Brent crude futures retreated on ​Tuesday but held near $114 a barrel following fresh hostilities in the Middle East, while investors ‌monitored developments in the US-Israeli conflict with Iran.

The US and Iran launched new attacks in the Gulf on Monday as they wrestled for control over the Strait of Hormuz with duelling maritime blockades, shaking a fragile truce.

Brent crude futures eased 93 ​cents, or 0.8 percent, to $113.51 per barrel at 0719 GMT after settling up 5.8 percent on Monday. ​US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude fell $2.16, or 2 percent, to $104.26, after gaining 4.4 percent in the previous session.

“Prices continue to trade in a highly volatile range, driven largely by ongoing tensions in the ​Strait of Hormuz,” said Phillip Nova’s senior market analyst Priyanka Sachdeva.

“While prices have eased slightly in recent ​sessions, this is not due to any real improvement in fundamentals, but rather a temporary relief after the US launched ‘Project Freedom’,” she added.

The US on Monday launched a new operation aimed at reopening the strait to shipping. Maersk later said the ​Alliance Fairfax, a US-flagged vehicle carrier, exited the Gulf via the strait accompanied by the US military.

“It shows ​that limited safe passage is possible under current conditions and helps chip away at some of the worst-case supply disruption ‌fears,” said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade in an email.

“However, it’s still very much a one-off event rather than a full reopening,” he added. Still, Iran launched attacks in the Gulf on Monday to counter US moves for control over the Strait of Hormuz, which connects the Gulf to wider markets and typically ​carries oil and gas ​supply equal to about 20 percent of global demand every day.

Several commercial vessels were reportedly struck in the area, while a key oil port in the United Arab Emirates was set ablaze ​after an Iranian strike. Trump’s attempt to use the US Navy to ​free up shipping is the war’s biggest escalation since a ceasefire was declared four weeks ago.

“Markets may find some relief today following President Trump’s overnight comments suggesting the conflict could continue for another two to three weeks,” said ING analysts in ​a client note.

However, there is considerable scepticism in the market ​on this view, given the recent escalation and the repeated extensions of projected timelines for ending hostilities since the conflict began, they ​added.

State-owned Janata Bank recorded a substantial loss of Tk3,931 crore in 2025, marking a 28% increase compared to the previous year, according to its audited financial statements.

The significant loss has pushed the bank's net asset value further into negative territory, standing at Tk108.51 per share.

The downturn was largely driven by a sharp deficit in net interest income, which reached a negative Tk5,903 crore, alongside a surge in classified loans totaling Tk72,800 crore.

By the end of 2025, the bank's loss per share rose to Tk169.90.

Stocks today (5 May) witnessed sell-offs, with prices declining for 58% of the scrips traded on the bourse, dragging down the DSEX, the benchmark index of the Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE), by 11 points.

A day after returning to positive territory on Monday snapping a two-session losing streak, stocks ended on the red.

According to data of EBL Securities, among the top ten index draggers, eight were banking stocks, with City Bank leading the decline by shaving off 5 points. It was followed by BRAC Bank, Al-Arafah Islami Bank, Islami Bank Bangladesh, Pubali Bank, Shahjalal Islami Bank, Square Pharmaceuticals, NCC Bank, Bank Asia, and Grameenphone.

On the upside, Beximco Pharmaceuticals emerged as the top index gainer, contributing 11 points, followed by Beacon Pharmaceuticals, United Commercial Bank, Dominage Steel Building Systems, and Uttara Bank, the EBL data showed.

With a decline of 11 points, DSEX closed at 5,267 points, while DSES, the shariah index, surged 6 points to 1,060, and DS30, the blue-chip index, fell 6 points to 2,017, the DSE data showed.

A total 393 stocks traded today, while 227 stocks or 58% saw price decline, 107 stocks price surges and 59 stocks price remained unchanged.

Turnover, one of the major indicator, posted a decline around 5% to Tk876.95 crore and market cap, the value of total shares of the listed companies downed by Tk732 crore to Tk6.80 lakh crore.

EBL Securities said the benchmark index of the Dhaka bourse resumed its downward trajectory as broad-based selling dominated the session, with banking stocks exerting a notable drag after post–record date adjustments.

"Although the indices remained afloat through mid-session, the market lost traction in the final hour as broad-based selling pressure eroded earlier momentum, ultimately dragging the indices into negative territory by the close," it said.

On the sectoral front, Pharmaceutical and Chemical sector accounted for the highest share by 15.9% of turnover, followed by Bank 13.8% and Engineering sector stocks by 12.4%.

Sectors mostly displayed mixed returns, out of which life insurance, tannery and services exerted the most corrections, while ceramic, paper and pharma exhibited some positive returns on the bourse today.

Monno Ceramics topped the gainer chart as its shares price surged by 9.95% to Tk95 each, followed by Beximco Pharmaceuticals by 7.69% to Tk126 each, Dominage Steel Building Systems by 7.32% to Tk70.3 each, Sikder Insurance by 4.98% to Tk29.5 each, and Monno Agro by 4.46% to Tk348.9 each.

While on the loser from, Apex Spinning was top loser as its shares price fell 8.59% to Tk330.6 each, followed by Premier Leasing by 8% to Tk2.3 each, GSP Finance by 6.97% to Tk4 each, Bay Leasing by 6.38% to Tk4.4 each, and Energypac Power Generation by 5.85% to Tk17.7 each.

The port city bourse, Chittagong Stock Exchange (CSE), also settled on a negative territory.

The Selective Categories' Index (CSCX) and All Share Price Index (CASPI) lost 16.9 points and 31.9 points, respectively.

European aircraft manufacturer Airbus today advocated for the inclusion of its aircraft in Biman Bangladesh Airlines’ fleet alongside Boeing, saying that a mixed fleet would benefit the national flag carrier.

Civil Aviation Minister Afroza Khanam, State Minister M Rashiduzzaman Millat, and Biman Managing Director and CEO Kaizer Sohel Ahmed were present at the meeting with Airbus Vice President Edward Delahaye at the Secretariat.

The meeting comes four days after Biman signed an agreement with Boeing to purchase 14 aircraft at a cost of $3.7 billion.

During the meeting, the Airbus official highlighted the advantages of a mixed fleet strategy.

In response to Airbus’s proposal, the minister and state minister expressed their commitment to working closely with the company regarding the future composition of Biman’s fleet.

According to sources at the civil aviation ministry, Airbus underscored how a mixed fleet strategy could offer greater flexibility and commercial benefits to Bangladesh’s aviation sector in the future.

Asked about Airbus' latest move to sell its aircraft in Bangladesh, Aviation Expert Kazi Wahidul Alam said, while partnerships with global manufacturers like Airbus are always welcome, fleet decisions must reflect Biman’s operational reality. A phased approach -- building scale first, then considering diversification -- may be more sustainable.

Both Boeing and Airbus have repeatedly submitted proposals to Biman to sell aircraft.

ImageAirbus Vice President Edward Delahaye paid a courtesy call on Civil Aviation and Tourism Minister Afroza Khanam at the Secretariat. Photo: Ministry
Airbus Vice President Edward Delahaye paid a courtesy call on Civil Aviation and Tourism Minister Afroza Khanam at the Secretariat. Photo: Ministry of Civil Aviation and Tourism, Bangladesh

The civil aviation ministry, during the interim government, approved the acquisition of 14 Boeing aircraft, with only the formal signing remaining at that time.

Biman’s deal with Boeing concludes more than three years of fierce competition between the US manufacturer and its European rival for the airline’s next major fleet order.

Airbus gained momentum in 2023 following high-level European engagement, including discussions linked to French President Emmanuel Macron’s visit and references in a Bangladesh-UK joint statement to a possible purchase of 10 Airbus aircraft, including freighters.

Under the previous Awami League government, a policy decision had been announced to procure 10 Airbus aircraft.

However, following the fall of Sheikh Hasina’s government in a student-led mass uprising in 2024 and amid pressure related to US reciprocal tariffs, the interim government shifted in favour of Boeing.

Sonali Bank, the country's largest state-owned commercial bank, reported a record net profit of Tk1,313 crore in 2025, marking a 33% increase from the previous year, according to its audited financial statements.

The strong performance was primarily driven by a surge in investment income, largely from government bond holdings, which rose 55% year-on-year to Tk9,799 crore.

However, the bank's net interest income declined sharply, falling 77% to Tk337 crore during the year.

The drop was attributed to reduced interest earnings from borrowers alongside higher interest payments to depositors.

Sonali Bank's earnings per share (EPS) improved to Tk28.99 in 2025, up from Tk21.82 in the previous year.

A significant portion of Bangladesh’s population continues to face unmet healthcare needs, driven largely by rising out-of-pocket expenditures, according to a study of Bangladesh Institute of Development Studies.Geographic Reference

Although unmet healthcare needs persist across all segments of society, the financial burden falls disproportionately on the poor, it showed.

The research by Abdur Razzaque Sarker of BIDS underscored that OOP spending remains the dominant mode of healthcare financing in the country, with its share reaching an alarming 79 per cent in 2024.

The study titled ‘Re-thinking unmet healthcare needs and dynamics of out-of-pocket expenditure in Bangladesh,’ was conducted under BIDS’ population studies division.

The study utilised data from the latest Household Income and Expenditure Survey 2022, comprising 14,400 households and 62,387 individuals where descriptive statistics were employed to analyses and summaries the percentage of unmet need, service utilisation across providers.

The distribution of benefits from public spending and progressivity/regressivity is assessed using benefit and financing incidence analysis.

The findings revealed that around 22 per cent of the population reported a need for healthcare services on a monthly basis. Among them, 15 per cent experienced unmet healthcare needs, accounting for 65 per cent of the total need.

Unmet needs were found to be significantly higher in rural areas compared to urban centres—68 per cent versus 59 per cent. Regionally, the highest levels of unmet need were recorded in Narail, 81 per cent, and Habiganj, 80 per cent, while the lowest was observed in Feni, 18 per cent.

On average, Bangladeshi households spend Tk 3,454 per month on healthcare, representing about 11 per cent of total household expenditure. Medicines and diagnostic services were identified as the primary cost drivers.

The study noted that while public healthcare services are relatively equitably utilised, private healthcare services remain disproportionately concentrated among wealthier groups.

Despite higher absolute spending among the rich, poorer households bear a significantly heavier financial burden.

Healthcare expenses account for about 35 per cent of total income for the poorest households, compared to just 5 per cent for the wealthiest, indicating a regressive healthcare financing system.

The heavy reliance on OOP payments often leads to catastrophic health expenditures, limiting access to necessary care and pushing vulnerable households further into poverty.

The study concluded that although unmet healthcare needs persist across all segments of society, the financial burden falls disproportionately on the poor.

To address these challenges, the researcher recommended urgent reforms in healthcare financing, particularly the development and implementation of risk-pooling mechanisms such as social health insurance.

Such measures, the study suggested, are essential for reducing inequality in healthcare access and achieving Universal Health Coverage in Bangladesh.

State-owned Eastern Refinery Limited is set to resume operations on 8 May as a vessel carrying 1 lakh tonnes of crude oil is scheduled to reach the outer anchorage of Chattogram Port today (6 May).

Located in Patenga near the port, it is Bangladesh's sole refinery and has remained shut for over three weeks due to crude shortages.

Mohammad Mostafizur Rahman, deputy general manager (planning and shipping), said preparations were in place to resume operations from the morning of 8 May.

He said up to three lighter vessels can unload crude oil each day, each carrying around 4,000 tonnes. Operations will begin once at least 8,000 tonnes are received.

The crude shipment is being transported by MT Ninemea, which departed on 21 April from Yanbu Port, a vital Saudi Arabian energy hub located on the Red Sea coast. The vessel is due to arrive at around 11am.

Captain Mohammad Mujibur Rahman, general manager (chartering and tramping) at Bangladesh Shipping Corporation, said the arrival time may vary slightly but unloading will begin immediately using lighterage vessels.

According to the Bangladesh Petroleum Corporation, refining operations at the plant were suspended on 14 April due to a lack of crude supply.

The last shipment arrived on 18 February. Subsequent imports were disrupted by the Iran war, which led to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a key route for crude shipments from the Middle East to Asia.

A planned 1 lakh tonnes cargo from Ras Tanura in Saudi Arabia on 3 March was cancelled, along with another shipment from Abu Dhabi, worsening the supply crisis.

Officials at the refinery said they had continued limited operations using around 5,000 tonnes of crude left in the Single Point Mooring pipeline at Maheshkhali, along with residual stock from five storage tanks.

Typically, about 1.5 metres of crude remains as dead stock at the bottom of tanks, becoming unusable below one metre. As reserves fell below usable levels, operations were halted from 14 April.

Another 1 lakh tonne due this month

After months of supply disruption, a second 1 lakh tonne of crude shipment has been scheduled. The cargo will be imported from Abu Dhabi National Oil Company and will consist of Murban crude.

The vessel is expected to be loaded at Fujairah Port on 10-11 May before sailing for Chattogram port. Chartering firm Bangladesh Shipping Corporation has already dispatched a tanker for the operation.

Captain Mujibur Rahman said the vessel is scheduled to arrive in Bangladesh on 22-23 May.

According to Bangladesh Petroleum Corporation, the country imports 65-68 lakh tonnes of fuel annually, with diesel and crude accounting for the largest share.

Around 15 lakh tonnes of crude are imported from the Middle East each year and processed at Eastern Refinery, which produces 16 types of products, including LPG, petrol, octane, kerosene, diesel and furnace oil.

In addition to crude, Bangladesh imports about 45 lakh tonnes of refined fuel annually from India and China. The refinery typically processes around 4,500 tonnes of crude per day. However, output was reduced to about 3,500 tonnes daily last month due to supply shortages.

By 4 March, usable crude stocks at the refinery had fallen below 2,000 tonnes. The plant mainly processes Arabian Light crude from Saudi Arabia and Murban crude from the UAE, with limited capacity to handle other grades.

Amid the supply crisis, the government approved a proposal in March to purchase 1 lakh tonnes of crude from Malaysia-based Abir Trade and Global Markets, but the deal was not finalised due to uncertainty over supply assurance.

Oil prices eased ​1 percent on Tuesday after climbing by as much as 6 percent in the previous session on signs the US Navy ‌is loosening Iran's grip on the Strait of Hormuz, potentially opening up supply from the Middle East.

The US on Monday launched a new operation aimed at reopening the strait to shipping. Maersk later said the Alliance Fairfax, a US-flagged vehicle carrier, exited the Gulf via the strait accompanied by the US military, easing ​some supply disruption fears.

Brent oil futures for July fell 51 cents, or 0.5 percent, to $113.93 per barrel at 0622 GMT after ​settling up 5.8 percent on Monday. US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude fell $1.55, or 1.5 percent, to $104.87, after gaining 4.4 percent ⁠in the previous session.

"The successful escorted exit of the Maersk-operated vessel has helped ease some immediate supply disruption fears," said Tim Waterer, ​chief market analyst at KCM Trade.

"It shows that limited safe passage is possible under current conditions and helps chip away at some of ​the worst-case supply disruption fears. However, it's still very much a one-off event rather than a full reopening," he said in an email.

Still, Iran launched attacks in the Gulf on Monday to counter the US move as they wrestle for control over the Strait of Hormuz, which connects the Gulf to wider markets ​and typically carries oil and gas supply equal to about 20 percent of global demand every day.

Several commercial vessels were reportedly struck in ​the area, while a key oil port in the United Arab Emirates was set ablaze after an Iranian strike. Trump's attempt to use the US ‌Navy ⁠to free up shipping is the war's biggest escalation since a ceasefire was declared four weeks ago.

The US is pushing to open Hormuz to ease a massive disruption to global energy supplies since Iran mostly shut the strait after the US and Israel started the war on February 28.

Some analysts attributed the slight drop in oil prices on Tuesday to profit-taking moves.

"The recent dip does look like a bit ​of profit-taking after a strong ​run-up, rather than a structural ⁠shift in the backdrop," said Priyanka Sachdeva, a senior market analyst at Phillip Nova. "The geopolitical risk premium tied to the Strait of Hormuz remains firmly in place, so the downside is likely to stay ​limited."

"In the very near term, prices could see some consolidation or mild pullback as markets reassess ​positioning and react ⁠to mixed diplomatic signals."

On Monday, Chevron Chairman and CEO Mike Wirth said physical shortages in oil supply would begin appearing around the world because of the Hormuz closure.

Because of the disruptions, global oil stocks are approaching their lowest level in eight years, Goldman Sachs said on Monday, warning that ⁠the speed ​of depletion was becoming a concern as supplies remained restricted.

"With the world rapidly ​burning through commercial stockpiles, strategic reserves, and crude held in floating storage, the underlying supply squeeze remains a potent tailwind for oil prices," IG market analyst Tony Sycamore ​said in a note.

Bangladesh Bank Governor Md Mostaqur Rahman has called on commercial banks, mobile financial service (MFS) providers and payment service providers to accelerate efforts to build a more widespread cashless society in the country.

The call came during a meeting today (5 May) between the governor and heads of cashless units from the institutions.

Speaking to The Business Standard, central bank spokesperson and Executive Director Aref Hossain Khan said building a cashless society and introducing Bangla QR codes is now a "national agenda," no longer limited to the central bank alone.

"Everyone needs to come forward to implement this agenda," he added.

He noted that while MFS providers have made significant progress in onboarding small merchants, banks have lagged behind despite having broader networks. "The central bank now wants banks to increase their contribution in expanding digital transactions."

Arif Hossain Khan also said institutions have been urged to adopt Bangla QR codes universally after 30 June. "All companies will be required to have Bangla QR codes, and MFS providers will need to shift from their own separate QR systems to the unified standard."

He further said, "To support implementation, the central bank is considering forming a dedicated committee to oversee the transition to a cashless ecosystem."

A senior Bangladesh Bank official told TBS that wider adoption of Bangla QR codes would make transactions more accessible and interoperable, especially as many banks still lack their own apps. "Strengthening digital platforms alongside QR integration is expected to accelerate the shift toward a cashless economy."

Bangladesh Bank (BB) on Tuesday purchased $50 million from three commercial banks through multiple auction methods.

According to central bank data, it bought dollars at the rate of TK 122.75.

Accordingly, total purchases stood at $80 million in May 2026 and $5,753.50 million in FY 2025-26.

Sources said the BB purchased the dollars as part of its strategy to stabilize the TK against the US dollar and revitalize remittance and export inflows.

Indian businesses have urged Bangladesh to ensure institutional stability, policy consistency, and reduce logistics bottlenecks to enhance bilateral trade and attract foreign direct investment (FDI).

They also expressed optimism that the proposed Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (Cepa) between the two neighbouring countries could significantly expand trade and investment flows.

The observations came during a meeting between leaders of the Confederation of Indian Industry (CII) and a visiting Bangladeshi media delegation in New Delhi.

Pankaj Tandon, a member of CII's South Asia Committee, said that strengthening institutions and ensuring policy predictability are key to boosting investor confidence.

"To boost investment and trade, Bangladesh needs institutional stability, policy consistency, and stronger institutional accountability," he noted.

He added that the current phase of Bangladesh-India relations is critical not only for sustaining existing ties but also for shaping the next stage of economic partnership to support Bangladesh's long-term growth and competitiveness.

Describing Bangladesh as India's largest trading partner in South Asia, Tandon said bilateral trade stood at over $13 billion in the 2024-25 fiscal year.

"Bangladesh's industrial strength and India's manufacturing and services sectors complement each other, creating opportunities for integrated regional value chains," he said.

He also highlighted potential areas of collaboration, including medical tourism, food processing, agricultural value chains, the digital economy, startups, energy cooperation, and SME linkages.

According to Tandon, India's expertise in digital public infrastructure, fintech, renewable energy, manufacturing excellence, and sustainable development could support Bangladesh's economic transformation.

Regarding restrictions on Bangladesh's ready-made garment (RMG) exports through Indian land ports, he said CII could work jointly on the issue if Bangladeshi business chambers formally raise it.

He reaffirmed CII's commitment to working closely with Bangladeshi organisations to deepen bilateral business-to-business engagement and strengthen economic cooperation.

At the event, Geetanjali Nataraj of CII delivered a presentation, while Manish Mohan, director of CII, also spoke.

Bangladesh Bank's planned Tk40,000 crore refinance scheme to revive closed factories has raised concerns among economists and officials over its potential macroeconomic impact.

The initiative aims to boost production and protect jobs, but questions remain over how it will be financed.

Analysts say the source of funds will be critical in determining whether the scheme adds pressure on prices.

Concerns over inflation

Economists and central bank officials have cautioned that financing the scheme through fresh money creation could increase inflationary pressure by expanding the money supply.

Fahmida Khatun, executive director of the Centre for Policy Dialogue, said the issue is particularly important at a time when many banks are facing liquidity shortages and government revenue growth remains under strain.

"At present, many banks are facing liquidity shortages, and government revenue growth is also under pressure. If the central bank directly finances the scheme, it could add to inflationary pressure by increasing the money supply," she said.

She suggested that the fund could be mobilised through a combination of sources, including banks with stronger liquidity positions and allocations from the national budget, to help reduce inflation risks.

A senior Bangladesh Bank official also warned that injecting the full amount through the central bank could have a multiplied impact on overall liquidity due to the money multiplier effect.

"If the full Tk40,000 crore is injected by the central bank, the overall impact on the economy could be several times higher, putting additional pressure on prices," the official said.

The official added that such a move could complicate the central bank's efforts to control inflation, potentially creating a policy trade-off between maintaining price stability and supporting employment and industrial recovery.

MJL Bangladesh PLC, a leading lubricant and energy company, reported a 27% drop in consolidated net profit in the first nine months of FY26, primarily due to lower revenue and the withdrawal of key tax benefits.

According to the company's unaudited financial statements for the July-March period, the consolidated net profit dropped to Tk187.23 crore, down from Tk256.21 crore in the corresponding period of the previous year.

This downturn significantly impacted the company's earnings per share (EPS), which settled at Tk5.91 at the end of the first three quarters, compared to Tk8.09 during the same period a year earlier.

The company's consolidated net revenue also experienced an 8% decline, falling to Tk3,016 crore from Tk3,263 crore.

Management attributed the earnings slump to a combination of an 8% decline in revenue, a rise in minimum tax from 0.6% to 1%, and the withdrawal of a tax exemption on its oil tanker operations.

Standalone net profit also fell by over 17%, largely driven by the reduced profitability of the oil tanker segment.

However, the company posted a strong rebound in the third quarter. In January-March 2026, MJL's consolidated net profit rose 44% to Tk65 crore, supported by an 18% surge in revenue, which climbed to Tk1,148 crore, alongside a reduction in finance costs.

MJL Bangladesh, known for its state-of-the-art lube oil blending plant, remains a dominant provider of high-performance lubricants and energy solutions in the local market, while also maintaining an active presence in international exports.

MJL Bangladesh shares price edged up by 0.68% today (4 May) to reach at Tk88.70 at the Dhaka Stock Exchange.

Bangladeshi garment exporters will today ask visiting US trade officials in Dhaka to clarify how a promised zero reciprocal tariff will apply to apparel made with American cotton and other US textile inputs.

The provision is included in the US-Bangladesh Agreement on Reciprocal Trade signed in February this year, but exporters say they have yet to benefit from it.

“We will raise this issue with the USTR high-ups in the meeting tomorrow [Tuesday],” said Mahmud Hasan Khan, president of the Bangladesh Garment Manufacturers and Exporters Association (BGMEA).

A delegation from the Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR), led by Assistant US Trade Representative for South and Central Asia Brendan Lynch, will visit Dhaka from May 5 to May 7.

In a statement issued ahead of the visit, the US Embassy in Dhaka said the United States looks forward to partnering on the implementation of the reciprocal trade agreement. The delegation is expected to discuss ways to strengthen trade and investment ties.

Under Article 5.3 of the reciprocal trade agreement, the United States commits to establishing a mechanism allowing certain textile and apparel goods from Bangladesh to enter the American market at a zero reciprocal tariff rate.

The deal says that a to be specified volume of apparel and textile imports from Bangladesh may qualify for the reduced rate. That volume will be determined in relation to the quantity of US-produced cotton and man-made fibre textile inputs exported to Bangladesh.

However, BGMEA President Khan said Bangladesh is not currently enjoying the benefits in the US market.

He said the zero-duty facility would be the main agenda at the scheduled meeting between the visiting officials and BGMEA leaders in Dhaka.

A senior commerce ministry official said the USTR delegation will also meet Commerce Minister Khandakar Abdul Muktadir at the secretariat today. Discussions are expected to cover the reciprocal trade deal, broader bilateral trade matters, labour rights and intellectual property.

The USTR is currently conducting two investigations covering 60 countries, including Bangladesh. One is about forced labour in industrial units, while the other relates to industrial overcapacity that could hurt the US manufacturers.

In a position paper submitted to the commerce ministry recently, BGMEA said the Bangladesh garment industry does not have overproduction capacity that could harm the American manufacturing sector and is free from forced labour, as exporters comply with internationally recognised labour laws.

The association said that in a market-driven economy, production levels constantly adjust to shifts in demand, input costs and supply chain conditions. Determining “excess capacity” without clear parameters or methodology is a major challenge.

According to USTR data, US goods trade with Bangladesh totalled an estimated $11.8 billion in 2025. US imports from Bangladesh stood at $9.5 billion, up 13.3 percent from 2024, while US exports to Bangladesh were $2.3 billion, up 1.4 percent.

The US goods trade deficit with Bangladesh was $7.1 billion in 2025, a 17.9 percent increase from the previous year.

Garments account for 86 percent of Bangladesh’s exports to the United States.

In its position paper, BGMEA said the Bangladesh apparel sector has not expanded suddenly or in a way that would indicate structural excess capacity. The industry growth should be viewed over the long term.

Over the past decade, the sector has followed a steady growth path, it said, driven by global demand and shifting sourcing strategies rather than policy-induced expansion.

After more than four decades of development, Bangladesh exported garment products worth $39.3 billion in fiscal year 2024-25, accounting for nearly 7 percent of the global apparel market. It is now the world’s second-largest garment exporter after China.

In 2025, Bangladesh accounted for 10.73 percent of US apparel imports by volume and 10.53 percent by value, according to the American Apparel and Footwear Association (AAFA).

This week, a separate USTR report said Bangladesh has stayed off the latest US intellectual property rights watch lists. However, Washington urged Dhaka to strengthen enforcement to prevent unfair trade practices.

In its annual Special 301 Report, the USTR identified 26 trading partners with concerns over intellectual property protection and enforcement.

State-owned companies listed on the stock market delivered mixed performances in the January-March quarter of the 2025-26 fiscal year, reflecting uneven sectoral health.

Quarterly public disclosures show energy firms, particularly oil marketing companies, remained profitable, while several entities in financial, gas and industrial sectors continued to incur losses, signalling structural weaknesses.

Oil firms maintain steady profits

The three listed oil marketing companies – Padma Oil Company, Meghna Petroleum and Jamuna Oil – remained profitable in the third quarter of the current fiscal year.

However, their revenues declined compared with the same period last year, reflecting weaker earnings from core operations. Non-operating income, however, played a significant role in sustaining overall profitability.

During the quarter, notable shifts were observed in cash positions and inventory management. Fluctuations in global fuel prices, import costs, stock management and cash flow dynamics were reflected in their financials.

Padma Oil posted a profit of Tk132.37 crore in the January-March quarter FY26, down from Tk145.38 crore in the same period in FY25. Its revenue fell to Tk85.43 crore from Tk92.30 crore.

Meghna Petroleum's profit dropped to Tk83.94 crore from Tk141 crore, while revenue declined to Tk22.95 crore from Tk28.02 crore.

The company said lower collections from customers and reduced payments to suppliers and employees significantly weakened cash flow from operations, leading to a sharp decline in net operating cash flow.

In contrast, Jamuna Oil recorded profit growth, earning Tk139.78 crore compared with Tk110.78 crore. However, its revenue declined to Tk52.12 crore from Tk70.41 crore.

The company in its disclosure said interest income on deposits with Sammilito Islami Bank was not recognised due to uncertainty over recovery. This reduced both total income and net profit, directly affecting earnings per share.

It added that a conservative accounting approach was adopted, excluding uncertain income, which resulted in lower reported EPS. The company also said reduced credit and accruals led to a decline in net operating cash flow per share compared with June 2025.

7 firms remain in red

The Investment Corporation of Bangladesh (ICB) continued to post heavy losses, reporting Tk277 crore in the quarter, up from Tk161 crore a year earlier. Notably, its revenue remained negative at Tk221 crore, compared with negative Tk63 crore in the same period last year.

Titas Gas Transmission and Distribution Company recorded a loss of Tk224 crore, slightly lower than Tk236 crore a year earlier. Its revenue declined to Tk8,613 crore from Tk9,023 crore.

Dhaka Electric Supply Company (Desco) managed to reduce its losses to Tk32 crore from Tk72 crore, while revenue edged up to Tk182.41 crore.

National Tubes Limited slipped into loss, posting Tk1.31 crore in losses against a profit of Tk1.43 crore a year earlier. Its revenue fell to Tk8.12 crore from Tk13.51 crore.

Eastern Cables Limited also remained in the red, reporting a loss of Tk3.45 crore, marginally lower than Tk3.58 crore a year earlier, although revenue rose slightly to Tk8.52 crore.

ICB's losses are seen as reflecting weak investor sentiment in the capital market. Meanwhile, continued losses at gas and power distribution firms also point to structural constraints, pricing issues and operational inefficiencies.

Signs of recovery in select firms

Power Grid Company of Bangladesh staged a strong turnaround, posting a profit of Tk94 crore, compared with a loss of Tk186 crore in the same period last year. Revenue rose to Tk715 crore.

The company said earnings per share increased by Tk6.58 year-on-year in the third quarter. It attributed the improvement to a significant rise in total income and a sharp reduction in overall expenses.

Bangladesh Submarine Cable Company Limited (BSCCL) also recorded robust growth, with profit rising to Tk74.43 crore from Tk47.82 crore a year earlier. Revenue increased to Tk125.31 crore.

The company said higher revenue from regular operations and increased other income drove the rise in earnings per share.

Eastern Lubricants Blenders Limited maintained its growth momentum, posting a profit of Tk4.28 crore, up from Tk1.57 crore a year earlier. Revenue climbed to Tk23.95 crore.

The improvement seen in companies such as Power Grid and BSCCL suggests that effective management, rising demand and supportive policies can enable state-owned enterprises to regain financial stability.

After the onset of the US-Israel war on Iran, some policymakers initially took a firm stance, publicly claiming credit for not adjusting fuel prices to shield consumers from global shocks. They argued that they did not want to pass the burden onto the people.

However, the government could not maintain its stance as it quickly unravelled under fiscal and market realities.

Within weeks, the government reversed course. It raised the price of a 12 kg liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) cylinder by 45 percent after two successive hikes in April.

On April 18, it also pushed fuel prices to record highs: diesel rose by Tk 15 per litre to Tk 115, octane by Tk 20 to Tk 140, petrol by Tk 19 to Tk 135, and kerosene by Tk 18 to Tk 130.

The scale and timing of these adjustments suggest that fiscal constraints, subsidy pressures, and external account vulnerabilities outweighed earlier political commitments.

From a macroeconomic perspective, such hikes drive costs and thus prices of commodities in the supply chain, as higher energy costs spread through transport, production, and supply chains, often creating second-round effects in import-dependent economies like Bangladesh.

A recent report on inflation dynamics of Bangladesh by the central bank showed gas price hikes have pushed up energy inflation to 14.9 percent during the January-March quarter of the current fiscal year 2025-26 from 14.4 percent in the previous quarter.

Economists say the effect of hiking petroleum prices is going to be felt soon, and consumers have already begun to feel the pinch. Transport costs for both passengers and freight have gone up. Farmers complained about the higher cost of harvesting rice and threshing the grains. Consumer goods companies are reducing pack sizes and squeezing margins to cope.

Yet, two ministers -- finance and commerce -- downplayed the inflationary risks.

According to a report published in this newspaper on April 20, Finance Minister Amir Khosru Mahmud Chowdhury said, “It may increase or it may not. If the supply side remains stable, then prices may not rise.”

In reply to a question in the parliament, Commerce Minister Khandakar Abdul Muktadir said it was unlikely that the recent fuel price hike would exacerbate inflation, terming the adjustment “moderate.”

He said the 15 percent increase in diesel prices may raise commodity prices by around Tk 0.30 per kg. However, he said this would not have any major impact on overall inflation, which has remained around 9 percent for more than three years, deepening consumers’ woes.

The wage rate index for unskilled workers illustrates this trend. Inflation has outpaced wage growth for 50 consecutive months, steadily eroding the purchasing power of consumers, particularly those in middle- and lower-income groups. It means that real wages have been in the negative for more than four years.

Consumers are set to face further pressure as the commerce ministry has allowed refiners to raise soybean oil prices by Tk 4 per litre, or 2 percent.

The situation worsened by earlier supply disruptions triggered by the Iran War, which had already pushed up global energy and transport costs. Diesel-dependent sectors such as agriculture, manufacturing, and transport are now under additional pressure, raising concerns that the increased costs will eventually be passed on to consumers in an already high-inflation economy.

Mustafizur Rahman, distinguished fellow at the Centre for Policy Dialogue (CPD), said the recent fuel price hike is likely to ripple across the economy through a “multiplier effect.”

He noted that fuel acts as a “barometer of commodity prices,” meaning its increase will inevitably influence a wide range of goods, though not uniformly.

He explained that the current situation reflects “cost-push inflation,” driven by rising input costs rather than demand.

However, he cautioned against overstating the scale of the impact, emphasising that the extent of price increases will depend on how significant fuel costs are within each product’s overall cost structure.

“If fuel accounts for a portion of total costs, a 15 percent increase in fuel prices does not translate into a 15 percent rise in final prices,” he said, illustrating that the actual effect would be proportionally smaller.

Rahman stressed that while some level of price increase is unavoidable, the degree to which it affects consumers will depend heavily on market behaviour and oversight.

“The pass-through to retail prices depends significantly on market management,” he said, warning that unchecked responses, such as transport operators raising fares disproportionately, could worsen inflationary pressures.

He also underscored the growing importance of regulatory monitoring, particularly in sectors with administered pricing, and highlighted the need for stronger safeguards for vulnerable groups.

“For low-income people, even a small increase in prices creates significant hardship,” he said, adding that effective implementation of social safety measures will be critical to easing the burden.

Mohammad Abdur Razzaque, chairman of the Research and Policy Integration for Development, echoed similar concerns, warning that higher energy prices would inevitably feed into overall price levels.

“If energy and oil prices increase, our price levels will increase. This is almost inevitable,” he said. “There is a ‘one-to-one’ correspondence, as the transmission channel is very deep.”

He explained that a fuel price increase typically triggers broader inflationary pressures across the economy.

“When oil prices increase, we’ve seen a 15-20 percent increase across different varieties. It exerts pressure on other supply chain elements, which overall impacts our prices. They might be saying it for political reasons, but the economic reality is that this will fuel inflationary pressure further,” he added.

Razzaque also noted that the impact is more severe in Bangladesh compared to other countries due to already elevated inflation.

“It’s not just happening in Bangladesh; many countries have already increased their fuel prices. The problem for Bangladesh is that our baseline inflation rate was already high, hovering around 9 to 10 percent. When this impact is added, it creates even more pressure. In countries like Cambodia, where inflation was lower, it was easier to absorb. But for us, it’s almost inevitable that prices will go up,” he said.

He also raised concerns over inflation measurement, especially LPG pricing. He said the Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (BBS) relies on government-set rates, which may not reflect market reality.

Razzaque added that official figures could be misleading if based on listed prices rather than what consumers actually pay, urging surveys of real market prices for more accurate inflation data.

Paramount Textile, a listed company on the bourses, reported a year-on-year revenue decline of more than 15% in the first nine months of the current fiscal year, according to its consolidated quarterly financial statements.

Despite a nosedive in revenue, the company posted a slight increase in profit to Tk96.81 crore, compared with Tk96.41 crore in the same period last fiscal year. However, earnings per share (EPS) slightly dipped to Tk5.14 from Tk5.22.

The company said its operating profit fell 14% amid the revenue contraction. Still, higher income from other sources and gains from associate companies helped offset the decline, enabling Paramount Textile to register a modest profit growth during the July–March period.

Its report showed that its profit from associates companies surged 250% to Tk36 crore while its other income jumped by 631% to Tk10.81 crore.

It has investment in associates' companies—Paramount BTrac Energy Ltd, a 200 MW HSD power plant and Dynamic sun energy Pvt Ltd, a joint venture company between Paramount Textile Ltd and Global energy project holdings (GEPH).

According to its financial report, in the third quarter during the January to March, its revenue fell by 30% to Tk245.71 crore, a lower from Tk354.01 crore in the same time of the previous fiscal year.

Despite 25% declining in its operating profit, net profit surged 6% to Tk52.65 crore mainly due to increase in share of profit of associates companies.

In the three months, it earned Tk15.79 crore from its associates.

In FY25, Parmount Textile made a profit of Tk116.06 crore with an EPS of TK6.48. It had paid a 12% cash dividend for its shareholders.

Paramount Textile's shares closed at Tk61.60 each today (4 May) at the Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE), a 2.38% down from the previous trading session.

Bangladesh’s total public debt burden has crossed Tk 22 lakh crore by December 2025 with a growing reliance on domestic sources as the government looks to “insulate the economy from foreign currency risks”.

Of the total debt, Tk 3 lakh crore was borrowed during the interim government period, according to the finance ministry’s latest quarterly bulletin.

The bulletin states the public debt stood at Tk 18.9 lakh crore at the end of June 2024, just a month before the interim administration assumed power. The figure was Tk 13.44 lakh crore at the end of June 2022.

During the interim period, domestic debt rose by Tk 1.70 lakh crore, reaching Tk 12.5 lakh crore by December. Foreign loans increased by Tk 1.47 lakh crore to Tk 9.59 lakh crore in the same period.

Domestic borrowing dominates the government’s overall debt portfolio. As of December 31, 2025, the domestic and external liabilities constituted 57 percent and 43 percent of the total government debt stock, respectively.

“By focusing on the local market, the government is deepening domestic liquidity while reducing its exposure to exchange rate fluctuations,” said the bulletin.

During the July-December period of the current fiscal year, the government’s total borrowing rose by Tk 62,428 crore, or 13 percent, compared to the same period a year earlier.

During the period, loans from the foreign sector dropped by 59 percent to Tk 10,130 crore, while domestic borrowing surged 70 percent to Tk 52,298 crore.

Of the domestic borrowing, Tk 19,470 crore was borrowed from the central bank alone.

Most of the domestic loans were raised through government securities. “A key feature of the government’s approach was a clear shift toward long-term debt,” the finance ministry said.

Meanwhile, total interest payment during the July-December period rose by 22 percent to Tk 71,253 crore. Of these, interest payment for domestic borrowing stood at Tk 61,866 crore, a 25 percent surge from the same period a year ago.

While increased domestic borrowing often raises concerns about “crowding out,” the current landscape suggests a unique window of opportunity, said the ministry.

It argued that ample liquidity in stronger banks, falling yields on government securities, and subdued private-sector credit demand create conditions for sustainable domestic financing without crowding out private borrowers.

By leveraging this internal liquidity, the state is building a more resilient and self-reliant fiscal framework that maintains stability without straining the private credit market, it added.

The country's premier bourse returned to positive territory today as a wave of bargain hunting helped the benchmark index snap a two-session losing streak, although overall market capitalisation fell by Tk5,000 crore.

Despite lingering concerns over global geopolitical dynamics and domestic economic factors, opportunistic investors moved in to accumulate beaten-down scrips, particularly in the banking and manufacturing sectors.

The benchmark DSEX index of the Dhaka Stock Exchange rose by 12 points to settle at 5,277, while the blue-chip DS30 index followed suit, gaining 4 points to close at 2,023.

Market participation showed signs of improvement as total turnover at the DSE climbed by 6% to reach Tk877 crore compared to the previous session.

According to the daily market review by EBL Securities, the capital bourse staged a modest rebound supported by resilient investor participation. The market opened on a firm note with steady accumulation through the mid-session.

However, the upward momentum was somewhat tempered toward the end of the day as cautious selling from some quarters trimmed intraday gains.

Interestingly, while the key indices rose, the overall market capitalisation at the DSE dropped by Tk5,000 crore to settle at Tk6.81 lakh crore, a phenomenon largely attributed to the price adjustment of high-cap stocks.

On the sectoral front, the banking sector dominated market activity, accounting for 19.1% of the total turnover. This was followed by the engineering and pharmaceutical sectors, which contributed 12.5% and 12.4% to the day's volume, respectively.

In terms of returns, the ceramic sector led the gainers with a 3.1% increase, followed by jute at 2.9% and information technology at 1.5%. On the downside, the general insurance, mutual fund, and food sectors faced corrections, with general insurance declining by 1.0%.

The market breadth remained slightly in favour of the bulls, as 174 issues advanced compared to 159 that declined, while 63 remained unchanged.

Individual stock performance was highlighted by JMI Syringe and JMI Hospital, both of which surged by nearly 10% to lead the gainers' list.

On the other hand, City Bank emerged as the top loser of the day, shedding 13.33% of its value.

However, market analysts noted that this sharp decline was due to the technical adjustment of its share price following the record date for its 15% stock dividend declaration for the year 2025.

The positive sentiment was partially mirrored at the Chittagong Stock Exchange (CSE), where the CSCX index ended 6 points higher at 9,093. However, the CASPI edged down by 4 points to settle at 14,783.

Trading activity at the port city bourse saw a significant contraction, with turnover plunging by 59% to stand at a modest Tk16.77 crore.

Oil prices edged higher on Monday, supported by the absence of a US-Iran peace deal that kept supplies constrained and prices above $100 a barrel.

Brent crude futures were up 67 cents, or 0.6%, to $108.84 a barrel at 0400 GMT after settling down $2.23 on Friday. US West Texas Intermediate was up 65 cents, also 0.6%, at $102.59 a barrel, after a $3.13 loss on Friday.

"The broader market remains tightly supported by persistent supply disruptions and geopolitical uncertainty," said Priyanka Sachdeva, analyst at Phillip Nova.

"Unless there is a clear and sustained resolution that restores normal flows through the Strait of Hormuz, oil prices are likely to remain elevated, with risks still tilted toward further upside."

President Donald Trump said the US would begin efforts to assist ships stranded in the Strait of Hormuz, but prices stayed above $100 a barrel, with no peace deal in sight and shipping through the strategic waterway still constrained.

Negotiations between the US and Iran continued over the weekend, with both sides assessing each other's responses.

Trump has made securing a nuclear deal with Tehran a priority, but Iran wants to defer nuclear talks until after the war and first lift rival blockades on Gulf shipping.

On Sunday, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and their allies, known as OPEC+, said it would raise oil output targets by 188,000 barrels per day in June for seven members, marking the third consecutive monthly increase.

The rise matches that agreed for May, minus the share of the United Arab Emirates, which left OPEC on May 1. However, the additional barrels are expected to remain largely on paper as long as the Iran war continues to disrupt Gulf oil supplies through the Strait of Hormuz.