Bangladesh Bank (BB) has appointed observers at National Bank, Al-Arafah Islami Bank, Premier Bank, and IFIC Bank to closely monitor their activities.

The central bank made the decision this week.

“The decision to appoint observers at these banks is part of a continuous process,” said Arief Hossain Khan, executive director and spokesperson of Bangladesh Bank.

Munir Ahmed Chowdhury, director of the Bank Supervision Department-12 of BB, has been appointed as an observer to the National Bank.

Mohammad Anisur Rahman, director of the Islamic Banking Regulations and Policy Department, has been assigned to observe Al-Arafah Islami Bank.

ANM Moinul Kabir, director of the Payment Systems Department-1, has been appointed to Premier Bank.

AKM Kamruzzaman, director of the Forex Reserve and Treasury Management Department-1, has been appointed to IFIC Bank.

The central bank usually appoints observers to banks whose financial health is deteriorating.

Observers take part in board meetings and monitor the banks’ operations. They are withdrawn once the financial health of the bank improves.

After the fall of the Awami League-led government on August 5, 2024, the central bank restructured the boards of 14 banks, including these four lenders.

Islami Bank Bangladesh PLC has approved a proposal to bring US-based B100 Holdings LLC as a strategic investor in its mobile financial services subsidiary mCash Ltd, according to a price sensitive disclosure issued yesterday (8 March).

The decision was taken at the bank's board meeting held yesterday at its head office in Dhaka.

According to the statement, the bank approved the onboarding of B100 Holdings as a strategic partner in mCash Ltd, which operates the bank's mobile financial services platform, subject to compliance with applicable legal and regulatory requirements.

As part of the plan, the paid-up capital of mCash will be increased in phases to Tk500 crore, with Islami Bank maintaining a minimum 51% equity stake in the company. B100 Holdings may acquire up to 48.99% ownership through the subscription of shares, subject to approval from the mCash board and relevant regulatory authorities.

The proposed investment is expected to strengthen the capital base of mCash and support the expansion of digital financial services under its mobile financial services platform.

A day after a massive bloodbath at the Dhaka bourse, stocks rebounded yesterday as the sell-off largely subsided and buyers dominated the market.

The DSEX, the benchmark index of the Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE), surged 132 points, or 2.64%, with more than 90% of the traded stocks advancing on the bourse, although turnover fell by 22%, data showed.

On Sunday (8 March), the first trading session of the week, stocks suffered the highest single-day fall in six years as escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East triggered panic selling across the market.

The index plunged 231 points, or 4.42%, to close at 5,008, hitting a two-month low and marking the biggest one-day decline since the Covid-19 pandemic era.

Market insiders said Sunday's sell-off was mostly panic driven assuming fuel crisis significantly may hit businesses due to Middle East conflict. After the conflict began, stocks witnessed bearish trends as cautious investors preferred to pull-off funds selling shares.

"Stocks declined significantly in recent trading sessions due to heavy sell-offs. As investors offloaded shares in previous sessions, funds generated from those sales were reinvested in the market, which helped stocks rebound," said the managing director of a brokerage firm.

The port city bourse, Chittagong Stock Exchange (CSE), settled on a positive territory. The Selective Categories' Index (CSCX) and All Share Price Index (CASPI) advanced by 51.9 points and 82.6 points, respectively.

Bank stock save indices

The data showed that stocks began trading on the red pulling DSEX below 5,000 points marks. Six minutes later after starting trades, stock climbed to green as sell-offs reversed into buy domination, and continued till 10.22am with DSEX increasing 100 points.

After that a wave of sell-off again gripped the market, the bank stocks saved the indices as share prices of some large cap stocks including Islami Bank, BRAC Bank, City Bank and Pubali Bank increased.

According to LankaBangla financial portal, the four banks pulled DSEX by 54 points with a total increase of 132 points.

At the DSE, shares of 36 banks listed, but trading continued for 31 banks as shares trading of five Islamic banks suspended as the banks were merged into a one entity namely Sammilito Islami Bank.

On Sunday, the share price of 39 banks increased, only a bank share declined and shares price remained unchanged for a bank.

EBL Securities said, the capital bourse staged a partial rebound following the steep selloff in recent sessions, as bargain hunters turned back to accumulate equities at attractive price points; however, overall investor participation remained subdued amid lingering uncertainties surrounding the ongoing Middle East conflict.

It said, market indices maintained an upbeat trajectory throughout the session, supported by broad-based price appreciation across most scrips. However, cautious investors remained on the sidelines, closely monitoring market direction amid the absence of any visible progress toward a resolution or ceasefire in the ongoing conflict.

Apparently, market turnover decreased by 21.8% to Tk4.2 billion from Tk5.3 billion in the previous session. On the sectoral front, Bank stocks accounted for the highest share of turnover by 25.5%, followed by Pharma by 19.3% and Textile by 8.9%.

Gainers, losers

Islami Bank Bangladesh topped the gainer list hitting upper circuit, a highest single day limit capped by the regulator, by 9.89% to Tk41.10 each at the DSE.

Followed by City Bank by 8.24% to Tk30.2 each, AB Bank by 8.19% to Tk6.6 each, EBL NRB Mutual Fund by 8% to Tk2.7 each, and First Bangladesh Fixed Income Fund by 8% to Tk2.7 each.

While on the losing side, Green Delta Insurance topped the loser list as its shares price fell by 7.10% to Tk52.3 each, followed by Vanguard AML Rupali Bank Balanced Fund by 5.35% to Tk5.3 each, Dulamia Cotton Spinning Mills by 5.32% to Tk112 each, Renwick Jajneswar by 1.93% to Tk521.8 each, and Golden Jubilee Mutual Fund by 1.69% to Tk5.8 each.

Islami Bank Bangladesh PLC has approved a proposal to bring little-known US-based B100 Holdings LLC as a strategic investor in its mobile financial services subsidiary mCash Ltd, aiming to strengthen the platform's capital base and expand its digital financial services.

The decision was taken at a board meeting of Islami Bank Bangladesh PLC held at its head office in Dhaka on Sunday, according to a price-sensitive disclosure issued the same day.

Under the proposal, the New York-based B100 Holdings will join as a strategic partner in mCash Ltd, which operates the bank's mobile financial services platform. The investment will be subject to compliance with legal and regulatory requirements and approvals from relevant authorities.

Following the announcement, Islami Bank's share price rose 9.89% on the Dhaka Stock Exchange yesterday, reaching Tk41.10. The bank's market capitalisation increased by around Tk690 crore to Tk6,617 crore.

According to the disclosure, the paid-up capital of mCash will be increased in phases to Tk500 crore. Islami Bank will retain at least 51% ownership of the subsidiary, while B100 Holdings may acquire up to 48.99% of shares through subscription, subject to approval from the mCash board and regulators.

Under rules set by Bangladesh Bank, commercial banks must hold a minimum 51% stake in mobile financial service providers. Islami Bank said it would comply with the requirement while allowing the foreign investor to hold a maximum of 48.99% of shares.

Based on the proposed capital structure, B100 Holdings could invest nearly Tk245 crore in the company.

Omar Faruk Khan, managing director of Islami Bank, said the proposal originated from the US firm.

"They approached us with the investment proposal and our board has accepted it in principle because they committed to bring funds as needed, potentially from the Middle East," Omar told The Business Standard.

He said the bank would now examine the firm's financial strength and capability before finalising any agreement.

"At this stage, we are still in the initial phase. After reviewing their strength and ability, we will make the final decision regarding the partnership," he added.

Omar also acknowledged that mCash has struggled to secure a strong position in the market since its launch more than a decade ago.

"Despite operating for over ten years, mCash remains in a relatively weak position compared to other mobile financial service providers. Our goal is to develop mCash into a competitive platform similar to bKash, the country's leading MFS provider," he said.

To achieve that goal, the bank plans to increase investment in the platform and bring in a strategic partner capable of supporting long-term expansion.

Limited information about US investor

Public information about B100 Holdings, however, remains limited. According to the New York company registry, the firm was established on 22 December 2025 in New York. Arman Chowdhury is listed as its co-founder and chairperson.

Several stock market analysts contacted by The Business Standard said they were unfamiliar with both the individual and the newly formed investment firm.

Information available online indicates that Arman has been serving as national executive director of the Muslim Ummah of North America since 2021. He is also associated with New York's Baitul Mamur Masjid and Community Center as its president.

According to the company's website, B100 Holdings aims to invest in Bangladesh's economic infrastructure by supporting 100 large business enterprises through institutional capital, governance frameworks, and operational expertise.

The firm describes itself as a principal investor and long-term sponsor that deploys capital on a deal-by-deal basis alongside select institutional partners.

It says this model allows it to focus on long-term value creation without the constraints of traditional fund cycles or forced exits.

Islami Bank launched the mCash service in December 2012 and operated the platform directly through its own infrastructure for more than a decade. In January this year, the bank spun off the service into a separate subsidiary to strengthen governance and attract external investment.

The newly formed mCash Ltd has an authorised capital of Tk1,000 crore and an initial paid-up capital of Tk50 crore.

Iran has agreed to provide Bangladeshi oil ships with safe passage as the Bangladesh government has intensified efforts to maintain a stable fuel supply through multiple strategic measures amid escalating conflict in the Middle East.

Bangladesh has sought assurances from Iran for the safe passage of its oil and LNG-carrying vessels through the Strait of Hormuz as escalating conflict in the Middle East threatens one of the world's most critical energy shipping routes.

Iran has agreed that Bangladeshi ships will be allowed to pass through the strategic waterway after notifying Iranian authorities before entering the strait, energy officials said, easing immediate concerns over the country's fuel supply.

Meanwhile, a vessel carrying 27,000 tonnes of diesel arrived at Chattogram port from Singapore yesterday, and four more ships carrying 1,20,205 tonnes of fuel are scheduled to arrive at the port later this week, energy officials have said.

They said to meet April's demand, the Ministry of Power, Energy and Mineral Resources has begun the process of importing 3 lakh tonnes of diesel from alternative sources through direct procurement.

An official said Bangladesh is planning direct procurement outside long-term contracts, as deliveries under existing agreements have become uncertain following the war.

Under normal circumstances, the country's daily diesel demand is 12,000 tonnes, but the government is currently supplying 9,000 tonnes per day. If the current supply continues, the five incoming shipments totalling 147,205 tonnes will cover 16 days of national demand.

On Monday morning, Mohammad Arif Sadek, the ministry's public relations officer, confirmed the arrival of a fuel vessel at Chattogram port and said another ship was expected on Monday night.

China and India signal support

India and China have also expressed willingness to assist Bangladesh in supplying fuel. Finance Minister Amir Khasru confirmed seeking cooperation from India and China to ensure energy security, stating:

"Not only India and China, we have approached several countries to secure fuel supplies and maintain communication with them. There is no reason for a fuel crisis."

After a meeting with Finance Minister Amir Khasru Mahmud Chowdhury and Energy Minister Tuku yesterday, the ambassador China Yao Wen confirmed his country's interest in supporting Bangladesh.

After the meeting, Yao Wen said Bangladesh and China will work together to resolve fuel issues, and China is eager to provide fuel assistance.

Option to import more diesel from India

Under an existing agreement between BPC and India's Numaligarh Refinery Limited, the Indian state-owned refinery is scheduled to supply 180,000 tonnes of diesel annually through the India-Bangladesh Friendship Pipeline.

Of this volume, around 120,000 tonnes have already been confirmed, but Bangladesh still has the option to import an additional 60,000 tonnes depending on its demand.

According to BPC officials, the additional supply being explored would mainly cover the last week of March and the entire month of April, as two diesel cargoes scheduled for early March failed to arrive within their delivery windows.

Monir Hossain Chowdhury, Joint Secretary (Operations) of the Energy Division, told TBS that several suppliers have proactively offered to sell fuel to Bangladesh. The BPC will review these offers and forward them to the ministry for approval.

4 more tankers due this week

Port sources said tanker Xiu Chi, carrying 27,204 tonnes of diesel from Singapore, entered Chattogram port yesterday. Shipping agents said four more diesel tankers are scheduled to arrive in the coming days.

Another tanker, Lian Huan Hu, was expected to reach the port last night from Singapore with nearly 30,000 tonnes of diesel. The tanker SPT Themis is scheduled to arrive on Thursday carrying 30,484 tonnes.

Tanker carrying 27,000 tonnes of diesel reaches Ctg Port, 4 more due this week

Two additional vessels – Raffles Samurai and Chang Hang Hong Tu – are expected to reach the port on Saturday, each carrying around 30,000 tonnes of diesel.

Nazrul Islam, managing director of Pride Shipping, the local agent for the four tankers, told TBS that the vessels are expected to arrive within a week according to schedule.

Emergency imports under consideration

Amid supply uncertainty, the government has moved to secure around 300,000 tonnes of diesel from alternative suppliers outside its existing long-term contracts.

Officials said the fuel will be procured through the direct procurement method (DPM) to expedite the process. Discussions are currently underway with several North American suppliers to arrange emergency diesel shipments.

Speaking to TBS on Sunday, Energy Secretary Md Saiful Islam said the government is exploring every available option to ensure adequate diesel supply for April.

"So far we don't have that many problems in March. Keeping the supply uncertainty from long term contracts, we are exploring all sources to ensure around 3 lakh tonnes of diesel under DPM so that there is no disruption in the supply chain," he said.

Regarding when the supply will be confirmed from alternative sources, the energy secretary said, "We are trying to confirm delivery as soon as possible."

The authorities began exploring alternative sourcing options early, anticipating the lengthy approval process required for emergency purchases.

"There is an approval process involving the government's purchase committee. That is why we started the process earlier," Saiful Islam said.

Currently, Bangladesh imports refined petroleum products from eight countries – Malaysia, the United Arab Emirates, China, Indonesia, Thailand, India, Oman and Kuwait.

However, officials noted that a significant portion of petrol and octane is produced locally, helping reduce reliance on imports for these products.

Import disrupted

According to a fuel import scenario prepared by BPC on 7 March and presented before Prime Minister Tarique Rahman, the country planned to import 293,000 tonnes of diesel in March.

However, around 60,000 tonnes of diesel cargoes have either been deferred or cancelled, raising concerns about supply stability.

In its briefing to the prime minister, BPC noted that despite having contracts with suppliers from both the Near East and the Far East, geopolitical developments have made fuel supply increasingly uncertain.

In one instance, Singapore-based Vitol Asia cancelled a scheduled octane shipment for March, citing geopolitical risks in the Middle East.

According to BPC data as of 7 March, Bangladesh currently has 129,000 tonnes of diesel in reserve, which is enough to meet demand for around 14 days. The country also has 23,000 tonnes of octane, sufficient for about 25 days, and 15,000 tonnes of petrol, enough for roughly 15 days.

In addition, BPC reported 67,000 tonnes of furnace oil in reserve, which could last about 49 days, while Jet A-1 aviation fuel reserves stand at around 60,000 tonnes, also enough for roughly 49 days.

Mobile courts launched nationwide

To ensure uninterrupted fuel supply, the Cabinet Division has instructed all deputy commissioners to operate mobile courts across the country. This directive was issued in a letter from the Cabinet Division on Monday.

District authorities have been directed to take necessary measures accordingly.

Additionally, the Bangladesh Petroleum Corporation (BPC) has established central and regional monitoring and control cells to closely track fuel supply, maintain market stability, and resolve complaints promptly.

Special attention is being given to ensure that fuel supply for irrigation during the ongoing Boro season is not disrupted.

The Bangladesh Independent Power Producers' Association (Bippa) has urged the government to clear outstanding power bills owed to private power plants, warning that delays could disrupt fuel imports and lead to load-shedding during the upcoming summer.

The association said power producers are struggling to open letters of credit (LCs) to import fuel due to delayed payments at a time when global energy markets remain volatile amid the ongoing Middle East conflict.

The appeal was made at a press conference held in the capital yesterday by Bippa, which represents privately owned power plants in the country. Former Bippa president Imran Karim presented an overview of the current power sector situation at the event.

Bippa said outstanding payments owed to private power producers have reached around Tk14,000 crore, making it increasingly difficult for companies to maintain operations.

Under existing power purchase agreements, electricity bills are supposed to be settled within 30 days, but payments are currently being delayed by 180 to 270 days, according to the association.

Such prolonged delays have created severe financial pressure for power plant operators, making it difficult to procure fuel and sustain electricity generation.

"If the payments are cleared, fuel can still be imported even under difficult global conditions, including the ongoing war situation," Imran said.

To address the issue, Bippa suggested that the government could adopt a similar approach to the one taken by the previous interim administration.

Imran noted that the interim government had earlier issued Tk5,000 crore in bonds to partially clear outstanding payments to power producers.

The move, along with regular bill payments afterward, helped stabilise the sector and ensured uninterrupted electricity supply during last summer, he said.

"As a result, there was no major load-shedding during last year's summer," Imran said, adding that the current government could also issue bonds or allocate funds to settle the dues and avoid a similar crisis this year.

Effective power capacity lower than installed capacity

Although Bangladesh's installed electricity generation capacity exceeds 28,000 megawatts (MW), a large portion of that capacity remains idle due to fuel shortages and other operational constraints, power plant owners noted.

According to Bippa, more than 6,000MW of generation capacity remains unused because of insufficient gas supply, while another 1,626MW is currently offline for maintenance.

In addition, solar power is unavailable at night, and many diesel-fired plants remain shut due to high operating costs.

As a result, the country's effective available capacity during peak demand stands at around 18,627MW, and actual generation could reach about 18,000MW if fuel supplies remain stable, Imran said.

Fuel costs rising faster than electricity tariffs

Imran also pointed out that global fuel price increases have significantly raised electricity generation costs.

According to his analysis, fuel costs for power generation have risen by about 95% over the past six years, while electricity tariffs have not increased at the same pace.

During the same period, operational costs of power plants have increased by 55%, adding further financial pressure on plant operators.

Meanwhile, about 70% of electricity consumption in Bangladesh occurs in residential, commercial, and agricultural sectors, where tariffs have increased by only 54% over the same period.

As a result, higher electricity generation would increase the government's subsidy burden, as production costs continue to rise faster than retail tariffs.

To ease pressure on electricity generation costs, Bippa called on the government to temporarily withdraw import duties on fuel used for power generation.

Specifically, the association proposed removing 34% duty on imported fuel oil and 22% duty on imported liquefied natural gas (LNG).

According to Bippa, such measures could help lower generation costs at a time when global energy prices remain volatile.

Gas shortages limiting power generation

Bippa President David Hasanat also noted that managing electricity demand during the upcoming summer could be challenging due to multiple constraints.

"The situation could become even more complicated due to the ongoing Iran war, which is affecting global fuel markets," he said.

Hasanat added that around 23% of the country's power plants are currently unable to operate due to gas shortages, further straining the electricity system. He noted that increasing gas supply in the short term remains difficult because of infrastructure limitations.

"There is no immediate scope to significantly increase gas supply, and the infrastructure needed to expand imports is also limited," he said.

Fuel reserves may last until early April

According to Imran, oil-based power plants currently have enough fuel reserves to operate until 7-10 April, although the situation may vary across facilities depending on individual fuel stocks.

"To keep these plants operational, it is essential to ensure a steady fuel supply and timely payment of bills," he said.

Responding to questions about reducing generation costs, Imran said operators of furnace-oil-based power plants have already made concessions.

He noted that the interim government had reduced the service charge on fuel imports from 9% to 5%, which plant owners accepted.

He also said power producers are not charging interest on overdue payments, despite bills remaining unpaid for up to nine months.

"In contrast, some suppliers in other sectors shut down operations due to unpaid bills, but private power plants have continued operating despite the outstanding dues," he said.

Despite the challenges, Hasanat said private power producers remain committed to supporting the government in maintaining the electricity supply.

"We are ready to support the government in maintaining a stable electricity supply. After all, if the country survives, we all will survive," he said.

Governments scrambled to limit the impact on economies and consumers from the widening Iran war, which fuelled a record surge in oil prices on Monday after key producers cut output and Tehran signalled that hardliners would remain in charge.

In a sign of mounting governmental concern over supply disruptions, the Group of Seven finance ministers will discuss the possibility of a joint release of emergency oil reserves in a meeting on Monday, a French government source said.

In South Korea, which buys 70% of its oil from the Middle East, President Lee Jae Myung said Seoul would cap fuel prices for the first time in nearly 30 years and he warned against panic buying.

Speaking at an emergency meeting, Lee called the crisis "a significant burden on our economy, which is highly dependent on global trade and energy imports from the Middle East."

A senior Japanese member of Parliament on Sunday said the government had instructed a national oil reserve storage site to prepare for a possible crude release, although the country's chief cabinet secretary later said no decision had been made to release stockpiles.

Japan imports around 95% of its oil from the Middle East. It has reserves to cover 354 days of consumption.

Elsewhere, Vietnam removed import tariffs on fuels and Bangladesh shut universities to conserve electricity and fuel, while China last week asked refiners to halt fuel exports and try to cancel shipments that were already committed.

Trump downplays US price surge

President Donald Trump tried to downplay concerns about rising US gasoline prices, which were up 11% for the week on Friday, while Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer called on him to sell oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve.

"Short term oil prices, which will drop rapidly when the destruction of the Iran nuclear threat is over, is a very small price to pay for USA, and World, Safety and Peace," Trump posted on Truth Social on Sunday night. "ONLY FOOLS WOULD THINK DIFFERENTLY!"

Oil jumped 25%, with Brent on track for a record one-day gain, while OPEC producers Kuwait and Iraq cut output over the weekend as the crucial Strait of Hormuz remained effectively shut.

Brent jumps 25% on supply fears

Across Asia, which sources 60% of its oil from the Middle East, equities slid and the dollar rose as worries grew that the disruption in energy supplies could be prolonged.

Iran on Monday named Mojtaba Khamenei to succeed his father Ali Khamenei as supreme leader, a move that is expected to draw Trump's ire. Weekend attacks on Iranian oil storage facilities fuelled fears of retaliatory strikes on energy facilities.

In Bahrain, Bapco Energies declared force majeure on Monday following an attack on its refinery complex, the company said.

"Oil prices have now gathered all the ingredients for a perfect storm - Middle East Gulf producers cutting output, the prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz ... all compounded by a growing pessimism about a quick turnaround in the current situation," said Kpler senior oil analyst Muyu Xu.

Iraq cut oil production at its main southern oilfields by 70% to 1.3 million barrels per day, three industry sources said on Sunday, while Kuwait Petroleum Corp began cutting oil output on Saturday and declared force majeure.

No. 2 LNG exporter Qatar has already halted exports of the superchilled fuel and analysts predict that the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia will also have to cut output soon as they run out of oil storage due to the Strait of Hormuz closure.

When tensions escalate among global and regional powers, the shockwaves ripple through oil markets, shipping lanes, labour migration routes, and financial systems, reaching economies thousands of kilometres away.

The US-Israel war on Iran is rapidly emerging as one of the most significant geopolitical crises for the global economy in recent years, sending tremors through markets and supply chains.

Although the fighting is roughly 4,000 kilometres from Bangladesh, economists say the impact could be substantial for a nation heavily reliant on imported fuel and remittances from workers in the Middle East.

According to economists, the crisis due to the war risks setting off a chain reaction: rising energy prices, disrupted trade flows, weakened export competitiveness, turmoil in the migrant labour market and remittance inflows, higher inflation, and renewed pressure on foreign exchange reserves amid a constrained fiscal space.

Zahid Hussain, former lead economist of the World Bank’s Dhaka office, said Bangladesh’s economic exposure could unfold through three channels: energy, the dollar, and trade and finance.

He compared the potential shock of the war to an earthquake rather than a passing storm.

A storm passes temporarily, Hussain said. “Water rises and then recedes. Some damage happens, but the situation stabilises. But an earthquake damages the underlying infrastructure, affecting both life and property.”

The economist said the scale of the impact will depend on both the intensity and duration of the war.

“The key question is not only the magnitude of the shock, but also how long it lasts. The longer it continues, the greater the damage,” he said.

ENERGY SHOCK LOOMS

The most immediate and potentially severe impact of the Iran war is on global oil markets, with the price surging to $119 as of yesterday compared to around $72 per barrel a year ago.

The Gulf region sits at the heart of the world’s energy supply chain.

Following last week’s US and Israel’s attack on Iran, Tehran blocked the Strait of Hormuz, a crucial maritime route, seriously disrupting cargo transport between the Middle East and Bangladesh.

Major shipping lines have suspended cargo bookings between the Indian subcontinent, including Bangladesh, and the Gulf.

For Bangladesh, the consequences could be painful.

The country imports almost all its fuel -- from crude oil to refined petroleum and liquefied natural gas (LNG). A spike in oil prices would immediately inflate the country’s energy import bill.

Long queues have already appeared at fuel stations across the country as panic buying spreads, while the government has closed universities and introduced fuel rationing to cushion the fallout.

Higher fuel prices would also increase costs for electricity generation, transportation, and industrial production.

In that case, the government, already struggling to manage energy subsidies, would face difficult choices: absorb the cost through larger subsidies or pass it on to consumers through higher fuel and power prices.

Both carry economic consequences, such as rising subsidies straining public finances, while higher domestic energy prices push up living costs and production expenses.

INFLATION COULD GO WILD, AGAIN

Energy shocks rarely stay confined to the power sector; instead, they ripple through the entire economy.

Bangladesh has been struggling with stubbornly high inflation for around three years. Inflation was above the 9 percent mark from March 2023, easing slightly in 2025, and showing a resurgence recently.

The drivers for renewed price pressure include high food prices, currency depreciation, and rising import costs.

A further rise in global oil prices would amplify these pressures by raising transport and logistics costs across supply chains.

Higher fuel costs affect everything from agricultural irrigation to the distribution of essential commodities, potentially pushing food inflation higher and squeezing household purchasing power.

This dynamic could leave the economy facing elevated inflation alongside slowing growth.

After months of easing, headline inflation reached a 10-month high in February due mainly to rising food prices, according to the Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (BBS).

FOREIGN EXCHANGE UNDER STRAIN

Energy imports are one of Bangladesh’s largest sources of foreign currency outflows. A prolonged rise in oil prices would add pressure on the country’s foreign exchange reserves.

Bangladesh has previously faced periods of reserve stress due to high import bills and currency volatility. Another energy shock could widen the current account deficit, increasing the cost of fuel imports.

As demand for dollars rises, the Bangladeshi taka may face renewed depreciation, further raising the domestic price of imported goods and reinforcing inflation.

REMITTANCE RISKS

Bangladesh’s large migrant workforce in the Middle East is another vulnerability. Since fiscal year 2025, around 86 lakh Bangladeshi workers have gone abroad for jobs, with Saudi Arabia employing nearly half.

Middle Eastern countries, including Saudi Arabia, Oman, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates, and Kuwait, account for around 75 percent of overseas employment, according to the Bangladesh Economic Review 2025.

If the conflict escalates, economic activity in the Gulf could slow, threatening employment for migrant workers and reducing remittance inflows.

Even a moderate slowdown would put additional pressure on Bangladesh’s external balance, as remittances play a crucial role in offsetting the country’s large import bill.

The war could also disrupt global trade routes. During geopolitical tension, shipping companies often raise insurance premiums, and freight rates increase if vessels reroute to avoid conflict zones.

For Bangladesh’s export-oriented industries, particularly the ready-made garment sector, higher logistics costs could reduce competitiveness. Importers would also face higher charges for essential commodities, machinery, and industrial inputs, feeding through into domestic prices.

Bangladesh’s energy system remains fragile. Power generation depends heavily on imported fuels and LNG.

Tight global gas markets or surging LNG prices could make affordable supply difficult, leading to potential power shortages or higher generation costs. Such disruptions could affect industrial production, especially in energy-intensive sectors such as manufacturing and textiles.

“The first risk is energy, both in terms of price increases and availability,” said economist Hussain.

“Even if you are willing to pay a higher price, you may not be able to secure supply. If energy supply is disrupted, the real economy, agriculture, industry and services, comes under risk,” he added.

The economist also warned of mounting pressure on the US dollar. “As global uncertainty rises, the dollar strengthens and our import bill increases,” Hussain said.

“Even if the volume of imports does not rise, the total bill will increase, meaning we will have to spend more local currency to buy the same amount of dollars. That will further fuel inflation.”

A stronger dollar could complicate external payments.

“When dollars become scarce, settlement of outstanding payments becomes difficult, and payment obligations start to accumulate,” he said, adding that this could create pressure on banks’ balance sheets and the government budget.

The third channel is trade and financial flows, particularly higher logistics costs.

“Freight charges, port costs and insurance premiums are already rising, which increases payments under the services account of the balance of payments,” Hussain said. “Individually, these costs may seem small, but collectively they create significant pressure.”

He also flagged risks to remittance flows.

“There are two risks for remittances. First, employment and wage risks for migrant workers if the conflict spreads, and second, possible disruptions in payment systems that could affect money transfers,” he said.

“The external balance, financial sector and energy supply are all exposed, and their combined impact will eventually affect the real economy -- growth, employment and wages,” Hussain added.

BANGLADESH NEEDS A CONTINGENCY PLAN

Mustafizur Rahman, distinguished fellow at the Centre for Policy Dialogue (CPD), said Bangladesh should prepare a contingency plan to deal with emerging risks.

“We need to think about how to use the foreign financing already in the pipeline so that pressure on foreign exchange reserves remains limited,” he said. Once these funds arrive, they could add several billion dollars to reserves, easing external pressure.

Rahman also called for mobilising additional support, including budgetary assistance from institutions such as the World Bank.

“If fuel import costs surge, it will be very difficult to manage through reserves alone,” he said. “In that case, we may need financing arrangements such as import credit facilities from institutions like the Islamic Development Bank. Preparing a contingency plan in advance would be a prudent step.”

Finance Minister Amir Khosru Mahmud Chowdhury, when asked about the potential impact of the war and whether austerity measures were being considered, did not provide a detailed response.

“We are working on this issue,” he told The Daily Star.

The government must address seven major economic challenges, including persistent inflation and energy constraints, through coordinated reforms to restore growth and strengthen economic resilience, speakers said yesterday.

Bangladesh’s economy faces multiple structural obstacles, as highlighted at the launch of a publication by the Metropolitan Chamber of Commerce and Industry (MCCI) titled “Reviving Private Sector-Led Economic Growth: Critical Issues and Priorities Facing the New Government in Bangladesh”, organised jointly with Policy Exchange Bangladesh in Dhaka yesterday.

The report identifies seven priority reform areas: macroeconomic stabilisation, fiscal management, financial sector reform, export competitiveness and diversification, revitalising private investment, energy security and skills development for employment.

Presenting the report, M Masrur Reaz said Bangladesh’s economic management requires an integrated approach as multiple structural constraints are slowing investment, exports and job creation.

He said the country entered a macroeconomic crisis in mid-2022 when inflation rose to around 13-14 percent, foreign exchange reserves dropped from nearly $48 billion to about $19 billion, and the taka depreciated sharply.

Although reserves have recovered to around $28-29 billion, major vulnerabilities remain.

Economic growth has slowed to about 3.49 percent, while the tax-GDP ratio has fallen to around 7 percent and debt servicing now accounts for roughly 21 percent of the national budget.

Private investment has declined from 24.9 percent to 22.5 percent of GDP, while foreign direct investment remains below 1 percent of GDP. Export concentration is another concern, with the readymade garment sector accounting for about 81 percent of exports.

The report recommends key reforms within the government’s first 100 days, including improving macroeconomic coordination, adopting a market-based exchange rate and launching investment climate reforms to restore investor confidence and revive growth.

Hossain Zillur Rahman, executive chairman of the Power and Participation Research Centre, said the private sector must re-establish an independent and constructive voice in national policymaking following the political transition.

He noted that during the previous long period of authoritarian governance, many private sector bodies lost their independent voice and became extensions of political processes.

Dewan Hanif Mahmud, editor of The Daily Bonik Barta, said Bangladesh should conduct forensic audits of major state-owned institutions to understand the true condition of the economy.

He stressed that forensic audits should be carried out in key state entities, including banks and energy institutions, to determine their financial health and asset quality.

Kamran T Rahman said Bangladesh’s economic recovery remains fragile despite some easing of balance of payments pressure and inflation.

He warned that LDC graduation will bring new challenges, including reduced preferential market access, tougher compliance requirements and sharper global competition.

Habibullah N Karim, vice president of MCCI, and Farooq Ahmed, secretary general and CEO of MCCI, also spoke at the event.

Oil prices surged over $119 a barrel, hitting ‌levels not seen since mid-2022, on Monday as some major producers cut supplies and fears of prolonged shipping disruptions gripped the market due to the expanding U.S.-Israeli war with Iran.
Brent crude futures were up $13.02, or 14%, at $105.71 per barrel at 0917 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were ​up $12.16, or 13%, at $103.06.
In a whiplash session, Brent had earlier hit a high of $119.50 a barrel, indicating the biggest-ever ​absolute price jump in a single day, and WTI reached $119.48 a barrel. Before the surge on Monday, ⁠Brent had already climbed 28% and WTI 36% over last week.
The Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly one-fifth of the ​world's oil and liquefied natural gas typically passes, is virtually shut. Also boosting prices is the appointment of Mojtaba Khamenei to succeed his ​father Ali Khamenei as Iran's supreme leader, signalling that hardliners remain firmly in charge in Tehran a week into its conflict with the United States and Israel.
The war could leave consumers and businesses worldwide facing weeks or months of higher fuel prices even if the conflict, which started on ​February. 28, ends quickly, as suppliers grapple with damaged facilities, disrupted logistics and elevated risks to shipping.
U.S. gasoline contracts surged to ​their highest since 2022 at around $3.22 a gallon, at a time when U.S. President Donald Trump has told U.S. consumers the impact on ‌their cost ⁠of living would be limited ahead of mid-term elections in November.
Governments can release strategic petroleum reserves to counteract supply disruptions. U.S. Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer called on Trump to make such a move and a French government source said on Monday that the Group of Seven nations would discuss this also.

Bangladesh has floated tenders to buy three more liquefied natural gas (LNG) cargoes from the spot market for April delivery in a desperate race to secure gas amid deepening turmoil in the Middle East.

State-run Rupantarita Prakritik Gas Co Ltd (RPGCL) sought delivery of the LNG cargoes in three phases between April 5 and April 13, a move that came four days after the company floated tenders to buy two cargoes of gas for March 15-16 and March 18-19 deliveries.

Bangladesh had to buy two LNG cargoes from the spot market after failing to attract bidders for two consecutive days, although at more than double the normal rate.

The move comes amid uncertainty over the timely arrival of LNG shipments from Qatar, as shipping in the Gulf remains severely disrupted after Tehran threatened to "set fire" to vessels in the Strait of Hormuz, while the US-Israeli war with Iran continues for a tenth day.

Located between Oman and Iran, and connecting the Persian Gulf with the Gulf of Oman and the Arabian Sea, the strait is one of the world's most important oil chokepoints.

Bangladesh meets nearly 30 percent of its gas demand, equivalent to 2,650 mmcfd, through imported LNG as domestic output continues to fall short.

The country also spends roughly $1 billion per year to import more than 60 lakh tonnes of petroleum and relies heavily on the Hormuz route. It sources most petroleum from the Middle East, and more than half of LNG imports in 2025 passed through this chokepoint.

The Bangladesh Bank (BB) has relaxed rules allowing foreign investors to repatriate proceeds up to Tk 100 crore from sales and share transfers without prior approval.

The central bank issued a circular on Sunday, saying banks can now independently process such repatriations if the fair value of the transaction is determined by an independent valuer using approved valuation methods.

Previously, banks could approve transactions of only up to Tk 10 crore, with most cases requiring central bank permission.

The relaxed rules apply to both state-owned and private companies that are not listed on stock exchanges.

The central bank said the move aims to simplify procedures and make the country a more attractive destination for foreign direct investment.

For deals where the transaction value does not exceed the net asset value (NAV) based on the latest audited financial statements, banks can approve repatriation regardless of the amount involved.

For smaller transactions of up to Tk 1 crore, investors no longer need to provide an independent valuation report.

To ensure proper oversight, the circular instructs banks to form internal committees to verify valuation reports and approve repatriation requests.

For small transactions, the committee must be led by the chief financial officer, while deals of up to Tk 100 crore require the chief executive officer’s leadership. Members with professional qualifications, such as CFA certification, must be included.

The circular also introduces procedural improvements to speed up transfers. Banks must complete repatriation within five working days if no discrepancies are found.

The overall share transfer process must be finalised within 45 days of signing the memorandum of understanding or receiving BB approval, whichever comes later.

The escalating crisis in the Middle East has dramatically changed the outlook for Asian central banks, with the huge supply shock posing a difficult trade-off ​between underpinning growth and countering inflation.

For emerging Asian central banks, cutting interest rates has become a risky bet not just because of the added price pressure from higher ‌fuel costs, but the risk of triggering capital outflows through worsening terms of trade with the US.

The Reserve Bank of India, for one, expects to focus more on supporting growth by keeping interest rates low, sources have told Reuters. But a rush towards the safe-haven dollar, which is intensifying from the US-Iran war, may force it to ramp up intervention to prop up its weakening currency.

"We don't see a possibility of a near-term rate hike in India - we do not ​see retail fuel prices moving higher immediately," said Suvodeep Rakshit, economist at Mumbai-based Kotak Institutional Equities.

"At this stage, the immediate priority of the central bank will be what happens on FX. ​We expect them to continue intervening to curb volatility there. An afterthought will be the liquidity impact of that intervention and they will infuse liquidity ⁠as needed."

Thailand and the Philippines may be forced to reverse their dovish monetary policy stance, even as rising fuel costs hurt their economies, said Toru Nishihama, chief emerging market economist at Dai-ichi Life ​Research Institute in Tokyo.Market Research Reports

"Many central banks will face a tough decision as they come under pressure from both markets and governments," Nishihama said. "With no clear end in sight to the conflict, the risk of stagflation ​is heightening day by day."

Share markets plunged and the safe-haven US dollar rose in Asia on Monday as oil surged past $110 a barrel, stoking fears of a protracted Middle East war on global energy supplies and higher inflation that may force central banks to hike rates.

The trade-off is particularly acute for manufacturing-heavy economies like South Korea and Japan, which are dependent on global trade, stable markets and cheap raw material costs - all being undermined by the widening Middle ​East crisis.

South Korea's central bank, which kept rates steady in February, could take a more hawkish stance if inflation persistently stays a percentage point above its target, said Citigroup economist Kim Jin-wook.

"For now, ​we continue to believe BoK is unlikely to hike policy rate in response to a higher-than-expected oil price," with government steps to curb fuel prices limiting the pass through of oil moves on inflation, Kim said.

'THINK OF THE ‌UNTHINKABLE'

Developed market ⁠central banks, such as the Federal Reserve, also face a tricky act balancing growth, inflation and increasing political pressure.

The dilemma runs deep for the Bank of Japan. If crude oil prices stay at $110 for a year, that could knock 0.39 of a percentage point off growth, according to Nomura Research Institute, a huge blow to an economy with subdued potential growth of around 0.5 per cent to 1 per cent.Global Economy Insights

But unlike in the past when it could afford to pause rate hikes, the BOJ has less room now to look through price pressures with inflation having exceeded its 2 per cent target for nearly four years.

That means the BOJ will have little ​choice but to repeat its mantra of continued ​rate hikes, while staying mum on the timing ⁠of such a move that could draw the ire of an administration hostile to higher borrowing costs, analysts say.

Australia and New Zealand are typical of how economies in different cycles put policymakers in a difficult bind.

Sustained oil price hikes risk de-anchoring price expectations in Australia, where inflation is already elevated, said ​Jonathan Kearns, chief economist at Challenger who is also a former Reserve Bank of Australia official.

"If inflation expectations increase, which they obviously could in ​this period where we've had ⁠high inflation, that will mean that the Reserve Bank would need to have interest rates higher for longer in order to bring inflation back down."

New Zealand faces a different challenge as the economy has struggled to recover from the hit from past rate hikes.

"We suspect central banks, and the RBNZ in particular, may well have to tolerate higher inflation in the short run to avoid tightening into a slowing global economy," said Jarrod ⁠Kerr, chief ​economist at Kiwibank.

International Monetary Fund Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said on Monday a 10 per cent rise in oil prices, if persistent through ​most of the year, would result in a 40-basis-point increase in global inflation.

"We are seeing resilience tested again by the new conflict in the Middle East," Georgieva said in a symposium in Tokyo. "My advice to policymakers in this new global environment is ​think of the unthinkable and prepare for it."

The price of the US benchmark WTI oil contract topping $100 after the United States launched a military attack against major crude producer Iran is the latest significant swing experienced by the commodity this century.

AFP examines the volatile movements, including when crude surged to record highs close to $150 per barrel in 2008, before turning negative 12 years later during the Covid-19 pandemic.

2022: Russia's invasion of Ukraine

Crude futures last climbed above $100 in February 2022, soon after the invasion of Ukraine by oil and gas producer Russia.

In March of that year, prices approached their 2008 highs, with Brent reaching $139.13 and the main US contract, West Texas Intermediate (WTI), $130.50.

Fears of insufficient oil supplies as Western sanctions against Russia followed -- coupled with increased demand after the Covid-19 pandemic -- kept prices mostly above $100 until the summer of 2022.

Prices went on to fall back largely owing to high supplies.

2020: Covid pandemic

Just two years before surpassing $100 following Russia's invasion, oil prices briefly turned negative following the onset of the coronavirus pandemic that shut offices and factories -- and grounded planes worldwide.

The market also tumbled on scarce storage facilities and a Saudi-Russia price war.

WTI slumped to minus $40.32, meaning that producers paid buyers to take the oil off their hands.

At the same time, Brent tanked to a record low of $15.98.

2012: Iran crude embargo

After falling under $90 over a eurozone economic crisis, oil prices rose back above $100 after Western powers imposed a raft of economic sanctions on Iran, including crude exports, aimed at halting its nuclear programme, long a source of Washington-Tehran tension.

Wider tensions in the Middle East owing to the Syria conflict kept prices almost continuously above $100 until 2014, before sliding under $50 at the start of the following year as a result of American shale oil flooding the market.

2011: Arab Spring

Brent soared to $127 in March 2011 following unrest in the oil-producing Middle East and North Africa region.

The market bounded higher after the so-called Arab Spring uprisings toppled the long-standing leaders of Tunisia, Egypt and Yemen, while unrest also rocked other parts of the region, especially crude producer Libya.

2008: Record-high $147

On July 11, 2008, Brent hit a record high of $147.50 per barrel, having breached $100 at the start of the year for the first time.

The same day, WTI achieved an all-time peak at $147.27 per barrel.

Crude surged thanks to falling stockpiles in the United States, strong Chinese demand and unrest in key OPEC members Iran and Nigeria.

A weaker dollar also lent strong support, making crude priced in the greenback cheaper for buyers holding other currencies.

But by December 2008, Brent had tanked to sit at around $36 owing to a severe economic recession worldwide in the wake of the global financial crisis.

In a bid to curb share manipulation, the Bangladesh Securities and Exchange Commission imposed hefty fines totalling around Tk1,500 crore on influential investors – often described as gamblers – for breaching securities laws, mostly through serial trading, over the past one and a half years under the interim government.

The fines, aimed at restoring market order, were primarily issued between 8 August 2024 and 16 February this year, marking the largest enforcement action in the country's capital market since the regulator was established in 1993.

However, recovery of the fines has reached only about 0.35% – roughly Tk5.23 crore – as many penalised investors have yet to pay, and some have challenged the regulator's decisions, raising questions about the effectiveness of the enforcement drive.

Following the formation of the new government, the Ministry of Finance sought details about the commission's activities. In response, the BSEC submitted a report outlining measures taken during the past 18 months, including enforcement actions against share manipulation.

The current commission, led by former banker Khondoker Rashed Maqsood, was formed after the ousting of former prime minister Sheikh Hasina in August 2024.

After taking office, the commission pledged strict action against market manipulation in an effort to stabilise the capital market.

According to officials, the regulator has taken action against manipulation cases that occurred during the previous administration but were largely overlooked by the then-commission.

Under the rules, fines must be paid within 30 working days after being imposed. Those penalised can appeal to the commission for a review within three months and seek a revision within six months.

Companies linked to manipulation cases

The companies whose shares were manipulated include Karnaphuli Insurance, Paramount Insurance, Global Insurance, BD Finance, Prime Finance First Mutual Fund, Delta Life Insurance, NRB Commercial Bank, Sonali Paper, Fortune Shoes, Fine Foods, Alltex Industries, Khan Brothers PP Woven Bags, Asia Insurance, Sonali Life Insurance, and Gemini Sea Food Limited.

Among the largest penalties was imposed on Beximco Limited, owned by Salman F Rahman, the former private industry and investment adviser to the prime minister. The company and its associated entities – Marjana Rahman and Associates and Mosfequr Rahman and Associates – were fined a combined Tk428 crore for share manipulation.

Abul Khayer, a government cooperative cadre officer, and his associates – including family members and cricketer Shakib Al Hasan – were fined Tk194 crore.

At least 50 other investors were fined Tk351 crore for violating securities laws in transactions involving several insurance sector companies.

In another case, Jashim Uddin, Masudur Rahman, Shikkito Bekar, and their associates were fined Tk5.52 crore for share manipulation. The commission also imposed Tk28.87 crore in penalties for non-payment of dividends.

Abul Kalam, spokesperson for the BSEC, said the penalties were intended to restore discipline in the market.

"The commission has imposed fines to restore discipline in the capital market. Those involved in manipulation have been fined their entire realised gain, minus 10%, to ensure no one can make gains from foul play in the market anymore," he told The Business Standard.

He acknowledged that collecting the fines can take time. "Collecting share manipulation fines is time-consuming. Accused individuals have at least nine months for review and revision, after which legal proceedings can begin. Fine collection is ongoing," he said.

According to the regulator, individuals penalised by the commission are given three months to seek revision and six months to apply for a review after a fine is imposed.

The taka weakened sharply against the US dollar yesterday (8 March), snapping six months of exchange rate stability as demand for greenbacks rose to meet growing energy import bills amid the Middle East war.

In the inter-bank market, the dollar rose by as high as Tk0.25 in a single day to trade between Tk122.50 and Tk122.55 yesterday, compared with Tk122.30 on the last working day on Thursday, according to banking sources.

The sudden rise in the dollar price has raised concerns about further inflationary pressure. Consumer inflation already climbed over 9% in February, the highest level in the past 10 months.

Although the Bangladesh Bank had verbally instructed banks to keep the remittance exchange rate at a maximum of Tk122.45, most banks did not maintain the limit, according to industry insiders.

Energy crisis averted for now as more oil, gas on the way

Bankers say exchange houses had already raised remittance rates, forcing banks to buy more dollars from the market to meet growing energy import bills for the Bangladesh Petroleum Corporation as global oil prices increased following the outbreak of the war.

In addition, remittance inflows from the Gulf countries have slowed since last week due to the ongoing war, further tightening the dollar supply in the market, several bankers said, wishing not to be named.

The Bangladesh Bank is likely to step in to sell dollars to retain rates if banks come up with demand, said a senior executive of the regulator.

He noted that the central bank has already stopped purchasing dollars from banks as a precautionary measure as the foreign exchange market shows signs of stress.

Despite yesterday's rise in the dollar price, no banks approached the regulator to buy dollars, he added.

During the current 2025-26 fiscal year, the central bank purchased about $5.4 billion from the market to prevent excessive appreciation of the taka amid weak import demand caused by sluggish business activity.

Meanwhile, the Reserve Bank of India has also intervened in the market by selling dollars to stem losses in the Indian rupee, which recorded its steepest decline in more than a month, closing above Rs91.47 per dollar in the first week of March, according to media reports.

Recently, the Bangladesh Bank held discussions with economists to assess the potential impact of the war. Experts advised the central bank to allow some exchange rate adjustment in order to protect foreign exchange reserves.

According to the latest data, the country's foreign exchange reserves stood at $30.76 billion on 5 March, calculated under the methodology of the International Monetary Fund, which is sufficient to cover more than four months of import payments.

The government is planning to upgrade Bangladesh's stock market from its current frontier market status to an emerging market in a bid to strengthen the capital market and restore investor confidence, Prime Minister's Adviser on Finance and Planning Rashed Al Mahmud Titumir has said.

He said the government's immediate priority is to deepen and broaden the capital market while increasing participation from ordinary citizens so that more people can take part in economic activities not only as consumers but also as owners.

Titumir made the remarks at a discussion titled "Challenges and Way Forward for the New Government in the Capital Market," organised by the Capital Market Journalists Forum (CMJF) at Fars Hotel in Dhaka yesterday.

Bangladesh's equity market is currently classified as a frontier market by major global index providers, a category generally used for smaller or less liquid markets that are still developing and have not yet reached the scale and accessibility of emerging markets.

Speaking at the event, Titumir said structural reforms are essential to transform the capital market and achieve the government's long-term goals.

According to him, the market has long suffered from stagnation due to persistent problems such as manipulation, lack of transparency and weaknesses in the regulatory framework.

"If the market itself does not function properly, external oversight alone cannot solve the problem," he said, stressing the need for greater accountability among institutions responsible for maintaining market discipline.

The adviser noted that auditors, asset valuers and credit rating agencies play a critical role in ensuring transparency in the financial system. If these institutions fail to perform their responsibilities properly, investor confidence in the capital market will continue to decline, he added.

Titumir also emphasised the need for a clear financing structure in the economy. Policymakers, he said, must determine which companies should rely on bank loans and which should raise long-term funds from the capital market.

He further suggested that the government could finance large public infrastructure projects through bonds rather than relying solely on budgetary allocations.

Highlighting the need for diversification of financial instruments, the adviser said Bangladesh should gradually move toward a bond-based financing system and develop new products in the capital market.

He also proposed establishing an Islamic stock exchange in the country to attract investors from Indonesia, Malaysia and Gulf countries, alongside creating an investment gateway for non-resident Bangladeshis.

Titumir said an economy driven mainly by consumption or borrowing cannot be sustainable in the long run. "We want to move from a debt-dependent society to an ownership-based society," he said, noting that the capital market could serve as an important platform for economic democratisation.

At the event, Bangladesh Securities and Exchange Commission (BSEC) Chairman Khandoker Rashed Maqsood said the regulator has conducted around 200 investigations and imposed fines amounting to nearly Tk1,500 crore as part of recent reforms in the market.

National Board of Revenue Chairman Abdur Rahman Khan said incentives provided to the capital market in the past did not produce the expected outcomes. He stressed the need to address negative perceptions about the market while ensuring sustainable revenue collection.

Market stakeholders also highlighted structural challenges in the financial system. Md Moniruzzaman, managing director of Prime Bank Securities, said Bangladesh faces three major problems: liquidity shortages in the capital market, pressure on the banking sector and low tax collection.

Dhaka Stock Exchange Chairman Mominul Islam emphasised the need for coordination among ministries to bring more state-owned institutions to the market.

Chittagong Stock Exchange Chairman AKM Habibur Rahman said a strong capital market requires a stable banking system, a stable economy and the rule of law.

Bangladesh Association of Publicly Listed Companies President Riyad Mahmud called for greater digitalisation and said high listing fees are discouraging companies from launching initial public offerings.

Bangladesh Merchant Bankers Association Secretary General Sumit Poddar said no new companies have entered the market in the past two years, stressing the importance of attracting a few high-quality firms during IPO seasons rather than focusing on the number of listings.

Fuel reserves in Bangladesh have increased with the arrival of two fuel-laden ships, but the government will continue rationing supplies due to uncertainty surrounding the ongoing war, Power, Energy and Mineral Resources Minister Iqbal Hassan Mahmood Tuku said today (8 March).

"Once these two ships deliver fuel, our reserves will increase further," he said while speaking at a discussion programme at the Jatiya Press Club.

The minister said rising reserves do not mean fuel can be used in an uncontrolled manner. "We will continue rationing for as long as the war continues."

Explaining the need for rationing, Tuku said the duration of the war remains uncertain and the government wants to use the existing reserves carefully.

"We do not know when the war will end. That is why we have asked people to use fuel sparingly and introduced rationing so that the reserves last longer. If we consume everything at once, the reserves will quickly run out. But if we manage consumption properly, we will be able to continue for a longer time," he added.

Tuku also said rumours are being spread that the government may increase electricity and fuel prices due to the war.

"I want to assure people that we are not increasing power prices for now," he said.

The minister urged people not to panic or stockpile fuel out of fear of a price hike.

"There is no shortage of fuel, but rationing must continue. We do not know when the war will end, and people should understand that," he added.

The minister also urged BNP leaders and activists, as well as the public, to remain vigilant so that fuel is not smuggled or sold on the black market.

Referring to the condition of the power sector under the previous government, Tuku said the current administration inherited a fragile and debt-ridden system with outstanding dues of around Tk76,000 crore.

"Despite the challenges, we have managed to keep the system stable so far, and we hope it will remain stable in the future," he said.

Oil prices surged about 20% on Monday (9 March), hitting their highest since July 2022, as the expanding US-Israeli war with Iran ‌led some major Middle Eastern oil producers to cut supplies and on fears of prolonged disruption to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz chokepoint.

Iraq and Kuwait have begun cutting oil output, adding to earlier liquefied natural gas reductions from Qatar, as the war blocked shipments from the Middle East.

Analysts predict the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia will have to also cut output ​soon as they run out of oil storage.

The war could leave consumers and businesses worldwide facing weeks or months of higher fuel prices even ​if the week-old conflict ends quickly, as suppliers grapple with damaged facilities, disrupted logistics and elevated risks to shipping.

Brent crude futures ⁠rose as much as $18.35, or 19.8%, to $111.04 a barrel and were up $15.24, or 16.4%, at $107.93 as of 0014 GMT on Monday.

US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were ​up $16.50, or 18.2%, at $107.40 a barrel, after rising as much as $20.34, or 22.4%, to $111.24 earlier in the session.

Brent climbed 27% and WTI rose 35.6% last week, before ​the latest jumps.

"I think prices have rallied this morning on the reports that Middle East producers are now reducing output due to storage facilities filling up fast," said Daniel Hynes, senior commodity strategist at ANZ.

"The next flag will be whether it eventually gets to a point where they have to start shutting in oil wells, which not only impacts output even further, it ​delays a response once the conflict eases as well. That would potentially sustain those prices for much longer," Hynes added.

Iraqi oil production from its main southern oilfields ​has fallen by 70% to just 1.3 million barrels per day as the country is unable to export oil via the Strait of Hormuz due to the Iran war, three industry ‌sources said ⁠on Sunday. Crude storage has reached maximum capacity, said an official with the state-run Basra Oil Company.

Kuwait Petroleum Corporation began cutting oil output on Saturday and declared force majeure on shipments, though it did not say how much production it would shut.

Iran's attacks on oil infrastructure across the region have continued. Fujairah Media Office said fire broke out in the UAE's Fujairah oil industry zone resulting from debris falling, with no injuries reported. Saudi Arabia's Defence Ministry said on X it intercepted a drone heading to ​the Shaybah oilfield.

New leader

Iran on Monday named Mojtaba ​Khamenei to succeed his father Ali ⁠Khamenei as Supreme Leader, signalling that hardliners remain firmly in charge in Tehran a week into its conflict with the United States and Israel.

"With the appointment of the late leader's son as Iran's new leader, US President Donald Trump's goal of ​regime change in Iran has become more difficult," said Satoru Yoshida, a commodity analyst with Rakuten Securities.

"That view accelerated buying, ​as Iran is expected ⁠to continue its closure of the Strait of Hormuz and attacks on other oil-producing nations' facilities, as seen last week," he said, predicting WTI could rise to $120 and then $130 a barrel in a relatively short period.

Israel's military has threatened to kill any replacement for Khamenei, while Trump said the war might only end once Iran's military and rulers had ⁠been wiped ​out.

Meanwhile, as oil prices surged, US Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer called on Trump to release ​oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve.

"President Trump should release oil from the SPR now to stabilise markets, bring prices down, and stop the price shock that American families are already feeling thanks to his ​reckless war," Schumer said in a statement.

The government has issued a fresh circular to appoint a managing director (MD) for state-owned Sammilito Islami Bank after the previously selected candidate declined to take the position.

The Financial Institutions Division of the Ministry of Finance published the new recruitment notice today (8 March), inviting applications from qualified and experienced candidates.

In February, Nabil Mustafizur Rahman, additional managing director of United Commercial Bank (UCB) PLC, was appointed as the MD of Sammilito Islami Bank.

However, he later expressed his inability to assume the role citing "physical illness," a reliable Bangladesh Bank source confirmed the matter to The Business Standard.

As he did not join the post, the authorities have issued a fresh recruitment notice for the position.

According to the circular, the selected candidate will initially be appointed on a three-year contractual basis, with the possibility of renewal based on satisfactory performance.

Applicants must have at least 20 years of experience in the banking sector. They must also have served either as the chief executive officer of a bank or held a position directly below the CEO for at least two years.

Candidates are required to have expertise in Islamic banking operations, Shariah governance, Islamic accounting systems, profit distribution mechanisms, and Islamic risk management. Experience in digital banking, organisational transformation, or bank mergers will be considered an added qualification.
Nabil Mustafizur Rahman appointed first MD of Sammilito Islami Bank

Applicants must be between 45 and 60 years of age at the time of the circular's publication and must not be loan defaulters.

The appointed MD will oversee all operations of the bank, including corporate, SME, retail, treasury, agriculture, international trade, and digital banking. The role will also involve developing Shariah-based banking products, strengthening risk management, and coordinating organisational integration following the bank merger.

Applications will initially be screened based on qualifications, after which shortlisted candidates will be invited for interviews. Final appointment will require background verification and approval under Bangladesh Bank's "fit and proper" criteria.

Interested candidates must submit their CV, cover letter, attested copies of academic and professional certificates, a copy of their national ID card, and a passport-size photograph. Applications must be sent in a sealed envelope addressed to the Secretary of the Financial Institutions Division at the Bangladesh Secretariat in Dhaka, along with a PDF copy sent via email.

The deadline for submitting applications is 25 March by 5pm.

Sammilito Islami Bank PLC was formed as a new state-owned bank through the merger of five weak Islamic banks – EXIM Bank, Social Islami Bank, First Security Islami Bank, Global Islami Bank, and Union Bank.

The bank's paid-up capital has been set at Tk35,000 crore, of which the government will contribute Tk20,000 crore and Tk15,000 crore will come from depositors' shares. Its authorised capital has been fixed at Tk40,000 crore.