, including Bangladesh, Brazil, Canada, China, Mexico and others, to ensure American producers can keep access to foreign markets.

The USTR said the Agreement on Reciprocal Trade signatories included provisions aimed at protecting US market access for cheese and meat producers using common names. It said these agreements also include commitments on transparency and fairness in geographical indication protections.

Delays in trademark registration, the report added, remain a major obstacle to protecting intellectual property rights.

Stakeholders identified Bangladesh, Iraq and South Africa as countries with severe delays in processing applications.

Rice supply is expected to fall this year as farmers cut planting acreage across Asia because of fertiliser shortages and soaring fuel costs from the Iran war, with an emerging El Nino also set to squeeze output of the world's most consumed staple.

Rice is central to global food security, and even modest supply disruptions can ripple through countries, lifting prices and straining household budgets, particularly among price-sensitive consumers in Asia and Africa. The UN Food and Agriculture Organization in April forecast rice output would expand by 2% to a record high in 2025/26.

The effects of the Iran war are impacting farmers in top exporters Thailand and Vietnam as well as the import-reliant Philippines and Indonesia, growers and traders said. The war has cut fuel and fertiliser flows through the Strait of Hormuz, a key chokepoint that connects the Gulf to global markets.

Southeast Asia's mainly smallholder farmers also face mounting stress as the El Nino weather phenomenon is set to usher in hotter, drier conditions for the region in the second half of the year.

"Farmers have already started planting rice in some countries and are using fewer inputs because prices have gone up," said Maximo Torero, chief economist at the UN FAO. "We are going to see a tighter global supply situation in the second half of the year and early next year."

In 2008, export curbs by key suppliers more than doubled prices to about $1,000 a metric ton, triggering unrest in several countries. More recently, supply tightness in 2022 to 2023, exacerbated by India's export restrictions, lifted prices and prompted panic buying.

Supply-chain disruption

Rice shipments are already facing supply-chain bottlenecks.

"Logistics have become a nightmare, especially in Asia as there is shortage of polypropylene bags, limited truck availability to move rice to ports and shipping itself has been disrupted," said a Singapore-based trader at a top global rice merchant, who asked to remain unidentified as they are not authorised to speak to media.

While fertiliser shortages and dryness are already curbing yields of smaller crops being harvested in Southeast Asia, the next crop will likely face a bigger reduction.

India, Thailand and the Philippines plant their main crops in June and July, while Vietnam and Indonesia are now sowing their second-season crops.

Most Asian producers grow two or three rice crops a year.

Farmers cut planting

Sripai Kaew-Eam, a 60-year-old farmer in Thailand's Chai Nat province about 151 km (94 miles) north of Bangkok, said high fertiliser and fuel prices have pushed production costs to about 6,000 baht ($183.99) per rai (0.4 acre), from around 4,500 to 5,000 baht for the previous crop, while the price she receives for the unhusked rice she harvests is about 6,200 baht per metric ton.

Fertiliser prices have risen to 1,000 to 1,200 baht per bag, from 850 baht, forcing her to cut her use by half.

"Fertiliser prices are high, fuel prices are high," she said.

The Philippines, the world's biggest rice importer, faces a similar situation.

"Some farmers are now saying they may not plant or will reduce fertiliser use, which would inevitably cut production," said Arze Glipo, executive director of the Integrated Rural Development Foundation.

The country's output could fall by as much as 6 million tons from its typical 19 million to 20 million.

"That would leave the Philippines in a precarious position, as imports are also uncertain due to export restrictions, making it extremely difficult to cover any production shortfall," Glipo said.

In Indonesia, fertiliser supply is not a constraint but the El Nino is expected to curb output.

Indonesia's statistics bureau estimates the rice harvest area in the March to May period will shrink by 10.6% to 3.85 million hectares (9.5 million acres), while unhusked rice production will drop 11.12% to 20.68 million tons.

Despite the supply worries, the world has ample rice inventories following years of bumper output, with India, the world's biggest exporter, holding a record 42 million tons or about one-fifth of global stockpiles, according to US Department of Agriculture data, cushioning any drop in global production.

Most rice grade prices are currently steady but will likely rise even if the Hormuz situation were resolved immediately, the FAO's Torero said.

Opening the strait soon would avoid a major supply issue but "if we don't reopen this in the next two to three weeks, the situation is going to get pretty serious," he said.

CAPM BDBL Mutual Fund 01, a closed-end mutual fund, has returned to profitability in the first nine months of the 2025-26 fiscal year, recovering from a big loss during the same period last year.

According to the unaudited financial statements presented at a trustee meeting yesterday, the organisation posted a net profit of Tk3.43 crore for the July-March period, though it had incurred a heavy loss in the corresponding period of the previous fiscal year.

The fund's earnings per unit (EPU) stood at Tk0.69 for the first nine months of FY26, a sharp recovery compared to a loss per unit of Tk0.83 a year ago.

The performance in the third quarter (January-March) also showed a positive trend as it reported a net profit of Tk1.47 crore, yielding an EPU of Tk0.29. This marks an improvement from the January-March quarter of the previous year, when the fund suffered a net loss of Tk3.17 crore and a loss per unit of Tk0.63.

As of March 31 this year, the total Net Asset Value (NAV) of the fund stood at Tk55.62 crore on a cost-price basis and Tk41.85 crore on a market-price basis.

The NAV per unit at cost price was recorded at Tk11.10, while its per unit at market price stood at Tk8.35, against a face value of Tk10 per unit.

The fund is managed by CAPM Company Limited, while the Investment Corporation of Bangladesh acts as its trustee and custodian.

Oil prices held around four-year highs Thursday while stocks fell after Donald Trump warned the US blockade of Iranian ports could last months as peace talks remained stalled.

While Tehran submitted a fresh proposal this week to reopen the crucial Strait of Hormuz, the US president reportedly did not believe it was not negotiating in good faith.

The Wall Street Journal said he had told national security officials to prepare for a long blockade to compel the Islamic republic to give up its nuclear programme.

At a meeting of oil executives Tuesday, he discussed efforts "to alleviate global oil markets and steps we could take to continue the current blockade for months if needed and minimise impact on American consumers", a White House official said on condition of anonymity.

Meanwhile, Trump told Axios: "The blockade is somewhat more effective than the bombing. They are choking like a stuffed pig. And it is going to be worse for them. They can't have a nuclear weapon."

He added that the naval action would not end until he had secured a deal with Tehran to address its nuclear programme.

In a post on his Truth Social platform, Trump said: "Iran can't get their act together. They don't know how to sign a nonnuclear deal. They better get smart soon!"

He posted an illustration of himself holding an assault rifle alongside the caption "NO MORE MR. NICE GUY!"

The prospect of the strait -- through which a fifth of world oil and gas passes -- being closed for months more sent crude surging to the highest level since 2022 after Russia invaded Ukraine.

Brent for June delivery, which hit a peak of $122.53 Wednesday, was sitting around $120 in Asian trade, while West Texas Intermediate was around $108.

Analysts said traders were beginning to shift to the view that the crisis will not be as short as initially hoped.

Tech's AI rally

Stock markets also struggled, with Tokyo, Hong Kong, Shanghai, Sydney, Seoul, Manila and Jakarta all down. There were gains in Singapore, Wellington and Taipei.

The dollar, seen as a safe haven during the crisis, rose against its peers.

However, equity traders remain relatively upbeat thanks to a revival of the AI trade, which has helped push Seoul's Kospi index to multiple record highs.

The country's Samsung Electronics reported a 750 percent surge in operating profit to a record high on Thursday, thanks to strong sales of chips crucial for artificial intelligence, while it also forecast healthy demand in the next three months.

That came after Microsoft, Meta and Google-parent Alphabet posted forecast-busting earnings.

US stock futures rose.

SPI Asset Management's Stephen Innes warned that the positive mood on stock markets could change.

"History tells us that this widening divide between stocks, oil, and rates can only stretch so far before the physical shock bleeds into the real economy," he wrote.

"Expensive energy is not abstract. It moves quietly through the system, from the pump to logistics to margins, eventually surfacing in the data that central banks respond to after the fact."

Investors were also assessing the outlook for the Federal Reserve's policy actions after four members of its decision-making body dissented on a vote, the most since 1992.

While it voted to hold interest rates owing to fears of a spike in inflation caused by surging energy costs, three "did not support inclusion of an easing bias in the statement at this time."

A fourth voting member, Trump-appointee Stephen Miran, had sought a quarter-point cut.

The meeting was the last with Jerome Powell as Fed boss, with Kevin Warsh -- the president's pick -- to take over next month.

Trump spent much of his second term blasting Powell for not cutting borrowing costs quickly enough.

Key figures at 0300 GMT

West Texas Intermediate: UP 1.9 percent at $108.92 a barrel

Brent North Sea Crude: UP 2.9 percent at $121.48 a barrel

Tokyo - Nikkei 225: DOWN 1.0 percent at 59,304.62 (break)

Hong Kong - Hang Seng Index: DOWN 1.3 percent at 25,763.07

Shanghai - Composite: DOWN 0.1 percent at 4,104.67

Euro/dollar: DOWN at $1.1668 from $1.1695 on Wednesday

Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.3476 from $1.3489

Dollar/yen: UP at 160.34 yen from 160.23 yen

Euro/pound: DOWN at 86.58 pence from 86.71 pence

New York - Dow: DOWN 0.6 percent at 48,861.81 (close)

London - FTSE 100: DOWN 1.2 percent at 10,213.11 (close)

Bangladesh's readymade garment sector in Chattogram is facing mounting pressure as prolonged load shedding and rising fuel costs disrupt production, with factory owners claiming a sharp increase in expenses and growing risks to export orders.

Although the Bangladesh Power Development Board claims that the Chattogram region is currently facing a daily load shedding of around 100MW, in reality, the situation is more difficult, according to garment owners.

At Meher Garments on Sagarika Road in the port city, where around 3,000 workers are employed, a typical workday has become a stop-start struggle, according to the authorities.

On 29 April, production at the factory started at 8am but stopped within 10 minutes due to a power outage. It took another 10 minutes to restart using generators. Power came back at 9:40am, but went out again at 11am. Electricity was restored an hour later.

After the lunch break, power went out again at 4:35pm and did not return until 5:25pm. In an eight-hour shift, the factory remained without electricity for roughly three and a half hours, while repeated switching between grid power and generators caused an additional 30 minutes of disruption.

"During summer, we used to face around two hours of load shedding daily, which required about Tk19,000 worth of diesel to keep the factory running," said Khondaker Belayet Hossain, director of the factory and a leader of the Bangladesh Garment Manufacturers and Exporters Association.

"Now, with three to four hours of outages and a 15% rise in diesel prices, our daily fuel cost has climbed to around Tk40,000," he said.

He added that prolonged generator use causes voltage fluctuations, damaging costly machinery and shortening equipment lifespan. "All of this is pushing up production costs, which were not factored in when orders were placed three months ago."

Industry insiders say the situation is not unique to a single factory. Most RMG factories in Chattogram are experiencing three to four hours of load shedding within an eight-hour workday, compounded by fuel shortages and higher operational costs.

As a result, production expenses have surged by about 20%, timely exports are being disrupted, and manufacturers fear losing orders to competing countries.

According to the industry data, 348 out of 699 RMG factories in Chattogram are currently operational. Unreliable electricity and fuel supply have reduced output, placing additional strain on the export-oriented industry.

BGMEA leaders say frequent power disruptions and gas shortages are disrupting production deadlines. This has delayed shipments, forcing some exporters to rely on air freight – significantly increasing costs.

Failure to meet delivery schedules risks eroding buyer confidence, which could affect future orders, they warned.

Former BGMEA vice-president Rakibul Alam Chowdhury said factories are increasingly dependent on alternative fuel sources due to load shedding, driving up production costs.

"Over the past two months, rising freight charges, higher container handling costs at inland container depots, and increased transport fares have pushed overall production costs up by more than 20%," he said.

"As manufacturers seek higher prices from buyers, many foreign clients are cutting back on new orders or shifting to competitor countries," he said.

SM Abu Tayyab, BGMEA director and president of the Chattogram chapter of the International Business Forum of Bangladesh, warned that the prolonged crisis could severely impact the export earnings.

"If the situation continues, small and medium-sized factories may be forced to shut down, leaving hundreds of thousands of workers unemployed," he said.

He stressed the need for urgent steps to resolve load shedding and gas shortages and to ensure energy security, cautioning that failure to act could put Bangladesh's key export sector at serious risk.

When contacted, Fahmida Begum, the executive engineer of the Power Development Board in Chattogram, said, "After the rain, the electricity demand has decreased leaving no requirement for load shedding. But, still there may be power outages due to a fault in the transmission line during thunderstorms and heavy rain."

Bangladesh's economy risks falling into an "energy trap" due to rising global fuel prices, dollar shortages and pressure from import dependence, speakers warned.

The concerns were raised today (2 May) at a webinar titled "Today's Agenda: Economy Trapped in the Energy Crisis?" organised by Power and Participation Research Center (PPRC).

Speakers said the crisis had intensified because of supply constraints, demand-driven reactions and communication gaps. Some early disruptions quickly turned into panic buying, causing a sudden spike in fuel demand. Although rationing and other measures were introduced, uncertainty made the situation more complex. Participants also discussed energy security during future emergencies.

Former energy secretary AKM Zafar Ullah Khan said long-standing planning weaknesses in the energy sector were now becoming clear. Aligning with global markets had further exposed domestic vulnerabilities.

He said questions were being raised about how much fuel Bangladesh could store and for how long. Fuel prices would eventually have to be adjusted in line with international markets, but uninterrupted supply remained the key priority. He added that the country did not have enough storage capacity to handle large fluctuations in incoming or outgoing oil supplies.

Former Bangladesh Agricultural University vice-chancellor A Sattar Mondal said, "Agriculture was becoming increasingly machine-dependent, raising fuel demand. Ensuring steady fuel supply has become essential for maintaining production at the field level."

He said muscle power in farming had largely been replaced by machine power. "Around 4.2 million diesel engines are used across the agricultural sector, not only for irrigation but also in many other activities," he said.

Sattar expected both machinery use and diesel demand to rise further.

Syed Mahmudul Haque, chairman of Trade Services International, said fluctuations in global fuel prices were directly increasing Bangladesh's import costs, putting pressure on foreign currency reserves and the wider economy.

He said every $5 rise per barrel in the international market significantly increased Bangladesh's import bill. He urged the country to consider alternatives, including diversifying sources of supply instead of relying mainly on the Middle East.

Anwar-ul Alam Parvez, chairman of the Bangladesh Chamber of Industries, said changing geopolitical conditions were making fuel supplies more uncertain, requiring coordinated and diversified planning.

"Bangladesh needed short-, medium- and long-term policies to secure the energy sector. Immediate steps should include operating coal-based plants according to capacity, maintaining domestic capability with imports from Adani Group and India, and prioritising gas supplies for fertiliser and productive industries," he said.

Mohammad Nazmul Haque, president of the Bangladesh Petrol Pump Owners Association, stressed the need to expand renewable energy and accelerate domestic gas exploration to reduce import dependence.

"Renewable resources must now be utilised, while more emphasis should be placed on drilling gas wells," he said, adding, "140 wells had been initiated since the current government took office."

Speakers also said that although supply conditions had not improved significantly, stronger demand management and monitoring had helped stabilise the situation gradually. However, uneven distribution at fuel stations and excessive media focus on local shortages had increased public anxiety.

Concluding the discussion, Hossain Zillur Rahman said the fuel crisis had exposed gaps in both immediate response and medium-term planning. Without coordinated policy and effective implementation, such crises could deepen and recur.

He also said accurate information flow during crises was essential, warning that false or exaggerated messaging could further destabilise the situation.