A shortage of soybean oil that began in early March shows little sign of easing, pushing retail prices above the government fixed rate, with customers now paying up to Tk 15 more per litre.

The government has set the price of a one-litre bottle at Tk 195. However, retailers across the country are charging between Tk 200 and Tk 210.

Small shopkeepers, supermarket chains and wholesalers say they are receiving less than half of their usual daily demand for the cooking staple, most of which Bangladesh imports.

Refiners have not said clearly whether they have reduced supply. However, official data show soybean oil imports fell sharply in the January-April period compared with the same period last year.

Refiners say global prices and freight costs have increased, but authorities have yet to approve their proposal to raise local rates. They say it is no longer possible to import and sell the product at a loss.

Nurul Alam Sikder, a shopkeeper in Dhaka’s Pallabi area, said he last received bottled soybean oil from dealers about three weeks ago. Dealers are saying that there is a supply shortage, so they are unable to provide it.

Firoj Alam, manager of retail chain Daily Shopping, which has 115 outlets nationwide, said bottled soybean oil has not met demand since the beginning of April.

Currently, only about 30 percent to 40 percent of the required amount is being supplied, said Alam.

Speaking on condition of anonymity, a senior official at another supermarket chain said importers have failed to supply enough bottled soybean oil since the last week of February. At present, only 25 percent to 30 percent of the required supply is available.

The official said many customers are returning empty-handed when they come to buy oil. They are expressing frustration with them over not being able to get it.

Abu Bakar Siddique, an edible oil wholesaler at Karwan Bazar, one of Dhaka’s largest kitchen markets, said the squeeze has also cut dealer commissions because the maximum retail price has not increased.

DEALERS CUT BACK SUPPLIES

During a visit to kitchen markets in Chattogram yesterday, it was found that 1 litre and 2 litre bottles were available at some shops, while 3 litre and 5 litre bottles were largely missing from shelves.

Retailers were selling bottled soybean oil at Tk 5 to Tk 7 above the maximum retail price printed on the packaging. Traders say they are receiving less than 20 percent of their usual supply.

Abul Hashem, a retailer in the port city, said limited deliveries from distributors have disrupted sales and forced them to ration stock.

Hashem said retailers are not receiving edible oil in line with demand. Dealers said their commission has also been reduced.

“As a result, we are buying oil at Tk 1 to Tk 2 higher than the maximum retail price printed on the bottle. If we do not add at least Tk 5 per litre, we incur losses,” he added.

In Sylhet, retailers reported a similar picture.

Ashis Das, a retailer at Bagbari area, said, “Dealers have stopped providing supplies for over a week. Wholesalers in Kalighat are also almost out of stock, so we are having to run our shops without oil.”

Another retailer, Kapil Ray, said, “No company has provided oil for several days. We have managed to source small quantities of oil from a wholesaler at the printed MRP. I am selling these to my regular customers without any profit just to maintain our relationship.”

A wholesaler in the same area, who asked not to be named, said supplies from the company depot are not even close to 20 percent of demand.

He said, “After paying the price in advance, we received only 300 litres of oil last Thursday. Today [Tuesday], we will receive another supply of 300 litres, but now with a condition to purchase an equal amount of bottled water.”

At Shaheb Bazar in Rajshahi, shopkeeper Sumon Hossain described the edible oil market situation as “very bad”.

“There is almost no supply now. Prices have also increased. We have to buy a two-litre bottle for Tk 388 and sell it for Tk 390. That is only Tk 2 profit on a two-litre bottle,” he said.

“On top of that, we have to send our own people to collect the oil from dealers because they do not deliver it. There are transport costs. Retailers are actually facing losses,” said Hossain.

Commerce ministry data show soybean oil imports fell sharply in the January-April period compared with the same period last year.

Soybean oil imports dropped from 4.48 lakh tonnes in January-April last year to just 2.61 lakh tonnes this year.

Importers say they cut shipments because domestic prices have not been adjusted in line with international rates. Selling at a loss is unsustainable, they say, despite repeated appeals to the current and previous interim government for a price increase.

World Bank commodities data show soybean oil sold at $1,154 per tonne in January. The price rose to $1,282 in February and to $1,482 in March.

The country’s annual demand for edible oil stands at 24 lakh tonnes, around 90 percent of which is met through imports, according to the Bangladesh Trade and Tariff Commission.

Mohammad Dabirul Islam Didar, head of finance and accounts at Bangladesh Edible Oil Limited, which markets Rupchanda brand soybean oil, said the company continues to sell bottled soybean oil at the maximum retail price and does not charge above it.

He said rising import and supply chain costs have put the company under pressure. It has applied to the Ministry of Commerce for a price adjustment to help maintain supply chain stability.

Didar said it is not possible to sustain operations at a loss. Discussions have taken place over possible VAT adjustments, but no action has been taken.

The Daily Star tried to contact Biswajit Saha, director of corporate and regulatory affairs at City Group, which markets the Teer brand of soybean oil, for comment but received no response.

A widening revenue shortfall is driving the government toward heavy bank borrowing, raising concerns over tighter credit availability for the private sector and mounting fiscal pressure in the coming years, the Bangladesh Economic Association (BEA) said.

“If the revenue gap persists, the trend [of government bank borrowing] could deepen further in FY2026-27, amplifying a ‘crowding out’ effect where government demand for funds limits lending space for businesses,” said the association.

The economists’ body raised the issue yesterday during a pre-budget discussion with the National Board of Revenue (NBR) officials at its headquarters in Dhaka.

BEA estimates that government borrowing from banks may reach around Tk 1 lakh crore in FY26. The amount could rise to Tk 1.1 to 1.3 lakh crore in FY27, with the deficit remaining at 4.5 to 5 percent of GDP.

As of February in the current fiscal year, the government borrowed Tk 88,309 crore from the banking system and Tk 4,033 crore from non-banking sources, according to Bangladesh Bank data.

The BEA also said the upcoming budget will face pressure from political commitments, including pay-scale adjustments, family card programmes, agricultural support, and social safety-net expansion.

“Ensuring food security and stabilising prices of essential goods will further strain fiscal space,” said Mohammad Masud Alam, member of the BEA.

He also warned that global energy market volatility, especially rising tensions in the Middle East, could push up oil prices, increase import costs, and add pressure on foreign exchange reserves, posing additional risks to macroeconomic stability.

Speaking about raising revenue, he suggested urgently designing a comprehensive framework to bring Bangladesh’s fast-growing digital economy under the tax net to boost the country’s tax-to-GDP ratio.

At the event, Mahbub Ullah, convener of the BEA, said the NBR should take stronger action against tax evasion in the real estate sector, in cases of wealth tax, and cases of underreporting family and personal wealth.

In response, NBR chairman Md Abdur Rahman Khan said they are working on this issue.

Ahad Al Azad Munem, research associate of the Policy Research Institute (PRI) of Bangladesh, said that currently, about 28 percent of total revenue comes from customs or trade taxes.

“Such a high dependence on trade taxes is not considered international best practice.”

The NBR chairman said that since the country’s overall revenue collection is low, whenever any reform or change is proposed in major revenue sources, the decision-makers become hesitant.

“This reality must be acknowledged.”

The Centre for Policy Dialogue (CPD) urged the NBR to ensure tax justice, protect low-income groups, and take stronger measures to prevent tax evasion.

The Anti-Tobacco Media Alliance (ATMA) has proposed merging the lower and medium cigarette tiers and setting the price of a 10-stick pack at Tk 100, Tk 150 for the higher tier, and Tk 200 for the premium category.

It also recommended adding a specific excise duty of Tk 4 per pack.

According to their proposal, this could generate around Tk 44,000 crore in additional revenue compared to the current fiscal year and potentially prevent nearly 400,000 premature deaths in the long term.

Business Initiative Leading Development (BUILD) proposed that the government provide clear direction about the separation of the tax policy and tax administration.

Besides, the NBR should look into the gap between the registered companies and actual return submission numbers, it said.

The Bangladesh Society for the Change and Advocacy Nexus (B-SCAN), a volunteer organisation, demanded raising the tax-free income for differently abled people to up to Tk 6 lakh from the existing Tk 5 lakh.

Oil prices rose nearly 3 percent on Tuesday, extending the previous session’s gains, as ‌efforts to end the US-Iran war appeared to have stalled, with the crucial Strait of Hormuz waterway still mainly shut, starving markets of key Middle East energy supply.

Brent crude futures for June climbed $2.99, or 2.76 percent, to $111.22 a barrel by 0758 GMT, after ​gaining 2.8 percent to close the previous session at its highest since April 7. The contract is ​up for a seventh straight day.

At their intra-day peak on Tuesday, Brent was up 3.4 percent on the day at $111.86 a barrel.

US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude for June rose $2.54, or 2.64 percent, ​to $98.91 a barrel, after gaining 2.1 percent in the previous session.

US President Donald Trump is unhappy with the latest Iranian ​proposal to end the war, a US official said on Monday, as Iranian sources disclosed that it avoided addressing the nuclear program until hostilities cease and Gulf shipping disputes are resolved.

Trump’s displeasure with the offer leaves the conflict deadlocked, with Iran shutting shipping flows ​through the Strait of Hormuz, a conduit for about 20 percent of global oil and gas supplies, and the ​US retaining its blockade of Iranian ports.

“Oil above $110 per barrel reflects a market that is rapidly repricing geopolitical risk,” said ‌Rystad Energy ⁠analyst Jorge Leon.

“With peace talks stalled and no clear path to reopening the Strait of Hormuz, traders are factoring in a prolonged disruption to a critical artery of global supply,” he added.

“Even in a best-case scenario, any US–Iran agreement is likely to be narrow and partial, leaving the Strait issue unresolved, which means the upside ​risks to prices remain.”

An ​earlier round of negotiations between ⁠the United States and Iran collapsed last week after face-to-face talks failed.

Ship-tracking data showed significant disruptions in the region, with six Iranian oil tankers forced to turn back due ​to the US blockade.

But a liquefied natural gas tanker managed by the United ​Arab Emirates’ Abu ⁠Dhabi National Oil Co crossed the Strait of Hormuz and appears to be near India, the on Monday.

Prior to the US-Israeli war on Iran, which began on February 28, between 125 and 140 vessels transited the strait ⁠daily.

The loss ​of about 10 million bpd of crude and products through Hormuz will continue ​to exceed falling consumption as inflationary pressures and demand destruction loom, PVM analyst Tamas Varga said, leading to an ever-tighter oil market ​balance.

The government needs to urgently design a comprehensive framework to bring Bangladesh’s fast-growing digital economy under the tax net to boost the country’s tax-to-GDP ratio, the Bangladesh Economic Association (BEA) said.

It warned that a large and expanding segment of income remains outside the formal revenue system.

The association placed the recommendation before the National Board of Revenue (NBR) during a pre-budget discussion at its headquarters in Dhaka.

The economists’ body said sectors such as e-commerce, freelancing, digital advertising, and streaming services are growing rapidly but remain either fully or partially untaxed. This includes Facebook-based businesses, sellers on platforms like Daraz, freelancers on global marketplaces, and users paying for services such as Netflix and Spotify.

According to the BEA, the lack of a structured taxation regime is causing revenue losses and creating an uneven playing field between compliant businesses and largely untaxed digital operators.

It also flagged rising cross-border digital transactions, noting that firms like Google, Meta Platforms, and Amazon earn significantly from Bangladesh but contribute limited taxes.

The BEA proposed mandatory tax registration for foreign digital service providers and an automated withholding system through payment gateways to deduct tax or VAT at source.

It also recommended forming a specialised digital unit within the NBR to monitor cross-border transactions in real time, improve compliance, and reduce revenue leakages.

Prof Mahbub Ullah, convener of the BEA, and Mohammad Masud Alam, member of the committee, spoke at the event presided over by Md Abdur Rahman Khan, chairman of the NBR.

Finance Minister Amir Khosru Mahmud Chowdhury yesterday placed two amendment bills in the parliament proposing the removal of age limits for appointing the heads and members of two of the country’s key financial regulators.

The Bangladesh Securities and Exchange Commission (Amendment) Bill, 2026 seeks to abolish the existing maximum age limit of 65 years for appointing the chairman and commissioners of the Bangladesh Securities and Exchange Commission (BSEC).

Also placed the same day, the Insurance Development and Regulatory Authority (Amendment) Bill, 2026 proposes scrapping the current age cap of 67 years for appointing the chairman and members of the Insurance Development and Regulatory Authority (Idra).

Placing the bills before the House, the finance minister recommended that they be sent to a special parliamentary committee for scrutiny, with a report to be submitted within one day.

In the statement of objectives and reasons, the minister said the proposed amendment to the securities commission law aims to make it more suitable for present circumstances by allowing the appointment of experienced, skilled and knowledgeable individuals to top positions.

Regarding the amendment to the Insurance Development and Regulatory Authority Act, 2010, he noted that the existing provision, which sets the maximum appointment age at 67 years, has limited the opportunity to recruit capable and experienced individuals to leadership roles in the insurance sector.

He argued that removing this restriction is necessary in the public interest to strengthen decision-making in the sector.

Earlier, on April 23, the cabinet approved the draft amendments to both laws.

Bangladesh Bank has eased rules for banks to award incentive bonuses to staff, provided that a few criteria are met.

According to a central bank circular issued yesterday, a bank’s boards of directors may approve up to one month’s basic salary as a bonus in recognition of “special achievements” during the year, even if the usual eligibility criteria are not met.

However, this discretionary payment will only be permitted if the institution records an operating profit. In addition, the bank must ensure that regulatory capital is maintained at least at the previous year’s level (excluding adjustments for deferred provisions approved by Bangladesh Bank) and that no fresh applications are made for deferred provisioning facilities.

Banks may approve up to one month’s basic salary as a bonus in recognition of “special achievements” during the year, even if the usual eligibility criteria are not met
Officials said the move aims to boost morale among officers and employees while preserving competitiveness in the banking sector. Meanwhile, Bangladesh Bank stressed that compliance with the outlined conditions is essential to ensure financial discipline and safeguard stability.

Cement manufacturers in the country are under growing pressure as the US-Israel war on Iran disrupts Middle Eastern supply routes, forcing them to import key raw materials -- especially clinker -- from Asian countries at higher prices.

The conflict has also increased freight costs, further raising overall import expenses. At the same time, weak domestic demand is preventing producers from passing on higher costs to consumers, leaving manufacturers squeezed between rising input costs and a fragile market.

The situation also highlights the sector’s heavy dependence on imported raw materials. Key inputs such as clinker, limestone, granulated slag, fly ash and gypsum are largely imported. Nearly 90 percent of clinker is brought from abroad.

“Bangladesh’s cement sector is under new cost pressure as clinker imports shift away from the Middle East,” said Mohammad Iqbal Chowdhury, chief executive officer of LafargeHolcim Bangladesh PLC.

“Earlier, imports were largely sourced from Gulf countries at competitive prices, but that advantage has now disappeared. The country is now increasingly relying on China, Vietnam and Thailand, where clinker is being imported at higher prices,” he added.

Chowdhury said the shift is linked to a widening geopolitical crisis following joint US–Israel strikes on Iran and Iran’s closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a key global trade route.

“This has cut shipping traffic, pushed up freight and insurance costs, increased logistics risks and war-risk premiums, and forced rerouting of shipments,” he said.

“The impact on Bangladesh’s cement industry has been immediate, as it depends heavily on imported clinker and stone aggregates.”

He added that clinker import costs have risen from about $42 to $43 per tonne to nearly $53 due to tighter supply and higher freight charges.

“With demand already weak, companies are struggling to pass on these costs, putting pressure on profit margins and forcing them to cut spending,” he said.

Md Abul Mansur, general manager of Royal Cement Ltd, echoed these concerns. “Sourcing raw materials has become increasingly difficult due to global disruptions. Clinker is no longer coming from the Middle East, while gypsum and limestone from Oman now face sharply higher freight costs,” he said.

He added, “Clinker prices have risen from around $43 per tonne to about $57 to $58 per tonne, while slag prices have increased from $16 to around $23 to $24 per tonne, driven by war-related disruptions in global shipping.”

Mansur linked the surge in freight costs to higher oil prices, increased insurance premiums and greater risks on maritime routes, saying shipping costs have effectively doubled.

He said the impact is already visible in the domestic market. Cement prices have increased by Tk 30 to Tk 50 per bag, even though actual costs have gone up by Tk 70 to Tk 80. Weak demand has prevented companies from passing on the full increase.

“Costs are rising, but the market is unable to absorb the full impact,” he added.

He also noted that construction activity has slowed as developers delay projects in hopes of greater stability, further affecting the industry.

The country’s broader construction sector is also under strain due to weak public spending, subdued private investment, policy uncertainty and rising costs. These factors have already dampened project approvals, demand and growth across real estate and related industries, including cement.

Mohammed Amirul Haque, president of the Bangladesh Cement Manufacturers Association and managing director of Premier Cement Mills PLC, said the sector has faced multiple shocks over the past five years, making business difficult.

He added that many companies are still operating despite losses in the hope of recovery, but warned that this situation is not sustainable.

He stressed the need for a profit margin and cautioned that sharp price increases could harm the market.

“A quick recovery is unlikely,” he added.

Ryanair, Transavia, Volotea and other low-cost airlines are feeling the financial pain from high jet fuel prices as a result of the Middle East war and are cutting flights.

The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has taken a huge chunk of oil supplies off the market, sending the price of jet fuel soaring and triggering fears of shortages that could force airlines to cancel flights.

Airlines aren’t waiting for a lack of supplies to react.

“Travel alert: airlines are cutting thousands of flights right now,” Travel Therapy TV host Karen Schaler said in an Instagram reel this past weekend. “Book early.”

That advice would win the approval of Ryanair boss Michael O’Leary, who expressed concern earlier this month that fears of fuel shortages were making people put off booking flights.

Low-cost carriers -- which control a little more than a third of the global market, according to various estimates -- are feeling the pinch first due to the nature of their business model.

With cheaper tickets, they have less capacity to absorb the rise in fuel costs.

Some of the cancellations may be the normal adjustments airlines tend to make when demand doesn’t meet expectations on certain routes.

“It is not unusual for carriers to adjust their schedules at this time of the year,” financial analyst Dudley Shanley at investment bank Goodbody told AFP.

But “if jet fuel prices remain at this level, there will have to be a little bit more trimming for low-cost airlines”, he added.

If before the war airlines were able to maintain marginally profitable routes or even unprofitable routes, the surge in jet fuel prices will force them to make difficult choices.

That will start with many during the peak summer travel season.

“Unfortunately, it’s very likely that many people’s holidays will be affected, either by flight cancellations or very, very expensive tickets,” the EU’s energy commissioner Dan Jorgensen told Sky News last week.

The speed with which airlines are reacting depends in part upon the extent to which they secured fuel supplies in advance at fixed prices.

European airlines tend to do this to a greater extent than their rivals in other parts of the world. Air Transat, a low-cost Canadian airline, has cut six percent of its May-October flight schedule.

Southeast Asia’s largest low-cost carrier, AirAsia X, announced on Friday it was cutting more flights and even some connections, without providing an overall figure.

Earlier this month the Malaysia-based no-frills airline said it was raising fares by up to 40 percent and about 10 percent of its overall flights had been cut so far.

Hungary’s low-cost airline Wizz Air has so far resisted cutting flights.

“We are not taking capacity out, because I think the other guys will take capacity out,” its chief executive Jozsef Varadi was quoted as saying recently by trade magazine Aviation Week.

“You don’t have to run faster than the bear, but faster than the guy next to you,” he added.

He may have been thinking of the most spectacular cuts made in the industry by German group Lufthansa, which had just announced it was chopping 20,000 flights from its schedule through October, along with halting its regional feeder airline CityLine.

Its European rival Air France-KLM has trimmed two percent of flights in May and June at its low-cost Transavia subsidiary.

KLM has kept cancellations down to one percent of its European flights.

Ryanair didn’t cite fuel prices but high costs and taxes when announcing last week it would reduce flights to and from Berlin starting in October.

It is also cutting 10 percent of flights from Dublin, criticising limited capacity at the airport.

Since the beginning of the month, Spain’s Volotea has trimmed nearly one percent of flights from its summer schedule.

A prognosis comes from the regulator that the prevailing high inflation may intensify further following fuel-price rises, which indicates pricey commodities could be pricier.

"….near-term inflationary pressures are expected to intensify due to higher global oil prices, domestic fuel-price adjustments, and ongoing energy-supply constraints," the Bangladesh Bank (BB) says in its latest report on Inflation Dynamics in Bangladesh January-March 2026. Bangladeshmarket analysis

The central bank's latest observation comes just nine days after the government raised domestic fuel prices in response to continued increases in global petroleum- product prices, underscoring mounting external cost pressures on the economy.

Officials and economists, however, says these cost-push factors are likely to transmit through higher transportation and production costs, potentially broadening price pressures across the supply chain and complicating efforts to anchor inflation expectations.

Bangladesh's headline consumer price index (CPI) inflation (y-o-y) continued to rise, averaging approximately at 8.8 per cent in the third quarter (Q3) of the current fiscal year (FY) 2025-26, up from 8.3 per cent observed in the previous quarter, according to the quarterly report released Tuesday.

"Fuel-price adjustments may trigger a one-off spike in inflation, which would then ease gradually over time," Md. Ezazul Islam, Director-General of Bangladesh Institute of Bank Management (BIBM), says while explaining to The Financial Express (FE) the potential economic impact of the latest fuel-price hike.

"Fuel-price adjustments have a multiplier effect on the economy, as fuel is a key input across all sectors," explains Dr. Islam, also a former executive director of the central bank. Economicanalysis reports

Talking to the FE, a BB senior official has said transport costs have already risen following the latest fuel-price adjustments, which may further add fuel to inflationary pressures on the economy. Energy inflation rose to 14.9 per cent in the third quarter of FY'26 from 14.4 per cent in the previous quarter.

On the other hand, food inflation edged up during the period under review, primarily driven by an increased contribution from vegetables and spices. However, protein-based foods remained the top contributor.

The central bank in its report says the increased contribution of protein-based food items, along with 'clothing and footwear', can be partly attributed to seasonal demand associated with Eid-ul-Fitr, which typically leads to higher consumer spending on food and apparel.

The average contributions of import-concentrated food items and domestic food items to headline inflation increased in the Q3 of FY'26 from the previous quarter.

On the other hand, the contribution of import-concentrated non-food items to inflation declined, according to the report.

Meanwhile, the wage-price gap narrowed slightly by the end of Q3 of FY'26 compared to the previous quarter, driven by a fall in headline inflation (y-o-y) to 8.7 per cent in March 2026, while wage growth remained stable at 8.1 per cent. This led to a modest deterioration in household purchasing power, reflecting sluggish real wage growth.

"Given these developments, sustained policy vigilance is essential to anchor inflation expectations, contain elevated food and core prices, and safeguard household purchasing power, thereby supporting a stable macroeconomic environment conducive to long-term, inclusive growth," the central bank notes in its report.

Bangladesh witnessed a spike in energy inflation during the January-March quarter of the current fiscal year 2025-26 (FY26), driven by gas price hikes, according to a Bangladesh Bank (BB) report published yesterday.

Energy inflation rose to 14.9 percent in the third quarter of FY26 from 14.4 percent in the previous quarter, the central bank said in its report titled Inflation Dynamics in Bangladesh.

The report said solid fuels such as firewood, agricultural by-products, cow dung, and jute sticks have consistently been a major driver of energy inflation.

However, inflation of solid fuels declined to 21.5 percent in the January-March period from 23.1 percent in the previous quarter. Gas inflation surged to 11.3 percent in the third quarter, rebounding from a 6.2 percent inflation in the preceding quarter.

Solid fuels such as firewood, agricultural by-products, cow dung, and jute sticks have consistently been a major driver of energy inflation
During the January-March period of FY26, inflation averaged 8.81 percent, up from 8.3 percent in the preceding October-December quarter, mainly driven by increased food prices, especially vegetables and spices.

However, protein-based foods remained the top contributor, accounting for 44.6 percent of overall food inflation, the report said.

The average contribution of vegetables to food inflation rose to 22.7 percent in the January-March period of this year. The contribution of cereal items to food inflation saw a notable decline, dropping to 8.1 percent from 41.4 percent in the previous quarter.

In contrast, non-food inflation remained broadly stable at a high level of approximately 8.9 percent.

During the quarter, the BB report said that the contribution of domestic items to inflation increased to 71.7 percent, while the share of import-concentrated items fell to 28.3 percent.

Despite a spike in inflation, the wage-price gap slightly narrowed compared to the previous quarter. “This narrowing was primarily driven by a decline in headline inflation rather than any significant improvement in wage growth,” the report said.

“Despite some positive momentum effects, wage growth remained sluggish throughout the quarter, as the negative base effect persisted,” it added.

Private investors aiming to launch Bangladesh's first privately funded submarine cable face mounting delays from inter-ministerial red tape, despite sinking $53 million (equivalent to Tk650 crore) into preparatory work.

The Bangladesh Private Cable System consortium – Summit Communications, CdNet Communications, and Metacore Subcom Ltd – awaits critical no-objection clearances from the foreign affairs and home affairs ministries, and the National Security Intelligence.

This bottleneck halts cable-laying vessels from entering Bangladesh's territorial waters.

The project links to the UMO Cable System's 2,227-km main route from Singapore to Myanmar, plus a 1,300-km branch to Cox's Bazar.

Without April approvals, investors risk missing the 31 August 2026 rollout deadline, pushing implementation back a full year due to the Bay of Bengal's narrow November-to-mid-May laying window.

In a letter sent on 31 March to the foreign affairs ministry, the consortium sought no-objection clearance for Panama- and Indonesia-flagged vessels to enter Bangladesh's territorial waters to lay the cable.

However, officials say procedural gaps between ministries have stalled progress.

A foreign ministry official, speaking on condition of anonymity, told The Business Standard that the consortium had been asked to obtain authorisation from the posts, telecommunications and information technology ministry, adding that no such communication had yet been received.

"According to protocol, one ministry cannot act on a letter issued by an agency under another ministry," the official said.

Posts, Telecommunications and Information Technology Secretary Bilquis Jahan Rimi said the ministry has not received any letter on this matter. "A decision will be announced once the letter is received."

However, official documents show that the consortium had written to the ministry in September last year seeking inter-ministerial support.

Project status

The consortium has already reached all critical technical milestones.

These include a comprehensive feasibility study, a detailed subsea route survey, the demarcation of the route from Myanmar's Exclusive Economic Zone to Cox's Bazar, and the activation of the Singapore-Myanmar segment.

The project is currently in the "shovel-ready" phase, with construction of the landing station and beach manhole progressing at full pace.

Furthermore, specialised cable-laying vessels and a team of international experts have been contracted and are awaiting final approval to proceed.

Looming deadlines

The project faces a critical "roll-out obligation" to be completed by 31 August 2026. However, technical experts note that seabed installations in the Bay of Bengal are only feasible between November and mid-May.

If the April window is missed due to the upcoming monsoon and lack of approvals, the project is feared to be delayed by at least another year, leading to massive financial demurrages.

"We have already invested nearly 50% of the total project cost," said Md Arif Al Islam, managing director of Summit Communications.

"We are stuck in a complex situation. If the government did not want private submarine cables, why were we encouraged to spend millions on infrastructure and licences?"

The consortium has already spent $53 million on licensing, VAT and other expenses. Of the amount, it has paid $43.76 million to the cable owner, Compana Pvt Ltd, for the UMO trunk cable, which includes $36 million in IRU fees and $7.96 million in maintenance charges.

Market monopoly vs competition

Currently, the state-owned Bangladesh Submarine Cables PLC controls the majority of the market through two cables, SE-ME-WE-4 and SE-ME-WE-5, with a combined capacity of 7,220 Gbps. A third state-owned cable, SE-ME-WE-6, is expected to launch next year with a massive capacity of over 40,000 Gbps at a cost of Tk1,000 crore.

Bangladesh Submarine Cables has expressed concerns that private entry will create "extreme instability" and reduce the revenue of the state-owned listed company. In a recent internal report, the company suggested that the government should set a minimum threshold to ensure state-owned cable usage does not fall below 50%.

An official from Bangladesh Submarine Cables noted that as a listed company, the government must consider the interests of its shareholders when making strategic decisions.

Entrepreneurs in the IT sector have pointed out that the provision of internet services via submarine cables is currently a monopoly held by the state-owned company. In this context, the approval of private submarine cables was a significant milestone towards increasing private sector participation, they say.

Industry stakeholders maintain a consensus that increasing private sector participation will foster a more competitive market, ultimately driving down internet costs for the public.

They argue that making connectivity more affordable will enable the inclusion of a larger segment of the population, thereby significantly boosting the country's per-capita internet consumption.

Internet penetration scenario

According to a report by the Asian Development Bank published in December last year, Bangladesh's current internet penetration stands at 53%, remaining behind regional countries like Bhutan at 88% and 85% in the Maldives; both countries show high access.

The report said Bangladesh's digital infrastructure is expanding but faces connectivity, capacity, and rural access gaps. International connectivity relies on two undersea cables, both following similar routes, creating risks, it pointed out.

The government has approved five proposals for $1.9 billion in loans from development partners of which $1.6 billion is non-concessional.

Of the amount, $1.3 billion will be set aside as budget support to help tackle urgent financial pressures, according to finance ministry officials.

The approval for loans under relatively tough terms were granted yesterday (28 April) at a meeting of the Standing Committee on Non-concessional Loan chaired by Finance and Planning Minister Amir Khosru Mahmud Chowdhury at the Planning Ministry in Sher-e-Bangla Nagar.

Sources present at the meeting said the budget support package includes $450 million from the Asian Development Bank (ADB), $500 million from Japan International Cooperation Agency (Jica), $250 million from the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB), and $100 million from the OPEC Fund for International Development (OFID).

Officials said these loans come with higher interest rates, shorter grace periods and faster repayment schedules than concessional financing.

Under the programme titled Strengthening Economic Management and Governance, Subprogram 2, ADB will provide a total of $750 million, consisting of $300 million in concessional financing and $450 million through its regular Ordinary Capital Resources (OCR) window.

The concessional portion carries a 2% interest rate, a repayment period of 25 years, and a five-year grace period.

The $450 million OCR loan is classified as non-concessional and carries an interest rate of SOFR plus 0.50%, which based on the 20 April 2026 SOFR rate of 3.63%, brings the effective rate to 4.13%.

It also includes a 0.15% commitment charge on undrawn balances.

This ADB OCR loan has a 15-year tenure, including a three-year grace period. According to ERD analysis, the loan's grant element is 6.61%, making it highly non-concessional.

Negotiations with ADB were completed on 15 April 2026, and the package is now awaiting board approval.

The government is also seeking $500 million from JICA to help manage immediate fiscal challenges. The proposed loan carries an indicative interest rate of 3.05%, a 30-year repayment period, and a 10-year grace period.

Officials said the Japanese financing would be used in line with IMF recommendations, including expanding social protection spending, strengthening revenue administration, and improving macroeconomic stability.

AIIB is set to provide $250 million as co-financing alongside ADB. The proposed loan carries an interest rate of SOFR plus 1.45%, which based on the same benchmark rate would bring the effective cost to around 5.08%.

It has a 35-year maturity, a five-year grace period, and a 0.25% front-end fee. ERD analysis found the grant element to be negative 0.68%, meaning it is considered extremely hard borrowing.

The government is also pursuing $100 million equivalent from OPEC Fund for International Development, denominated at approximately €85.3 million. Indicative terms include an interest rate of six-month EURIBOR plus 1.20%, giving an effective rate of about 3.616%.

The loan has an 18-year maturity, a three-year grace period, and a 0.25% commitment fee. Its grant element is estimated at 11.38%, also placing it in the non-concessional category.

Beyond budget support, the committee also approved a separate $300 million ADB loan for the SASEC Dhaka-Sylhet Corridor Road Investment (Tranche-2) project.

The project will upgrade around 210 kilometres of highway from Dhaka (Kanchpur) to Sylhet into a four-lane corridor, with separate service lanes for slow-moving vehicles.

The goal is to better connect the Dhaka-Sylhet route with regional transport networks including the Asian Highway, SASEC (South Asia Subregional Economic Cooperation) and BIMSTEC corridors.

The total project cost is estimated at Tk16918.58 crore, of which the government will provide Tk3,674 crore, while ADB will finance Tk13,244.68 crore.

The road loan will come from ADB's OCR window at an effective rate of around 4.23%, with a 25-year repayment period and a five-year grace period.

Officials said the Standing Committee on Non-concessional Loan also adopted several policy measures to improve management of costly foreign borrowing.

Non-concessional loans will be approved only where concessional financing is unavailable or impractical. Borrowers receiving government or central bank guarantees must demonstrate repayment capacity from their own income.

Loans with excessive conditions or mandatory down payments will be discouraged.

The committee also decided that annual debt servicing on non-concessional external loans must remain below the lower of 10% of export earnings or 15% of government revenue, while total non-concessional external debt stock must remain below 10% of GDP.

ERD officials said these measures are expected to improve transparency, reduce risks and strengthen long-term sustainability in Bangladesh's external debt management.

Bangladesh’s exports are order-based and free of overcapacity, Commerce Minister Khandakar Abdul Muktadir said yesterday amid an ongoing US investigation into forced labour and surplus production across 60 countries, including Bangladesh.

Speaking at a luncheon meeting on US-Bangladesh partnership hosted by the American Chamber of Commerce (AmCham) at the Sheraton in Dhaka, he also said Bangladesh has made substantial progress regarding labour rights.

The minister said Bangladesh’s exports are driven by demand. Particularly, the garment industry produces strictly against international orders. “This is indicative of global demand, rather than excess capacity.”

He pointed out that many factories are currently running below capacity due to energy and infrastructure constraints.

On forced labour, the minister mentioned that Bangladesh has enacted reforms in workplace safety and labour rights in partnership with the International Labour Organization (ILO) and other partners, establishing one of the most rigorously regulated and secure garment sectors in the world.

Stating that Bangladesh is committed to maintaining international labour standards, he said the government believes that the most constructive course of action to that end is continuing engagement and collaboration.

On partnership with the US, the minister said the government is confident that the bilateral relationship will continue to grow through trade, increased investment, technology collaboration, and continued dialogue.

He said the government is diversifying its export base by incorporating sectors such as pharmaceuticals, leather, agro-products, and light engineering, in addition to a booming ICT sector.

The minister stated that improving market access is imperative as the country is set to graduate from the least developed country status. “We look forward to continued US assistance to guarantee a seamless transition and maintain our global competitiveness.”

He noted that although Bangladesh has established robust manufacturing capabilities and exports pharmaceuticals to more than 150 countries, the entry into the US market is still restricted by the intricate, expensive, and time-consuming regulatory processes.

“We are of the opinion that there is potential to improve the coordination between pertinent authorities, expedite the approval process, and simplify procedures,” he said.

Also speaking at the event, AmCham President Syed Ershad Ahmed said in today’s shifting global economic environment, the Bangladesh–US partnership remains vital for both growth and resilience.

The partnership plays a strategic role in sustaining export competitiveness, ensuring essential imports, and strengthening broader economic and industrial development, he added.

Bangladesh exported roughly $9.5 billion in goods to the US in 2025, with the garment sector alone accounting for $8.2 billion, capturing over 10 percent of the US apparel market, he said.

During the same period, the country imported about $2.3 billion from the US, primarily cotton and agricultural products.

Muktadir, meanwhile, stated that US foreign direct investment in Bangladesh rose from $193 million in fiscal year 2019-20 (FY20) to $426 million in FY22, before falling sharply to $89 million in FY24 and partially recovering to $132 million in FY25.

On a separate matter, he informed that the government may recruit foreign companies for loading and unloading at the Chattogram port to increase efficiency.

The minister also said for easing the business, the government will launch provisional permission for launching a business. Currently, it takes many months and more than 25 signatures to obtain the permission for the business entrepreneurs to start a business in Bangladesh.

Once an entrepreneur starts with the provisional permission, he can manage the original permission gradually in one to two months, he added.

IPDC Finance PLC, the country's first private sector financial institution, recorded a robust 25% year-on-year growth in net profit for the year 2025, navigating persistent macroeconomic challenges through strategic diversification and disciplined cost management.

According to its audited financial statements approved on Tuesday, the company's net profit after tax rose to Tk45.5 crore in 2025. Following this strong performance, the board of directors has recommended a 10% dividend for the shareholders, comprising 5% cash and 5% stock.

The growth was largely driven by a massive surge in investment income, which skyrocketed by 93% to reach Tk132.4 crore. This jump was fuelled by higher treasury yields and effective portfolio management within the capital market.

Additionally, gross interest income grew by 9% to Tk956 crore, supported by a prudent expansion of the company's lending portfolios.

Despite a broader economic slowdown, IPDC's operating income increased by 7% to Tk348.4 crore. The company maintained a strict grip on its operational costs, with expenses rising by a moderate 10%, resulting in an operating profit of Tk185.3 crore.

On the balance sheet side, IPDC continued to gain depositor trust. Total deposits grew by 15% to Tk6,224.9 crore, securing a 12% market share in the industry. Meanwhile, loans, leases, and advances stood at Tk7,462.2 crore, marking a 7% increase from the previous year.

Key financial indicators also showed significant improvement. Earnings per share (EPS) rose to Tk1.11, and the Net asset value (NAV) per share climbed to Tk17.85. The company's net operating cash flow per share (NOCFPS) stood at a healthy Tk9.94, indicating strong cash generation from its core business operations. The return on equity (ROE) improved to 6.74%.

Managing Director of IPDC Finance Rizwan Dawood Shams attributed the success to "disciplined execution and strategic resilience."

"Despite a challenging environment, we strengthened our earnings base through diversified income streams and prudent cost management. Our focus on portfolio quality and strong risk governance enabled us to deliver sustainable profitability while reinforcing our balance sheet," he said.

He further added that the company remains committed to creating long-term value for stakeholders through financial stability and responsible growth.

National Credit and Commerce (NCC) Bank shares jumped in the opening session as it recommended record cash dividend to its shareholders for the year of 2025.

During the opening session till 10:50 am, its share price jumped by 12.59% to Tk16.10.

According to its price sensitive statement filed on the Dhaka bourse, the bank recommended a 17% cash and 4% stock dividend for 2025.

According to the company, the declared cash dividend is become highest so far in its listing history.

To approve the dividend and audited financial statements, the bank has scheduled the annual general meeting date for 24 June and the record date for 21 May.

In the last year, its consolidated earnings per share of Tk4.29, which was Tk3.94 a year ago.

Investment Corporation of Bangladesh (ICB), a state-owned non bank financial institution, has incurred Tk588 crore consolidated loss in the first nine months of the current fiscal year.

The ICB approved the nine months financials at its board of directors meeting held today (28 April).

The losses almost doubled over the same time of the previous fiscal year as it had incurred loss of Tk277 crore, its data showed.

Regarding the loss, ICB attributed lower capital gains from buying and selling shares and increasing interest rate for deposits.

Its quarterly data showed, during the July to march period, its loss per share stood at Tk6.79.

Bata Shoe Company (Bangladesh) Limited reported a dramatic fall in profit for the year ended 31 December 2025, with earnings declining by 96% year-on-year amid sustained business challenges.

According to its price sensitive disclosure, the company's earnings per share dropped sharply to Tk0.85 in 2025, down from Tk21.62 in the previous year. The steep decline reflects a difficult operating environment, with the company slipping into losses for much of the year.

Financial data show that Bata began incurring losses from the second quarter of 2025. During the April-December period, the company posted a cumulative loss of Tk35.67 crore. However, strong performance in the first quarter, when it recorded a profit of Tk36.82 crore, helped it narrowly return to profitability, ending the year with a net profit of Tk1.15 crore.

Despite the sharp drop in earnings, the company declared a substantial dividend for shareholders. Bata recommended a 105% final cash dividend, in addition to a 143% interim cash dividend already paid earlier in the year, taking the total payout to 248% for 2025.

The company has scheduled its annual general meeting for 30 June, with the record date set for 19 May to approve the audited financial statements and dividend.

On the stock market, Bata's shares closed 2% lower at Tk818.70 today (28 April) at the Dhaka Stock Exchange.

Bata has been operating in Bangladesh since 1962 and runs two manufacturing facilities in Tongi and Dhamrai, with a combined daily production capacity of around 160,000 pairs of shoes. The company sells approximately three crore pairs annually.

The Bangladesh operation is a subsidiary of Bafin (Nederland) BV, which holds a 70% stake and is part of the global Bata Shoe Organisation, overseeing the brand's international business.

In a press release, the company said it achieved a total turnover of Tk916 crore, demonstrating resilience despite a backdrop of macroeconomic volatility, political uncertainty, and global geopolitical pressures.

"As consumers became increasingly cautious with discretionary spending, the company pivoted toward a consumer-centric strategy, prioritising high-growth categories. Significant progress was made in the casual, sneaker, and premium segments, which aligned effectively with evolving market trends," it said.

"This strategic evolution was bolstered by the expansion of an omnichannel network, providing a seamless experience across digital and physical platforms. By maintaining a lean organisational framework and focusing on operational efficiency, Bata Bangladesh is balancing necessary structural adjustments with continued investment in innovation. This proactive stance ensures the brand is well-positioned to capitalise on emerging opportunities as the economic environment stabilises," reads the press release.

Olympic Industries, the country's leading branded biscuit manufacturer, reported a significant 34% decline in net profit for the January–March quarter of the 2025-26 fiscal year, mainly due to higher taxes and increased raw material costs fueled by geopolitical tensions.

According to the company's unaudited financial statements, net profit for the third quarter (Q3) fell to Tk28.47 crore, down from the same period a year earlier. Although revenue grew 9% to Tk708.81 crore, the cost of goods sold rose at a faster pace—up 13% to Tk555 crore—eroding margins. As a result, gross profit declined 4% to Tk153.80 crore.

The company attributed the erosion of its bottom line to two key factors: a heavier tax burden and rising costs of imported raw materials. Import expenses surged amid supply chain disruptions and heightened market volatility triggered by the Iran–US–Israel conflict, which has disrupted energy flows and driven up global input costs. Consequently, Olympic's income tax payment skyrocketed by 104% during the quarter, reaching Tk26.22 crore.

The nine-month performance (July–March FY26) also reflected a similar trend of rising costs. Although total revenue grew by 5% to Tk2,256 crore, the cumulative net profit for the period fell by 7% to Tk148.18 crore.

At the end of the first three quarters, the company's earnings per share (EPS) stood at Tk7.41, while its net asset value (NAV) per share was recorded at Tk60.26.

Investor sentiment on the bourse remained cautious after the disclosure, with Olympic Industries' shares closing at Tk143.30 on Tuesday at the Dhaka Stock Exchange.

The manufacturer had earlier delivered strong results in FY2024–25, reporting a net profit of Tk201 crore and rewarding shareholders with a 30% cash dividend.

The United Arab Emirates said on Tuesday it was quitting OPEC and OPEC+, dealing a heavy blow to ​the oil exporting groups and their de facto leader, Saudi Arabia, at a time ‌when the Iran war has caused a historic energy shock and unsettled the global economy.

The loss of the UAE, a longstanding OPEC member, could create disarray and weaken the group, which has usually sought to show a united front despite ​internal disagreements over a range of issues from geopolitics to production quotas.

UAE Energy Minister Suhail ​Mohamed al-Mazrouei told Reuters the decision was taken after a careful look at ⁠the regional power's energy strategies.

Asked whether the UAE consulted with Saudi Arabia, he said the UAE did ​not raise the issue with any other country.

"This is a policy decision, it has been done after ​a careful look at current and future policies related to level of production," said the energy minister.

OPEC Gulf producers have already been struggling to ship exports through the Strait of Hormuz, a chokepoint between Iran and Oman through which a ​fifth of the world's crude oil and liquefied natural gas normally passes, because of Iranian threats and ​attacks against vessels.

Mazrouei said the move would not have a huge impact on the market because of the situation ‌in ⁠the strait.

But the UAE exit from OPEC represents a win for US President Donald Trump, who has accused the organisation of "ripping off the rest of the world" by inflating oil prices.

Trump has also linked U.S. military support for the Gulf with oil prices, saying that while the US defends OPEC members they "exploit ​this by imposing high ​oil prices".

The move came ⁠after the UAE, a regional business hub and one of Washington's most important allies, criticised fellow Arab states for not doing enough to protect it from ​numerous Iranian attacks during the war.

Anwar Gargash, the diplomatic adviser for the ​UAE president, criticised ⁠the Arab and Gulf response to the Iranian attacks in a session at the Gulf Influencers Forum on Monday.

"The Gulf Cooperation Council countries supported each other logistically, but politically and militarily, I think their position ⁠has been ​the weakest historically," Gargash said.

"I expect this weak stance from ​the Arab League and I am not surprised by it, but I haven't expected it from the (Gulf) Cooperation Council and I am ​surprised by it," he said.

Beacon Pharmaceuticals PLC posted a remarkable rise in its profitability in the third quarter of fiscal year 2025-26, mainly driven by strong operational performance and higher growth in earnings.

According to the company's price-sensitive information (PSI) disclosed on Sunday (26 April), the pharmaceutical manufacturer witnessed over a 335% year-on-year increase in the net profit for the January-March quarter of FY2025-26 compared to the same period of the previous fiscal year.

The share price of the company increased by 3.79% to Tk104 on the Dhaka stock exchange on Tuesday.

In the third quarter, the company earned revenue worth Tk380 crore, which is 25.83% higher from Tk302 crore compared to the same period of the previous year.

The company's earnings per share (EPS) stood at Tk1.22 for the third quarter, significantly higher than Tk0.28 recorded in the corresponding quarter a year earlier.

For the first nine months of the fiscal year, from July to March, Beacon Pharmaceuticals reported an EPS of Tk5.95, marking a 59% increase compared to the same period of the previous fiscal year.

In this period, its revenue stood at Tk1202 crore, which was Tk900 crore a year ago. Besides, its net profit after tax stood at Tk138 crore, which was Tk87 crore a one year ago.

The company also reported a significant improvement in its net operating cash flow per share (NOCFPS) during the reporting period.

Explaining the reasons behind the strong financial performance, the company stated that revenue growth in the corresponding period of the previous year was affected by socio-political instability, which also negatively impacted operating cash flows.

However, business operations recovered in the third quarter of the current fiscal year, leading to strong revenue growth. Consequently, improved cash collections significantly increased Net Operating Cash Flow Per Share, reflecting stronger operational performance and better liquidity compared to the same period a year ago.

According to market analysts, the substantial growth in quarterly earnings reflects improved business performance, higher sales revenue, and operational efficiency amid rising demand for pharmaceutical products in both local and export markets.

The strong earnings growth attracted attention from investors in the capital market, as the pharmaceutical sector continues to remain one of the more resilient industries despite broader economic challenges, including inflationary pressure, foreign exchange volatility, and rising production costs.

Beacon Pharmaceuticals is one of the listed pharmaceutical companies on the Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE). The company manufactures a wide range of generic medicines, including oncology, antiviral, and specialised healthcare products.