Beximco Limited paid monthly profits to bond investors from the capital it had raised by offering high returns, rather than from business income, company officials have said.

With most of the raised funds used to repay loans and cover profit payouts, the company is now struggling to continue payments as the money has run out.

The company had assured investors a 15% return under the slogan "At the highest rate, above all", promising Tk1,250 per month for every Tk1 lakh invested. Investors were told that profits would be transferred to their bank accounts at the end of each month.

According to company sources, Beximco requires around Tk6 crore per month to pay interest against the bond capital.

However, since October last year, profit payments have become irregular. The profit for November was paid one week before the February national election, but payments for December and January are overdue.

In May 2024, the Bangladesh Securities and Exchange Commission (BSEC) approved Beximco Limited's issuance of bonds worth Tk1,500 crore to repay its own loans and to provide Tk1,000 crore in loans to Sreepur Township Company, a Beximco Group entity, for investment in real estate projects.

Sandhani Life Insurance Company Limited acted as trustee of the "Beximco 1st Unsecured Zero Coupon Bond".

However, according to Md Mizanur Rahman, company secretary of Sandhani Life Insurance, Beximco was able to raise only Tk541 crore out of the approved Tk1,500 crore. Of that amount, Tk500 crore was used to repay loans.

Beximco's Chief Financial Officer Md Luthfor Rahman said the remaining funds were kept in the company's account and used to pay monthly profits to investors.

He said as the factories are closed and bank accounts were frozen during the interim government, the company currently has no income of its own. As a result, a crisis has emerged in paying profits.

Mizanur Rahman said a meeting was held with Beximco before the election where the issuer assured that all outstanding profits would be paid.

He said that, to his knowledge, profits have been paid up to December and that the company has assured payment for January or the current month of February.

Individual investors have expressed concern.

Shipra Rani, an investor from Narsingdi, invested Tk60 lakh in the bond after selling land. She initially received profits regularly but is no longer receiving payments on time.

Her family told TBS that they depended on the monthly profit and are now facing uncertainty.

Another investor who invested Tk50 lakh said he is anxious about whether he will recover his principal investment at maturity.

Following the fall of the Awami League government, subscription to the bond declined sharply.

Institutional investors who had earlier expressed interest reportedly withdrew.

An official of Beximco, speaking on condition of anonymity, said the company had previously paid more than Tk100 crore per month in salaries and allowances but is now unable to pay investors' profits.

He said several thousand workers have been laid off and that many senior officials have not received salaries and allowances for over a year.

Although there were plans to provide Tk1,000 crore in loans to Sreepur Township, it is learnt that the loan was not provided from this bond. Sreepur Township had earlier undertaken the Mayanagar housing project in Gazipur.

Kaisar Ahmed, company secretary of Sreepur Township, said that after the change of government in August 2024, vandalism took place in the project area and work has not resumed fully.

He said machinery and equipment security remain a concern, although project activities are continuing.

He added that interest payments on the Tk1,000 crore bond raised earlier for the project are ongoing and there are no arrears.

Between 2021 and 2023, Beximco Group raised nearly Tk4,000 crore through two other bonds, including a Tk3,000 crore Sukuk bond in 2021 to finance solar power plants and expand its textile division.

The Bangladesh Bank has raised the maximum credit card limit from Tk25 lakh to Tk40 lakh in a move aimed at strengthening the country's digital payment ecosystem and meeting the growing demand of consumers.

The central bank issued a comprehensive set of guidelines in this regard today (15 March), which will take immediate effect for all scheduled banks and authorised card issuers.

According to the directive, the decision comes amid rapid growth in credit card usage, driven by technological advancement and increasing consumer preference for convenient digital transactions.

Exercising powers under Section 45 of the Bank Company Act, 1991, the central bank introduced the updated framework to ensure a more transparent and secure cashless payment ecosystem while safeguarding consumer rights.

Under the new guidelines, banks will be required to follow stricter risk assessment protocols to encourage responsible lending and prevent potential financial instability.

The framework also introduces revised mechanisms for handling customer complaints, card-related irregularities, and transaction disputes in order to ensure a safer digital environment.

In addition, all card issuers must comply with enhanced security measures for electronic Point of Sale (POS) systems and online transactions.

The central bank said that the expansion of electronic payment infrastructure and various incentive programmes has made it necessary to establish a more robust regulatory mechanism.

"To ensure that this growth contributes positively to financial stability and consumer confidence, it is imperative to establish a comprehensive and updated regulatory framework," the central bank said in its directive.

The policy is expected to boost consumer confidence and streamline the national payment system by making credit card services more fair, compliant and customer-centric, it added.

Loan limits against cards

The central bank has also raised the limits on loans against credit cards. Unsecured loans can now reach Tk20 lakh, up from Tk10 lakh, while secured loans have been increased to Tk40 lakh from Tk25 lakh.

Loan limits are based on the bank deposit linked to the card, providing secure collateral. Cardholders can also withdraw up to 50% of their total credit limit in cash.

Interest rates and charges

The policy sets the maximum interest rate on credit card loans at 25%, applied only to the outstanding balance, not the total billed amount. While interest-free facilities are available for purchases, cash withdrawals will not benefit from such concessions.

Late payment fees can only be applied once, and any changes in interest rates or other charges must be communicated to cardholders at least 30 days in advance, either in writing or electronically.

Consumer protection

Applicants must be at least 18 years old to obtain a credit card. Students aged 16 and above who are dependent on a primary cardholder may use supplementary cards.

Applicants must also provide a valid e-TIN certificate and a clear CIB report.

To prevent harassment and protect consumers, the policy specifies that banks and recovery agents cannot subject cardholders to mental or physical intimidation. The privacy of cardholders' families, friends, or references must also be respected.

Collection calls or in-person contacts are restricted to office hours. A 24-hour helpline must be available to promptly block lost or stolen cards.

The National Board of Revenue is set to remove restrictions preventing non-bonded exporters from sourcing raw materials locally through back-to-back letters of credit (LCs), a move expected to ease exports and improve access to inputs for hundreds of garment factories.

NBR Chairman Abdur Rahman Khan confirmed to The Business Standard that the board is actively working to remove these barriers.

"We are working to remove existing barriers preventing non-bonded exporters from sourcing raw materials from deemed exporters operating under bonded facilities," he said.

Officials at the revenue authority say an order on the matter may be issued soon after the necessary legal changes are completed.

Infograph: TBS
Infograph: TBS

A senior official of the NBR's VAT division, speaking on condition of anonymity, said a summary seeking approval from the finance ministry has already been prepared as part of the legal amendment process.

Once approved, the VAT Policy Division will issue a formal order, based on which the Customs Bond Wing will publish a separate order outlining the conditions under which the facility will operate.

If implemented, the measure is expected to benefit more than 1,100 ready-made garment exporters that currently operate without bonded licences but rely on locally sourced inputs for exports.

According to the Bangladesh Garment Manufacturers and Exporters Association, these factories export garments worth around $6.5 billion annually and employ nearly seven lakh workers.

Responding to concerns about possible irregularities once the facility is allowed, the NBR chairman said automation and integration of data systems would help reduce misuse.

"We are moving towards automation. With integration among relevant institutions, it will be possible to collect information and monitor activities, which will reduce the scope for irregularities," he said.

A long-standing bottleneck

Garment industry leaders have been lobbying the NBR for several years to resolve the issue.

When asked why these complexities had not been resolved sooner, a senior official from the NBR Customs Wing said, "It is relatively straightforward to identify irregularities when bond-licensed firms trade raw materials amongst themselves without exporting or by committing other breaches.

However, he said, detecting such issues when they supply raw materials to non-bonded institutions is difficult under the current system.

The official added, "This arrangement has persisted primarily due to a lack of capacity within Customs to detect these specific irregularities."

After the ouster of the government led by Sheikh Hasina in August 2024, the BGMEA raised the matter again. In a letter sent to the NBR on 30 November 2024, the association warned that more than a hundred factories had already shut down due to their inability to open back-to-back LCs or procure raw materials and accessories from bonded companies.

"The remaining factories are also losing capacity and are on the verge of closure," the letter read.

Exporters believe that the proposed decision will mark a significant step towards improving the ease of doing business in Bangladesh.

Md Shehab Udduza Chowdhury, vice president of BGMEA – who has been liaising with the NBR on behalf of the association for the past year to resolve this issue – welcomed the new initiative.

He said, "Discussions on this matter began back in 2021. Multiple committees were formed to solve the problem, yet no progress was made. Although the NBR took action after our letter 11 months ago, the process eventually stalled.

"It was only during a meeting two weeks ago that a final decision was reached."

Shehab added, "The question remains: if this could be resolved now, why did it take so long? Action should also be taken against those responsible for obstructing the process for so long."

Obstacles faced by non-bonded exporters

Under existing regulations, exporters holding bonded licences can collect yarn, fabrics or accessories from other bonded companies through back-to-back LCs against their master LCs. However, factories without bonded licences are not allowed to use this facility.

Exporters say banks often hesitate to open such LCs for non-bonded companies due to concerns over potential legal complications with the NBR.

As a result, many small exporters are forced to purchase raw materials and accessories in cash from the local market, often at higher prices.

During export procedures, customs authorities frequently ask for proof that VAT has been paid on those inputs. In addition, factories face further complications during annual VAT audits.

Consequently, non-bonded exporters often incur additional costs both in sourcing materials and in dealing with customs and VAT procedures, leaving them at a competitive disadvantage.

RL Apparels Limited, a knitwear exporter based in Badda in the capital, is one such company struggling under the current system.

Its Managing Director Md Rokonuzzaman told this newspaper that banks refuse to open back-to-back LCs due to the lack of permission under existing rules.

"As a result, we have to purchase raw materials and accessories from the open market in cash at higher prices," he said. "This increases our costs, and we also face difficulties during export clearance at ports and during VAT inspections."

According to him, the factory's workforce has already fallen from 160 to about 100 workers due to these challenges.

Rokonuzzaman noted that exporters of sweaters and woven garments without bonded licences face the most difficulties.

However, he said the removal of the restriction would significantly ease business operations for such factories.

Why exporters avoid bonded licences

Entrepreneurs say obtaining a bonded warehouse licence is often difficult for small and medium-scale exporters.

According to Rokonuzzaman, applicants must meet several strict conditions, including maintaining a specific warehouse size, having wide access roads nearby and holding paid-up capital of at least Tk1 crore.

"Even if these conditions are met, applicants often have to wait months or even years after submitting their application," he said.

Beyond these requirements, entrepreneurs have also alleged corruption in the process.

One garment exporter, requesting anonymity, said he had once planned to apply for a bonded warehouse licence but later learned that obtaining it would require paying around Tk30 lakh in bribes at different stages.

"If the bribe is paid, whether the conditions are actually met becomes less of a concern," he alleged.

According to NBR data, around 6,000 factories across sectors, including garments and plastics, currently enjoy duty-free raw material sourcing under the bonded warehouse facility.

Data from the Export Promotion Bureau shows that Bangladesh exports around 87 types of manufactured goods. In the 2024-25 fiscal year, total exports of manufactured goods amounted to about $48 billion, with more than 80% coming from the ready-made garment sector.

Tackling irregularities through automation

Officials said one of the key reasons the government had previously been reluctant to extend this facility was the risk that duty-free raw materials might be diverted to the domestic market instead of being used for exports, which could result in revenue losses and create unfair competition for regular importers.

However, NBR officials now believe the risk can be mitigated through digital monitoring systems.

A senior official said several government processes have already moved online, including the e-VAT system and the Customs Bond Management System.

These systems will be integrated enabling data sharing among customs, VAT authorities, banks and other relevant institutions.

"With online data sharing among the relevant institutions, it will become easier to track whether non-bonded companies are purchasing raw materials from bonded companies and whether those inputs are ultimately used for exports," the official said.

He added that such integration would significantly reduce the chances of false export declarations or misuse of duty-free inputs.

A prolonged US-Israel war on Iran could reduce Bangladesh’s gross domestic product (GDP) by as much as 3 percent over the next two years, according to a new policy analysis by the South Asian Network on Economic Modeling (Sanem).

The study says that Bangladesh’s heavy reliance on imported energy, remittances from Gulf countries, and global trade networks leaves the economy exposed to geopolitical shocks in the Middle East.

“Real wages could come under pressure and export growth would likely slow,” the report said.

The study was conducted by using the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) computable general equilibrium model, a widely used analytical framework for assessing global trade and policy shocks.

Researchers modelled three scenarios to estimate the potential damage.

The first assumed a sharp rise in global energy prices, with crude oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) prices climbing around 40 percent and 50 percent, respectively, if the conflict disrupts production or transport routes.

Higher fuel costs would push up domestic electricity generation costs, manufacturing expenses and consumer prices. Under such a situation, Bangladesh’s GDP is likely to decline by 1.2 percent, according to the paper.

“This contraction mirrors how central energy is to production and transportation throughout the economy. High fuel prices set off a chain reaction across industries, pushing production costs higher,” it said.

The second scenario examined disruptions to international trade and shipping routes, estimating a 25 percent rise in freight costs due to higher fuel prices and increased insurance premiums for vessels in high-risk maritime zones.

In this scenario, there could also be a 5 percent drop in export demand to the European and American markets. These shocks would altogether cause a 1.4 percent GDP decline, said the study.

The paper said Bangladesh’s export sectors are very sensitive to transport costs and delivery reliability.

“When exports shrink, the related backward linkages, such as textiles, logistics, and supporting services, decline. The economy, therefore, experiences a slowdown that spreads gradually through multiple layers of the production network.”

The third scenario combined several shocks at once, including a 10 percent fall in remittance inflows from Gulf countries, reflecting possible economic disruptions in the nations where millions of Bangladeshi workers are employed.

The combined shock scenario produces the largest effect, including a roughly 3 percent decline in GDP, said the paper.

Prof Selim Raihan, executive director of Sanem and author of the study, said these pressures combined could trigger moderate to significant economic stress in the short to medium term.

“This result is not surprising,” he said. “The effects reinforce each other when multiple external pressures come at the same time. Higher fuel prices raise production costs. Trade disruptions weaken export demand. At the same time, declining remittance inflows lower household income and consumption.”

“These forces work together, impacting the supply and demand sides of the economy. This is because rising costs and a weakening market mean firms cut back production. Households struggle with lower purchasing power and tighten their belts. The interaction between these changes generates a deeper slowdown than any of the shocks would create on their own.”

The paper said Bangladesh’s exports may decline by about 2 percent in the case of an energy price shock. This is because industries’ higher production costs can make Bangladeshi goods a little less competitive in international markets.

“This decline gets even larger when introducing trade disruptions. In the shipping disruption scenario, exports would shrink by about 3.4 percent. Freight costs and the uncertainty of logistics are significant here.”

In the combined scenario, however, that pressure is multiplied. Exports drop by nearly 6 percent, a sign of the cumulative effect of rising costs, reduced demand, and shipping disruptions, it added.

The report said Bangladesh’s export-oriented garments sector stands out as one of the most vulnerable sectors in both of the simulations. Its output may decline as much as 4.5 percent.

But the transport and logistics sector would be the worst hit, by as much as 5 percent, energy-intensive manufacturing 4 percent, and agriculture 1.5 percent, according to the findings.

Prof Raihan said in the case of a prolonged war, the effect could be felt in around two years. “In fact, the impact can be larger if the situation gets worse,” he said.

The paper said Bangladesh’s development model has relied on export-led manufacturing and overseas employment, but that same integration exposes it to external shocks when geopolitical crises erupt elsewhere.

The study recommends diversifying energy sources, improving trade logistics infrastructure, expanding export markets and broadening strategies for overseas employment.

Credit growth to the private sector has been staying around 6 percent as businesses continue to be shy about taking on fresh projects amid economic uncertainty.

In January, banks’ credit to the private sector grew by 6.03 percent, the lowest in at least five years. This makes it the eighth straight month of below 7 percent growth in credit demand.

The ongoing US-Israel war on Iran has already made oil and gas prices volatile and created fears of a ripple effect on the global economy and of stoking inflation. This has dampened the prospect of a sharp recovery in private sector credit demand and the much-needed spike in fresh investment.

“The Middle East crisis has made things volatile. It appears that the situation is not conducive. Under such circumstances, it is uncertain whether anyone would consider making fresh investments,” said Mati Ul Hasan, managing director of Mercantile Bank PLC.

Since the launch of US-Israel attacks on Iran in February, oil prices have soared. They hit nearly $120 per barrel last week as Iran effectively blocked the Strait of Hormuz, a key maritime chokepoint through which one-fifth of the world’s oil travels.

The price of Brent crude, the benchmark international oil contract, briefly dipped below $100 on Friday. It closed at $103.14 per barrel, and has soared by more than 42 percent since the start of the conflict, according to an AFP report.

Like other economies, the spike in oil prices, a key commodity, has also created concerns here, as Bangladesh meets 95 percent of its oil and 30 percent of its gas through imports.

The South Asian country imports over 60 percent of its crude oil from Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Oman, Kuwait and Iraq. For liquefied natural gas, the country imports most of the energy from Qatar.

Worries have also increased because of the spike in shipping costs following the escalating war.

Hasan said the impact of the war has been visible in the foreign currency market. The taka has weakened against the US dollar.

“Our existing clients are worried about the risk of higher import costs,” he said.

“Businesses are in a stressful situation. They do not have the mindset to go for fresh investment now. They are likely to wait to see where things settle down.”

Bangladesh’s private investment fell for the third consecutive year, reaching 22.03 percent of gross domestic product (GDP) in the fiscal year 2024-25, the lowest level in 11 years.

The consistent slowdown in credit demand in the private sector means investment will remain subdued, the much-needed boost to the economy will be delayed, and there will be fewer jobs than required in the country.

Ashikur Rahman, principal economist at the Policy Research Institute (PRI) of Bangladesh, said that in periods surrounding national elections, it is quite common for entrepreneurs to delay major investment decisions until there is greater clarity regarding the political and policy environment.

As a result, demand for credit from the private sector tends to remain subdued. At the same time, banks have also become more cautious in extending loans because of concerns about asset quality and the broader macroeconomic environment, he said.

“Restoring confidence through political stability and credible economic reforms will therefore be critical for reviving private sector credit demand,” he said. However, the emerging geopolitical tensions have added another layer of risk to the macroeconomic outlook.

“Any escalation in the conflict in the Middle East could push up global oil prices and disrupt energy markets. For an energy-importing country like Bangladesh, this would increase the import bill, put pressure on the balance of payments, and complicate inflation management,” he added.

Bangladesh Bank Governor Md Mostaqur Rahman has invited the World Bank to expand its engagement in supporting Bangladesh's financial sector development and broader economic growth.

The call came during a meeting with a high-level World Bank delegation at the central bank's head office on Sunday (15 March).

The delegation was led by John Zutt, regional vice president of the World Bank, and included Jean Pesme, division director for Bangladesh and Bhutan; Imad Najib Ayed Fakhoury, director at the International Finance Corporation; Gayle H Martin, operations manager for Bangladesh and Bhutan; Wilfred Tamegon, manager at the International Finance Corporation; and Mehrin A Mahbub, senior external affairs officer.

Deputy governors Md Habibur Rahman and Md Kabir Ahmed, along with other senior officials of Bangladesh Bank, were also present at the meeting.

During the meeting, both sides discussed ongoing projects supported by the World Bank in Bangladesh and explored opportunities to strengthen future cooperation, particularly in the financial sector.

Governor Mostaqur Rahman reaffirmed the central bank's commitment to ensuring the successful implementation of the projects. He also appreciated the World Bank's continued support for Bangladesh's development initiatives.

The World Bank delegation expressed strong interest in maintaining close cooperation with Bangladesh and highlighted the importance of a constructive partnership in supporting the country's development priorities.

The meeting also included discussions on Bangladesh's overall economic outlook and future development prospects.

Remittance inflows have increased by 35.7% in the first half of March, ahead of Eid, with expatriate Bangladeshis sending $2.20 billion in the first 14 days of the month.

During the same period in 2025, remittances stood at $1.62 billion, confirmed the central bank's spokesperson and Executive Director Arief Hossain Khan today (15 March).

A senior official of a private bank told The Business Standard that the rise in remittances is mainly due to the upcoming Eid festival, as expatriates typically send more money home during this period.

However, he noted that the flow may slow down after Eid, which is a usual trend.

He also warned that the ongoing Iran-Israel conflict could affect remittance inflows from the Middle East after Eid. If migrant workers in the region face disruptions in their jobs due to the conflict, remittance sent through banking channels may decline.

A deputy managing director of another private bank said expatriates were receiving between Tk121.70 and Tk121.75 per dollar today, while LC settlements were made at Tk121.20 per dollar.

The Middle East conflict escalated on 28 February this year when Israel and the United States jointly attacked Iran. In response, Iran has launched a series of missile strikes targeting Israel and countries in the Arab region that host US military bases.

Iran has also restricted vessel movements through the Strait of Hormuz without its approval, contributing to a rise in global fuel prices.

Meanwhile, economists recently held a meeting with newly appointed Bangladesh Bank governor last week. According to sources at the meeting, the central bank signalled that it would try to maintain foreign exchange reserves.

This has created a market signal that prompted banks to buy remittance dollars at higher rates.

A senior official of a private bank said that if new investments increase in the coming months, demand for opening letters of credit (LCs) will rise, which would in turn push up demand for dollars in the banking sector. As a result, banks are currently purchasing remittance dollars at higher rates.

Bangladeshi apparels are fetching over 10 percent higher prices in European markets on average compared to the United States, even for similar products, according to a recent study by the Research and Policy Integration for Development (RAPID).

The study, unveiled yesterday by the local think tank in Dhaka, links the price gap to differences in tariff structures and trade preferences, with exporters benefiting from lower tariffs in Europe while facing higher barriers in the US.

RAPID said the research was based on transaction data from nearly 3,000 exporting firms collected by the customs department of the National Board of Revenue between 2010 and 2023.

It found that about 45 percent of these garment factories export to both the US and EU markets. For major products, prices in the EU consistently exceed those in the US.

On average, leading exporters fetch 5-18 percent higher prices in the EU than the US for major 10 apparel products, it states. T-shirts, for instance, earn 20-27 percent higher prices in Germany than in the US, while trousers fetch 9-15 percent more.

Presenting the findings, Jillur Rahman, deputy director at RAPID and lecturer in development studies at Dhaka University, said, “The gap remains significant even after accounting for product type, firm size, and technological intensity.”

He also highlighted differences in pricing strategies across preferential and non-preferential markets.

“High US tariffs compel exporters to absorb a significant share of the tax burden within their own margins to remain competitive at the border,” Rahman noted.

“The findings are particularly important as Bangladesh prepares to graduate from the least developed country (LDC) category,” he added.

Currently, duty-free access to the EU helps exporters secure better prices. But once Bangladesh graduates, some of these trade preferences may gradually erode, he said.

“The industry will need to strengthen competitiveness by improving product quality, diversifying into higher-value apparel segments and enhancing technological capabilities,” he noted.

Without such upgrades, he said exporters may face growing pressure on prices and margins in global markets, especially in destinations where Bangladesh lacks preferential trade access.

Abdur Rahim Khan, additional secretary of the Ministry of Commerce, said in the past 50 years, the country has failed to develop alternative markets or product competition, and now needed export-driven investment

“If we graduate from LDC status without proper preparation and preferential market access, it will deal a major blow to both the country’s economy and social structure,” he added.

Doulot Akter Mala, president of the Economic Reporters Forum, added, “The biggest problem of our ready-made garments industry is that we have put all our eggs in one basket. Lack of diversification in products and markets makes us vulnerable whenever instability arises in the US or European markets.”

Md Hafizur Rahman, adviser on trade policy and trade facilitation at the World Bank, said, “Bangladesh needs to move from being a low-cost or low-price brand to a high-price brand. This will increase pricing power and competitiveness in international markets.”

Bangladesh's construction materials market is facing rising prices, with the cost of key inputs such as steel rods and cement increasing sharply in recent days.

Over the past 10 days, steel rod prices have risen by up to Tk10,000 per tonne, while cement prices have increased by Tk20-25 per bag, according to market data.

Industry players say higher import costs – particularly for scrap and freight – driven partly by tensions in the Middle East, along with a gradual increase in construction activity after the national election are pushing prices upward.

Rod prices climb sharply

According to market sources, 75-grade mild steel rods are selling at Tk90,000 to Tk95,000 per tonne at the mill gate level. Ten days earlier, the same grade was priced between Tk80,000 and Tk83,000 per tonne.

Among major brands, BSRM rods are selling at around Tk95,000 per tonne, KSRM at Tk91,000, GPH at Tk92,000 and AKS at about Tk92,500.

Steel, rod get costlier

Prices of 60-grade rods have also risen significantly. They have increased by around Tk9,000 per tonne within 10 days and are now selling between Tk87,000 and Tk88,500.

Brands such as HM Steel, BSL and ZSRM are selling at around Tk89,000 per tonne, while Al-Aksa, Montaha, Kadamtali, DSRM and JSRM are priced around Tk88,000. Fresh, IRML and HKG rods are selling at approximately Tk87,000 per tonne.

The four dominant brands in the local market – BSRM, Abul Khair Steel (AKS), GPH and KSRM – have all raised prices significantly since tensions escalated in the Middle East.

Before the conflict, their rods were priced between Tk81,000 and Tk85,000 per tonne. Most of these brands have since increased prices by roughly Tk8,000 to Tk10,000 per tonne, while medium-range brands have also raised prices significantly over the same period.

Sudip Ghose, owner of Prime Steel, a rod dealer in Chattogram's Madarbari area, said prices began rising soon after tensions escalated in the Middle East.

"Large brands have raised rod prices by about Tk10,000 per tonne in the past 10 days," he said.

Cement prices also rise

Cement prices have also increased after remaining largely stable for months.

Mohammad Shahjahan, an agent of Confidence Cement's Rajmistri Green brand, said almost all cement brands raised prices by Tk20-25 per bag within the past three days.

Market sources say Ruby Cement is selling at around Tk520 per bag, while Confidence and Diamond brands are priced at Tk500. Royal Cement is selling at Tk495, Seven Rings at Tk490, Rajmistri at Tk480 and Premier Cement at Tk475.

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Industry officials say cement producers were forced to sell below production cost for nearly a year and a half due to weak demand in the construction sector.

Mohammad Amirul Haque, managing director of Premier Cement Mills PLC and president of the Bangladesh Cement Manufacturers Association (BCMA), said the latest price adjustments have helped partially align market prices with production costs.

"For nearly one and a half years, we had to sell cement below production cost because of the stagnant market," he said. "The recent increase has allowed some commercial adjustment between costs and selling prices."

Raw material and freight costs behind the hike

Industry leaders attribute the recent price increases to a combination of stronger domestic demand and rising import costs.

Bangladesh depends heavily on imported raw materials for both steel and cement production. The Middle East conflict has pushed up global fuel prices, which in turn raised shipping costs.

As a result, the cost of importing steel scrap – the primary raw material for rod manufacturing – and clinker, the key ingredient for cement, has increased.

Iran says ceasefire depends on US and Israel promising no future attacks

BCMA President Amirul Haque said clinker booking prices in the international market have risen significantly.

"Import costs have increased due to higher freight costs, so we had to adjust cement prices accordingly," he said.

Scrap prices and supply pressure

Steel producers say global scrap prices have also increased sharply.

The cost of imported scrap has risen by about $50 per tonne, or roughly Tk6,000. Although shipments at the higher prices have not yet reached Bangladesh, the impact is already visible in the domestic market.

Prices of scrap from Bangladesh's shipbreaking industry – another major source of raw materials – have climbed by around Tk3,000 per tonne, reaching about Tk58,000, according to market data.

Shipping costs have also increased substantially. The cost of importing scrap to Chattogram, including freight, has increased from about $360 per tonne to roughly $410 per tonne.

Iftekhar Ahmed, country head of Singapore-based scrap exporter Jaguar Resources and Capital, said freight costs surged sharply after tensions in the Middle East intensified.

"Scrap prices were already rising somewhat before the conflict," he said. "But shipping costs increased abnormally after the situation escalated, forcing suppliers to reconsider new offers."

Govt seeks energy assistance from India amid Middle East war

Mohammed Jahangir Alam, president of the Bangladesh Steel Manufacturers Association and chairman of GPH Ispat Limited, said many companies had been selling rods below production cost for a long time due to weak demand.

"The ongoing conflict in the Middle East has pushed up global fuel prices, shipping costs and the price of scrap – the main raw material used in rod production. At the same time, the dollar has been strengthening," he said.

"To cope with these additional costs, rod prices have been adjusted," he added.

Factories restart as demand rebounds

Industry insiders say the construction sector had remained sluggish for more than a year and a half, largely due to political uncertainty that slowed both government and private projects.

At one point, rod demand fell by nearly 50%, forcing several steel plants to halt operations.

In Chattogram alone, factories such as Golden Ispat, Baizid Steel, Sheema Steel, Sitalpur Steel and SS Steel had suspended production for extended periods.

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However, industry players say the situation has begun to improve following the election.

Mohammad Sarwar Alam, director of HM Steel, said sales of MS rods have increased over the past two weeks as political stability returned after the election.

"Factories that had been operating at a loss are now seeing some relief," he said.

The ongoing Middle East crisis has sharply reduced air cargo export capacity, pushing freight rates to double and in some cases nearly triple over the past two weeks.

In addition to higher costs, flight disruptions have also prolonged delivery times due to a significant capacity crunch, according to industry insiders.

Before the conflict began, airlines charged around $2 to $2.2 per kg for shipments to European destinations. Those rates have now surged to $5.5 to $6 per kg as demand rises amid limited cargo space, according to data from the International Air Express Association of Bangladesh (IAEAB).

Freight rates to the United States have also increased, rising from about $4.50-$5 per kg to roughly $7-$8 per kg, the data shows.

IAEAB President Kabir Ahmed told TBS that cargo operations have dropped significantly due to flight disruptions.

"Normally, around 600-700 tonnes of cargo were handled daily. Now it has fallen to about 300-350 tonnes per day. Previously it took two to three days to move cargo, but now it is taking six to seven days. As a result, cargo is piling up at the airport, creating space constraints," he said.

He added that the high freight rates and capacity shortages may persist for at least the next two weeks. "However, if the conflict prolongs, the impact could become even more severe," he warned.

Typically, about 60% of Bangladesh's air cargo is shipped through Middle Eastern hubs like Dubai and Doha. However, nearly half of the flights to those destinations remain suspended, according to data from the Civil Aviation Authority of Bangladesh (CAAB), leading to reduced cargo export capacity.

Airport sources said flight disruptions on Middle East routes started on 28 February and the total number of cancelled flights had reached 447 as of 13 March.

Major carriers such as Emirates, Etihad, Flydubai, Air Arabia, Qatar Airways, Gulf Air and Saudia Airlines – all based in the Middle East – have suspended many of their flights for days.

Biman Bangladesh Airlines, the national flag carrier that transports a significant portion of cargo, also suspended flights to several Middle Eastern destinations after the conflict began, further worsening the capacity shortage.

Since Bangladesh has no direct flights to the United States or Europe, it is heavily dependent on these transit hubs.

Meanwhile, airlines operating routes to the US and Europe that bypass the Middle East – including Turkish Airlines, Malaysia Airlines, Thai Airways, Cathay Pacific and Singapore Airlines – have raised their freight charges.

Europe accounts for about 56% of Bangladesh's air cargo exports, while roughly 22% goes to the United States.

Nasir Ahmed Khan, a former director of the Bangladesh Freight Forwarders Association, told TBS that the country largely relies on passenger flights to carry cargo.

"Most of our cargo moves through passenger carriers. Dedicated freighter services have also been reduced. Now only one scheduled freighter flight arrives per week. Some non-scheduled freighters are operating, but the numbers are not sufficient," he said.

Bangladesh's exports have already been in negative territory for seven consecutive months, weighed down by weak demand in the United States and the European Union. The Iran conflict now threatens to add further pressure.

Arab countries accounted for nearly $900 million of Bangladesh's exports in FY25, representing around 2% of the country's total exports. However, they remain important markets for certain sectors.

More than 60% of these exports are garments, while the rest mainly consist of vegetables and other agro-products.

Any prolonged disruption in the region could therefore affect both industrial exports and shipments of perishable goods from Bangladesh.

The Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA) signed between Bangladesh and Japan on February 6, in Tokyo is poised to transform the trajectory of bilateral trade between the two countries, said Tareq Rafi Bhuiyan (Jun), president of the Japan-Bangladesh Chamber of Commerce and Industry (JBCCI).

In an interview with The Daily Star, Bhuiyan described the agreement as Bangladesh’s first comprehensive EPA and a landmark shift from a unilateral preference-based arrangement to a structured, rules-based bilateral trade framework.

“This is not just about tariff cuts,” he said. “It institutionalises our trade relationship with Japan. It provides predictability, transparency and legal certainty — all of which are essential for sustainable trade growth.”

He said Japan has long been one of Bangladesh’s key trading partners, particularly as a destination for ready-made garments (RMG) and textile products.

However, he said with Bangladesh set to graduate from least developed country (LDC) status in the near future, concerns had emerged over the possible erosion of preferential market access.

He said under the existing Generalized System of Preferences (GSP) schemes, Bangladeshi exports enjoy duty-free or preferential treatment. After graduation, those benefits would no longer automatically apply.

“Without the EPA, our exporters, especially in garments, could have faced tariffs of 8 percent to 15 percent or more in the Japanese market,” Bhuiyan said. “That would have significantly affected our price competitiveness.”

He noted that the EPA secures duty-free or reduced-tariff access for more than 7,300 Bangladeshi products, including RMG, textiles and a wide range of manufactured goods. This ensures continuity in market access and shields exporters from sudden tariff shocks.

“For our bilateral trade, this continuity is critical. It means buyers in Japan can continue sourcing from Bangladesh without disruption, and our exporters can plan long-term investments with confidence,” he added.

While garments dominate Bangladesh’s exports to Japan, Bhuiyan said the EPA opens opportunities to diversify the trade basket.

The agreement includes provisions on customs facilitation, standards, sanitary and phytosanitary measures, intellectual property and digital trade — all of which reduce non-tariff barriers and enhance transparency.

“Many exporters struggle not just with tariffs but with complex procedures and compliance requirements,” he said. “Clearer rules and improved cooperation between customs authorities will lower transaction costs and reduce uncertainty.”

He believes that sectors such as agro-processing, leather goods, light engineering products, plastics and specialised manufacturing can gradually expand their presence in Japan if supported by quality improvements and compliance with Japanese standards.

However, he acknowledged that some leather and footwear products may not receive full duty benefits under the initial framework, which could create competitive pressure in certain segments.

“Industry stakeholders have raised concerns, particularly in leather. While the overall agreement is positive, sectors that do not receive immediate duty-free access will need to focus more on quality, branding and niche positioning,” he said.

On the import side, the EPA grants Japan preferential access to Bangladesh’s expanding domestic market for more than 1,000 products, including steel, machinery, auto parts and electronics. Some tariff reductions will be phased in over periods extending up to 18 years.

Bhuiyan described the phased approach as balanced and pragmatic.

“It allows Bangladesh to liberalise gradually while giving domestic industries time to adjust,” he said. “At the same time, access to high-quality Japanese machinery and intermediate goods will strengthen our industrial capacity.”

He noted that improved access to advanced machinery and components can raise productivity in Bangladesh’s manufacturing sector, which in turn enhances export competitiveness in third-country markets.

“In bilateral trade, imports are not necessarily a threat. Strategic imports — especially capital goods and technology — can support export expansion,” he said.

Bhuiyan emphasised that the EPA has broader implications for supply chain integration between the two countries.

Japan is actively seeking to diversify and strengthen its supply chains in Asia. Bangladesh, with its competitive labour force, growing industrial zones and strategic location, can position itself as a reliable partner.

“The agreement reduces trade risks by establishing clear dispute settlement mechanisms and regulatory transparency,” he said. “This gives Japanese firms greater confidence in sourcing from and investing in Bangladesh.”

He added that improved customs cooperation and streamlined procedures will reduce delays and enhance reliability — a key factor in modern supply chains.

“As supply chains become more integrated, bilateral trade will not only grow in volume but also in sophistication,” he said.

Bhuiyan stressed that small and medium enterprises (SMEs) must be prepared to take advantage of the EPA’s opportunities.

Export-oriented SMEs in garments are already integrated into global value chains, but other sectors may require capacity building.

“Compliance with rules of origin and technical standards will be crucial,” he said. “Government agencies and business associations must work together to ensure that exporters understand and utilise the agreement effectively.”

He also pointed to the importance of upgrading logistics infrastructure, including ports and cold chain facilities, to support higher trade volumes.

“Trade agreements create opportunities, but implementation determines the outcome,” he added,

While the EPA may not result in an immediate surge in trade volumes, Bhuiyan expressed confidence that it will generate steady and sustainable growth in bilateral trade over the medium to long term.

“This agreement marks a transition from a unilateral preference system to a mutually negotiated partnership,” he said. “It creates stability for our exports and enables structured expansion of trade in both directions.”

He emphasised that the success of the EPA will depend on proactive implementation, regulatory strengthening and private sector engagement in both countries.

“The framework is now in place,” Bhuiyan said. “If we utilise it effectively, Bangladesh–Japan bilateral trade can expand in volume, diversify in composition and deepen in value addition.”

The price of gold in Bangladesh dropped by Tk3,324 per bhori today (12 March), following two consecutive hikes, according to the Bangladesh Jewellers Association (BAJUS).

In a notification issued on morning, BAJUS said the new price of 22-carat gold has been fixed at Tk267,106 per bhori (11.664 grams), effective immediately.

The association said the price adjustment was made as the price of pure gold (tejabi gold) declined in the local market.

Under the new rates, 21-carat gold will cost Tk254,975 per bhori, while 18-carat gold has been priced at Tk218,583 per bhori. The price of gold produced through the traditional method has been set at Tk178,401 per bhori.

BAJUS last adjusted gold prices on 11 March, when the price of 22-carat gold was increased by Tk2,216 per bhori to Tk270,430.

So far in 2026, gold prices have been adjusted 41 times in the local market: raised 26 times and reduced 15 times.

Alongside gold, the price of silver has also been reduced this time. BAJUS lowered the price of 22-carat silver by Tk350 per bhori, setting the new rate at Tk6,357.

In 2026, silver prices have been adjusted 26 times so far, with 16 increases and 10 reductions.

The reciprocal trade deal signed by the interim government with the United States limits Bangladesh’s ability to make independent decisions, economist Mustafizur Rahman said yesterday.

He made the remarks at a discussion titled “Unfair Trade Deal with the United States: A Threat to Bangladesh’s Economy, Security, and Sovereignty”, organised by the Communist Party of Bangladesh (CPB) at the Dhaka Reporters Unity.

Rahman, a distinguished fellow at the Centre for Policy Dialogue (CPD), said the deal increases tariffs from 15 percent to 34 percent and forces Bangladesh to buy large quantities of US products, including defence equipment and Boeing planes, according to a press release.

“This deal limits our ability to make independent decisions and threatens our economy, security, and sovereignty,” he said.

MM Akash, a former professor of economics at Dhaka University, said, “This agreement was rushed and lacks transparency. Only a few people were involved, and it clearly favours US interests over Bangladesh.”

CPB President Sazzad Jahir Chandon called the deal a serious threat to the country, saying, “It must be cancelled immediately, and those responsible must face punishment.”

CPB former general secretary Ruhin Hossain Prince said the deal essentially protects US interests and forces Bangladesh into a state of dependency.

“The government must make all agreements public, and the people must oppose any actions that serve foreign powers over national interests,” he said.

CPB Dhaka North President Hasan Hafizur Rahman Sohel said those who signed the deal against the interests of Bangladesh must be held responsible.

Bangladesh's fruit imports more than doubled this fiscal year, yet prices have remained stubbornly high this Ramadan, keeping many popular items out of reach for low- and middle-income consumers.

At Chattogram's fruit markets, wholesale prices of fruits are Tk10-Tk30 per kilogram higher than before Ramadan, while retail prices have risen by Tk50-Tk150, limiting the benefits of higher imports.

Traders blame strong demand during Ramadan and excessive duty-tax burdens for soaring fruit prices, while consumers point to market manipulation and weak oversight.

Data from the Plant Quarantine Station at Chattogram Port shows that in the first seven months of FY25, fruit imports stood at 221,327 tonnes. During the same period in FY26, imports rose to 558,020 tonnes. Imported varieties included apples, oranges, grapes, pears, malta, pineapples, pomelo, guava, and dates.

However, enquiries at Chattogram's major wholesale fruit market, Folmondi, reveal that although prices of different imported fruits fluctuate, overall rates remain higher than before Ramadan.

Abdul Hamid, a buyer from Hamzar Bagh, said his children want fruits during Ramadan.

However, buying just one kilogram of good-quality grapes now costs Tk400 to Tk500. Unable to afford all types of fruits together, he buys smaller quantities than before.

Rakib Uddin, a retailer at Riazuddin Bazaar, justified the price difference, saying wholesale prices are already high. He added that transport costs, shop rents, and workers' wages further increase retail prices.

He also noted that fruits cannot be stored for long and carry the risk of spoilage, forcing traders to sell with limited profit margins.

More imports

Fruits are imported from various countries, with the majority entering through Chattogram Port, from where they are distributed across the country. Some imports also arrive via land ports.

Bangladesh imports fruits from India, China, Thailand, Bhutan, Egypt, Brazil, Tunisia, Portugal, New Zealand, Afghanistan, South Africa, and France. Different varieties of dates are imported from Saudi Arabia and other Middle Eastern countries.

According to the Plant Quarantine Station, imports of apples, oranges, and grapes through the port totalled 244,055 tonnes in the first seven months of FY26.

During the same period of the previous fiscal year, imports of these three fruits stood at 174,747 tonnes, an increase of nearly 70,000 tonnes within a year.

High fruit prices

A 15-kg carton of malta was selling for Tk3,400 to Tk3,600 at Folmondi. A 20-kg carton of Chinese apples was priced between Tk3,800 and Tk4,000, while local apples sold for Tk5,500 to Tk5,700 per 20-kg carton.

White grapes were being sold at Tk2,500 to Tk2,800 per 10-kg carton, and black grapes at Tk3,800 to Tk4,300 per 10-kg carton. An 8.5-kg carton of oranges fetched Tk1,700 to Tk1,900.

On-site visits show that retail fruit prices in the city have risen significantly compared with pre-Ramadan levels. Pomegranates, once sold at about Tk450 per kilogram, are now Tk550.

Chinese oranges, previously Tk250 to Tk300, now retail around Tk350 per kilogram. Malta, once Tk300, is now about Tk350. Apples, earlier around Tk300 per kilogram, are now Tk350 to Tk400.

Pears have increased from Tk400 to Tk450–Tk500 per kilogram. Black grapes, once Tk400, now cost Tk550 to Tk600 per kilogram.

'Prices rise with demand'

Muhammad Touhidul Alam, general secretary of the Chattogram Fruit Traders' Association, said many traders rush into imports after hearing about profits, but later incur losses and leave the business.

He added that syndicates cannot form in markets dealing with perishable goods. According to him, prices rise when demand exceeds imports and fall when demand is lower.

Other traders said international prices, dollar exchange rates, and the tariff-tax structure directly influence fruit prices. Besides, the exchange rate rose, increasing import costs and affecting market prices.

Duties on fruit import

Total duties on fruit imports were 89.32% in FY22. But, over the past three years, the total tax incidence on fruit imports rose to about 116%.

A report by the Bangladesh Tariff Commission states that under the Essential Commodities Act of 1956, fresh fruits are considered essential goods, not luxury items.

The commission recommended reducing the supplementary duty from 30% to 20%, cutting advance tax from 10% to 2%, and abolishing the 20% regulatory duty and 5% advance income tax. Later, the NBR reduced the supplementary duty from 30% to 25% and fully waived the 5% advance tax at the import stage.

Touhidul Alam said that even after some duty reductions, importers still pay Tk120-Tk136 in duties for fruits valued at Tk100, depending on the type.

Duties should be further reduced to Tk30-Tk40 to bring most fruit prices below Tk200, he said. "This would allow middle- and lower-middle-income people to afford fruits."

SM Nazer Hossain, vice president of the Consumers Association of Bangladesh (CAB), told TBS that chaos in the fruit market shows no sign of stopping.

"No matter how much fruit is imported or how much duties are reduced, the impact on prices is minimal because the market operates almost entirely without oversight," he said.

He added that Importers bring in goods under lower-duty categories but sell them as higher-duty products, misleading consumers, especially during Ramadan.

"The NBR must clarify which duties apply to which fruits and ensure regular monitoring. Otherwise, it will remain impossible for ordinary people to afford fruit," he said.

The ongoing conflict in the Middle East and resulting airspace closures have disrupted flights across the region, affecting airlines operating routes between Bangladesh and Gulf countries.

As cancellations continue, carriers say they are losing a large number of passengers each day, leading to mounting revenue losses.

Airlines operating Middle Eastern routes say the cancellations have already translated into steep revenue losses.

Kamrul Islam, general manager (public relations) at US-Bangla Airlines, said the carrier is losing hundreds of return passengers each day due to reduced operations.

"We are losing about 600-700 passengers daily who would normally return from the Middle East," Kamrul told The Business Standard.

With the average one-way airfare at roughly Tk50,000, the airline is losing a substantial amount of revenue each day.

Since the crisis began, about 30 of the airline's Middle East-bound flights have been cancelled. The total financial loss is yet to be calculated as refunds and rescheduling continue.

Before the disruptions, US-Bangla operated multiple flights to Dubai, Abu Dhabi and Sharjah. Flights to Sharjah and Abu Dhabi remain suspended, while services to Qatar have also been halted.

The airline has announced plans to resume Sharjah flights on 13 April and Abu Dhabi flights on 14 April.

Before the crisis, airports in Dubai, Abu Dhabi and Doha served as major global crossroads.

Nearly 300,000 passengers pass through one of these hubs daily, about two-thirds of whom are transit travellers, according to a report published by The Guardian on 7 March.

When airspace closures disrupted flights through these hubs, the effects spread across the global aviation network, stranding travellers and forcing many to cancel trips.

The impact is particularly pronounced for Bangladesh, where a large share of international travellers rely on Gulf carriers such as Emirates, Qatar Airways, Etihad Airways and Saudia for onward connections.

The Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR) has opened investigations into the manufacturing sectors of 16 economies, including Bangladesh, over concerns of structural excess capacity and production under Section 301 of the Trade Act of 1974.

According to a Federal Register notice, Bangladesh faces scrutiny over government-provided cash incentives for export sectors, which the USTR says have contributed to a $6.15 billion bilateral goods trade surplus with the United States.

Bangladesh ships more than $8 billion worth of goods to the US each year, with ready-made garments making up the bulk of exports. The government offers cash incentives across 43 sectors, including textiles and leather products.

The notice also singled out Bangladesh's cement industry, claiming it is operating well below its production capacity. In 2024, national cement consumption fell to 38 million tonnes, less than 40% of production capacity, and is expected to decline further in 2025.

US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer said the investigation will examine whether the policies of these economies are "unreasonable or discriminatory" and whether they burden or restrict US commerce. "The United States will no longer sacrifice its industrial base to other countries exporting their problems with excess capacity," Greer added.

Other economies under review include China, the European Union, India, Vietnam, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Cambodia, South Korea, Japan, Mexico, Singapore, Switzerland, Norway, and Taiwan.

Cash incentive payments will no longer be kept pending, governor tells garment exporters

Mahmud Hasan Khan, president of the Bangladesh Garment Manufacturers and Exporters Association (BGMEA), described Bangladesh's inclusion in the investigation as "uncomfortable" and "without logical basis".

"If such allegations are proven, they may impose additional tariffs," he said.

"Export incentives in Bangladesh are minimal," Mahmud said, adding that while questions might arise about agricultural subsidies, the US itself heavily subsidises its farmers, whereas Bangladesh primarily subsidises fertilisers.

Mostafa Abid Khan, former member of the Bangladesh Trade and Tariff Commission, told The Business Standard, "The incentives fall within the WTO policy. I do not think the level of support encourages overcapacity, though production levels may be questioned."

The USTR has requested consultations with Bangladesh and other countries under review. A public comment docket opens on 17 March, with a hearing scheduled for 5 May, allowing stakeholders to submit written comments and testify.

Bangladesh’s trade deficit, the gap between what it buys and sells abroad, widened by 17.44 percent in the July-January period of fiscal year 2025-26, due mainly to higher imports and weaker export earnings.

The deficit reached $13.79 billion during the seven months, up from $11.74 billion in the same period a year earlier.

According to Bangladesh Bank (BB) data, import bills rose 4.6 percent year-on-year to $39.88 billion. Export earnings, meanwhile, slipped 1.1 percent to $26.09 billion.

The widening gap has raised concerns at a time when the US-Israel war on Iran has rattled global oil markets and disrupted shipping routes. Since tensions escalated in the Middle East, the Bangladeshi currency, the taka, has begun to weaken. A softer currency could raise import costs and place further strain on the trade balance.

At the same time, exports have not shown clear growth, while war-driven inflation may reduce demand in Bangladesh’s major export markets.

Despite the wider trade gap, the country’s current account deficit narrowed.

This measure, which tracks the net flow of money in and out of the country through trade in goods and services as well as income flows, stood at $381 million in July-January of FY26. A year earlier, it was $1.31 billion.

The financial account also strengthened during the period.

Supported by higher net foreign direct investment, the surplus in the account, which records cross-border flows from investment, loans, aid and other financial transactions, climbed to $2 billion from $331 million a year earlier.

Taken together, the changes pushed Bangladesh’s overall balance of payments (BoP) into a surplus of $2.28 billion. In the same period last year, the country posted a deficit of $1.22 billion.

In an article, Sadiq Ahmed, vice chairman of the Policy Research Institute of Bangladesh (PRI), said the fall in exports has raised concerns about the country’s BoP outlook.

He added that strong remittance inflows have provided a key support. Remittance earnings rose sharply, bringing in $9 billion more in FY2025 than in FY2022.

However, Ahmed warned that foreign exchange reserves may fall in the second half of FY26 because of weaker exports and rising imports. Still, unless there is a major policy setback or a prolonged Iran war, reserves are expected to stabilise at around $30 billion.

He added that declining exports, rising external debt and debt servicing, and the Iran war raise questions about the sustainability of the current BoP position.

To address these risks, Ahmed recommended diversifying exports, saying double-digit export growth will not be possible without it.

“One key requirement is flexible exchange rate management that avoids appreciation of the real effective exchange rate,” he added.

His second priority was removing anti-export biases in trade policy and improving the country’s investment climate.

Bangladesh's foreign exchange reserves stood at US$34.29 billion, according to the latest data released by the Bangladesh Bank (BB) today (Wednesday). Bangladesh Economic Report

Under the International Monetary Fund's (IMF) BPM-6 accounting method, the reserves stood at $29.57 billion, it added, BSS reports.

The Bangladesh government has sent a letter to India seeking energy assistance in light of the situation created by the ongoing war in the Middle East.

Indian High Commissioner to Bangladesh Pranay Verma confirmed the development today (11 March) after a meeting with State Minister for Power, Energy and Mineral Resources Iqbal Hassan Mahmood at the Secretariat.

Responding to questions from journalists, the Indian envoy said, "We have received a formal letter from the government of Bangladesh requesting additional assistance. I have accepted it and will forward it to the concerned authorities for prompt consideration."

Regarding the discussion at the meeting, Verma said India and Bangladesh maintain a very strong connection in the power and energy sectors, which is one of the key pillars of their economic cooperation.

He noted that cross-border electricity transmission lines and pipelines between the two countries are currently operational, adding that the meeting also discussed ways to further strengthen this cooperation.

Bangladesh will purchase three more cargoes of liquefied natural gas (LNG) on the spot market from South Korean and UK-based companies at more than double the price paid in December, as the government moves to prevent a looming energy crisis.

The cabinet committee on public purchase approved the deal yesterday. The three shipments are expected to arrive between April 5 and April 13.

UK-based TotalEnergies Gas & Power Ltd will supply one cargo at $21.58 per MMBtu (Million Metric British Thermal Units), while South Korea-based Posco International Corporation will provide two cargoes at $20.76 per MMBtu.

The government will spend around Tk 2,660 crore on these deliveries, adding pressure on the fiscal budget.

Earlier, state-run Petrobangla secured two emergency LNG cargoes for March deliveries from the spot market at nearly three times December prices due to supply uncertainties caused by rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

One cargo was purchased from US-based Gunvor at $28.28 per MMBtu, a 183 percent increase over December rates, while a second shipment from Vitol cost $23.08 per MMBtu, according to Petrobangla officials.

Previously, the government had approved LNG purchases at $9.99 per MMBtu in December and $11.97 per MMBtu in July, highlighting how sharply spot-market prices have risen. This situation highlights how vulnerable South Asian markets are to global price swings when shipping routes face disruption.

“We had to pay a steep premium because suppliers were increasingly reluctant to submit bids,” a Petrobangla official said on condition of anonymity. “The ongoing Middle East crisis has reduced the number of participants willing to make short-term deliveries to this region.”

LNG prices, which had been gradually falling, spiked last week due to the US-Israel war on Iran. Bangladesh had to turn to the spot market after failing to attract bidders for two consecutive days, even at more than double the usual rate.

This comes amid ongoing uncertainty over timely shipments from Qatar, as Gulf shipping remains heavily disrupted. Tehran has threatened to “set fire” to vessels in the Strait of Hormuz, a key oil chokepoint connecting the Persian Gulf with the Gulf of Oman and the Arabian Sea.

Bangladesh meets nearly 30 percent of its gas demand through imported LNG, while domestic output continues to fall short of the total requirement of about 2,650 mmcfd (million cubic feet per day).

The country also spends around $1 billion annually to import over 6 million tonnes of petroleum, mostly sourced from the Middle East, with more than half of LNG imports in 2025 passing through the Strait of Hormuz.

In other approvals, the government yesterday cleared the purchase of 3.10 lakh litres of rice bran oil and palm oil. Indonesian bidder Powerhouse General Trading will supply 1.30 lakh litres of palm oil, while local suppliers will provide rice bran oil.

Additionally, the cabinet committee on public purchase approved the buying of 240 megawatts of electricity from a gas-based power plant of the Electricity Generation Company of Bangladesh at a cost of Tk 23,880 crore, with a tariff rate of Tk 3.3664 per kilowatt-hour.