The liquidation of six troubled non-bank financial institutions, a decision taken by the interim government on the central bank's recommendation, will not proceed this fiscal year as the current government has been unable to allocate the Tk5,600 crore set aside to reimburse depositors, officials said.

The delay has driven those depositors onto the streets. Today (6 May), more than a hundred of them gathered in silent protest outside the Bangladesh Bank headquarters, their faces covered with black cloth.

Their demand was straightforward: an immediate, realistic, and actionable roadmap for returning their money, in line with the July 2026 deadline cited by former governor Ahsan H Mansur.

"A clear timeline was given. We are holding them to it," one protester said.

Responding to queries, central bank spokesperson Arief Hossain Khan said the liquidation decision had been made during the interim administration, when assurances were given that necessary funds would be provided to reimburse depositors. "Based on that assurance, the former governor announced the liquidation."

According to him, the current government is prioritising spending on its political programmes, including social support initiatives like Family Card, Farmer's Card, etc, leaving insufficient fiscal space to finance the liquidation process at present.

"If the government is given some time and funding is secured, the liquidation process will begin, and depositors will then receive their money," he said.

The spokesperson noted that the financial condition of the six to seven institutions was so weak that revival was no longer feasible, prompting the decision to proceed directly with liquidation rather than merger.

The central bank board had approved the liquidation of six institutions on 27 January. The entities are FAS Finance, Premier Leasing, Fareast Finance, Aviva Finance, People's Leasing and International Leasing, all of which have non-performing loan ratios ranging from 75% to 99%.

A senior official from the central bank's Bank Resolution Department said preparations for liquidation are complete, but implementation hinges entirely on government funding.

He added that discussions have been held with the governor, who indicated that while all six institutions may not be liquidated simultaneously, the process will move forward gradually. However, no assurance has been given that it will be completed within the current fiscal year.

An official from the Department of Financial Institutions and Markets, speaking on condition of anonymity, said the government should clearly communicate its decision, as depositors continue to seek answers without receiving any definitive timeline.

He described cases of severe hardship, including one depositor who had sought assistance while undergoing medical treatment but later died due to a lack of funds.

Depositors demand urgent action

An alliance representing more than 12,000 depositors of the six institutions has formally urged the central bank to take immediate steps to facilitate the return of their long-stuck funds.

In a memorandum submitted to the governor, the platform said depositors have been facing acute financial hardship, mental distress and a humanitarian crisis as their savings have remained locked for nearly seven years.

"Many depositors are being deprived of treatment for critical illnesses such as cancer, kidney disease and heart conditions due to a lack of funds," the memorandum said, adding that several have died without receiving necessary medical care.

The alliance called on the central bank, as the regulator, to take urgent action and ensure a clear roadmap for repayment within the previously announced timeframe.

Protesters said many had invested retirement benefits and proceeds from the sale of land in these institutions to support household expenses, but have been unable to access their savings for years.

"After waiting for seven years, we still have not received our money. Our patience has run out, which is why we have taken to the streets," one depositor said.

Sector under strain

The broader non-bank financial sector remains under significant stress, with the central bank identifying 20 out of 35 institutions as distressed.

These troubled institutions collectively hold loans worth Tk25,808 crore, of which Tk21,462 crore are classified as non-performing, representing 83.16%. Against this, the value of collateral stands at Tk6,899 crore.

In contrast, the remaining 15 relatively stable institutions reported a non-performing loan ratio of 7.31%, generating profits of Tk1,465 crore last year and maintaining a capital surplus of Tk6,189 crore.

Deposits in the 20 distressed institutions amount to Tk22,127 crore, including approximately Tk4,971 crore in individual deposits. Central bank officials believe that this amount may be required initially to support liquidation and restructuring efforts.

The regulator has also assured that employees of the affected institutions will receive all benefits in accordance with service rules following liquidation.

Bangladesh needs to move up the global value chain (GVC), with fresh policy measures aiming to support this by promoting diversification and higher value-added activities, according to a new Asian Development Bank (ADB) study.

The study on GVCs, growth, and inequality was released yesterday.

From a trade and GVC perspective, Bangladesh has become heavily dependent on readymade garment (RMG) exports, with apparel making up over 80 percent of total exports, while the share of textiles has declined.

The country’s participation in the textiles and textile products GVC is also concentrated in low-value downstream work, mainly assembling and finishing imported materials.

According to ADB data, compared with other major textile exporters in developing Asia and the Pacific, Bangladesh has a relatively low ratio of forward to backward GVC linkages.

This shows a strong dependence on imported fabrics, yarns, dyes and other inputs, with limited involvement in higher-value stages of production.

Strong specialisation in textiles and textile products has helped Bangladesh absorb labour and boost exports, but it has also limited structural upgrading. As a result, the country has joined GVCs but has not moved up within them.

This is reflected in weak forward linkages and limited knowledge transfer from global lead firms, which restrict improvements in processes, products and functions.

GVC participation rates are also below the global average, showing less integration across different stages of production compared with peer exporters.

In addition, the industrial base outside textiles and textile products remains narrow, limiting value-added diversification and the development of local suppliers.

The report also said Bangladesh faces challenges in its GVC participation. Although exports and production in the RMG sector continue to grow, this expansion is not translating into stronger employment growth.

Wages have also started to rise since Bangladesh was reclassified as a lower-middle-income country in 2015. This has raised concerns about a possible “middle-income trap,” where economies struggle to move from middle- to high-income status.

Preferential market access, such as the European Union’s Everything but Arms (EBA) scheme, has supported the growth and integration of the RMG sector. However, recent changes in rules of origin are limiting opportunities to upgrade in certain product areas, including knitwear.

Participation in GVCs, especially in the apparel sector, has been central to Bangladesh’s export-led growth. It has also supported inclusive development by creating jobs -- particularly for women -- and reducing poverty.

The sector now accounts for most export earnings and employs around 4.5 million people, more than half of them women. Despite this progress, concerns remain about continued reliance on low wages and poor working conditions.

Efforts have been made to improve safety and sustainability in the industry, including the Accord on Fire and Building Safety in Bangladesh and the Alliance for Bangladesh Worker Safety.

These were introduced after the Rana Plaza collapse in 2013, which killed more than 1,100 people in a building housing five garment factories. However, the report said these efforts are still not complete.

“Bangladesh has done very well in garments, but that is a very labour-intensive activity with little upgrading to higher value-added work,” said ADB Chief Economist Albert Park, speaking at a media briefing on the sidelines of the 59th Annual Meeting of the Board of Governors of ADB in Samarkand, Uzbekistan, which concluded yesterday.

He added that Bangladesh should look for opportunities to move up within GVCs.

“And also, for Bangladesh, there is such a concentration in this one export sector that it is very risky for the economy if something unexpected occurs that really affects that sector, as we have seen in the past,” Park said.

He added that Bangladesh should diversify into other sectors and allow easier import of inputs without tariffs.

“The same kind of treatment that readymade garments get should be extended to other sectors to expand opportunities,” he said. “And meanwhile, really think about opportunities to upgrade.”

Neil Foster-McGregor, principal economist at ADB, presenting the main findings of the report, said production processes are becoming increasingly capital-intensive.

He added that geopolitics and rising sustainability demands will reshape GVCs.

He said future competitiveness will depend on resilience, sustainability and firm capabilities, not just low labour costs.

US President Donald Trump’s military forays in Venezuela and Iran have weakened Opec more than anyone thought possible just months ago. The White House may view this as a major win, but it may ultimately leave both the US and energy markets worse off.

For decades, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, under its de facto leader Saudi Arabia, has exercised outsized influence over oil markets, dialling output up or ​down by tapping spare capacity to manage prices and defend market share.

That influence has long been eroding as the US and other non-Opec members have gained prominence in the past decades. The percentage of ‌global oil production Opec oversees fell from a peak of about 50 percent in the 1970s to roughly 35 percent last year - and down to around 26 percent in March in the wake of the closure of the Strait of Hormuz at the start of the Iran war.

The United Arab Emirates, the cartel’s fourth‑largest producer, quit the group last week after 60 years to pursue its energy strategy free of Opec production quotas, directly challenging Saudi Arabia and its Gulf neighbours.

Trump – a long-time critic of Opec – hailed the UAE’s departure as “great,” arguing it would help push oil prices lower.

That may prove true – ​and the US president’s muscular foreign policy may ultimately prove to be the producer group’s undoing. But a weaker Opec is not necessarily good news for consumers or producers – including the US.

Opec has long been a ​lightning rod for US lawmakers who accuse it of acting as a cartel. Trump has levelled blistering criticism at the group for years. In 2018, he accused Opec of being a monopoly that kept oil prices “artificially high.” After returning to office last year, he renewed pressure on the group to keep prices low.

This year, he went far beyond tough talk.

The lightning-fast US raid on Venezuela in January saw long-serving President Nicolas Maduro ​captured and replaced by a Washington‑friendly government. The Trump administration swiftly took control of Venezuela’s oil sector, redirecting most of its exports to the US and opening the country’s vast oil reserves to Western companies.

Venezuela, a founding Opec member in 1960, ​saw its production wither over recent decades to under 1 million barrels per day as a result of mismanagement, chronic underinvestment and US sanctions. That is less than 1 percent of global supplies.

But output is now expected to rebound as fresh capital flows in. While Trump has not objected to Venezuela remaining in Opec, it is hard to imagine Caracas agreeing to curb output under Opec quotas given Washington’s tight oversight of its energy sector.

The US-Israeli strikes on Iran on February 28 triggered a far more dramatic cascade, leaving Opec fractured and largely powerless.

Tehran sealed off the Strait ​of Hormuz within hours of the first strikes, trapping roughly a fifth of the world’s oil and gas supplies inside the Gulf.

During the 40-day active conflict, dozens of energy facilities were targeted across the Gulf, including tankers, oil and gas ​fields, refineries, pipelines and storage terminals.

The closure and the fighting forced producers to shut in around 10 million bpd, while Saudi Arabia and the UAE diverted some output to ports outside the Gulf.

Washington implemented its own blockade in mid-April while US efforts to break the Iranian blockade have ‌so far done little to revive traffic through the narrow waterway.

Opec’s traditional pillars - Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Kuwait and Iraq - found themselves bereft of their main export route, usable spare capacity and operational flexibility.

In short, they were essentially powerless in the face of the biggest oil shock in history.

This, in turn, created an opening for the vast US oil and gas industry - now the world’s largest in terms of production - to rapidly ramp up exports to Asia and Europe, further eroding Opec’s market share and influence.

America’s position is strengthened, but the US oil industry is driven by market forces. It has no equivalent of Opec’s spare capacity to balance the market.

In the absence of a strong Opec, Trump may find this new environment far less manageable than he bargained ​for.

CUSHIONING THE BLOW

Opec has long played a central role in stabilising oil ​markets, using large volumes of low-cost spare capacity, mostly concentrated ⁠in the Gulf, to cushion the impact of wars and weather events.

It also proved effective in times of oversupply, most notably during the onset of the COVID‑19 pandemic. Trump personally urged Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in April 2020 to slash output and ease pressure on US producers. Within days, Opec+ announced its largest-ever production cut.

Without effective market management by Opec, oil markets ​face higher volatility and fewer shock absorbers to deal with disruptions that are likely to become more frequent as geopolitical tensions rise.

For producing nations, including the US, this would likely ​translate into more frequent boom-and-bust cycles, ⁠higher operating costs for oil companies and, ultimately, higher and more volatile prices at the pump.

SHADOW OF ITS FORMER SELF

It is premature to declare Opec dead. Riyadh will almost certainly seek to steady the group in the coming months and lean more heavily on its alliance with Russia to reassert authority.

Politically, though, the Iran war has left Opec in tatters. Iran’s bombardment of critical energy infrastructure belonging to fellow Opec members, particularly Saudi Arabia, combined with its decision to close Hormuz - once unthinkable - has created deep rifts ⁠within the group ​that may take years to heal, if they ever do.

The most notable thing about Sunday’s Opec+ meeting - which includes Russia - was not the announcement of ​a theoretical quota increase. It was the absence of the UAE.

Opec, as the world has long known it, is gone. Trump and others may eventually regret that.

Listed private power producers are beginning to absorb a shock that is set to deepen as the government pivots away from costly rental and furnace oil-based plants toward LNG, coal, and renewable energy.

The companies-except for Shahjibazar Power Co and Energypac Power Generation-witnessed a fall in revenue in the third quarter to March of FY26, against the backdrop of the government's unwillingness to renew power purchase contracts upon expiry. This led to partial utilisation of the plants. Meanwhile, some of these companies saw their finance costs rise, further eroding profits.Despite the decline in revenue, however, many of the companies posted higher profits in the third quarter of FY26 compared to the same quarter of the previous year, as they received income from subsidiaries or associate companies. In some cases, the cost of goods sold and finance costs were shown to be lower without any explanation.

Overall, listed companies with older furnace oil-based plants are struggling more than non-listed ones operating efficient gas or LNG-based facilities, analysts said.

Sector leader United Power Generation & Distribution Company Ltd. posted a notable decline in earnings on the back of lower electricity sales and higher finance costs.

Industry insiders said gas price hikes without corresponding tariff adjustments, along with delayed payments from the Bangladesh Power Development Board (BPDB), further squeezed margins. Bangladesheconomic report

Summit Power Limited showed only marginal improvement from a weak base, as several of its plants remained shut following deal expiries. The company has increasingly been operating under a "no electricity, no payment" model, significantly reducing its capacity payment income.

Khulna Power Company Limited also faces structural challenges, as some of its major plants remain inactive following contract expiry, limiting its revenue base.

Smaller player GBB Power Ltd. also remains under pressure, mainly due to maintenance costs.

Energypac Power Generation, which belongs to the energy sector on the bourses but is no longer engaged in producing electricity, sank deeper into losses due to high borrowing costs and weak performance. It now provides power engineering solutions.

Sector insiders said the core challenge now lies in the transition from guaranteed returns in the form of capacity charge payments to performance-based earnings. The government's ongoing energy policy shift has accelerated this transition.

As a result, analysts expect continued divergence in earnings performance, with newer and more efficient plants gaining ground, while older, contract-dependent assets face declining profitability.

United Power Generation & Distribution Company

The leading listed private sector power producer reported a 35 per cent decline in profit in the January-March third quarter of FY26 to Tk 2.76 billion, compared to the corresponding period last year, due to lower production levels.

In the quarter, the company's revenue shrank nearly 30 per cent to Tk 6.74 billion, according to a disclosure.

Apart from dwindling profitability, the company's cash generation has also fallen due to collection delays caused by external macroeconomic factors.

Summit Power Limited

The power producer lost one-fifth of its revenue in the January-March quarter of FY26, falling to Tk 6.5 billion. Despite the reduction in revenue, Summit Power reported a more than 11 per cent jump in net profit, supported by a decline in the cost of production.

However, no explanation has been provided as to how the cost of production fell 9 per cent year-on-year in the third quarter to March this year.

Shahjibazar Power Co.

This power producer reported strong performance, mainly driven by income from sister concerns.

Khulna Power Company Limited

It earned no revenue in the quarter, yet reported profits by relying on income from its associate company.

GBB Power Ltd.

It had no revenue income but reported positive earnings in Q3 of FY26, though lower than in the same quarter of the previous year, based on non-operating income.

Energypac Power Generation

This private sector power company reported a larger loss this year as its finance costs increased threefold.

Doreen Power Generations and Systems Limited

Doreen Power Generations also sustained a decline in revenue but secured profit growth through reduced finance and production costs.

Baraka Patenga Power Limited and Baraka Power Limited

Most of the plants of the two companies have remained shut, but their associate companies, which are also power producers, generated moderate revenue.
Baraka Patenga's cost of goods sold was Tk 66 per Tk 100 of revenue in Q3 of FY25, which was drastically reduced to Tk 57 per Tk 100 of revenue in Q3, FY26. The company also reported lower general and administrative expenses year-on-year in the quarter.

Baraka Power also reported lower cost of goods sold and reduced finance costs, which helped increase net profit.

The government has moved to deepen energy cooperation with India by proposing a government-to-government (G2G) refining arrangement aimed at ensuring a stable supply of petroleum products as global markets remain volatile.

In a letter dated 16 April 2026 and marked urgent, the Energy and Mineral Resources Division under the power, energy and mineral resources ministry requested the foreign ministry to initiate diplomatic engagement with the Indian government.

The communication, addressed to the foreign secretary and copied to the director general of the South Asia wing, a source at the Bangladesh Petroleum Corporation told The Business Standard.

Foreign ministry officials said the request has already been conveyed to the Indian High Commission in Dhaka, although no response has yet been received.

The proposal comes amid growing concern over fuel supply security, particularly in light of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

Proposed tolling arrangement

At the centre of the initiative is a tolling model under which crude oil owned or financed by Bangladesh would be processed in Indian refineries, with Bangladesh paying refining fees and associated logistics costs.

The Bangladesh Petroleum Corporation (BPC) has been designated as the implementing agency and will lead technical and commercial negotiations once formal engagement begins. Officials said the proposal requires priority consideration given its importance to national energy security.

When contacted by TBS, an official from the South Asia wing of the foreign ministry declined to comment, saying the matter involves two countries and is subject to confidentiality.

Strategic rationale

Officials say the move reflects structural limitations in Bangladesh's domestic refining capacity. The country relies heavily on Eastern Refinery Limited, which remains constrained in both scale and technological capability.

With demand for petroleum products rising across power generation, transport, agriculture and industry, the gap between domestic refining capacity and consumption has widened.

The proposed arrangement with India is therefore being viewed as a strategic effort to diversify supply mechanisms without requiring immediate large-scale investment in domestic refining upgrades. India's extensive and technologically advanced refining infrastructure, capable of processing crude from diverse sources, makes it a natural partner.

Operational framework

Under the proposed model, designated Indian state-owned oil companies would procure crude oil, potentially in coordination with the Bangladesh Petroleum Corporation, and refine it on Bangladesh's behalf. The refined products would then be supplied back to Bangladesh.

The Bangladesh Petroleum Corporation would bear the full cost, including crude procurement, tolling charges and logistics. Officials said this approach would allow Bangladesh to access diversified crude supplies while utilising India's refining capacity.

The Energy and Mineral Resources Division has sought diplomatic facilitation to engage relevant Indian authorities and companies and to establish a platform for technical and commercial discussions.

Benefits and risks

Officials said the arrangement could enhance supply security by reducing exposure to spot market volatility and geopolitical disruptions, while also offering potential cost advantages through access to competitively priced refined fuels.

The model may also improve sourcing flexibility by leveraging India's broad crude procurement network and could be implemented more quickly than expanding domestic refining capacity, which requires substantial investment and long lead times.

However, concerns remain over increased dependence on external infrastructure, which could affect long-term energy sovereignty. Questions around pricing transparency and the need for robust negotiation of tolling fees have also been raised.

Officials noted that reliance on a single regional partner may carry geopolitical risks, particularly during periods of diplomatic strain. There are also concerns that the arrangement could delay investment in domestic refining facilities, including the expansion of Eastern Refinery Limited.

In addition, payments for refining services and logistics in foreign currency could place further pressure on Bangladesh's foreign exchange reserves.

Balancing immediate needs with long-term goals

Energy experts suggest the proposed arrangement could serve as a short- to medium-term solution but should not replace efforts to strengthen domestic refining capacity.

They argue that Bangladesh needs a balanced strategy that combines regional cooperation for immediate supply stability with accelerated investment in local infrastructure, warning that overreliance on external facilities could create long-term vulnerabilities.

The government has also been exploring plans to expand refining capacity and develop energy infrastructure, although progress has been slow due to financing constraints.

Job creation in Bangladesh is failing to keep pace with a rapidly expanding workforce, while nearly half of workers call for short-term technical training and more than half of young people report an urgent need for digital skills, according to the latest International Labour Organization report.Diaspora community forum

The findings also show that though 95.2 per cent of workers in Bangladesh rely on informal learning, the absence of its formal recognition left the vast majority of skills uncertified and undervalued.

The ILO on Tuesday launched its dedicated thematic publication, ‘The World of Work Report: Lifelong Learning and Skills for the Future,’ which painted an elaborate picture of the evolving labour market of Bangladesh.

It highlighted a growing imbalance between labour supply and demand, with new data pointing to significant gaps in job creation, skills development, and access to training.

While the country’s workforce continued to expand rapidly, investment in technical, digital, and work-based learning remained limited, raising concerns over long-term employability and economic resilience.

The report identified several priority areas that Bangladesh must address to future-proof its workforce amid structural shifts driven by digitalisation and the global transition towards greener economies.

Though, it noted, lifelong learning is widely recognised as essential, access to such opportunities remains highly unequal and restricted, particularly for vulnerable groups.

A detailed analysis of survey data revealed a substantial unmet demand for training.

Informal learning, primarily through hands-on experience, dominated the skills landscape, with participation reaching 95.2 per cent.

In contrast, only 12 per cent of the working-age population engaged in formal or non-formal education and training in 2025.

The report highlighted stark inequalities in access to training based on education levels.

Among adults with secondary education, 25.7 per cent participated in learning activities, compared with just 3.7 per cent of those without secondary education, it said.

Occupational differences are equally pronounced, with participation rates the highest among professionals at 36.9 per cent and technicians at 33.5 per cent, but falling sharply to only 3.5 per cent among workers in elementary occupations, the report said.

According to the report, formal sector workers are more than three times as likely to engage in structured learning, with participation at 37.2 per cent, compared with just 10.8 per cent among informal workers.

The survey findings also pointed to a clear demand for practical and future-oriented skills.

It mentioned that nearly 48.5 per cent of respondents identified short-term technical training as their most pressing need, reflecting a preference for targeted, job-relevant learning.

Digital literacy has emerged as a critical priority, particularly among younger workers, with more than half of those aged 15 to 24 expressing a need for training in digital and computer skills, it said.

According to the ILo report, non-formal training in Bangladesh at present is largely occupation-specific, accounting for 57 per cent of such programmes, followed by digital skills at 19.2 per cent and personal development at 15.5 per cent.Diaspora community forum

However, the report stressed that focusing solely on technical competencies was insufficient.

It said that employers were increasingly seeking ‘rounded’ skill profiles that combined technical expertise with cognitive abilities and socio-emotional skills such as communication, teamwork, and leadership.

Work-based learning, the report said, is a highly effective yet underutilised pathway for skills development, noting that around 72 per cent of respondents who had participated in apprenticeships or internships reported improved job performance as a direct result.

Despite this fact, it added, participation remained extremely low, with 93 per cent of respondents stating that they had not engaged in any work-based training over the past three years.

It further underscored the importance of recognising informal learning, given its near-universal prevalence, warning that without systems to validate skills acquired through experience, many workers, particularly those in the informal economy, remained excluded from better employment opportunities due to a lack of certification.

Drawing on worker surveys, online vacancy analysis, institutional data, and a review of 174 studies, the report warned that insufficient investment in inclusive learning systems could widen inequalities both within and between countries.

Aligning skills development with labour market demand, it argued, is essential to ensure that economic transformation benefits all segments of society.

‘Lifelong learning is the bridge between today’s jobs and tomorrow’s opportunities. It is not only about employability and productivity, but also about supporting decent work, driving true innovation, and building resilient societies,’ said ILO director general Gilbert F Houngbo.

The ILO findings also reflected global trends observed in Bangladesh, including increasing demand from employers for a combination of technical and soft skills.

ILO country director for Bangladesh Max Tuñón said that the report’s findings revealed several global trends that were also observed in Bangladesh, including employers’ demand for workers with a combination of technical and soft skills.

‘For that, we need to address the institutional fragmentation and work more closely with the private sector, to deliver quality training that meets the needs of a rapidly changing labour market,’ he said.

By addressing these gaps and aligning skills development systems with evolving labour market needs, the report recommended, Bangladesh could harness its demographic momentum to generate sustainable and decent employment while enhancing productivity and competitiveness across the economy.

High-speed travel across Dhaka seems no distant dream now as a multifaceted elevated expressway over the crammed capital gets the go-ahead after an updated feasibility study that estimates the cost at Tk 430 billion.
FE

The new government has in principle decided to construct the 39-kilometre Dhaka East-West Elevated Expressway (DEWEE) which is to connect three major national highways, including Dhaka-Chottagram with Dhaka-Aricha and Dhaka-Mawa through Narayanganj district, enabling traffic to pass through at a high speed.

Rail, Road Transport and Bridges and Shipping Minister Shaikh Rabiul Alam shared the BNP government's view on the megaproject at a stakeholder workshop organised Tuesday in the city to roll out the findings of the fresh feasibility study on the DEWEE.

State Minister for Road Transport and Bridges Razib Ahsan was also present as special guest.

The minister terms the project "highly necessary to bring positive transformation in the transport system" but lays importance on proper and timely implementation so the high-cost project does not become a burden on the country's economy. Globaleconomy insights

"The nearly 39-kilometre expressway is expected play role in improving regional connectivity by linking Chattogram, Sylhet, Barishal and Khulna divisions with northern regions without requiring traffic to pass through the main Dhaka city," he adds

The updated feasibility study proposes estimated cost of the DEWEE around Tk 430 billion which, however, suggests change in its original design to develop the elevated corridor with high-speed travel of up to 120km/h.

Civil-work part of the DEWEE project would require Tk 220 billion while Tk 140 billion would be needed for land acquisition and rehabilitation as 84 per cent of 804.61 acres of land along the route will be privately owned.

Bangladesh Bridges Authority (BBA) organised the stakeholder workshop at a city hotel after Infrastructure Investment Facilitation Company (IIFC) submitted the report as the transaction adviser to update previous study report.

After the first FS was completed in 2017, the DEWEE project was approved from the Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs to develop the corridor under public- private partnership (PPP). Initiative to conduct the fresh study resumed in December 2024. GeographicReference

While presenting the key features of the DWEEE, BBA Chief Engineer Quazi Ferdous said corridor is proposed to be developed from Hemayetpur in Savar to Langalbandh in Narayanganj via Savar, Keraniganj, Fatullah, Siddhirganj and Bandar upazila.

The minister said, "The BNP is committed to developing various infrastructures necessary for the country without misuse of government funds centering causes like delay in land acquisition and implementation."

Chaired by Bridges Division Secretary Mohammad Abdur Rouf, the workshop was also addressed, among others, by Panel of Experts Prof M Shamim Z Bosunia, Roads and Highways Department Chief Engineer Syed Moinul Hasan and Managing Director of Mass Rapid Transit COmpay Ltd Md Shaugatul Alam.

Representatives from different government agencies and private sectors, including Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology, shared their views on the feasibility-study findings, lying importance on integration with the 20-year Updating Revised Strategic Transport Plan.

Professor Mohammad Hadiuzzaman stresses setting a standard of the expressway, including elevated one, and suggests planning the expressway corridor in a way to have link with other expressways. Bangladeshbusiness directory

Other stakeholders point out the scope of limiting the inner and outer ring road as per the URSPT as the corridor is suggested over it.

Foreign investments in Bangladesh’s stock market plunged by 70 per cent over the past five years to $914.58 million at the end of December 2025, underscoring sustained capital outflows and a steady erosion of investor confidence.

Foreign equity holdings dropped sharply from $2,995 million in 2020 to $1,925 million in 2021, $1,263 million in 2022 and $1,085 million in 2023, before falling further to $865 million in 2024 and slightly recovering in 2025, according to Bangladesh Bank data.

The trend shows a continuous contraction, with the latest uptick failing to offset the steep losses accumulated over the period.

Data from Bangladesh Bank showed that total portfolio investment, combining equity and debt instruments, stood at $1.56 billion at the end of 2025, down from $4.731 billion in 2020.

The 8.5 per cent annual decline and a 25.1 per cent drop from 2023 indicate that foreign investors are reducing exposure not only to equities but also to fixed-income assets.

The contraction highlights a persistent retreat of foreign investors amid market volatility, macroeconomic pressure and governance concerns.

Equity securities, which dominate foreign portfolio holdings, accounted for $914.58 million, or 58.7 per cent of total portfolio investment.

While this segment posted a modest 5.7 per cent increase from 2024 levels, it remained significantly lower than 2020, indicating that the recovery is partial and fragile.

Transaction data further underscores the lack of investor confidence.

In 2025, foreign investors purchased $164.36 million worth of equities through non-resident investor accounts, while sales stood higher at $174.87 million.

This resulted in a net outflow of $10.51 million despite total transactions reaching $339.23 million.

The country’s stock market witnessed negative net investments for the last eight consecutive years.

The negative net investment signals that foreign investors are gradually exiting the market rather than expanding their positions.

Movements in non-resident investor’s taka accounts also reflect this trend.

Inflows dropped to $145.57 million in 2025, down 36.4 per cent from the previous year, while outflows remained significantly higher at $227.05 million.

The year-end balance in these accounts stood at only $22.44 million, indicating limited reinvestment.

Country-wise data shows a concentrated exposure, with the United States leading foreign equity investment at $391.85 million, accounting for 42.8 per cent of total holdings.

The United Kingdom followed with $187.35 million or 20.5 per cent, while the Cayman Islands held $114.92 million, representing 12.6 per cent.

The concentration suggests vulnerability to shifts in a few major investor bases.

Sector-wise, financial institutions, including banks, insurance and mutual funds, attracted the largest share of foreign investment at $429.54 million or 47 per cent.

Pharmaceuticals and chemicals accounted for $313.10 million or 34.2 per cent, while engineering and steel sectors held a much smaller portion at $54.31 million.

Experts said that the continued decline in portfolio investment reflects structural weaknesses in the capital market, including poor governance, limited depth and recurring instability.

Without reforms to improve transparency, strengthen regulation and restore investor confidence, foreign participation is unlikely to recover meaningfully.

The Asian Development Bank (ADB) expects that there will be a “significant growth in demand” from the private sector for its investment services in Bangladesh, a senior official said.

The increased demand is likely as a new government has been in power since February, and things have started to stabilise, said Isabel Chatterton, director general of the Private Sector Operations Department at ADB.

She made the remarks in response to a query at a media briefing on Monday on the sidelines of the four-day ADB Annual Meeting taking place in Samarkand, Uzbekistan.

She said Asia and the Pacific face a multi-trillion-dollar infrastructure financing gap, with rising development needs that public finance alone cannot meet.

“Private capital is essential as development needs far exceed public resources,” she said. “Private finance can scale solutions, but policy uncertainty and unmanaged risks still deter investment.”

ADB officials said the multilateral bank helps transform high-potential sectors into investable markets. “We crowd in private capital.”

Under private sector operations, the total outstanding balances and undisbursed commitments of ADB’s private sector transactions in Bangladesh stood at $784.7 million as of 31 December 2024, representing 5.21 percent of ADB’s total private sector portfolio.

ADB’s cumulative public and private sector loan and grant disbursements to Bangladesh amount to $27.48 billion, according to the bank.

“We are very, very active in the Bangladesh market,” she said.

ADB’s private sector operations include financing trade and supply chains, the microfinance programme, and energy projects.

Under the microfinance programme, ADB works through financial entities in Bangladesh, which in turn support microfinance activities.

“So, what we do is we give them loans,” she said. “In our case, it depends on demand from the banks, and it could vary, but very often these credit lines get disbursed very quickly.”

But disbursement slows in the event of unexpected developments in an economy, in what she described as “a natural catastrophe or other unforeseen events.”

Chatterton said demand for loans from the private sector keeps growing, and banks and microfinance institutions know that their sectors are doing very, very well.

She said ADB’s microfinance programme has helped mobilise $800 million for microfinance institutions in Bangladesh.

The ADB, in October last year, signed a $30 million agreement with Envoy Textiles under its sustainability-linked loans programme. Such loans are performance-based instruments tied to measurable indicators, such as rooftop solar capacity and greenhouse gas emissions reductions.

Chatterton said such initiatives are going to incentivise emissions reductions in the textile sector.

“As many of you know, Bangladesh is well known for its thriving garment manufacturing industry. We were very pleased last year to support Envoy through our engagement.”

The National Board of Revenue is planning to expand the value-added tax (VAT) base to the grassroots, netting even small businesses at district, upazila, and village levels to boost overall revenues and raise the country's low tax-to-GDP ratio.

The plan includes introducing a "token" VAT between Tk500 and Tk1,000 on trial basis for small businesses and making Business Identification Number (BIN) mandatory for bank accounts and trade licences, according to officials familiar with the initiative.

The plan, if approved by the finance minister and the prime minister, may be included in the budget for the 2026-27 fiscal year (FY27), they said.

Revenue officials said they are looking to explore revenue potentials at the grassroots where a large portion of economic activity remains outside the formal tax system.

"We have plans to extend VAT coverage down to the rural level," a senior NBR official said on condition of anonymity. "Initially, a small fixed VAT could help smaller traders become accustomed to tax compliance," he added.

Making BIN mandatory for bank accounts and trade licences could be an effective way to bring more businesses into the net, the official said.

During pre-budget talks NBR Chairman Abdur Rahman Khan also hinted at such measures -- introducing a limited VAT for certain segments on a trial basis if necessary.

"To increase VAT collection, we need to both reduce exemptions and expand the base," another NBR official said, referring to IMF's condition for an ongoing loan package to raise tax-GDP ratio, which is among the lowest in the region.

Businesses and economists, while appreciating such initiatives to expand VAT network and include a vast untaxed economy into tax network, have warned that abrupt imposition of blanket VAT for all rural businesses could backfire.

Fahmida Khatun, executive director of the Centre for Policy Dialogue, welcomed the initiative to broaden the VAT base but cautioned against increasing complexity or compliance costs.

"Collecting small amounts of VAT from small businesses is possible, but the government must ensure that the revenue actually reaches the state treasury and does not lead to additional informal payments," she said.

Taskeen Ahmed, president of the Dhaka Chamber of Commerce and Industry, pointed out the regional imbalance in revenue collection. Dhaka and Chattogram together account for around 45% of the country's economic activity, yet generate nearly 85% of total revenue.

"This indicates that a large portion of economic activity outside these areas remains untaxed," he said. "However, expanding VAT coverage to the grassroots should be done gradually over four to five years to minimise risks and ensure sustainability."

The proposed "token" VAT system has drawn comparisons with the previously scrapped package VAT regime, under which businesses paid a fixed amount based on estimated turnover.

Former NBR member Md Farid Uddin warned that the earlier system was abandoned due to widespread irregularities and collusion between field officials and businesses.

"If similar methods are reintroduced without strong safeguards, the same problems may resurface," he said.

Revenue drastically fell short of target in March, driven by declines in import duties because of the Middle East war and slow economic activities. However, VAT and income tax revenues saw growth in March.

Nine months' data show overall revenues, though marked 11% growth year-on-year, remained about Tk98,000 crore behind the target for the period. This fiscal year's revenue target is Tk6.97 lakh crore and the NBR is set to face even a bigger target for the next year, prompting it to explore all possible ways to generate more revenues.

Rural economy expands, largely untaxed

The latest Economic Census 2024 by the Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics estimates the number of economic units in the country at 1.17 crore, up from 78 lakh in 2013. Over 99% of those units are cottage, micro and small businesses, with 74% operating in rural areas.

But the expansion of the rural economy is not reflected in the tax scene. According to NBR data, around 8 lakh businesses currently hold BINs, of which just over 5 lakh submit VAT returns. The NBR chairman believes that at least 1 crore businesses should ideally be brought under VAT registration.

Trade licences are issued by city corporations, municipalities, or union councils, but the revenue authority does not have any consolidated data about how much of those businesses are active. Similarly, while Bangladesh's banking sector holds over 17 crore accounts, there is no clear data on how many are business or current accounts.

The lack of data has prompted the NBR to venture on new initiatives to explore the revenue potentials in the grassroots economic and business activities, officials said.

Concerns over blanket enforcement

Business leaders and tax experts have cautioned against a blanket approach to VAT expansion, warning that it could backfire if not implemented carefully.

Abdul Wahed, former director of the Federation of Bangladesh Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FBCCI) and president of the Chapainawabganj Chamber of Commerce and Industry, said making BIN mandatory for all small businesses could discourage them from renewing trade licences.

"If a fixed VAT system is introduced without proper oversight, it could also increase corruption at the field level."

A former NBR member who worked on VAT policy echoed similar concerns, arguing that while expanding the VAT base is necessary, enforcement mechanisms must be realistic.

"Forcing all businesses to obtain VAT registration as a precondition for basic operations like banking or licensing could create unintended consequences," he said.

"Past experience shows that VAT collection has been growing faster than income tax and customs duties. The focus should also remain on strengthening income tax collection."

Bangladesh's creative or orange economy is expanding at a pace that outperforms much of the broader economy, yet it remains almost invisible in policy.

New data show the sector has contributed over Tk9,000 crore to GDP in the previous fiscal year, raising a pressing question: why is one of the fastest-growing economic segments still treated as culture, not commerce?

The Economic Census 2024 by the Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (BBS) found that employment in the Arts, Entertainment and Recreation sector jumped to 1,12,829 in 2024, a 237% increase from just 33,441 in 2013.

The surge comes despite the absence of any explicit policy push, suggesting that market demand, digital platforms and a growing freelance ecosystem are driving expansion on their own.

Rapid growth, limited share

The macroeconomic picture supports that trend. The sector contributed Tk9,193 crore to GDP in the fiscal 2024-25, a 15.4% increase from the previous fiscal year, significantly higher than the national nominal GDP growth rate of 10.2%.

In comparative terms, the creative economy is now growing faster than agriculture (12.8%), industry (10%) and services (11.8%), albeit from a much smaller base, according to BBS data.

Still, its footprint in the overall economy remains marginal. At just 0.17% of a Tk55 lakh crore economy, the sector's contribution is overshadowed by traditional growth engines. Economists say this contrast – rapid expansion alongside minimal policy recognition – points to a structural gap in how Bangladesh defines and supports emerging sources of economic value.

For decades, economic policy has prioritised manufacturing, remittances and agriculture, leaving creativity outside the formal development framework. But with a fast-growing workforce and growing output, the data suggest that the question is no longer whether the creative economy matters, but why it continues to operate without a clear policy anchor.

Sakib Bin Amin, a professor of economics at North South University, told The Business Standard that Bangladesh's creative industry remains largely informal. Even though the industry's growth looks positive on paper, practitioners often struggle to survive as they lack a safety net, no pensions, no retirement benefits, and no professional protection, he said.

The current state of the creative industry in Bangladesh is defined by profound job insecurity, said Prof Sakib.

"For example, perhaps only 5% of our musicians can afford to treat their craft as a full-time profession. For the rest, it becomes a 'second job' due to a lack of financial sustainability. We also see a 'seasonal' earning cycle, where even the most talented individuals are forced to migrate or leave the industry entirely in search of stability," he said.

To address these gaps, Prof Sakib said, "To transform this sector, the government must formally recognise it under a policy framework and integrate artists into national pension and benefit schemes.

He said policymakers must focus on inclusion and decentralisation, ensuring that rural talent and female artists receive the institutional support needed to professionalise their craft.

What is orange economy

The term "orange economy" coined by Felipe Buitrago and Iván Duque in their 2013 book "The Orange Economy: An Infinite Opportunity" captures a wide spectrum of creative industries, from art, crafts and films to fashion, music, cultural heritage and video games. Globally, it has turned creativity into a multi-trillion-dollar engine of growth.

In Bangladesh, however, that transformation remains incomplete. Artists, designers, freelancers, athletes and storytellers are still largely viewed as cultural contributors rather than economic actors, leaving a fast-emerging sector outside the country's core policy framework.

For generations, families have followed a familiar script: education, a conventional profession, and financial stability. Creativity rarely figured in that roadmap – not for lack of talent, but because economic policies offered little incentive to pursue it as a viable career.

Global evidence, however, points in a different direction. In its last Creative Economy Outlook 2024, UN Trade and Development revealed the growing role of creative industries in trade and economic expansion. Across countries, the sector contributes between 0.5% and 7.3% of GDP and accounts for 0.5% to 12.5% of total employment – underscoring its potential as both a growth driver and a source of jobs.

"The creative economy has the right forces pushing its sails. This is not just art. It is an economic powerhouse that we must harness together, leaving no one behind," said Rebeca Grynspan, secretary-general of UNCTAD, in the report.

Low public investment

A long view of Bangladesh's budgets tells a remarkably consistent story. Over a decade from FY12 to FY26, three ministries of recreation and culture development central to the orange economy – the cultural affairs ministry, the information and broadcasting ministry, and the youth and sports ministry – have received below 1% of the total development budget for nearly two decades.

For FY26 original budget, together, their combined development budget allocation stands at Tk1,982 crore – a figure that represents a mere 0.81% of the total development budget of Tk2,45,609 crore. Meanwhile, it was 0.72% in FY07.

The country saw nine basis points of movement in twenty years, while the creative workforce tripled.

At the same time, education has remained one of the top recipients of public expenditure, third only to public administration and interest payments, but it remains disconnected from the creative economy.

If the orange economy is to grow meaningfully, experts say, it should not come from recreation and culture ministries alone; it should come from classrooms. The issue is not spending more, but spending differently: aligning education with creativity, skills, and content production. That is where the real shift begins.

Regional comparison and policy gap

The regional contrast makes that habit harder to defend. India is strengthening the orange economy and positioning it as a global hub for content creation. Many initiatives have been launched.

In February 2026, in its Union Budget, India announced the establishment of AVGC – Animation, Visual Effects, Gaming and Comics – Content Creator Labs across 15,000 secondary schools and 500 colleges nationwide.

The Indian Institute of Creative Technologies, Mumbai, has been designated as the nodal agency for planning, coordination and phased rollout of the Content Creators' Labs.

The announcement did not arrive without preparation. India's AVGC Promotion Task Force, constituted in April 2022, spent years developing a comprehensive national strategy and policy.

Every economy chooses what it decides to grow. Bangladesh chose garments. That was rational in 1990. In 2026, with a $456 billion economy, that single choice still defines the country's economic identity – while the orange economy, an emerging sector with proven growth momentum, waits for a strong policy decision that has not come.

In search of its next engine of growth, Bangladesh does not have to look far for a model. A dedicated task force and a national orange or creative economy strategy could be the institutional turning point.

Five lakh jobs, 1.5% of GDP: A promise waiting for a plan

There are early signs that the newly elected government of Bangladesh is beginning to connect culture with economic possibilities.

The government has initiated the recruitment of sports and music teachers in primary schools and introduced incentive schemes for athletes.

A nationwide grassroots sports initiative, "Notun Kuri Sports," launched on 2 May, aiming to identify talented athletes from the grassroots across the country.

In its election manifesto, the ruling BNP committed to the development of the creative economy to 1.5% of GDP, generating five lakh jobs, establishing regional creative hubs, forming a long-term investment fund, and building a formal institutional framework.

It also emphasised sports, national culture, and creative talent development in primary and secondary education.

Meanwhile, the next national budget for FY27 knocks at a hopeful moment. For once, the numbers, the political will, and the sector's own momentum are pointing in the same direction.

The good news is that Finance Minister Amir Khosru Mahmud Chowdhury said at a pre-budget discussion with the leaders of the Economic Reporters' Forum on 25 April that the creative economy will be recognised in the upcoming budget.

He noted that the government is working to bring rural cottage industries, artisans and creative industries into the mainstream.

The finance minister also said sports, culture, theatre, cinema and music sectors are also being given importance as part of the economy, which were neglected until now.

Money launderers, scammers and wilful defaulters will not be eligible for a Tk 20,000 crore refinance fund being prepared by the central bank to restart fully or partially closed factories, according to Bangladesh Bank (BB) officials.

They said only genuine businesses whose factories have shut down due to unavoidable circumstances and which are willing to repay their loans will qualify for loans from the fund.

From the fund, affected factories will receive low-interest working capital loans. In some cases, term loans may also be provided.

BB officials, who are familiar with the matter, told The Daily Star yesterday that the interest rate could be set at 13 percent, with a possible 5 percent subsidy.

The central bank will finalise the policy after it receives approval from the finance ministry on the interest subsidy. The fund will then be launched once all procedures are completed.

On May 1, Prime Minister Tarique Rahman said the government had taken initiatives to gradually reopen closed factories across the country.

He said he had instructed relevant authorities to assess how quickly each factory could be brought back into operation to create employment.

Subsequently, the BB asked commercial banks to submit lists of closed factories to help identify those eligible for financing support.

So far, more than 1,000 fully and partially closed factories and industries have been listed by commercial lenders and submitted to the central bank, according to BB officials. Each of these entities has loans of more than Tk 100 crore.

Besides, a committee headed by BB Deputy Governor Md Kabir Ahmed has begun drafting a detailed policy for the fund.

Central bank officials said discussions are ongoing between the central bank and the government on the form of support needed to reopen closed factories. Once these discussions are completed, the fund will be formed and the policy issued.

Bankers, however, have sought a government or central bank guarantee in case loans extended to reopen factories turn into defaults or bad loans again.

They have also called for additional collateral from entrepreneurs, on top of existing security, for new lending.

In addition, they have proposed allowing banks to appoint consultants to monitor whether factories are operating properly and whether loan funds are being used as intended.

After the fall of the Awami League-led government in August 2024, the central bank under the interim government introduced an easier loan rescheduling policy for affected factories and industries.

Foreign direct investment (FDI) in Bangladesh has rebounded once again. In 2025, net FDI increased by 39.36% compared with the previous year.

Net FDI in the outgoing year stood at nearly $1.77 billion, up from $1.27 billion in 2024.

These figures were revealed in Bangladesh Bank's latest report published yesterday (5 May).

According to the report, FDI inflows to Bangladesh had declined over the past three years but rebounded in 2025. Total FDI inflows in 2025 were $4.69 billion, while FDI outflows stood at $2.92 billion.

"The inflows of FDI have contributed significantly to the economic development of Bangladesh. Due to political instability, the inflow of FDI had slowed during the middle two quarters in 2024."

Net FDI refers to the total inflow of foreign direct investment into a country minus the outflows of investment during a specific period.

According to Bangladesh Bank data, growth in new equity investment was comparatively slow. However, reinvested earnings increased and intra-company loan flows rose significantly, contributing to higher net FDI.

The report said equity capital within net FDI increased by only $10 million in 2025.

On the other hand, reinvested earnings rose by $159 million, or 25.68%.

Intra-company loans increased by $330 million, or three times higher than the previous year.

Reinvested earnings are profits retained and reinvested by a foreign-owned firm instead of being distributed as dividends, contributing to business expansion and counted as FDI.

Intra-company loans are financial transactions between a parent company and its foreign affiliate, used for funding operations or investments, and are also considered a component of FDI.

Net FDI inflows in Bangladesh stood at $1.77 billion in 2025.

The highest FDI-attracting sectors were power, food products, textile and clothing, banking, telecommunication, chemicals and pharmaceuticals, trading, agriculture and fishing, leather and leather products, and computer software and IT.

The major country-wise net FDI inflows, arranged in descending order, were the Netherlands, China, Singapore, Republic of Korea, and the United Kingdom.

Overall stock position of FDI

The stock position of FDI reached $20.6 billion at the end of December 2025, increasing by $17.6 billion, or 9.66%, compared with December 2024.

At the end of December 2025, the largest FDI stock holders were the United Kingdom, Singapore, China, Republic of Korea, and the Netherlands.

The Bangladesh Bank (BB) has revised its prudential regulations on consumer financing, raising the ceiling for auto and personal loans and introducing incentives to promote electric and hybrid vehicles.

The central bank issued a circular in this regard yesterday, stating that banks will now be allowed to provide auto loans of up to Tk 80 lakh per individual, including insurance coverage, for purchasing electric and hybrid vehicles.

Previously, banks could provide auto loans of up to Tk60 lakh per individual for conventional vehicles, with no separate ceiling for electric and hybrid vehicles.

The BB said it set the new limit for purchasing electric and hybrid vehicles to encourage environmentally friendly transport.

The regulator also eased equity requirements for such vehicles. While conventional auto loans must maintain a maximum debt-equity ratio of 60:40, loans for electric and hybrid cars can now be extended at a more relaxed ratio of 80:20.

The BB said the changes were made in consideration of rising automobile prices and the growing demand for cleaner and more energy-efficient vehicles in the country.

The regulator also revised limits on personal loans, including those for consumer durables. Under the new rules, individuals can take out unsecured personal loans of up to Tk 10 lakh, up from the previous limit of Tk 5 lakh.

Banks may lend higher amounts if backed by proper securities, but the total loan in such cases cannot exceed Tk 40 lakh. Earlier, this limit was Tk 20 lakh.

Loans secured against liquid assets will remain outside this cap, as per the circular.

The regulator noted that Bangladesh’s consumer market has expanded significantly in recent years, driven by rising per capita income and steady economic growth.

As per the circular, the BB imposed a prudential safeguard, directing banks to ensure that growth in consumer loans does not exceed the overall loan growth of the respective bank.

The latest instructions supersede previous circulars issued in 2004, 2017, and 2024 on consumer financing. The directive, issued under the Bank Companies Act, 1991, took effect immediately.

The Asian Development Bank (ADB) has agreed to provide $1 billion in budget support to Bangladesh by June to tackle economic challenges stemming from soaring energy prices triggered by the Middle East war situation.

Finance Minister Amir Khosru Mahmud Chowdhury shared the development following a meeting with ADB President Masato Kanda at the 59th Annual Meeting of the ADB currently being held in Samarkand, Uzbekistan.

Khosru, Economic Relations Division Secretary Md Shahriar Kader Siddiky, and several senior officials are attending the four-day event that began on May 3.

“They have agreed to provide $1 billion by June this year. This could potentially increase if needed in the coming days,” he told The Daily Star in an interview after the meeting.

Bangladesh earlier sought $1 billion from the Manila-based lender to shield its economy from global shocks triggered by the US-Israel war on Iran, which led to a spiral in oil prices.

The South Asian country meets 95 percent of its fuel needs through imports, primarily from Gulf countries including Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and Qatar.

The war affected supplies as Iran blocked the Strait of Hormuz, through which one-fifth of global oil and a good portion of gas passes.

On Monday, during a session of the Board of Governors at the ADB’s annual meeting, Khosru sought expanded support for Bangladesh from the ADB, as geopolitical tensions, inflation, and supply chain disruptions have increased the country’s energy-related expenditures by an estimated $3 billion.

Following his meeting with President Kanda, the finance minister said Bangladesh had asked for counter-cyclical support if the war continues. While the issue did not come up in yesterday’s discussion, he noted, “It is in our proposal.”

Apart from budget support, both sides discussed issues ranging from the BNP-led government’s election manifesto and digital transformation to the ADB’s support for achieving the target of 10,000 megawatts of clean energy by the 2030s.

They also discussed the North-West Dhaka South-East Economic Corridor, involving about $79 billion proposed by the ADB to Bangladesh under a 20-year development plan, as well as a visit by the ADB president to Dhaka and technical assistance for the development of the capital market.

The finance minister said the ADB has a commitment to provide $1.4 billion for the fiscal year 2025-26.

“And the necessity of the fund can be discussed in the coming days and increased if needed,” he said.

Khosru stated that the ADB is “fully aligned” with the current government’s election manifesto, ensuring that all future programmes and projects will be consistent with national priorities.

“This is the biggest thing. I mean, when working with any multilateral body, this issue often arises where they want one thing, and the government wants another. This will not happen in this case,” he said. “Therefore, all programmes, support, and projects will be in accordance with our manifesto in Bangladesh. This is a very important thing.”

Khosru noted that discussions took place regarding Bangladesh’s renewable energy target, stating that the ADB’s interest in this area is very high.

“They will assist, and some countries, like Germany, have also shown interest, and there is a possibility of them joining this project too. Therefore, we are hoping for a large portfolio here in the coming days.”

“Germany is very interested in renewables because of current climate issues. They have many climate-friendly projects in their own country in various ways, among which renewable energy -- the issue of electricity -- is of great interest to them, and we might get major cooperation in this area,” he added.

On the capital market, the finance minister said ADB’s technical support is needed to improve Bangladesh’s market, provide protection to investors, and support listed companies.

“And the deregulation we have been talking about for so long-- serious deregulation is needed. When we talk about taking it from a frontier market to an emerging market, their support will mainly come in this area.”

“The rest of the work has to be done by our government. So, we will move forward in this matter. And digitalisation is a big issue here; we will work with them on that too,” the minister added.

Khosru mentioned the North-West Dhaka South-East Economic Corridor, describing it as a project running from the northern region to Chattogram, integrating growth centres -- such as the potential for light engineering in Bogura or agricultural processing opportunities in other regions -- that are in our minds and also in theirs.

“So, keeping in mind the facilities of each region, we, along with the ADB, have sat together and brought this whole project to a certain point. I hope this will be finalised once we return to Dhaka and the ADB president visits,” he said, expecting the visit by the end of this month.

Responding to a question on the progress of discussions regarding the release of two instalments of the $5.5 billion loan from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Khosru said discussions have been ongoing with the Washington-based lender.

“We are an elected government, and we must take decisions very thoughtfully,” he said. “Ending a discussion is very easy, but I cannot take any decision outside of my country’s interest or the interest of our people.”

Governments in Asia, the top oil importing region, are scrambling to find alternatives and insulate their economies from the worst of the energy crisis triggered by the Iran war, but the pain is getting increasingly costly.

The disruption spurred the Asian Development Bank to cut its growth forecast for developing Asia and the Pacific to 4.7% this year and 4.8% in 2027, down from 5.1% for both years previously, and lifted its inflation outlook to 5.2% for this year.

Overall oil imports to Asia, which takes 85% of Gulf crude shipments, plunged 30% in April on the year, to their lowest since October 2015, Kpler data shows, after two months of the near-closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a key chokepoint for a fifth of global oil and gas supplies.

Fiscal strains are mounting across the region, particularly South Asia, as governments spend billions of dollars on subsidies and import duty waivers to compensate.

"The first line of defence ... is that the governments decided to absorb the initial shock by either providing subsidies or cutting excise duties on fuel products," said Hanna Luchnikava-Schorsch of S&P Global Market Intelligence.

India's state-dominated refining sector has kept fuel prices steady despite surging crude costs, losing about 100 rupees ($1.06) a litre on diesel and 20 rupees on petrol, but some analysts forecast price hikes after state polls ended in April.

Many regional governments have moved to limit fuel use or clamp down on hoarding, while several have curbed exports and many, including Australia, have espoused diplomatic efforts to ensure access.

China, the world's biggest oil importer, has shielded itself with sizeable reserves, a diverse energy supply chain and export curbs on fuel and fertiliser, although Beijing is making exceptions for some regional buyers, from Australia to Myanmar.

Even as governments tap fiscal resources, forex reserves and oil inventories, the war's economic impact on Asia has not been as bad as feared, Goldman Sachs said.

Nevertheless, it trimmed 2026 growth forecasts for Japan and some Southeast Asian countries and slightly lifted inflation expectations, while warning of a key unresolved question.

"How much of the resilience thus far reflects structural factors versus unsustainable declines in buffer stocks?" its analysts said in a note.

First lines of defence

Asia's emerging market currencies have fallen furthest and to lower lows against the dollar, compared with global peers and the region's bigger currencies, with the peso, rupee and rupiah all making record lows.

Since the war started at the end of February, the Philippine peso has dropped more than 5%, the Thai baht and rupee more than 3% each and the rupiah more than 2.5%.

By contrast China's yuan is the region's top performer, up 0.8% against the dollar, while Japan has intervened to push up the yen, to stand 0.4% higher than pre-war levels. South Korea's won is down about 1.1%.

The South Asian economies of Pakistan, Bangladesh and Sri Lanka are the most vulnerable to the burdens triggered by the crunch, S&P Global Market Intelligence said.

Pakistan, for example, recently issued its first tenders since 2023 to buy liquefied natural gas.

It is looking to replace supply it is unable to source from Qatar, paying $18.88 per million British thermal unit for one cargo, or roughly $30 million more than market prices before the war, according to Reuters calculations.

"These countries use more of their resources on subsidising domestic public energy enterprises and basically shielding the final consumers from the energy price shock," added Luchnikava-Schorsch, the S&P unit's head of Asia-Pacific Economics.

"These are also the countries which have the slimmest fiscal buffers."

Still, regional economies are better positioned than when the start of the Ukraine war in 2022 triggered the last energy shock, she said.

Coping mechanisms

Responses across Asia are shaped by the circumstances of individual nations.

For example, energy producer Indonesia has told operators to prioritise the domestic market over exports and is halting LNG shipments that were not under contract.

Southeast Asia's biggest economy is also looking to Africa and Latin America to replace Middle Eastern oil, and plans to buy 150 million barrels from Russia by year-end.

In Thailand, a source at a state-owned refiner said the firm had paused crude purchases as national stocks of refined products rose after refineries stepped up output and a government ban closed off exports.

At the same time, curbs on energy use and high prices have led to falling demand, he added.

Japan, which buys 95% of its oil from the Middle East, has stepped up purchases of US oil, paying spot market prices that soared after the start of the war, plus the cost of shipping from the US, which takes twice as long as from the Gulf.

On Friday, Japan began releasing 36 million barrels of crude from stockpiles, its second release since the start of the war.

Oil prices fell for a second day on Wednesday on expectations bottled up supply from the key Middle East producing region could resume flowing after US President Donald Trump indicated a possible peace deal may be reached to end the war with Iran.

Brent crude futures for July fell $1.52, or 1.38%, to $108.35 per barrel as of 0103 GMT, after dropping 4% in the previous session. US benchmark West Texas Intermediate futures for June declined $1.50, or 1.47%, to $100.77, after closing down 3.9% the day before.

On Tuesday, Trump unexpectedly said he would briefly pause an operation to help escort ships through the Strait of Hormuz, citing progress towards a comprehensive agreement with Iran, without giving details on the agreement.

There was no immediate reaction from Tehran, where it was very early on Wednesday morning.

Still, Trump said the US Navy would continue its blockade of Iranian ports. The Strait of Hormuz, which typically carries cargoes equal to about one-fifth of the world's oil and natural gas supply, has been most cut off since the US-Israeli war against Iran began on 28 February.

The supply loss to the global market has pushed prices higher with Brent trading last week at its highest since March 2022.

"We have mutually agreed that, while the Blockade will remain in full force and effect, Project Freedom ... will be paused for a short period of time to see whether or not the Agreement can be finalised and signed," Trump wrote on social media.

Trump's announcement came only hours after US Secretary of State Marco Rubio briefed reporters on the effort, announced on Sunday, to escort stranded tankers through the strait. On Monday, the US military said it had destroyed several Iranian small boats, as well as cruise missiles and drones, while guiding two vessels out of the Gulf through the strait.

The Strait of Hormuz closure has drawn down global inventories as refineries try to make up the shortfall.

US crude oil inventories fell for a third week, while petrol and distillate stocks also declined, market sources said on Tuesday, citing American Petroleum Institute figures.

Crude stocks fell by 8.1 million barrels in the week ended 1 May, the sources said. Petrol inventories fell by 6.1 million barrels, while distillate inventories fell by 4.6 million barrels compared to a week earlier, the sources said.

Bangladesh Bank (BB) has instructed all scheduled banks to set and disburse specific credit targets for raw hide traders to ensure smooth collection, preservation, and marketing of hides during the upcoming Eid-ul-Azha.

The directive was issued today through BRPD Circular, highlighting the leather sector as a vital labour-intensive and export-oriented industry, reports BSS.

The central bank noted that the sector plays a significant role in generating national income and foreign exchange, largely depending on domestically sourced raw materials.

According to the circular, nearly 50 percent of the industry’s annual raw material supply comes from animals sacrificed during Eid-ul-Azha, making timely and adequate financing crucial for maintaining economic stability in the sector.

To ensure sufficient liquidity, the central bank directed that the credit target for raw hide purchases in 2026 must not be lower than the target set for 2025.

It also stressed that financing facilities must reach the grassroots level, enabling seasonal traders and small-scale merchants to actively participate in the procurement process. Loans are to be disbursed based on established bank-client relationships.

In a move to facilitate fresh financing, the central bank has allowed the rescheduling and relaxation of existing loans, including those of defaulted borrowers in the leather sector. Globaltrade insights

Banks have been instructed to complete the rescheduling process—along with compromised amount arrangements—by June 30, 2026. This measure is intended to help borrowers clear outstanding obligations and access new funds for the current season.

For monitoring and compliance, all scheduled banks are required to submit detailed reports on their credit targets and actual disbursements, following the prescribed format, to the Director of the Banking Regulation and Policy Department-1 by July 31, 2026.

The directive was issued under Section 45 of the Bank Company Act, 1991.

Summit Alliance Port Limited, one of the country's leading inland container terminals and logistics operators, reported a 26% decline in export freight earnings in the July-March period of FY26, weighed down by weaker export container handling and a challenging global trade environment.

In its unaudited financial statement for the first nine months of the fiscal year, the company said export freight income fell to Tk310.64 crore. The downturn in exports dragged overall performance, with consolidated revenue – covering both export and import container freight and handling – falling 18% to Tk499.88 crore.

Net profit declined sharply by 31% to Tk38.27 crore, while consolidated earnings per share dropped to Tk1.62 at the end of March 2026, compared to Tk2.34 in the same period of the previous fiscal year.

The company attributed the weaker performance largely to its subsidiary Container Transportation Services Limited (CTSL), which faced lower cargo volumes, higher operating costs, and pressure from geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

It also cited subdued export activity and heightened competition in the freight forwarding segment, which compressed margins despite efforts to expand services.

The trend aligns with broader export weakness, as Export Promotion Bureau data showed national export earnings fell nearly 5% to $35.39 billion in the same period.

CTSL remains the group's main revenue driver, leaving overall performance highly sensitive to export volumes and global trade conditions.

In January 2025, the company entered a strategic partnership with Germany's Hellmann Worldwide, which subscribed to 3.33 lakh CTSL shares at Tk66.50 each to strengthen regional logistics capacity. However, the benefits have yet to offset weaker demand and lower freight rates.

Yesterday, Summit Alliance Port shares fell 1.75% to Tk50.40 on the Dhaka Stock Exchange.

The government is advancing discussions with UAE-based port operator DP World on the long-term leasing of Chattogram Port’s largest functional New Mooring Container Terminal (NCT).

The company has also proposed operating the adjoining Chittagong Container Terminal (CCT) along with NCT as a single integrated terminal.

The last interim government was close to finalising a deal with DP World to operate NCT. But in the wake of a wildcat strike enforced by port employees and workers, it has to suspend the move just before the parliamentary election in February. The new government, however, is continuing the talks.

At the fourth joint public-private partnership platform meeting of the Bangladesh-Dubai government-to-government platform held in Dubai on April 8, it was agreed that negotiations should be concluded within the validity period of the request for proposal for NCT.

According to meeting minutes obtained by The Daily Star, the session was convened to review the progress of four projects currently placed on the platform and to discuss next steps.

NCT topped the list of projects, which also included Bay Container Terminal, Dhirasram Inland Container Depot (ICD), and a digital platform with a single window system.

The agenda also featured three other projects, including modernisation of the CCT, the port’s oldest container terminal with two jetties.

According to the minutes, the UAE firm expressed interest in modernising and operating CCT, adjoining NCT, to develop them as one integrated terminal.

The Bangladesh government agreed to consider placing CCT on the Bangladesh-Dubai Joint Platform and to discuss it as a separate project in future meetings.

The CCT has the capacity to handle 6 lakh twenty-foot equivalent units of containers every year.

At the meeting, DP World requested greater transparency on the revenue, cost, and manpower structure of the Chittagong Port Authority with respect to NCT’s operation.

The firm also stressed the need to reconsider the proposed 15-year concession tenure and the additional expenditure required for modernising the terminal.

It was decided that DP World, as the bidder for the NCT project, should submit all comments, suggestions, concerns, negotiation milestones, and a revised bid, if necessary, at the earliest.

Regarding Dhirasram ICD, to be built by Bangladesh Railway, DP World as the intended operator, is set to submit a refreshed formal technical recommendation. The firm also expressed interest in considering capital investments in locomotives, rolling stock, and other rail freight infrastructure.

Discussions were also held on three other projects, including a free trade zone adjoining Chattogram Port, CCT, and Nimtala ICD.

Ashik Chowdhury, chairman of the Bangladesh Investment Development Authority and executive director of the Public Private Partnership Authority, led the four-member Bangladesh delegation.

It included the then shipping ministry secretary, Dr Nurun Nahar Chowdhury, and Bangladeshi ambassador to the UAE, Tareq Ahmed.